8=======>

2022-06-17 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 173 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1900
171 of 173 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.75%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
60.8%
in alpha space · 65.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (173 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8880.826643-6.91%0.776-12.61%0.0971✓2.0329.5M2022-07-17
OPTIMOptimism0.5180.488802-5.64%0.582+12.36%0.1578✗1.006.4M2022-07-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8492.7173-4.62%3.597+26.25%0.2711✗0.564.3M2022-07-17
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49930.476959-4.47%0.4817-3.52%0.0068✓1.00161k2022-07-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1332.9935-4.45%3.087-1.47%0.0188✓0.724.9M2022-07-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.683.551-3.51%3.91+6.25%0.0862✗0.611.9M2022-07-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.553520.534923-3.36%0.44441-19.71%0.2155✓1.803.6M2022-07-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6193.5025-3.22%3.872+6.99%0.0889✗0.686.3M2022-07-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.341.2977-3.15%1.244-7.16%0.0674✓1.504.9M2022-07-17
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4497-2.70%1.64+10.07%0.1119✗0.69166k2022-07-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0153930.014977-2.70%0.017915+16.38%0.1691✗0.60469k2022-07-17
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058530.000056996-2.62%0.0001015+73.42%0.5409✗2.171.6M2022-07-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72370.705258-2.55%0.8024+10.87%0.1092✗1.192.8M2022-07-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.14592.0989-2.19%2.2375+4.27%0.0489✗0.903.1M2022-07-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.338270.330863-2.19%0.38262+13.11%0.1237✗1.30105k2022-07-17
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.056120.054968-2.05%0.0772+37.56%0.3230✗1.001,5532022-07-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.0554.9513-2.05%5.2307+3.48%0.0508✗0.24226k2022-07-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.240.235098-2.04%0.203-15.42%0.1740✓1.631.2M2022-07-17
GITCOINGITCOIN2.41652.3686-1.98%2.5474+5.42%0.0433✗1.7717k2022-07-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021960.021536-1.93%0.02299+4.69%0.0331✗1.9340.1M2022-07-17
PROPropyEthereum0.90.886199-1.53%0.81-10.00%0.1024✓0.75186k2022-07-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.7411.7156-1.46%2.043+17.35%0.1596✗0.912.8M2022-07-17
ADACardanoCardano0.48680.479736-1.45%0.4477-8.03%0.0926✓1.4171.0M2022-07-17
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7610.750098-1.43%0.777+2.10%0.0195✗0.941.7M2022-07-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.256.1625-1.40%6.82+9.12%0.0928✗0.512.0M2022-07-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.43253.6771-1.39%53.662-1.41%0.0150✓0.891.2M2022-07-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.123.0777-1.36%3.47+11.22%0.1066✗0.801.5M2022-07-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10660.105174-1.34%0.1096+2.81%0.0233✗1.085,8092022-07-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046570.045988-1.25%0.04502-3.33%0.0384✓1.0315k2022-07-17
CBKCobakEthereum0.870460.860699-1.12%0.9894+13.66%0.1186✗1.246,0082022-07-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.0110.8881-1.11%17.39+57.95%0.4402✗1.68322k2022-07-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197880.01957-1.10%0.021277+7.52%0.0636✗1.208,7652022-07-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.640.635083-0.77%0.9377+46.52%0.3654✗1.46182k2022-07-17
XYMSymbolnative0.0504990.050148-0.70%0.051428+1.84%0.0138✗0.6965k2022-07-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.06130.060903-0.65%0.071+15.82%0.1274✗1.56409k2022-07-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.963.9349-0.63%4.32+9.09%0.0817✗0.701.5M2022-07-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.850350.845398-0.58%0.78631-7.53%0.0862✓0.828792022-07-17
XVSVenusEthereum4.164.1424-0.42%5.15+23.80%0.1897✗1.681.6M2022-07-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.248.2098-0.37%9.37+13.71%0.1042✗1.682.4M2022-07-17
