8=======>

2022-07-08 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 181 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0907
181 of 181 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
37.6%
in alpha space · 33.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (181 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000110050.000094663-13.98%0.00009956-9.53%0.0879✓1.94785k2022-08-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.83330.717697-13.87%0.9885+18.62%0.2036✗1.63148k2022-08-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.199870.174866-12.51%0.19598-1.95%0.0427✓1.008572022-08-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.3214.3035-12.36%22.19+35.97%0.3661✗1.02457k2022-08-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7060.623181-11.73%0.811+14.87%0.1569✗1.493,2002022-08-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.770329-8.84%0.871+3.08%0.0132✓1.9114.0M2022-08-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.161.9753-8.55%2.37+9.72%0.0771✓1.47117k2022-08-07
OPTIMOptimism0.5650.519767-8.01%1.912+238.41%1.1814✗1.701.5M2022-08-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.4514.2614-7.69%32.48+110.23%0.7042✗1.67463k2022-08-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94560.878768-7.07%1.0439+10.40%0.0833✗1.25252k2022-08-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.23590.219321-7.03%0.308+30.56%0.2683✗1.00544k2022-08-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4313.1937-6.92%6.829+99.04%0.7182✗0.592.3M2022-08-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.744740.694245-6.78%0.68843-7.56%0.1266✓1.66108k2022-08-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.895410.835116-6.73%1.1124+24.23%0.2255✗0.862472022-08-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5032.336-6.67%4.08+63.00%0.4319✗1.763.4M2022-08-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.57732.4097-6.50%3.0557+18.56%0.1204✗1.644,8022022-08-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062630.058688-6.29%0.08386+33.90%0.2583✗1.3828k2022-08-07
DIADIAEthereum0.401380.376564-6.18%0.47524+18.40%0.1819✗0.7155k2022-08-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07650.071839-6.09%0.0735-3.92%0.0547✓1.0994k2022-08-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0052.8221-6.09%4.147+38.00%0.3399✗0.632.8M2022-08-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4302-5.91%1.57+3.29%0.0721✗0.30614k2022-08-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.9990.940064-5.90%0.931-6.81%0.1391✓1.81664k2022-08-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.097930.092349-5.70%0.08532-12.88%0.1505✓1.00340k2022-08-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.773.5632-5.48%5.65+49.87%0.4164✗0.63833k2022-08-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04910.046419-5.46%0.0544+10.79%0.0708✗1.23260k2022-08-07
API3Api3Ethereum2.0111.9014-5.45%2.089+3.88%0.0021✓1.351.1M2022-08-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.23.0259-5.44%5.07+58.44%0.4666✗0.69780k2022-08-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.520030.492295-5.33%0.42719-17.85%0.2542✓1.581.6M2022-08-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03920.037143-5.25%0.0441+12.50%0.0812✗1.27134k2022-08-07
HIVEHivenative0.48780.46452-4.77%0.5991+22.82%0.1632✗1.281.1M2022-08-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2950.280965-4.76%0.225-23.73%0.3329✓1.551.1M2022-08-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9514.7175-4.72%7.208+45.59%0.2974✗1.7716.6M2022-08-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.992190.947093-4.55%1.1657+17.48%0.1245✗1.171,6262022-08-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.51070.487698-4.50%0.5887+15.27%0.1101✗1.1081k2022-08-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09570.091396-4.50%0.0893-6.69%0.1169✓1.31179k2022-08-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.020680.019759-4.45%0.01788-13.54%0.1541✓0.76414k2022-08-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.431350.412679-4.33%0.4338+0.57%0.0392✓1.25155k2022-08-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.071240.068194-4.28%0.07969+11.86%0.0988✗0.802,5182022-08-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41740.399625-4.26%0.466+11.64%0.0376✓1.63208k2022-08-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.221.1689-4.19%1.319+8.11%0.0378✓1.161.8M2022-08-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1550.148617-4.12%0.1758+13.42%0.0727✗1.34355k2022-08-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.872.7534-4.06%3.12+8.71%0.0537✗1.0082k2022-08