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2022-06-28 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 180 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1031
180 of 180 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.6%
in alpha space · 37.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+17.77%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (180 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49620.534605+7.74%0.5466+10.16%0.1665✗1.15123k2022-07-28
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6210.650677+4.78%0.723+16.43%0.0922✗1.211.0M2022-07-28
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07620.079361+4.15%0.0849+11.42%0.1443✗1.297,0142022-07-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash103.04106.42+3.28%155.69+51.10%0.1920✓1.156.2M2022-07-28
XVGVergenative0.003030.003128+3.24%0.00369+21.78%0.0613✗1.38708k2022-07-28
MOVRMoonriverBase11.013111.3671+3.21%14.2863+29.72%0.0159✓1.30239k2022-07-28
KCSKuCoinnative10.18110.5051+3.18%10.343+1.59%0.1999✗1.133.1M2022-07-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6480.668133+3.11%0.749+15.59%0.1657✗1.71305k2022-07-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0026880.002768+2.97%0.001524-43.30%0.7760✗1.107,0242022-07-28
STXStacksnative0.41470.426203+2.77%0.4344+4.75%0.1974✗1.32292k2022-07-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.69510.714184+2.75%1.5448+122.24%0.5373✓1.433.7M2022-07-28
AAVEAaveEthereum60.0461.6434+2.67%100.41+67.24%0.2117✓1.698.5M2022-07-28
ZECZcashZcash58.8160.302+2.54%63.64+8.21%0.1691✗1.362.1M2022-07-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058020.005932+2.24%0.006179+6.50%0.1276✗1.033,8152022-07-28
ETHEthereumEthereum1,142.651,166.82+2.12%1,725.19+50.98%0.1982✓1.18347.1M2022-07-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19520.199329+2.12%0.2406+23.26%0.0511✗1.46176k2022-07-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05260.053695+2.08%0.0701+33.27%0.1366✓0.80241k2022-07-28
XMRMoneroMonero117.52119.8771+2.01%162.51+38.28%0.1106✓1.181.5M2022-07-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.4115.7166+1.99%40.83+164.96%0.7516✓1.242.1M2022-07-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23210.236064+1.71%0.2442+5.21%0.1877✗1.35291k2022-07-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5165.6064+1.64%5.93+7.51%0.1441✗1.222.5M2022-07-28
XLMStellarStellar0.1142370.115978+1.52%0.116688+2.15%0.1668✗1.0611.6M2022-07-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,252.8920,559.33+1.51%23,851.70+17.77%0.0150✗1.00516.9M2022-07-28
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2241.2407+1.36%1.853+51.39%0.1487✓1.54169k2022-07-28
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11880.120407+1.35%0.1306+9.93%0.1456✗1.3935k2022-07-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.133910.135658+1.31%0.16001+19.49%0.1071✗1.66217k2022-07-28
UNIUniswapEthereum4.9174.9796+1.27%9.275+88.63%0.3969✓1.385.0M2022-07-28
SCSiacoinnative0.003930.003975+1.14%0.00442+12.47%0.1310✗1.45228k2022-07-28
ZENHorizenBase13.5813.7133+0.98%18.46+35.94%0.0627✓1.4361k2022-07-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05290.053419+0.98%0.0547+3.40%0.2092✗1.421.3M2022-07-28
UOSUltraEthereum0.2680.27057+0.96%0.32569+21.53%0.0260✗1.29479k2022-07-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028930.002919+0.90%0.003107+7.40%0.1138✗1.081.9M2022-07-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.287483+0.87%0.304+6.67%0.1126✗1.03768k2022-07-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,284.1020,446.59+0.80%23,875.30+17.70%0.0056✓0.9846k2022-07-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.008760.008821+0.70%0.00895+2.17%0.1454✗0.981.3M2022-07-28
SUSHISushiEthereum1.091.0976+0.70%1.57+44.04%0.1035✓1.56912k2022-07-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4725.5099+0.69%7.265+32.77%0.0551✓1.3511.0M2022-07-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3174440.319462+0.64%0.330968+4.26%0.1840✗1.342.6M2022-07-28
NANOnanopayBase0.8109350.815678+0.58%0.996543+22.89%0.0218✓1.09105k2022-07-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0659430.066302+0.54%0.069104+4.79%0.1674✗1.282.0M2022-07-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000009950.000010001+0.52%0.00001185+19.10%0.0397✗1.28952k2022-07-28
