8=======>

2022-06-19 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 178 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1531
176 of 178 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.2%
in alpha space · 55.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (178 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.510.545679+7.00%0.5294+3.80%0.1800✗1.1672k2022-07-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.420.445146+5.99%1.058+151.90%0.7340✓1.0263k2022-07-19
UNIUniswapEthereum4.1844.4147+5.51%7.347+75.60%0.3330✓1.363.6M2022-07-19
COMPCompoundEthereum31.833.4291+5.12%61.04+91.95%0.4123✓1.4627k2022-07-19
STXStacksnative0.35450.370532+4.52%0.4479+26.35%0.0202✓1.31203k2022-07-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6540.682958+4.43%0.76+16.21%0.1105✗1.68303k2022-07-19
XVGVergenative0.002790.002907+4.19%0.00384+37.63%0.0988✓1.39650k2022-07-19
AAVEAaveEthereum53.9756.0479+3.85%95.68+77.28%0.3202✓1.667.6M2022-07-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.17210.178702+3.84%0.2349+36.49%0.0852✓1.45191k2022-07-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.6450.669628+3.82%1.2469+93.32%0.4421✓1.394.0M2022-07-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05470.056756+3.76%0.0861+57.40%0.3140✓0.79326k2022-07-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00000820.00000849+3.54%0.00001217+48.41%0.2038✓1.21802k2022-07-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11090.114737+3.46%0.1363+22.90%0.0058✓1.3749k2022-07-19
MOVRMoonriverBase11.350211.7324+3.37%14.2261+25.34%0.0237✓1.30194k2022-07-19
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.708738+3.31%0.743+8.31%0.1051✗1.18977k2022-07-19
KCSKuCoinnative10.62510.9695+3.24%10.25-3.53%0.2134✗1.125.0M2022-07-19
XMRMoneroMonero114.45118.0315+3.13%146.65+28.13%0.0690✓1.141.8M2022-07-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative15.3515.8107+3.00%25.31+64.89%0.3040✓1.292.1M2022-07-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20890.215138+2.99%0.2547+21.92%0.0067✓1.35446k2022-07-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.485.6345+2.82%6.047+10.35%0.0951✗1.282.5M2022-07-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,126.901,157.95+2.76%1,542.63+36.89%0.1378✓1.15388.8M2022-07-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08070.082874+2.69%0.0883+9.42%0.1084✗1.336,0992022-07-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash120.39123.6292+2.69%128.38+6.64%0.1129✗1.164.5M2022-07-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.00270.002771+2.63%0.003197+18.41%0.0033✓1.082.1M2022-07-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2670.273838+2.56%0.32+19.85%0.0244✓1.01823k2022-07-19
DASHDashDash44.2445.3278+2.46%50.17+13.40%0.0418✗1.11810k2022-07-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,552.4421,035.16+2.35%23,395.06+13.83%0.0232✓1.00582.4M2022-07-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2640850.270064+2.26%0.332219+25.80%0.0298✓1.372.4M2022-07-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060780.006215+2.25%0.006062-0.27%0.1575✗1.022,7662022-07-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.17040.174172+2.21%0.2147+26.00%0.0417✓1.293,4882022-07-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0603160.061636+2.19%0.069027+14.44%0.0519✗1.271.3M2022-07-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,740.284,842.57+2.16%6,761.83+42.65%0.1674✓1.283.7M2022-07-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1146080.117061+2.14%0.118529+3.42%0.1243✗1.0611.6M2022-07-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007470.000762602+2.09%0.001151+54.15%0.2368✓1.352.2M2022-07-19
ZECZcashZcash67.4168.8075+2.07%64.8-3.87%0.2337✗1.343.1M2022-07-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.597.7429+2.02%9.72+28.06%0.0756✓1.17429k2022-07-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064560.006583+1.97%0.007383+14.36%0.0169✓0.76145k2022-07-19
LSKLiskEthereum0.9937991.0132+1.96%1.1438+15.10%0.0290✗1.1653k2022-07-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15150.154462+1.96%0.1743+15.05%0.0600✗1.40917k2022-07-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.1516.4491+1.85%24.73+53.13%0.2228✓1.4342.7M2022-07-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.254950.259527+1.80%0.35354+38.67%0.1439✓1.28466k2022-07-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.1330.13537+1.78%0.1547+16.32%0.0404✗1.34163k2022-07-19
