8=======>

2022-07-09 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1302
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
50.3%
in alpha space · 45.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80890.698577-13.64%0.9875+22.08%0.1853✗1.63160k2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110460.000097815-11.45%0.00009929-10.11%0.1771✓1.95766k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7510.691886-7.87%0.841+11.98%0.0478✓1.503,2002022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism0.5730.536277-6.41%1.899+231.41%1.0970✗1.701.5M2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.197120.185064-6.12%0.19653-0.30%0.2303✓2.958572022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5633.3568-5.79%6.031+69.27%0.5281✗0.592.2M2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.6615.7531-5.44%21.84+31.09%0.2258✗1.03501k2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8590.813669-5.28%0.898+4.54%0.0889✓1.9112.4M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.23690.225288-4.90%0.3126+31.95%0.2292✗1.00440k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum1.0010.955376-4.56%0.944-5.69%0.1905✓1.81635k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4680.44804-4.26%0.553+18.16%0.1010✗1.1111k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.010.968227-4.13%1.1648+15.33%0.0701✗1.171,6262022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.00750.969176-3.80%1.0662+5.83%0.0274✓1.25252k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.732720.70574-3.68%0.69895-4.61%0.1725✓1.66108k2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0342.9247-3.60%4.125+35.96%0.2814✗0.632.5M2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5952.5032-3.54%4.095+57.80%0.3188✗1.763.4M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.253.1364-3.50%5.02+54.46%0.4017✗0.70770k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0081.9404-3.36%2.141+6.62%0.0343✓1.35997k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04140.040009-3.36%0.0454+9.66%0.0015✓1.27134k2022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.3615.8116-3.35%30.04+83.62%0.4777✗1.67463k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80090.774123-3.34%1.1662+45.61%0.3064✗1.054.5M2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.103020.09958-3.34%0.08629-16.24%0.2416✓1.00343k2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.1272.0566-3.31%2.498+17.44%0.0497✗1.47123k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1039-3.30%3.05-4.98%0.0558✓0.3982k2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.4320.418133-3.21%0.42996-0.47%0.0950✓1.25155k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.42970.415934-3.20%0.561+30.56%0.2008✗1.00202k2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.823.7014-3.10%5.62+47.12%0.3559✗0.63778k2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.464260.449944-3.08%0.48293+4.02%0.0003✓0.7255k2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.892.8028-3.02%3.99+38.06%0.2440✗1.11560k2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.51190.497303-2.85%0.42203-17.56%0.3189✓1.571.6M2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.4101-2.75%1.55+6.90%0.0652✗0.30575k2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.841080.81839-2.70%1.1739+39.57%0.2764✗0.862472022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.14610.142272-2.62%0.1804+23.48%0.1115✗1.282.8M2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0074.8759-2.62%7.314+46.08%0.2304✗1.7816.6M2022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011150.010864-2.57%0.01044-6.37%0.1441✓1.065.5M2022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0217870.021235-2.53%0.023579+8.23%0.0028✓1.048342022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum55.5754.1771-2.51%62.01+11.59%0.0054✓1.4328k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4190.408601-2.48%0.4659+11.19%0.0289✓1.63208k2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16040.156486-2.44%0.1759+9.66%0.0146✓1.34355k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.19840.193672-2.38%0.2677+34.93%0.1890✗1.373,2022022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19510.19061-2.30%0.2282+16.97%0.0295✗1.532,7942022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11260.11004-2.27%0.1317+16.96%0.0805✗1.017,0862022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.68542.6261-2.21%3.0082+12.02%0.0258✓1.644,8022022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.01855.7626-2.20%62.317+9.29%0.0286✗0.84525k2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.310730.304-2.17%0.36941+18.88%0.0596✗1.382,7752022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.52150.510621-2.09%0.5796+11.14%0.0186✓1.1074k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164220.016081-2.08%0.018974+15.54%0.1105✗0.56337k2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.255599-2.07%0.2614+0.15%0.0759✓1.0054k2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019530.019143-1.98%0.01763-9.73%0.1569✓0.76414k2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09320.091354-1.98%0.0896-3.86%0.1487✓1.31179k2022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.6111.5795-1.96%2.06+27.87%0.1672✗1.00180k2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02420.023734-1.93%0.03513+45.17%0.2258✗1.6919.6M2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.7282-1.92%4.707+23.84%0.1688✗0.651.8M2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5570.546453-1.89%0.697+25.13%0.1064✗1.3999k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.00e-73.92e-7-1.88%3.37e-7-15.82%0.2621✓1.11566k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8510.835389-1.83%1.084+27.38%0.1802✗0.821.6M2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.47770.469334-1.75%0.5372+12.46%0.0081✓1.2948.1M2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum8583.5358-1.72%128.79+51.52%0.3358✗0.992.4M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12650.124322-1.72%0.1674+32.33%0.1995✗1.004.0M2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