8=======>

2022-06-13 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2048
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.54%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.9%
in alpha space · 53.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9410.827281-12.08%0.765-18.70%0.1352✗2.0312.5M2022-07-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.611.4624-9.17%1.55-3.73%0.1284✗0.67166k2022-07-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2863.0292-7.81%3.371+2.59%0.1653✗0.564.5M2022-07-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2252.9859-7.41%2.862-11.26%0.0361✓0.753.9M2022-07-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.173.8684-7.23%3.55-14.87%0.0302✓0.531.9M2022-07-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4581.3723-5.88%1.197-17.90%0.0201✓1.495.1M2022-07-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06470.061041-5.66%0.06699+3.54%0.1981✗1.001,7292022-07-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.796.4365-5.21%6.14-9.57%0.0048✓0.492.0M2022-07-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000060430.000057311-5.16%0.00009497+57.16%0.7617✗2.441.8M2022-07-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.1490.141365-5.12%0.1121-24.77%0.1303✓0.973.2M2022-07-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3353.1654-5.08%3.661+9.78%0.2257✗0.766.4M2022-07-13
OPTIMOptimism0.5450.518498-4.86%0.475-12.84%0.0175✓1.006.8M2022-07-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.23.9974-4.82%3.94-6.19%0.0616✗0.721.7M2022-07-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.523.351-4.80%3.11-11.65%0.0064✓0.771.7M2022-07-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.04260.994453-4.62%0.72057-30.89%0.2385✓0.809702022-07-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.06891.9796-4.32%2.0881+0.93%0.1550✗0.973.1M2022-07-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.450730.431952-4.17%0.44497-1.28%0.2381✗1.983.5M2022-07-13
DODODODOEthereum0.1360.130913-3.74%0.1331-2.13%0.1693✗1.453.8M2022-07-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.72111.6623-3.42%1.7477+1.55%0.1513✗0.963.2M2022-07-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4142.3352-3.27%2.185-9.49%0.0384✗1.0063k2022-07-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.08212.0154-3.21%2.1876+5.07%0.2782✗1.8715k2022-07-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.182977-3.19%0.209+10.58%0.3112✗1.701.1M2022-07-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.544.3959-3.17%4.44-2.20%0.0865✗0.731.6M2022-07-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.809710.784199-3.15%0.94752+17.02%0.3233✗1.285,7412022-07-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.680.658756-3.12%0.8573+26.07%0.4160✗1.45198k2022-07-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30885.1511-2.97%5.28-0.54%0.0552✗0.29235k2022-07-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.019670.019122-2.79%0.01775-9.76%0.0022✓0.69646k2022-07-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3132.2506-2.70%2.2724-1.76%0.1296✗1.143.0M2022-07-13
GTGateEthereum4.24454.1336-2.61%3.9594-6.72%0.0270✗0.672.1M2022-07-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.037.8304-2.49%8.87+10.46%0.3007✗1.682.7M2022-07-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0480.046829-2.44%0.0426-11.25%0.0666✗1.5323k2022-07-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7760.757189-2.42%0.781+0.64%0.1371✗1.011.7M2022-07-13
XYMSymbolnative0.04860.047466-2.33%0.050805+4.54%0.1446✗0.7357k2022-07-13
FLOWFlownative1.5861.5499-2.28%1.511-4.73%0.0797✗1.00608k2022-07-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009710.009493-2.24%0.00939-3.30%0.1071✗1.1213.3M2022-07-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043290.042341-2.19%0.04367+0.88%0.1491✗1.1214k2022-07-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.8530.834986-2.11%1.169+37.05%0.4416✗1.001.5M2022-07-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.007630.007478-2.00%0.005549-27.28%0.1884✓1.052,4432022-07-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.0923.0315-1.96%2.799-9.48%0.0122✓0.881.8M2022-07-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.048970.048085-1.81%0.04954+1.16%0.2001✗1.621.9M2022-07-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23961.2172-1.81%1.2847+3.64%0.1858✗1.251.7M2022-07-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.88461.8507-1.80%1.7394-7.71%0.0801✗1.3558k2022-07-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum11.7111.5129-1.68%16.45+40.48%0.5355✗1.70284k2022-07-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003310.003255-1.65%–pending––1.194,6932022-07-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13350.131342-1.62%0.0903-32.36%0.2724✓0.97258k2022-07-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.3920.385685-1.61%0.647+65.05%0.6868✗1.614,2732022-07-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037240.036662-1.55%–pending––1.102,9602022-07-13
