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2022-07-03 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0427
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.06%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.3%
in alpha space · 34.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+19.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000129950.000106967-17.69%0.00010013-22.95%0.3878✓1.83951k2022-08-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1814.6843-14.53%21.17+23.22%0.1812✗1.05238k2022-08-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6620.589411-10.97%0.816+23.26%0.0533✓1.552,8402022-08-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.05570.955375-9.50%0.9992-5.35%0.1951✓1.37224k2022-08-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8410.769464-8.51%0.823-2.14%0.2898✓2.0418.4M2022-08-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.651.5333-7.07%1.55-6.06%0.0540✓0.37648k2022-08-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.142120.132176-7.00%0.18917+33.11%0.1831✗1.008392022-08-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5842.4106-6.71%3.801+47.10%0.1321✗1.843.1M2022-08-02
OPTIMOptimism0.520.486857-6.37%1.635+214.42%0.9090✗1.722.2M2022-08-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3090.289455-6.33%0.212-31.39%0.6091✓1.701.1M2022-08-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.25190.236385-6.16%0.3039+20.64%0.0759✗1.00739k2022-08-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.021870.020581-5.89%0.01794-17.97%0.2789✓0.81417k2022-08-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2253.0354-5.88%5.16+60.00%0.4225✗0.622.9M2022-08-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54762.4026-5.69%2.7482+7.87%0.1719✓1.759,9282022-08-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.649760.612919-5.67%0.65971+1.53%0.2202✓1.6799k2022-08-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.8441.7436-5.44%1.966+6.62%0.1154✓1.34997k2022-08-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9512.791-5.42%3.883+31.58%0.2130✗0.674.8M2022-08-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03760.035627-5.25%0.0396+5.32%0.1259✓1.32168k2022-08-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.042975-5.13%0.0531+17.22%0.0206✓1.32253k2022-08-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.056490.053882-4.62%0.08676+53.58%0.2315✗1.4032k2022-08-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73750.704403-4.49%0.9732+31.96%0.1329✗1.094.0M2022-08-02
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.250088-4.47%0.2618+0.00%0.1296✓1.0068k2022-08-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.400020.382294-4.43%0.39795-0.52%0.1910✓1.32150k2022-08-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063290.06051-4.39%0.0777+22.77%0.1090✗0.802,1062022-08-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.593.4348-4.32%6.51+81.34%0.5260✗0.651.1M2022-08-02
DIADIAEthereum0.376290.360212-4.27%0.45527+20.99%0.1086✗0.7276k2022-08-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.8090.775687-4.12%0.908+12.24%0.1617✓1.82813k2022-08-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.913160.876419-4.02%1.126+23.31%0.0389✓1.212,6312022-08-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.12.976-4.00%5.05+62.90%0.4013✗0.731.0M2022-08-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47560.45662-3.99%0.4841+1.79%0.1169✓1.0098k2022-08-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0209440.020116-3.96%0.024372+16.37%0.0011✓1.101,5412022-08-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.744610.716263-3.81%1.0569+41.94%0.2425✗0.842912022-08-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023880.022975-3.79%0.0314+31.49%0.1370✗1.002,1122022-08-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.042.9256-3.76%3.18+4.61%0.0920✓1.0088k2022-08-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.5644.3931-3.75%6.638+45.44%0.0939✗1.8216.0M2022-08-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023420.02255-3.72%0.03854+64.56%0.2272✗1.7625.4M2022-08-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.09060.087328-3.61%0.0857-5.41%0.2670✓1.42166k2022-08-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.883.74-3.61%5.73+47.68%0.3102✗0.661.2M2022-08-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0513020.049461-3.59%0.05605+9.25%0.0086✓0.6625k2022-08-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5581.5022-3.58%2.285+46.66%0.1601✗1.4893k2022-08-02