KSMKusamaHydration50.2650.4914+0.46%65.44+30.20%0.0647✓1.19813k2022-07-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00089080.000894166+0.38%0.001098+23.23%0.0210✗1.382.7M2022-07-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006690.006713+0.34%0.01146+71.30%0.3681✓1.02424k2022-07-28
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.050480.050622+0.28%0.07211+42.85%0.1045✓1.521.2M2022-07-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.14261.1456+0.27%1.1356-0.61%0.1970✗1.1553k2022-07-28
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.70e-73.71e-7+0.26%3.64e-7-1.85%0.1870✗1.01714k2022-07-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3017.3197+0.26%7.856+7.60%0.1384✗1.2813.5M2022-07-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068930.00691+0.25%0.006901+0.12%0.1141✗0.69134k2022-07-28
GALAGALAEthereum0.05630.056408+0.19%0.0532-5.51%0.3114✗1.55145k2022-07-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31240.312998+0.19%0.3363+7.65%0.1278✗1.2212.0M2022-07-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.14340.143608+0.15%0.1498+4.46%0.1794✗1.36149k2022-07-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09990.099999+0.10%0.1148+14.91%0.0882✗1.383.9M2022-07-28
DASHDashDash46.2746.2666-0.01%52.48+13.42%0.0612✓1.14752k2022-07-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,637.115,636.11-0.02%9,140.60+62.15%0.2637✗1.344.0M2022-07-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0118040.011801-0.02%0.015429+30.71%0.1271✗0.861.7M2022-07-28
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9571.9562-0.04%2.858+46.04%0.1051✗1.68103k2022-07-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.4882-0.12%1.59+6.71%0.1851✓1.54433k2022-07-28
QTUMQtumQtum2.88472.8805-0.15%4.4845+55.46%0.2512✗1.1738k2022-07-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38740.386692-0.18%0.431+11.25%0.1283✓1.45115k2022-07-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.0818.045-0.19%24.23+34.02%0.0484✗1.5132.6M2022-07-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.028430.028365-0.23%0.02993+5.28%0.1671✓1.3523k2022-07-28
XTZTezosTezos1.51321.5096-0.24%1.7166+13.44%0.0865✓1.31672k2022-07-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10080.100552-0.25%0.1216+20.63%0.0193✗1.046,7622022-07-28
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05560.055442-0.28%0.0655+17.81%0.0293✓1.20114k2022-07-28
UMAUMAEthereum2.5912.5835-0.29%2.864+10.54%0.1025✓1.26969k2022-07-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.09710.096801-0.31%0.106+9.17%0.1488✓1.47885k2022-07-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.125.099-0.41%8.22+60.55%0.2574✗1.35380k2022-07-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.512.4967-0.53%3.724+48.37%0.2137✗1.14636k2022-07-28
BANDBandEthereum1.3671.3587-0.61%1.756+28.46%0.0111✗1.50514k2022-07-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060331-0.61%0.0629+3.62%0.2039✓1.50403k2022-07-28
QNTQuantEthereum57.657.2409-0.62%103.78+80.17%0.4359✗0.971.9M2022-07-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23230.230821-0.64%0.3014+29.75%0.0655✗1.2329k2022-07-28
TRXTRONTron0.0657550.06533-0.65%0.069762+6.09%0.0795✓0.89736k2022-07-28
COMPCompoundEthereum46.6546.3438-0.66%57.97+24.27%0.0235✓1.5128k2022-07-28
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3480.345604-0.69%0.5+43.68%0.1734✗1.2012k2022-07-28
PROPropyEthereum0.890.883774-0.70%0.8-10.11%0.2204✓0.74158k2022-07-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020250.020108-0.70%0.02099+3.65%0.1236✓1.02115k2022-07-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos7.347.2869-0.72%10.858+47.93%0.1740✗1.3714.5M2022-07-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3036.2511-0.82%7.22+14.55%0.0710✓1.3140.5M2022-07-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12860.127449-0.89%0.0836-34.99%0.5617✓0.86215k2022-07-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.078.9887-0.90%12.01+32.41%0.0918✗1.21398k2022-07-28
XECeCashnative0.000039380.000039014-0.93%0.00004428+12.44%0.0811✓1.272.6M2022-07-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10180.100824-0.96%0.117+14.93%0.0451✓1.19515k2022-07-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.279.179-0.98%17.43+88.03%0.4756✗1.01230k2022-07-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.8592.8308-0.99%3.498+22.35%0.0833✗0.781.1M2022-07-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.10240.101349-1.03%0.1207+17.87%0.0188✓1.18608k2022-07-28
XEMNEMnative0.0403520.039934-1.04%0.049289+22.15%0.0059✓1.2525k2022-07-28