UMAUMAEthereum2.6492.6404-0.32%2.624-0.94%0.0271✓1.251.1M2022-07-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.37691.3734-0.25%1.3548-1.61%0.0350✓1.281.5M2022-07-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.114.1014-0.21%4.78+16.30%0.1409✗0.731.4M2022-07-17
FLOWFlownative1.3921.3891-0.21%1.564+12.36%0.1019✗1.00541k2022-07-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.922.9155-0.15%3.223+10.38%0.0860✗0.861.8M2022-07-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.293090.292753-0.11%0.28874-1.48%0.0387✓1.5012k2022-07-17
API3Api3Ethereum1.2761.2749-0.09%1.778+39.34%0.3074✗1.51891k2022-07-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009130.009124-0.07%0.0091-0.33%0.0189✓0.9711.3M2022-07-17
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3460.345831-0.05%0.511+47.69%0.3711✗1.1616k2022-07-17
TRXTRONTron0.05980.059795-0.01%0.067437+12.77%0.1039✗0.98887k2022-07-17
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8570.857003+0.00%1.182+37.92%0.3048✓1.001.5M2022-07-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.22070.220812+0.05%0.2371+7.43%0.0516✓1.17100k2022-07-17
MANADecentralandEthereum0.838280.8389+0.07%0.83755-0.09%0.0249✗1.39725k2022-07-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12140.121544+0.12%0.1168-3.79%0.0565✗1.003.3M2022-07-17
DODODODOEthereum0.12440.124547+0.12%0.1532+23.15%0.1833✓1.434.4M2022-07-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04620.046268+0.15%0.0416-9.96%0.1322✗1.5516k2022-07-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045990.046066+0.17%0.06269+36.31%0.2857✓1.3470k2022-07-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017770.017807+0.21%0.01857+4.50%0.0303✓0.70608k2022-07-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4410.442097+0.25%0.497+12.70%0.0929✓1.45108k2022-07-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2660.266965+0.36%0.273+2.63%0.0011✓1.285.1M2022-07-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13040.1309+0.38%0.0943-27.68%0.3448✗1.01255k2022-07-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3850.386522+0.40%0.64+66.23%0.4782✓1.563,5232022-07-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.712.7209+0.40%3.268+20.59%0.1645✓1.12663k2022-07-17
STEEMSteemnative0.20110.202005+0.45%0.2123+5.57%0.0289✓1.25656k2022-07-17
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7590.762647+0.48%0.9124+20.21%0.1529✓1.583.3M2022-07-17
QTUMQtumQtum2.7442.7574+0.49%2.9505+7.53%0.0478✓1.1939k2022-07-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.310.311556+0.50%0.3365+8.55%0.0563✓1.2414.4M2022-07-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86111.8706+0.51%1.8014-3.21%0.0601✗1.3455k2022-07-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06150.061845+0.56%0.0706+14.80%0.1125✓1.19147k2022-07-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04010.040327+0.57%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.43362.4486+0.62%2.5042+2.90%0.0042✓1.102.9M2022-07-17
GMTGMTEthereum0.6160.619937+0.64%0.896+45.45%0.3386✓1.781.6M2022-07-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0120480.012131+0.69%0.012404+2.95%0.0077✓0.872.0M2022-07-17
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047790.04813+0.71%0.05194+8.68%0.0495✓1.601.6M2022-07-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4132.4318+0.78%2.355-2.40%0.0488✗1.0075k2022-07-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.784.8202+0.84%5.95+24.48%0.1881✓1.35400k2022-07-17
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.3845+0.91%1.382+0.73%0.0279✗1.56407k2022-07-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.05680.057319+0.91%0.0507-10.74%0.1492✗1.59142k2022-07-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.590.595625+0.95%0.644+9.15%0.0609✓1.03365k2022-07-17
XTZTezosTezos1.38791.4017+1.00%1.5731+13.34%0.0933✓1.32914k2022-07-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.027023+1.02%0.02736+2.28%0.0105✗1.3719k2022-07-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3566.4245+1.08%6.345-0.17%0.0345✗1.3241.5M2022-07-17
XEMNEMnative0.0398990.040348+1.12%0.040555+1.64%0.0168✗1.3226k2022-07-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09240.093485+1.17%0.1105+19.59%0.1477✓1.17686k2022-07-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02040.02064+1.18%0.02009-1.52%0.0451✗1.08137k2022-07-17