HIVEHivenative0.44730.431454-3.54%0.5942+32.84%0.0849✗1.341.2M2022-08-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.73290.70743-3.48%1.0822+47.66%0.2398✗1.0684k2022-08-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.3931.3455-3.41%1.796+28.93%0.1134✗1.00175k2022-08-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37660.364009-3.34%0.4462+18.48%0.0971✓1.71202k2022-08-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.295670.285841-3.32%0.34832+17.81%0.0539✓1.433,4912022-08-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.89530.865924-3.28%1.0451+16.73%0.0836✓1.552.6M2022-08-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.09492.0274-3.22%3.0467+45.43%0.2582✗0.851.8M2022-08-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.043329-3.22%0.04946+10.48%0.0434✓1.008,5732022-08-02
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7990.773942-3.14%1.218+52.44%0.2983✗0.881.6M2022-08-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0411.0084-3.13%1.27+22.00%0.0320✗1.131.6M2022-08-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17990.174522-2.99%0.202+12.28%0.0292✓1.003,1472022-08-02
XEMNEMnative0.0426770.041404-2.98%0.048695+14.10%0.0565✓1.2515k2022-08-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04250.041237-2.97%0.044+3.53%0.1220✓1.073,4202022-08-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81061.759-2.85%2.1689+19.79%0.0198✓1.3162k2022-08-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0142320.013833-2.80%0.021484+50.96%0.3460✗0.54383k2022-08-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.724.5909-2.74%6.57+39.19%0.0897✗1.531.4M2022-08-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.610.3187-2.65%27.79+162.17%0.7062✗1.62448k2022-08-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3750.365093-2.64%0.519+38.40%0.1502✗1.1511k2022-08-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.44482.3811-2.61%2.8083+14.87%0.0290✓1.111.7M2022-08-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3382.2771-2.61%2.419+3.46%0.1122✓0.98157k2022-08-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.72975.5809-2.60%5.0698-11.52%0.1340✓0.22285k2022-08-02
COMPCompoundEthereum49.9748.6728-2.60%56.33+12.73%0.1138✓1.4828k2022-08-02
FTTFTXEthereum24.3923.7746-2.52%29.4+20.54%0.0470✗0.9412.2M2022-08-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6583.5661-2.51%4.526+23.73%0.1190✗0.682.3M2022-08-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.08851.7829-2.46%60.953+14.82%0.0122✓0.86957k2022-08-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.055.9072-2.36%9.54+57.69%0.3902✗0.511.0M2022-08-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.74191.7011-2.34%3.3336+91.38%0.5225✗0.861.3M2022-08-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.532.4714-2.32%2.72+7.51%0.1945✓1.66301k2022-08-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2691.24-2.29%1.364+7.49%0.1582✓1.453.8M2022-08-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25440.248716-2.23%0.318+25.00%0.0336✗1.2127k2022-08-02
ADACardanoCardano0.45550.445335-2.23%0.4966+9.02%0.1262✓1.3463.0M2022-08-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.028.8195-2.22%14.94+65.63%0.2638✗1.501.1M2022-08-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422920.413578-2.21%0.3926-7.17%0.3374✓1.632.0M2022-08-02
RADRadworksEthereum1.561.5256-2.20%2.46+57.69%0.2748✗1.16177k2022-08-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14750.144266-2.19%0.1596+8.20%0.1477✓1.42574k2022-08-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009390.009191-2.12%0.00965+2.77%0.1259✓1.006.2M2022-08-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.0827.911-2.12%9.92+22.74%0.0119✓1.3615.0M2022-08-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12330.120716-2.10%0.1716+39.17%0.1169✗1.343.0M2022-08-02
SOLSolanaSolana33.3632.6653-2.08%39.81+19.33%0.0373✓1.3492.9M2022-08-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11350.11119-2.03%0.1435+26.43%0.0763✗1.024.0M2022-08-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4790.469313-2.02%0.608+26.93%0.0077✓1.4392k2022-08-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.16360.160406-1.95%0.225+37.53%0.0994✗1.363,4882022-08-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin50.8649.9217-1.84%58.09+14.22%0.0614✓1.2118.7M2022-08-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.1613.9116-1.75%17.22+21.61%0.0339✓1.411.5M2022-08-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10270.100899-1.75%0.1155+12.46%0.0668✓1.15478k2022-08-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.02930.028795-1.72%0.025-14.68%0.2227✓0.46121k2022-08-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.09850.096841-1.68%0.1359+37.97%0.1306✗1.19583k2022-08-02
FLOWFlownative1.5471.5219-1.62%1.874+21.14%0.0071✓1.23312k2022-08-02