SCSiacoinnative0.00370.003764+1.74%0.00448+21.08%0.0159✓1.47240k2022-07-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.15450.157176+1.73%0.14563-5.74%0.2898✗1.65246k2022-07-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.28e-73.33e-7+1.69%3.78e-7+15.19%0.0039✓0.93800k2022-07-19
ZENHorizenBase13.8814.1114+1.67%18.04+29.97%0.0631✓1.4155k2022-07-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,529.0020,862.22+1.62%23,393.10+13.95%0.0127✓0.9836k2022-07-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2421.262+1.61%1.693+36.31%0.1007✓1.49223k2022-07-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0027660.002811+1.61%–pending––1.084,6932022-07-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.485.5678+1.60%7.359+34.29%0.1021✓1.3711.1M2022-07-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05090.051711+1.59%0.0558+9.63%0.1044✗1.391.7M2022-07-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.051.0665+1.57%1.42+35.24%0.0838✓1.56985k2022-07-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.090595+1.56%0.1113+24.78%0.0174✓1.451.1M2022-07-19
NANOnanopayBase0.782290.79398+1.49%0.969504+23.93%0.0609✓1.07120k2022-07-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05270.053475+1.47%0.0752+42.69%0.1881✓1.18152k2022-07-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.008940.009064+1.39%0.00946+5.82%0.0888✗1.021.4M2022-07-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09320.094476+1.37%0.1202+28.97%0.0926✓1.14642k2022-07-19
XTZTezosTezos1.38781.4046+1.21%1.7452+25.75%0.0495✓1.29914k2022-07-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.544.5914+1.13%6.12+34.80%0.1230✓1.27400k2022-07-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.4249+1.06%1.62+14.89%0.0672✗1.51574k2022-07-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006660.006726+1.00%0.00714+7.21%0.0715✗1.01482k2022-07-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7691.7864+0.98%2.804+58.51%0.2470✓1.5792k2022-07-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.058.129+0.98%14.73+82.98%0.4695✓0.96244k2022-07-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5217.5859+0.86%7.794+3.63%0.1398✗1.2913.9M2022-07-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2970.299537+0.85%0.4385+47.64%0.1855✓1.51275k2022-07-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.572.5901+0.78%3.183+23.85%0.0629✓1.11624k2022-07-19
HIVEHivenative0.37320.375705+0.67%0.4814+28.99%0.0720✓1.361.2M2022-07-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027740.027925+0.67%0.03152+13.63%0.0536✗1.3519k2022-07-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3660.368428+0.66%0.4514+23.33%0.0159✓1.44132k2022-07-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31420.316269+0.66%0.372+18.40%0.0076✓1.1913.5M2022-07-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.7656.8003+0.52%10.524+55.57%0.2663✓1.3213.7M2022-07-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.05630.056593+0.52%0.0582+3.37%0.1672✗1.51141k2022-07-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5790.58162+0.45%0.737+27.29%0.1069✓1.00349k2022-07-19
TRXTRONTron0.0612750.061526+0.41%0.069162+12.87%0.0013✓0.891.0M2022-07-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019570.01965+0.41%0.0215+9.86%0.0423✗1.02129k2022-07-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10280.103218+0.41%0.1147+11.58%0.0709✗1.364.6M2022-07-19
STEEMSteemnative0.20010.200912+0.41%0.2258+12.84%0.0444✗1.24669k2022-07-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0123250.012375+0.40%0.018119+47.01%0.2713✓0.852.0M2022-07-19
MANADecentralandEthereum0.826380.829544+0.38%1.0012+21.15%0.0139✓1.34695k2022-07-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3340.335177+0.35%0.523+56.59%0.2892✓1.2016k2022-07-19
KSMKusamaHydration50.8751.0476+0.35%63.01+23.86%0.0570✓1.19940k2022-07-19
QTUMQtumQtum2.72952.7385+0.33%3.243+18.81%0.0183✓1.1639k2022-07-19
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2092.216+0.32%2.442+10.55%0.0891✗1.4488k2022-07-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06150.061649+0.24%0.0745+21.14%0.0058✗1.51431k2022-07-19
UMAUMAEthereum2.4742.4791+0.21%2.853+15.32%0.0181✗1.221.0M2022-07-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.04770.04779+0.19%0.06017+26.14%0.0336✓1.521.5M2022-07-19
QNTQuantEthereum53.7353.8306+0.19%106.99+99.13%0.5625✓0.961.9M2022-07-19