9626.8436-1.70%8.259+18.63%0.0561✗1.345.5M2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum22.4722.0911-1.69%45.63+103.07%0.6270✗1.00110k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.69635.6005-1.68%4.8-15.73%0.1749✓0.21291k2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07520.07396-1.65%0.0737-1.99%0.1105✓1.0999k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.060880.059886-1.63%0.08557+40.56%0.2211✗1.3827k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2720.267583-1.62%0.23-15.44%0.3034✓1.551.1M2022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.065268-1.56%0.0607-8.45%0.2160✓1.46325k2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.072640.071578-1.46%0.08965+23.42%0.1463✗0.802,3812022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum1.741.7154-1.42%2.74+57.47%0.3551✗1.15114k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum5.255.1758-1.41%6.92+31.81%0.1436✗1.491.4M2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011610.000011447-1.41%0.00001229+5.86%0.0532✓1.261.2M2022-08-08
HIVEHivenative0.48780.481593-1.27%0.6064+24.31%0.1047✗1.281.2M2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.17332.147-1.21%3.2115+47.77%0.3208✗0.831.2M2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046980.046425-1.18%0.05269+12.15%0.0335✗0.955,7282022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.049018-1.17%0.0543+9.48%0.0191✓1.23266k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.9482.9135-1.17%4.04+37.04%0.2506✗0.78622k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01421.0032-1.08%1.4281+40.81%0.2166✗1.394.5M2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.7092.6799-1.07%3.052+12.66%0.0136✗1.181.0M2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.25450.251908-1.02%0.2624+3.10%0.0766✓1.19682k2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.83021.8119-1.00%3.4773+90.00%0.5695✗0.84954k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum0.97090.961518-0.97%1.2133+24.97%0.0871✗1.482.1M2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.110.0051-0.94%16.74+65.74%0.3724✗1.451.1M2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana38.0837.7342-0.91%42.2+10.82%0.0180✓1.3290.8M2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3411.3292-0.88%1.438+7.23%0.0561✓1.373.0M2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.988.9051-0.83%11.817+31.59%0.1504✗1.3513.7M2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0525910.052168-0.80%0.05725+8.86%0.0291✗0.6515k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.870.8631-0.79%0.79-9.20%0.1593✓0.72133k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6950.690302-0.68%0.835+20.14%0.0996✗0.92419k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6980.69342-0.66%0.894+28.08%0.1247✗1.32172k2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11430.113551-0.66%0.1267+10.85%0.0009✓1.10401k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9381.926-0.62%2.385+23.07%0.0905✗1.2540k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.975.9347-0.59%10.19+70.69%0.4101✗1.33278k2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.1415.053-0.57%18.67+23.32%0.0814✗1.361.5M2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.251175-0.56%0.2733+8.19%0.0282✓1.1463k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum0.906390.901407-0.55%1.0855+19.76%0.0529✗1.35557k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.571.5622-0.50%1.85+17.83%0.0239✗1.48338k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00098870.000984118-0.46%0.001192+20.58%0.0630✗1.312.6M2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2241.2185-0.45%1.351+10.38%0.0112✓1.161.7M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum27.1327.0233-0.39%31.49+16.07%0.0606✗0.9411.6M2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3862.3771-0.37%2.9+21.54%0.0602✗1.4167k2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.62441.6201-0.27%1.894+16.60%0.0309✗1.27582k2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4491.4451-0.27%2.058+42.03%0.2074✗1.48169k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32140.320607-0.25%0.3629+12.91%0.0070✗1.199.4M2022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09680.096571-0.24%0.1545+59.61%0.3912✗0.80167k2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.009130.00911-0.22%0.00837-8.32%0.1786✓0.951.2M2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.376.3561-0.22%8.84+38.78%0.2809✗0.50872k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.39211.3893-0.20%1.6087+15.56%0.0151✗1.34727k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029320.002927-0.17%0.003433+17.09%0.0566✗1.041.4M2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.486.4692-0.17%8.607+32.82%0.1590✗1.2921.1M2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,497.216,490.83-0.10%11,448.81+76.21%0.4375✗1.324.5M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.10310.103001-0.10%0.1526+48.01%0.2818✗1.13540k2022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4892.4868-0.09%2.889+16.07%0.0158✓1.6890k2022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028310.028302-0.03%0.03333+17.73%0.0028✗1.632,0362022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24640.246341-0.02%0.2624+6.49%0.0644✓1.30220k2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.4721.4718-0.02%1.875+27.38%0.0990✗1.45453k2022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.134.1313+0.03%5.71+38.26%0.2599✓0.65721k2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131180.013125+0.06%0.016131+22.97%0.1244✓0.831.4M2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase0.9117270.912459+0.08%1.0843+18.93%0.0694✓1.0597k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28880.289052+0.09%0.3474+20.29%0.0656✓1.203.0M2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.11e-7+0.11%9.90e-7+8.79%0.0009✓0.855.7M2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007110.007119+0.12%0.00911+28.13%0.1477✓1.01412k2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.030170.030208+0.13%0.0332+10.04%0.