-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.093.9245-4.05%5.77+41.08%0.3395✗0.64727k2022-08-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.77540.744853-3.94%1.1663+50.41%0.3736✗1.054.5M2022-08-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0164790.015845-3.85%0.019873+20.60%0.1867✗0.56339k2022-08-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9556.6877-3.84%8.249+18.61%0.1141✗1.345.5M2022-08-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.306690.295025-3.80%0.35815+16.78%0.0959✗1.372,7752022-08-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0214980.02068-3.80%0.023491+9.27%0.0536✗1.048342022-08-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96670.93028-3.77%1.1387+17.79%0.0966✗1.482.1M2022-08-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046860.045117-3.72%0.05378+14.77%0.1082✗0.956,4892022-08-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.028820.027785-3.59%0.03172+10.06%0.0611✗1.002,0362022-08-07
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.818703-3.57%1.111+30.86%0.2469✗0.821.7M2022-08-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02390.023052-3.55%0.03436+43.77%0.2786✗1.6919.6M2022-08-07
FTTFTXEthereum27.3626.4126-3.46%30.67+12.10%0.0825✗0.9412.2M2022-08-07
XYMSymbolnative0.05210.050303-3.45%0.055055+5.67%0.0440✗0.6517k2022-08-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010890.010522-3.38%0.01046-3.95%0.0817✓1.065.6M2022-08-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.01010.976035-3.37%1.4024+38.84%0.2635✗1.394.5M2022-08-07
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6445-3.26%2.48+45.88%0.3288✗1.15121k2022-08-07
XVSVenusEthereum5.164.992-3.26%6.84+32.56%0.2084✗1.491.4M2022-08-07
METISMetisEthereum22.4821.7565-3.22%44.22+96.71%0.6380✗1.0093k2022-08-07
QNTQuantEthereum73.1570.8298-3.17%126.46+72.88%0.5098✗0.982.3M2022-08-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9798.7063-3.04%11.374+26.67%0.1713✗1.3515.0M2022-08-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.253769-2.99%0.2614-0.08%0.0417✓1.0062k2022-08-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.882.7943-2.98%4.012+39.31%0.2826✗1.11567k2022-08-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4130.401208-2.86%0.551+33.41%0.2384✗1.1111k2022-08-07
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.133165-2.80%0.1819+32.77%0.2208✗1.282.8M2022-08-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.15192.092-2.78%3.2183+49.56%0.3714✗0.831.3M2022-08-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.099.8116-2.76%16.88+67.29%0.4393✗1.451.1M2022-08-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.89131.8401-2.71%2.3326+23.34%0.1479✗1.2550k2022-08-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.17930.174614-2.61%0.2551+42.28%0.2819✗1.363,2022022-08-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.520213-2.58%0.682+27.72%0.1715✗1.3999k2022-08-07
SOLSolanaSolana38.137.1232-2.56%40.62+6.61%0.0041✓1.3290.8M2022-08-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022180.021614-2.55%0.04057+82.91%0.5530✗1.0896k2022-08-07
XEMNEMnative0.04160.040551-2.52%0.051551+23.92%0.1563✗1.1714k2022-08-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12050.117534-2.46%0.1588+31.78%0.2300✗0.994.0M2022-08-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4372.3777-2.43%2.458+0.86%0.0325✓0.92148k2022-08-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV56.83555.4949-2.36%61.878+8.87%0.0490✗0.84559k2022-08-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.80931.767-2.34%3.4736+91.99%0.6164✗0.83986k2022-08-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7543.6695-2.25%4.685+24.80%0.1977✗0.651.9M2022-08-07
ADACardanoCardano0.46570.455589-2.17%0.5277+13.31%0.0550✗1.2951.5M2022-08-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.5321.4991-2.15%2.183+42.49%0.3045✗1.00178k2022-08-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18780.183914-2.07%0.2146+14.27%0.0830✗1.002,7942022-08-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75.5828-2.06%4.899-14.05%0.1456✓0.21291k2022-08-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3131.2867-2.00%1.425+8.53%0.0043✓1.373.1M2022-08-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.41932.3719-1.96%2.9884+23.52%0.1559✗1.051.4M2022-08-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1080.105971-1.88%0.1264+17.04%0.0976✗1.10388k2022-08-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.176.0543-1.88%8.94+44.89%0.3545✗0.49878k2022-08-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.25160.246918-1.86%0.2711+7.75%0.0118✓1.1565k2022-08-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.592.5433-1.80%3.06+18.15%0.0724✗1.58265k2022-08-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6920.679743-1.77%0.858+23.99%0.1390✗1.32175k2022-08-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.06630.065142-1.75%0.0605-8.75%0.1778✓1.46325k2022-08-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26010.255608-1.73%0.4693+80.43%0.5239✗1.1730k2022-08-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.3752.3375-1.58%2.798+17.81%0.0793✗1.4167k2022-08-07