BTTCBTTC7.90e-77.91e-7+0.17%9.20e-7+16.46%0.0392✓0.865.3M2022-07-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.511.5122+0.14%1.85+22.52%0.0533✓1.15270k2022-07-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.09340.093463+0.07%0.117+25.27%0.0676✓1.21691k2022-07-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10140.101452+0.05%0.1236+21.89%0.0645✓1.035,8092022-07-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.22110.221156+0.03%0.2573+16.37%0.0007✓1.1693k2022-07-19
BANDBandEthereum1.3831.3833+0.02%1.619+17.06%0.0369✗1.50407k2022-07-19
XEMNEMnative0.039850.039847-0.01%0.052329+31.31%0.1099✗1.2626k2022-07-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4390.438802-0.05%0.625+42.37%0.1730✗1.39108k2022-07-19
XECeCashnative0.000037590.000037529-0.16%0.00004344+15.56%0.0194✓1.282.7M2022-07-19
FLOWFlownative1.3741.3718-0.16%1.92+39.74%0.1870✗1.15457k2022-07-19
DIADIAEthereum0.382090.381441-0.17%0.45034+17.86%0.0740✗0.71240k2022-07-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07820.078049-0.19%0.0953+21.87%0.0140✗1.43281k2022-07-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.3410.3095-0.30%16.88+63.25%0.2827✗1.62322k2022-07-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.5926.5722-0.30%7.258+10.10%0.0698✓1.3141.5M2022-07-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27320.272346-0.31%0.3086+12.96%0.0367✓1.255.0M2022-07-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6260.623607-0.38%0.788+25.88%0.0601✗1.34506k2022-07-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03540.035262-0.39%0.0518+46.33%0.2089✗1.36334k2022-07-19
PROPropyEthereum0.890.886279-0.42%0.81-8.99%0.1875✓0.75183k2022-07-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.2554.0183-0.43%57.91+6.75%0.0851✓1.1917.5M2022-07-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12190.12137-0.43%0.0935-23.30%0.3846✓0.96246k2022-07-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.0922.0809-0.53%2.971+42.02%0.1203✗1.822.4M2022-07-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.372.3574-0.53%2.7+13.92%0.0721✓1.60301k2022-07-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02810.027948-0.54%0.0399+41.99%0.1912✗1.27206k2022-07-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7780.773674-0.56%1.038+33.42%0.0944✗1.543.3M2022-07-19
SOLSolanaSolana34.1533.9338-0.63%44.88+31.42%0.1103✗1.31101.4M2022-07-19
SGBSongbirdnative0.02980.029608-0.65%0.0261-12.42%0.1876✓0.48131k2022-07-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.882.8588-0.73%3.347+16.22%0.0519✗0.821.5M2022-07-19
APEApeCoinEthereum4.1254.0943-0.74%6.082+47.44%0.1616✗1.8115.8M2022-07-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.7813.6744-0.77%16.84+22.21%0.0264✗1.401.8M2022-07-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.04680.046424-0.80%0.06343+35.53%0.1368✗1.3570k2022-07-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.2561.2458-0.81%2.114+68.31%0.3338✗1.5173k2022-07-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016650.016512-0.83%0.0191+14.71%0.0431✗0.79430k2022-07-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.540.535334-0.86%0.5689+5.35%0.1017✓1.25751k2022-07-19
GTGateEthereum3.96043.9247-0.90%4.2358+6.95%0.0193✓0.741.7M2022-07-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24260.240378-0.92%0.2598+7.09%0.0824✓1.2431k2022-07-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.324.2786-0.96%5.52+27.78%0.0500✗1.581.4M2022-07-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.31451.3013-1.01%1.5189+15.55%0.0064✓1.241.2M2022-07-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11670.115317-1.18%0.1355+16.11%0.0322✗1.003.6M2022-07-19
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8550.843975-1.29%1.423+66.43%0.3929✗1.001.5M2022-07-19
DODODODOEthereum0.11990.118166-1.45%0.1668+39.12%0.1645✗1.394.4M2022-07-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81011.7832-1.48%2.0147+11.30%0.0461✓1.3061k2022-07-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04680.046105-1.48%0.0465-0.64%0.1779✓1.4414k2022-07-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.291050.286598-1.53%0.32256+10.83%0.0639✓1.419,0962022-07-19
ADACardanoCardano0.4840.476361-1.58%0.5151+6.43%0.0979✓1.3676.9M2022-07-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.294.222-1.59%5+16.55%0.0813✗0.681.4M2022-07-19