QNTQuantEthereum46.5647.1155+1.19%98.86+112.33%0.7243✓1.011.9M2022-07-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.8414.0088+1.22%14.51+4.84%0.0108✓1.462.2M2022-07-17
RADRadworksEthereum1.551.5691+1.23%1.71+10.32%0.0661✓1.19270k2022-07-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,457.0020,710.38+1.24%21,043.20+2.87%0.0006✓0.9929k2022-07-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008160.000008261+1.24%0.0000107+31.13%0.2378✓1.25813k2022-07-17
FTTFTXEthereum24.3524.6589+1.27%27.61+13.39%0.0976✓0.929.9M2022-07-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02820.028559+1.27%0.0363+28.72%0.2177✓1.33197k2022-07-17
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6110.61886+1.29%0.667+9.17%0.0518✓1.38531k2022-07-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.080.081046+1.31%0.0857+7.13%0.0323✓1.41334k2022-07-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0382.0649+1.32%2.171+6.53%0.0247✓1.5288k2022-07-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.3274+1.32%1.46+11.45%0.0682✓1.62596k2022-07-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21320.216052+1.34%0.2316+8.63%0.0461✓1.41462k2022-07-17
APEApeCoinEthereum3.7413.7924+1.37%4.969+32.83%0.2387✓1.8915.8M2022-07-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0520.052716+1.38%0.0505-2.88%0.0673✗1.461.7M2022-07-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.09430.095605+1.38%0.1055+11.88%0.0779✓1.24803k2022-07-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.008970.009094+1.39%0.00892-0.56%0.0368✗1.051.4M2022-07-17
SOLSolanaSolana30.6931.1171+1.39%38.63+25.87%0.1927✓1.41109.1M2022-07-17
LSKLiskEthereum0.987831.0019+1.42%1.0511+6.40%0.0280✓1.1949k2022-07-17
DIADIAEthereum0.385560.39112+1.44%0.43709+13.36%0.0996✓0.69256k2022-07-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.34e-73.39e-7+1.46%3.57e-7+6.90%0.0376✓0.88951k2022-07-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1118030.113445+1.47%0.106625-4.63%0.0802✗1.0911.1M2022-07-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14860.15081+1.49%0.1663+11.91%0.0736✓1.45917k2022-07-17
NANOnanopayBase0.8083990.820884+1.54%0.90356+11.77%0.0773✓1.12119k2022-07-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0060550.006149+1.55%0.005648-6.73%0.1027✗1.062,5622022-07-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.1310.133046+1.56%0.1386+5.80%0.0178✓1.38166k2022-07-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006710.006817+1.60%0.00645-3.87%0.0726✗1.03540k2022-07-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.038.1587+1.60%14.48+80.32%0.5567✓1.02267k2022-07-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3760.38208+1.62%0.3774+0.37%0.0373✗1.50146k2022-07-17
DASHDashDash43.5344.2681+1.70%45.92+5.49%0.0178✓1.13810k2022-07-17
STORJStorjEthereum0.472670.480691+1.70%0.66332+40.33%0.2986✓1.4163k2022-07-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05860.059603+1.71%0.054-7.85%0.1119✗0.79313k2022-07-17
ZECZcashZcash62.5263.615+1.75%59.43-4.94%0.0906✗1.353.3M2022-07-17
HIVEHivenative0.36270.369076+1.76%0.4404+21.42%0.1529✓1.431.1M2022-07-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2697.3972+1.76%6.919-4.81%0.0894✗1.3513.8M2022-07-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1661.187+1.80%2.018+73.07%0.5058✓1.4979k2022-07-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2678790.272745+1.82%0.294596+9.97%0.0535✓1.412.4M2022-07-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.362.404+1.86%2.52+6.78%0.0195✓1.66311k2022-07-17
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07990.081428+1.91%0.0796-0.38%0.0459✗1.394,6642022-07-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.2910.29676+1.98%0.3946+35.60%0.2590✓1.56376k2022-07-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03570.036418+2.01%0.0496+38.94%0.2855✓1.41364k2022-07-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4375.5472+2.03%7.225+32.89%0.2405✓1.4211.1M2022-07-17
SUSHISushiEthereum1.011.0307+2.05%1.4+38.61%0.2798✓1.591.1M2022-07-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5050.515481+2.08%0.5072+0.44%0.0384✗1.33767k2022-07-17
COMPCompoundEthereum32.8333.5148+2.09%54.86+67.10%0.4682✓1.4726k2022-07-17
GTGateEthereum3.95984.0432+2.11%4.0915+3.33%0.0004✓0.691.7M2022-07-17