FLOWFlownative1.6341.609-1.53%2.624+60.59%0.4039✗1.19297k2022-08-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8782.8352-1.49%4.058+41.00%0.3032✗0.78649k2022-08-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin51.3150.5561-1.47%61.12+19.12%0.1059✗1.1818.8M2022-08-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13350.131567-1.45%0.1374+2.92%0.0541✓1.3732k2022-08-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130520.012868-1.41%0.015952+22.22%0.1556✗0.831.4M2022-08-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51750.510246-1.40%0.6639+28.29%0.1755✗1.23642k2022-08-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.8314.6303-1.35%18.49+24.68%0.1370✗1.361.5M2022-08-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37791.3594-1.34%1.5748+14.29%0.0522✗1.33727k2022-08-07
FISStafiEthereum0.29550.29154-1.34%0.3904+32.12%0.2207✗1.005582022-08-07
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.88e-7-1.33%9.70e-7+7.78%0.0275✗0.855.7M2022-08-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.719.444-1.30%27.9+41.62%0.2529✗1.5229.4M2022-08-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04480.04422-1.29%0.0512+14.29%0.0478✗1.3810k2022-08-07
XECeCashnative0.000041360.00004083-1.28%0.00004532+9.57%0.0155✗1.252.5M2022-08-07
BANDBandEthereum1.4191.4011-1.26%1.809+27.48%0.1518✗1.45453k2022-08-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3536.2745-1.24%8.34+31.28%0.1930✗1.2823.0M2022-08-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.10080.099556-1.23%0.1513+50.10%0.3379✗1.13551k2022-08-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2522.2252-1.19%2.792+23.98%0.1073✗1.6897k2022-08-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.89610.885897-1.14%1.0596+18.24%0.0826✗1.35557k2022-08-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28020.277127-1.10%0.3431+22.45%0.1278✗1.203.0M2022-08-07
COMPCompoundEthereum47.246.7011-1.06%63.85+35.28%0.2117✗1.4227k2022-08-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6870.679767-1.05%0.807+17.47%0.1058✗0.92412k2022-08-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.068.9658-1.04%11.74+29.58%0.1863✗1.17331k2022-08-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.655.5943-0.99%10.03+77.52%0.4894✗1.32300k2022-08-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.10869-0.83%0.1294+18.07%0.1028✗1.006,6852022-08-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.5032-0.81%6.04+33.04%0.2468✗0.66862k2022-08-07
XTZTezosTezos1.52791.5157-0.80%1.888+23.57%0.1290✗1.27603k2022-08-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011190.000011109-0.72%0.00001202+7.42%0.0112✓1.261.2M2022-08-07
ZENHorizenBase16.616.4807-0.72%19.17+15.48%0.0500✗1.4272k2022-08-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,296.146,252.27-0.70%11,438.54+81.68%0.5099✗1.324.5M2022-08-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40140.398871-0.63%0.4806+19.73%0.0882✗1.3895k2022-08-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.521.5105-0.62%1.81+19.08%0.0757✗1.47338k2022-08-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.14630.145468-0.57%0.1618+10.59%0.0147✗1.29105k2022-08-07
UNIUniswapEthereum5.7915.7592-0.55%8.784+51.68%0.3257✗1.355.2M2022-08-07
STEEMSteemnative0.22490.223708-0.53%0.2595+15.38%0.0638✗1.19682k2022-08-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069940.006959-0.50%0.006331-9.48%0.1377✓0.61105k2022-08-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4011.3942-0.49%1.998+42.61%0.2541✗1.48170k2022-08-07
GTGateEthereum3.92993.9136-0.42%4.7602+21.13%0.1444✗0.721.2M2022-08-07
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.96e-73.95e-7-0.41%3.42e-7-13.64%0.2213✓1.10583k2022-08-07