MANADecentralandEthereum0.887570.878231-1.05%0.98039+10.46%0.1148✓1.37713k2022-07-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15020.148583-1.08%0.1645+9.52%0.1272✓1.40730k2022-07-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27510.271631-1.26%0.3136+13.99%0.0610✓1.253.5M2022-07-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53060.523801-1.28%0.5764+8.63%0.1142✓1.28662k2022-07-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.33931.3213-1.34%1.5+12.00%0.0849✓1.29928k2022-07-28
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6560.646904-1.39%0.753+14.79%0.0687✓1.35228k2022-07-28
STEEMSteemnative0.2190.215959-1.39%0.2505+14.38%0.0512✓1.22780k2022-07-28
GTGateEthereum4.17154.106-1.57%4.2964+2.99%0.0797✓0.761.2M2022-07-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009360.00921-1.61%0.00923-1.39%0.1579✓0.986.7M2022-07-28
DODODODOEthereum0.12080.118799-1.66%0.1638+35.60%0.0977✗1.373.8M2022-07-28
GLMGolemEthereum0.24060.236532-1.69%0.2547+5.86%0.1211✓1.1987k2022-07-28
SGBSongbirdnative0.03110.030556-1.75%0.0252-18.97%0.2677✓0.46128k2022-07-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04660.04575-1.82%0.0443-4.94%0.2674✓1.4413k2022-07-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin52.6551.6761-1.85%63.43+20.47%0.0068✓1.2118.3M2022-07-28
FLOWFlownative1.6081.5777-1.88%1.876+16.67%0.0272✓1.23332k2022-07-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.634.5422-1.90%5.36+15.77%0.0541✗0.681.2M2022-07-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.3651.3384-1.95%2.407+76.34%0.3445✗1.4882k2022-07-28
ADACardanoCardano0.4690.459763-1.97%0.5129+9.36%0.1109✓1.3576.9M2022-07-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.818.6314-2.03%15.1+71.40%0.3119✗1.511.3M2022-07-28
BTTCBTTC9.20e-79.01e-7-2.06%9.50e-7+3.26%0.0848✓0.845.3M2022-07-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.5810.3599-2.08%18.56+75.43%0.3200✗1.61446k2022-07-28
SOLSolanaSolana35.334.5648-2.08%42.93+21.61%0.0034✓1.35101.1M2022-07-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.2914.9603-2.16%17.18+12.36%0.0916✓1.411.9M2022-07-28
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86350.8444-2.21%0.9528+10.34%0.1337✓1.562.8M2022-07-28
XVSVenusEthereum4.684.5678-2.40%5.6+19.66%0.0512✓1.561.4M2022-07-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.8551.8096-2.45%2.3099+24.53%0.0288✗1.3269k2022-07-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.72.6327-2.49%2.87+6.30%0.1850✓1.66301k2022-07-28
FTTFTXEthereum25.6324.9892-2.50%30.24+17.99%0.0343✗0.9610.8M2022-07-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.811.7644-2.52%2.3202+28.19%0.1312✗0.871.7M2022-07-28
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7720.752234-2.56%0.884+14.51%0.0191✓0.871.7M2022-07-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.740.720798-2.59%0.773+4.46%0.0909✓0.98471k2022-07-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04340.042274-2.59%0.04319-0.48%0.1501✓1.053,1732022-07-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.75015.5982-2.64%5.3229-7.43%0.0874✓0.23235k2022-07-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.72510.70567-2.68%0.9416+29.86%0.0499✗1.46190k2022-07-28
WOOWOOEthereum0.18880.183639-2.73%0.1986+5.19%0.1453✓1.374,3732022-07-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5310.516415-2.75%0.612+15.25%0.0622✓1.42109k2022-07-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3081.272-2.75%1.374+5.05%0.1573✓1.434.3M2022-07-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.0726-2.84%9.02+44.32%0.3123✗0.511.2M2022-07-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV57.13655.4714-2.91%63.13+10.49%0.0099✓0.851.2M2022-07-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4632.3895-2.98%2.634+6.94%0.0593✓0.96154k2022-07-28
DIADIAEthereum0.373050.361859-3.00%0.44641+19.66%0.0947✗0.71132k2022-07-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0151240.014668-3.02%0.020938+38.44%0.2684✗0.53501k2022-07-28
XYMSymbolnative0.0525990.051009-3.02%0.055041+4.64%0.0334✓0.6732k2022-07-28
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.53392.457-3.04%2.5021-1.25%0.1620✓1.102.2M2022-07-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12640.12251-3.08%0.1359+7.52%0.0602✓1.004.0M2022-07-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.83.6798-3.16%3.991+5.03%0.0309✓0.693.0M2022-07-28
RADRadworksEthereum1.761.7039-3.19%2.79+58.52%0.3016✗1.17222k2022-07-28