KSMKusamaHydration48.9750.0039+2.11%54.43+11.15%0.0639✓1.25986k2022-07-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09840.100506+2.14%0.0979-0.51%0.0507✗1.475.0M2022-07-17
MOVRMoonriverBase11.624911.8802+2.20%13.2428+13.92%0.0865✓1.32194k2022-07-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0568770.058136+2.21%0.062984+10.74%0.0589✓1.271.3M2022-07-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069450.007099+2.22%0.006838-1.54%0.0501✗0.76167k2022-07-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0007770.000794536+2.26%0.0009901+27.43%0.1971✓1.382.0M2022-07-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.091244+2.29%0.1027+15.13%0.0931✓1.511.1M2022-07-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.23780.24363+2.45%0.2537+6.69%0.0195✓1.2631k2022-07-17
KCSKuCoinnative11.09611.3769+2.53%9.07-18.26%0.2447✗1.085.0M2022-07-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.7151.7586+2.54%2.653+54.69%0.3823✓1.732.4M2022-07-17
XECeCashnative0.000037960.000038933+2.56%0.00004004+5.48%0.0058✓1.332.8M2022-07-17
STXStacksnative0.38170.391563+2.58%0.3859+1.10%0.0368✗1.33195k2022-07-17
ZENHorizenBase14.0814.4448+2.59%16.55+17.54%0.1115✓1.4755k2022-07-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.3736.5385+2.60%8.915+39.89%0.2877✓1.3413.7M2022-07-17
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6460.663253+2.67%0.602-6.81%0.1165✗1.18977k2022-07-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin47.5548.8332+2.70%55.74+17.22%0.1122✓1.2117.5M2022-07-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.3714.764+2.74%19.22+33.75%0.2423✓1.292.1M2022-07-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash121.36124.7532+2.80%109.99-9.37%0.1462✗1.214.5M2022-07-17
BTTCBTTC7.60e-77.82e-7+2.86%9.00e-7+18.42%0.1261✓0.885.3M2022-07-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.14920.153465+2.86%0.1784+19.57%0.1302✓1.223,2772022-07-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002750.002829+2.87%0.002791+1.49%0.0324✗1.132.1M2022-07-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.128620.13232+2.88%0.13279+3.24%0.0232✓1.60246k2022-07-17
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7271.777+2.89%2.164+25.30%0.1706✓1.5992k2022-07-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,447.8621,046.80+2.93%20,791.74+1.68%0.0289✗1.00582.4M2022-07-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3335.4952+3.04%5.689+6.68%0.0125✓1.332.5M2022-07-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche15.9816.4701+3.07%20.62+29.04%0.2003✓1.4649.3M2022-07-17
ETHEthereumEthereum1,085.761,119.63+3.12%1,338.20+23.25%0.1595✓1.13386.3M2022-07-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.263340.271608+3.14%0.32185+22.22%0.1484✓1.28453k2022-07-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2831.3233+3.14%1.537+19.80%0.1236✓1.57223k2022-07-17
SCSiacoinnative0.003540.003653+3.19%0.00394+11.30%0.0502✓1.53239k2022-07-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11180.115383+3.20%0.126+12.70%0.0643✓1.4250k2022-07-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum7.727.9716+3.26%9.05+17.23%0.1070✓1.19468k2022-07-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,789.564,946.80+3.28%6,069.87+26.73%0.1829✓1.303.6M2022-07-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16440.169977+3.39%0.2071+25.97%0.1729✓1.48191k2022-07-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.560.5792+3.43%0.4787-14.52%0.2100✗1.1771k2022-07-17
XVGVergenative0.002910.003013+3.55%0.00353+21.31%0.1337✓1.47645k2022-07-17
XMRMoneroMonero114.16118.3179+3.64%135.99+19.12%0.1202✓1.141.7M2022-07-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0029040.003014+3.79%–pending––1.104,6932022-07-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.660.687051+4.10%1.0786+63.42%0.4279✓1.394.6M2022-07-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6970.726937+4.30%0.621-10.90%0.1863✗1.73303k2022-07-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2660.277467+4.31%0.282+6.02%0.0017✓1.08847k2022-07-17
AAVEAaveEthereum57.3159.8105+4.36%88.27+54.02%0.3612✓1.687.6M2022-07-17
UNIUniswapEthereum3.9314.1093+4.54%6.943+76.62%0.5019✓1.363.3M2022-07-17
ORCAOrcaSolana0.490.513579+4.81%0.8755+78.67%0.5136✓1.1956k2022-07-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.