FISStafiEthereum0.27930.274781-1.62%0.381+36.41%0.1514✗1.008122022-08-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.23080.227393-1.48%0.2636+14.21%0.0612✓1.1978k2022-08-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00096520.000951369-1.43%0.001085+12.40%0.1060✓1.353.0M2022-08-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.424.358-1.40%6.03+36.43%0.2058✗0.68973k2022-08-02
GTGateEthereum4.10994.053-1.39%4.3491+5.82%0.0633✓0.761.2M2022-08-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6190.610539-1.37%0.774+25.04%0.0051✓1.32169k2022-08-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.216.1259-1.35%7.179+15.60%0.0725✓1.3229.0M2022-08-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2032.1743-1.30%2.716+23.29%0.0315✓1.4570k2022-08-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.542.5074-1.28%3.951+55.55%0.2545✗1.14605k2022-08-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26980.266407-1.26%0.3198+18.53%0.0361✓1.253.1M2022-08-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8432.8075-1.25%3.985+40.17%0.2065✗0.821.0M2022-08-02
XECeCashnative0.000038210.000037747-1.21%0.00004282+12.06%0.1003✓1.292.5M2022-08-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04250.042014-1.14%0.0463+8.94%0.1501✓1.4112k2022-08-02
BTTCBTTC8.00e-77.92e-7-1.05%9.70e-7+21.25%0.0556✗0.845.3M2022-08-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05910.058515-0.99%0.0612+3.55%0.2177✓1.50367k2022-08-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120610.011942-0.99%0.015628+29.57%0.1189✗0.861.6M2022-08-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1040.103063-0.90%0.1238+19.04%0.0023✓1.037,0862022-08-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,833.855,782.54-0.88%10,752.27+84.31%0.3893✗1.324.1M2022-08-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.836820.829679-0.85%0.95943+14.65%0.0968✓1.38611k2022-08-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.47720.473128-0.85%0.6132+28.50%0.0354✗1.28662k2022-08-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027620.027393-0.82%0.03144+13.83%0.1022✓1.3726k2022-08-02
BANDBandEthereum1.2911.2808-0.79%1.635+26.65%0.0198✓1.50453k2022-08-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38050.377623-0.76%0.4029+5.89%0.1870✓1.4495k2022-08-02
TRXTRONTron0.0662470.065766-0.73%0.06831+3.11%0.1192✓0.90662k2022-08-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.15.0633-0.72%8.1+58.82%0.2372✗1.33300k2022-08-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2351.2266-0.68%1.4894+20.60%0.0330✓1.29767k2022-08-02
PROPropyEthereum0.850.844274-0.67%0.76-10.59%0.2348✓0.74159k2022-08-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.47-0.67%1.57+6.08%0.2046✓1.54386k2022-08-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006740.006695-0.67%0.006716-0.36%0.1150✓0.67123k2022-08-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6260.621992-0.64%0.744+18.85%0.0075✗0.98419k2022-08-02
QNTQuantEthereum55.6955.3532-0.60%103.43+85.72%0.4545✗0.972.1M2022-08-02
STEEMSteemnative0.2090.207853-0.55%0.2502+19.71%0.0268✓1.21731k2022-08-02
XTZTezosTezos1.44641.4387-0.53%1.7139+18.49%0.0551✓1.31654k2022-08-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.198.1504-0.48%11.02+34.55%0.0890✗1.21374k2022-08-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019230.019137-0.48%0.02154+12.01%0.0593✓1.0198k2022-08-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0672160.066911-0.45%0.066529-1.02%0.2273✓1.262.0M2022-08-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.6572.6461-0.41%2.934+10.43%0.1161✓1.25907k2022-08-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006790.006766-0.35%0.00928+36.67%0.1356✗1.03412k2022-08-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09060.090294-0.34%0.1134+25.17%0.0254✓1.44762k2022-08-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.009150.009122-0.30%0.00839-8.31%0.2574✓0.991.2M2022-08-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010030.000010005-0.25%0.00001175+17.15%0.0629✓1.28952k2022-08-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.138904-0.21%0.1674+20.26%0.0499✓1.35124k2022-08-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.2385.2343-0.07%8+52.73%0.1889✗1.346.7M2022-08-02
KSMKusamaHydration49.4649.4486-0.02%60.95+23.23%0.0014✓1.20526k2022-08-02