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0811.0453-3.30%1.357+25.53%0.0762✗1.131.6M2022-07-28
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19920.192465-3.38%0.2192+10.04%0.0335✓1.004,1902022-07-28
BORABORAKlay Token0.308240.297783-3.39%0.31751+3.01%0.1706✓1.447,2232022-07-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.36950.35632-3.57%0.40886+10.65%0.0797✓1.33138k2022-07-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019950.019232-3.60%0.01883-5.61%0.1540✓0.81369k2022-07-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.20522.1248-3.65%2.4295+10.17%0.0070✓0.862.1M2022-07-28
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023430.022574-3.66%0.0273+16.52%0.1019✓1.7935.3M2022-07-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048740.04694-3.69%0.04744-2.67%0.1475✓0.9711k2022-07-28
APEApeCoinEthereum4.8974.7143-3.73%6.924+41.39%0.0865✗1.8216.9M2022-07-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.933.7831-3.74%4.77+21.37%0.1241✗0.661.2M2022-07-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.495080.476494-3.75%0.42547-14.06%0.3844✓1.662.4M2022-07-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.062.9422-3.85%4.3+40.52%0.2587✗0.741.1M2022-07-28
FISStafiEthereum0.36070.346796-3.85%0.4352+20.65%0.0635✗1.001,2942022-07-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021480.020636-3.93%0.021876+1.84%0.1204✓1.092,4642022-07-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786910.755838-3.95%1.1173+41.99%0.2537✗0.848462022-07-28
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064180.061614-4.00%0.07534+17.39%0.0376✓1.001,6002022-07-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04480.042959-4.11%0.0524+16.96%0.0322✓1.41272k2022-07-28
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47460.454929-4.14%0.4994+5.23%0.0703✓1.00107k2022-07-28
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.293.153-4.16%3.27-0.61%0.1271✓1.00159k2022-07-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.705525-4.23%0.978+32.75%0.1498✗1.083.5M2022-07-28
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7172.6005-4.29%2.783+2.43%0.1713✓1.4683k2022-07-28
API3Api3Ethereum1.6571.585-4.34%1.828+10.32%0.0829✓1.38953k2022-07-28
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026840.025658-4.40%0.03057+13.90%0.0116✓1.002,7622022-07-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.643.4729-4.59%5.27+44.78%0.3111✗0.651.3M2022-07-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10120.096532-4.61%0.0846-16.40%0.3621✓1.41179k2022-07-28
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81330.775266-4.68%0.9764+20.05%0.0577✗1.0665k2022-07-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2710.258195-4.73%0.216-20.30%0.4524✓1.681.3M2022-07-28
GMTGMTEthereum0.8760.832623-4.95%1.012+15.53%0.1048✓1.831.2M2022-07-28
CBKCobakEthereum0.989380.938125-5.18%1.044+5.53%0.0880✓1.196,1032022-07-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43730.414261-5.27%0.4654+6.43%0.1563✓1.67212k2022-07-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.0552.8766-5.84%4.116+34.73%0.2600✗0.603.1M2022-07-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4882.3426-5.84%4.135+66.20%0.2675✗1.843.0M2022-07-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0392.8613-5.85%3.357+10.46%0.0502✓0.675.2M2022-07-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062350.058601-6.01%0.08406+34.82%0.1320✗1.4060k2022-07-28
FORTFortaEthereum0.22020.206758-6.10%0.2951+34.01%0.1922✗1.00835k2022-07-28
AVTAventusEthereum1.571.4634-6.79%1.58+0.64%0.0138✓0.38637k2022-07-28
GITCOINGITCOIN2.71582.5307-6.82%2.8436+4.71%0.1717✓1.7615k2022-07-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04230.039333-7.01%0.0387-8.51%0.2335✓1.33192k2022-07-28
OPTIMOptimism0.5290.489224-7.52%1.448+173.72%0.9216✗1.003.4M2022-07-28
STORJStorjEthereum0.750960.689639-8.17%0.67138-10.60%0.2999✓1.6795k2022-07-28
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.148860.136403-8.37%0.18356+23.31%0.1334✗1.008412022-07-28
HIVEHivenative0.62130.566327-8.85%0.5527-11.04%0.2384✓1.311.2M2022-07-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9890.880579-10.96%0.845-14.56%0.3695✓2.0131.2M2022-07-28
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6470.574068-11.27%0.846+30.76%0.1298✗1.583,0312022-07-28
LUNATerraTerra 20.000107910.000087678-18.75%0.00010026-7.09%0.1779✓1.91969k2022-07-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.