FTTFTXEthereum25.0624.6589-1.60%29.12+16.20%0.0452✗0.9310.1M2022-07-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040750.040057-1.70%–pending––1.072,6002022-07-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009890.009711-1.81%0.00995+0.61%0.0970✓0.949.7M2022-07-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3660.359357-1.82%0.869+137.43%0.6835✗1.543,1292022-07-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17935.0839-1.84%5.333+2.97%0.0171✓0.24226k2022-07-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.776790.76229-1.87%1.0077+29.72%0.1719✗0.839712022-07-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.666619-1.97%1.0065+48.01%0.2281✗1.42195k2022-07-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04620.045283-1.99%0.04895+5.95%0.0487✓0.9814k2022-07-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.528790.517492-2.14%0.71319+34.87%0.1319✗1.4664k2022-07-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0147820.014457-2.20%0.016982+14.88%0.0786✗0.64469k2022-07-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75521.7157-2.25%2.1461+22.27%0.1100✗0.882.5M2022-07-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.337080.329357-2.29%0.4271+26.71%0.0945✗1.28110k2022-07-19
XYMSymbolnative0.0507010.049528-2.31%0.054862+8.21%0.0173✓0.6664k2022-07-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.3981.3623-2.55%2.003+43.28%0.2154✗1.31932k2022-07-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.012.9319-2.59%4.01+33.22%0.2145✗0.761.4M2022-07-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.4532.3882-2.64%2.5891+5.55%0.0549✓1.052.8M2022-07-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.810.787493-2.78%0.834+2.96%0.0522✓0.851.9M2022-07-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.918.6618-2.79%10.96+23.01%0.0414✗1.502.2M2022-07-19
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.052430.050961-2.80%0.07728+47.40%0.2868✗1.001,5802022-07-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.261.2238-2.87%1.41+11.90%0.0443✓1.443.8M2022-07-19
GMTGMTEthereum0.7490.727466-2.88%1.054+40.72%0.1395✗1.791.5M2022-07-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4762.4018-3.00%2.565+3.59%0.0576✓0.95111k2022-07-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.296.089-3.20%6.98+10.97%0.0718✗0.501.8M2022-07-19
CBKCobakEthereum0.868770.840705-3.23%1.0895+25.40%0.1018✗1.226,0082022-07-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5143.396-3.36%3.967+12.89%0.0679✗0.684.9M2022-07-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212440.020521-3.40%0.022948+8.02%0.0314✓1.119,2332022-07-19
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17140.165376-3.51%0.2131+24.33%0.1240✗1.002,3532022-07-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.13532.0583-3.61%2.3765+11.30%0.0327✓0.862.6M2022-07-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31762.2323-3.68%2.6913+16.12%0.0351✓1.7115k2022-07-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana43.8498-3.75%4.48+12.00%0.0644✗0.671.3M2022-07-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.553.4147-3.81%4.08+14.93%0.0979✗0.621.9M2022-07-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.52020.49801-4.27%0.47488-8.71%0.2675✓1.703.5M2022-07-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7022.584-4.37%3.918+45.00%0.3409✗0.584.3M2022-07-19
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.493.3369-4.39%3.74+7.16%0.0155✓1.00327k2022-07-19
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49440.471949-4.54%0.5523+11.71%0.0277✓1.00117k2022-07-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.2757.4992-4.60%58.051-3.68%0.1015✓0.861.3M2022-07-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.75680.721268-4.70%0.838+10.73%0.0034✓1.132.8M2022-07-19
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023850.022691-4.86%0.02916+22.26%0.1213✗1.003,2752022-07-19
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.145080.137744-5.06%0.19056+31.35%0.1950✗1.001,0532022-07-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.00006110.000057949-5.16%0.00010632+74.01%0.3347✗2.101.6M2022-07-19
OPTIMOptimism0.5080.480706-5.37%0.721+41.93%0.2758✗1.006.2M2022-07-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9992.8219-5.91%3.197+6.60%0.0342✓0.704.9M2022-07-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2610.245516-5.93%0.227-13.03%0.2849✓1.591.2M2022-07-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.027080.025422-6.12%0.02588-4.43%0.2147✓1.7940.8M2022-07-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8170.734744-10.07%0.821+0.49%0.1390✓1.9329.5M2022-07-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.881.6825-10.51%1.58-15.96%0.1181✓0.43185k2022-07-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.