QTUMQtumQtum2.82752.8273-0.01%3.9681+40.34%0.1344✗1.1732k2022-08-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9421.9427+0.04%2.6+33.88%0.0024✗1.68101k2022-08-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.281.2807+0.06%2.017+57.58%0.1869✓1.52170k2022-08-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.0530.053052+0.10%0.0595+12.26%0.1555✗1.54134k2022-08-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.6316.6467+0.10%22.85+37.40%0.0492✓1.5330.5M2022-08-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30940.309813+0.13%0.3267+5.59%0.1628✗1.2310.0M2022-08-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09450.094666+0.18%0.1168+23.60%0.0338✗1.393.3M2022-08-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2962750.296856+0.20%0.34061+14.96%0.0958✗1.332.5M2022-08-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8144970.816171+0.21%1.0235+25.66%0.0381✓1.0797k2022-08-02
UNIUniswapEthereum4.9124.926+0.29%8.248+67.92%0.2740✓1.385.5M2022-08-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.03251.0355+0.29%1.163+12.64%0.0868✗1.1659k2022-08-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10040.100729+0.33%0.073-27.29%0.4733✗0.86188k2022-08-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2740.274956+0.35%0.328+19.71%0.0079✗1.05713k2022-08-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.31e-73.32e-7+0.38%3.39e-7+2.49%0.1568✗1.01603k2022-08-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8446.8726+0.42%7.928+15.84%0.0809✗1.2813.1M2022-08-02
DASHDashDash42.6742.8727+0.47%48.53+13.73%0.0751✗1.13739k2022-08-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11510.115694+0.52%0.1378+19.72%0.0698✗1.4032k2022-08-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05040.050709+0.61%0.068+34.92%0.0903✓1.1696k2022-08-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,258.8019,390.13+0.68%23,023.60+19.55%0.0008✓0.9843k2022-08-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048070.048437+0.76%0.08648+79.90%0.3153✓1.511.1M2022-08-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.79540.801844+0.81%1.3359+67.95%0.2649✓1.403.7M2022-08-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22250.224353+0.83%0.2502+12.45%0.1268✗1.34236k2022-08-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026370.002664+1.04%0.003157+19.72%0.0199✗1.081.4M2022-08-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003860.003901+1.05%0.00462+19.69%0.0833✗1.44176k2022-08-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.251280.253982+1.08%0.30205+20.20%0.0525✗1.29480k2022-08-02
ZENHorizenBase13.6813.8503+1.24%17.17+25.51%0.0343✗1.4261k2022-08-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.021.033+1.27%1.36+33.33%0.0015✓1.56749k2022-08-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1090090.110584+1.44%0.115136+5.62%0.1452✗1.069.9M2022-08-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,291.3319,585.28+1.52%22,989.40+19.17%0.0151✓1.00500.8M2022-08-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058030.005896+1.62%0.006204+6.92%0.1308✗1.043,8612022-08-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.7915.0309+1.63%36.59+147.40%0.6721✓1.242.0M2022-08-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.04870.049529+1.70%0.0745+52.98%0.2714✓0.78222k2022-08-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3015.3915+1.71%8.196+54.61%0.2083✓1.202.3M2022-08-02
XMRMoneroMonero116.22118.2267+1.73%156.99+35.08%0.0787✓1.171.2M2022-08-02
STXStacksnative0.38470.391363+1.73%0.4398+14.32%0.1149✗1.32318k2022-08-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.12190.124357+2.02%0.1626+33.39%0.0229✗1.66181k2022-08-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,072.881,094.69+2.03%1,631.28+52.05%0.1943✓1.17342.2M2022-08-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0450.04592+2.04%0.0581+29.11%0.0127✓1.411.1M2022-08-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.18430.188371+2.21%0.2308+25.23%0.0531✗1.46155k2022-08-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6730.688522+2.31%0.709+5.35%0.2650✗1.68242k2022-08-02
AAVEAaveEthereum57.5758.9763+2.44%93.42+62.27%0.1701✓1.657.7M2022-08-02
MOVRMoonriverBase11.810112.1218+2.64%14.5774+23.43%0.0358✗1.26316k2022-08-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash105.93108.8006+2.71%133.77+26.28%0.0023✓1.166.0M2022-08-02
ZECZcashZcash54.4656.1315+3.07%61.49+12.91%0.1460✗1.352.0M2022-08-02
XVGVergenative0.002960.003053+3.14%0.00371+25.34%0.0486✗1.39664k2022-08-02
KCSKuCoinnative8.3048.7026+4.80%9.938+19.68%0.0661✗1.133.1M2022-08-02
NEXONEXOEthereum0.5830.612713+5.10%0.742+27.27%0.0203✓1.21952k2022-08-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07660.080606+5.23%0.0936+22.19%0.0744✗1.287,1822022-08-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017720.001879+6.05%0.001664-6.09%0.3096✗1.078,9762022-08-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48860.527667+8.00%0.5396+10.44%0.1797✗1.15173k2022-08-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.