0342✗1.3124k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0554.1391+0.16%62.61+15.84%0.0294✓1.1818.8M2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021168+0.18%0.029+37.25%0.2091✓1.0796k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0694940.069627+0.19%0.070056+0.81%0.1136✗1.222.2M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.053220.053331+0.21%0.11272+111.80%0.6019✓1.49902k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40620.407169+0.24%0.4704+15.81%0.0090✓1.3895k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.241.2434+0.27%1.56+25.81%0.0777✓1.52755k2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.15090.151325+0.28%0.163+8.02%0.0522✗1.29105k2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5272.5352+0.33%2.626+3.92%0.0554✗0.92148k2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.12151.1253+0.34%1.2304+9.71%0.0194✗1.1065k2022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0697990.070059+0.37%0.070047+0.36%0.0828✗0.84531k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase13.001213.0502+0.38%19.4666+49.73%0.2810✓1.21316k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum82.0682.3842+0.40%102.58+25.01%0.0571✓1.658.5M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.9478+0.40%19.15+13.45%0.0176✗1.4272k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04980.050001+0.40%0.068+36.55%0.1736✓1.36922k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00690.006929+0.42%0.0063-8.70%0.1548✗0.61100k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration53.153.3254+0.42%64.6+21.66%0.0754✓1.18396k2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04530.045493+0.43%0.0517+14.13%0.0092✗1.3910k2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4486.4784+0.47%8.791+36.34%0.1717✓1.365.4M2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.652.6626+0.47%3.02+13.96%0.0292✗1.58255k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash47.7948.0167+0.47%56.22+17.64%0.0496✓1.10698k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.624.6439+0.52%6.04+30.74%0.1981✓0.66836k2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum3.0293.0447+0.52%4.1656+37.53%0.2040✓1.1132k2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.41460.417319+0.66%0.5085+22.65%0.0724✓1.27345k2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.09660.097245+0.67%0.1199+24.12%0.0748✓1.37701k2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.59.565+0.68%11.72+23.37%0.0881✓1.17316k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,554.3021,702.86+0.69%23,846.60+10.64%0.0032✓0.9946k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0420820.042374+0.69%0.052476+24.70%0.0983✓1.1712k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10550.106344+0.80%0.1491+41.33%0.2055✓1.352.8M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.05540.055844+0.80%0.062+11.91%0.0427✗1.50131k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative1.6971.7108+0.81%3.023+78.14%0.4514✓1.20297k2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003440.003468+0.82%0.00377+9.59%0.0519✗1.38670k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.290220.292735+0.87%0.33107+14.08%0.0027✓1.28465k2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.920.0798+0.90%27.92+40.30%0.1803✓1.5229.2M2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20280.204643+0.91%0.2285+12.67%0.0363✗1.49151k2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14630.147723+0.97%0.1447-1.09%0.1556✗1.3734k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059060.005964+0.99%0.006716+13.72%0.0210✓0.993,1492022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2497.3214+1.00%9.276+27.96%0.1138✓1.2511.8M2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44752.4739+1.08%2.9975+22.47%0.0883✓1.051.3M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.331050.334747+1.12%0.363104+9.68%0.0433✗1.272.3M2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004150.004203+1.29%0.00474+14.22%0.0149✗1.37169k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1126510.114116+1.30%0.130156+15.54%0.0318✓1.019.3M2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05310.053841+1.39%0.0826+55.56%0.3511✓0.78213k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25940.263139+1.44%0.5111+97.03%0.5483✓1.1831k2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash61.2162.1369+1.51%77.53+26.66%0.0896✓1.341.8M2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51980.527678+1.52%0.6657+28.07%0.1114✓1.23642k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000041620.00004226+1.54%0.00004589+10.26%0.0402✗1.252.5M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,216.781,235.68+1.55%1,777.36+46.07%0.2485✓1.17342.2M2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.7965.8978+1.76%8.73+50.62%0.2773✓1.172.3M2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.8516.1321+1.78%38.06+140.13%0.7422✓1.181.8M2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,583.9921,973.89+1.81%23,815.65+10.34%0.0179✓1.00493.8M2022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash111.36113.6528+2.06%143.54+28.90%0.1215✓1.145.7M2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6740.688537+2.16%0.774+14.84%0.0026✓1.22952k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum3.94634.0321+2.18%4.9055+24.31%0.1250✓0.721.2M2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0820.083837+2.24%0.1038+26.59%0.0897✓1.267,1372022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132720.135801+2.32%0.17585+32.50%0.0984✓1.63186k2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.291397+2.60%0.339+19.37%0.0503✓1.03663k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero127.29130.7714+2.74%167.1+31.28%0.1323✓1.151.3M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6890.708614+2.85%0.767+11.32%0.0774✗1.59222k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.6379.9442+3.19%10.767+11.73%0.0302✓1.113.1M2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50550.524611+3.78%0.6088+20.44%0.0376✓1.13249k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.