TRXTRONTron0.0689970.068745-0.36%0.069658+0.96%0.0468✓0.84531k2022-08-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029010.028906-0.36%0.03302+13.82%0.0399✗1.3123k2022-08-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.009140.009107-0.36%0.00837-8.42%0.1525✓0.951.2M2022-08-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.09290.092583-0.34%0.1192+28.31%0.1551✗1.37724k2022-08-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096340.000960473-0.30%0.001193+23.81%0.1233✗1.312.6M2022-08-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006860.006854-0.09%0.00906+32.07%0.2074✗1.00412k2022-08-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8953130.89492-0.04%1.0549+17.82%0.0899✗1.05100k2022-08-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.293330.293466+0.05%0.31695+8.05%0.0142✗1.28465k2022-08-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,763.7021,814.46+0.23%23,110.70+6.19%0.0129✗0.9951k2022-08-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0688720.069043+0.25%0.06896+0.13%0.0878✗1.212.2M2022-08-07
DASHDashDash45.6545.7876+0.30%53.35+16.87%0.0746✓1.10698k2022-08-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.6352.6439+0.34%3.033+15.10%0.0529✓1.181.0M2022-08-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09930.099791+0.49%0.1283+29.20%0.1555✓1.342.8M2022-08-07
PROPropyEthereum0.830.834653+0.56%0.84+1.20%0.0447✗0.72143k2022-08-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31440.316224+0.58%0.3559+13.20%0.0335✓1.199.4M2022-08-07
QTUMQtumQtum2.94372.9616+0.61%4.0919+39.01%0.2440✓1.1132k2022-08-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.05390.054265+0.68%0.0606+12.43%0.0037✓1.50131k2022-08-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027320.002751+0.68%0.003423+25.29%0.1445✓1.041.4M2022-08-07
KSMKusamaHydration51.5551.9032+0.69%65.42+26.91%0.1471✓1.18413k2022-08-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0417.1014+0.86%8.657+22.95%0.1091✓1.2512.5M2022-08-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.10821.1178+0.86%1.2162+9.75%0.0056✓1.1065k2022-08-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.286777+0.98%0.339+19.37%0.0939✓1.03663k2022-08-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.161.1718+1.02%1.5+29.31%0.1390✓1.51755k2022-08-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050870.051446+1.13%0.10727+110.87%0.6289✓1.49902k2022-08-07
SCSiacoinnative0.0040.004052+1.29%0.00471+17.75%0.0528✓1.37167k2022-08-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,582.2021,873.00+1.35%23,177.39+7.39%0.0134✓1.00493.8M2022-08-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.735.8108+1.41%8.792+53.44%0.3309✓1.172.3M2022-08-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23150.23479+1.42%0.2595+12.10%0.0079✓1.29220k2022-08-07
AAVEAaveEthereum71.7272.7496+1.44%101.31+41.26%0.2141✓1.648.2M2022-08-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3170810.321701+1.46%0.354473+11.79%0.0067✓1.272.3M2022-08-07
XLMStellarStellar0.11320.114956+1.55%0.123873+9.43%0.0024✓1.019.3M2022-08-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05330.054184+1.66%0.0794+48.97%0.3264✓0.78213k2022-08-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.5615.8211+1.68%37.71+142.35%0.7844✓1.181.8M2022-08-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09330.0949+1.71%0.109+16.83%0.0817✓0.80176k2022-08-07
XMRMoneroMonero125.24127.4264+1.75%164.87+31.64%0.1759✓1.151.3M2022-08-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19810.201917+1.93%0.2392+20.75%0.0634✓1.49151k2022-08-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.440312.694+2.04%18.2973+47.08%0.2797✓1.21316k2022-08-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.700382+2.10%0.759+10.64%0.0329✗1.59222k2022-08-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,213.191,239.33+2.15%1,700.42+40.16%0.2330✓1.17342.2M2022-08-07
STXStacksnative0.40640.415963+2.35%0.4907+20.74%0.0745✓1.27339k2022-08-07
XVGVergenative0.003370.00345+2.39%0.00374+10.98%0.0174✓1.37709k2022-08-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128540.131876+2.60%0.17735+37.97%0.1803✓1.63186k2022-08-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04730.04861+2.77%0.0643+35.94%0.1828✓1.36950k2022-08-07
ZECZcashZcash59.4361.1238+2.85%70.26+18.22%0.0438✓1.341.8M2022-08-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059340.006104+2.87%0.006475+9.12%0.0117✓0.993,2372022-08-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash108.45112.1337+3.40%140.98+30.00%0.1479✓1.145.7M2022-08-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.1449.594+4.92%10.602+15.94%0.0206✓1.113.1M2022-08-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6420.673791+4.95%0.751+16.98%0.0221✓1.21893k2022-08-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0810.085368+5.39%0.1047+29.26%0.1144✓1.267,2862022-08-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49790.541122+8.68%0.5927+19.04%0.0106✓1.13232k2022-08-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.