TRXTRONTron0.0637010.062728-1.53%0.066231+3.97%0.1543✗0.95715k2022-07-13
PROPropyEthereum0.90.886767-1.47%0.82-8.89%0.0024✓0.77186k2022-07-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV46.67746.0316-1.38%51.858+11.10%0.2130✗0.891.2M2022-07-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56490.55802-1.22%0.8034+42.22%0.4898✗1.192.8M2022-07-13
FTTFTXEthereum24.5124.2143-1.21%25+2.00%0.1279✗0.919.1M2022-07-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03580.035368-1.21%0.0457+27.65%0.4065✗1.43383k2022-07-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46360.458128-1.18%0.4382-5.48%0.1039✗1.4152.0M2022-07-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.1491.1363-1.10%1.75+52.31%0.5833✗1.44826k2022-07-13
XECeCashnative0.000038270.000037881-1.02%0.00003864+0.97%0.1611✗1.343.0M2022-07-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4913.3613-0.95%13.37-0.89%0.1529✗1.452.3M2022-07-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6620.655724-0.95%0.655-1.06%0.1462✗1.40578k2022-07-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.284930.282299-0.92%0.38474+35.03%0.4418✗1.26105k2022-07-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0182580.018101-0.86%0.020208+10.68%0.2394✗1.239,7572022-07-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0129610.01285-0.85%0.017797+37.31%0.3798✗0.52375k2022-07-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.22050.218709-0.81%0.2391+8.44%0.2273✗1.3131k2022-07-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.045620.045267-0.77%0.05517+20.93%0.3417✗1.3760k2022-07-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.77622.7549-0.77%2.7241-1.88%0.1142✗1.1933k2022-07-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.5910.586493-0.76%0.885+49.75%0.6021✗1.811.8M2022-07-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4470.443779-0.72%0.484+8.28%0.2411✗1.47116k2022-07-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.1451.1369-0.71%1.798+57.03%0.6145✗1.4973k2022-07-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.018290.018168-0.67%0.02366+29.36%0.4647✗1.9137.4M2022-07-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08330.082744-0.67%0.0863+3.60%0.1957✗1.46402k2022-07-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8081.7977-0.57%2.1+16.15%0.3204✗1.5797k2022-07-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5990.59599-0.50%0.594-0.83%0.1098✗1.08365k2022-07-13
APEApeCoinEthereum3.4853.4676-0.50%4.58+31.42%0.4794✗1.9117.0M2022-07-13
BTTCBTTC8.10e-78.06e-7-0.50%8.40e-7+3.70%0.1353✗0.895.5M2022-07-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.1070.106528-0.44%0.0741-30.75%0.2231✓1.334,0262022-07-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008280.000824536-0.42%0.0009324+12.61%0.2680✗1.381.8M2022-07-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.257190.256371-0.32%0.28736+11.73%0.2701✗1.4811k2022-07-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10660.106317-0.27%0.0938-12.01%0.0282✗1.465.4M2022-07-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.09450.094261-0.25%0.1019+7.83%0.2073✗1.23795k2022-07-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.05990.059775-0.21%0.0488-18.53%0.0353✓1.59141k2022-07-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.70.698592-0.20%0.8829+26.13%0.4045✗1.622.7M2022-07-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09910.098916-0.19%0.1028+3.73%0.1552✗1.117,2892022-07-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,471.7022,434.18-0.17%20,219.90-10.02%0.0002✓0.9929k2022-07-13
XVSVenusEthereum3.883.8743-0.15%5.07+30.67%0.4468✗1.691.5M2022-07-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25740.257033-0.14%0.2657+3.22%0.1667✗1.276.2M2022-07-13
KSMKusamaHydration46.0846.019-0.13%49.06+6.47%0.1920✗1.221.0M2022-07-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.4930.492366-0.13%0.4944+0.28%0.1515✗1.40886k2022-07-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.02910.029081-0.07%0.036+23.71%0.3561✗1.36247k2022-07-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum1.9121.912-0.00%2.515+31.54%0.4629✗1.803.0M2022-07-13
QNTQuantEthereum49.6649.6801+0.04%84.78+70.72%0.6377✓0.982.0M2022-07-13
STEEMSteemnative0.18350.183642+0.08%0.2049+11.66%0.2471✓1.31585k2022-07-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3010.301259+0.09%0.3891+29.27%0.4351✓1.71496k2022-07-13
RADRadworksEthereum1.521.5219+0.13%1.62+6.58%0.1923✓1.24270k2022-07-13
SOLSolanaSolana28.5828.6209+0.14%34.94+22.25%0.3451✓1.39104.0M2022-07-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.1948+0.22%2.2+0.46%0.1878✓1.76294k2022-07-13
HIVEHivenative0.35840.359203+0.22%0.4221+17.77%0.3132✓1.451.1M2022-07-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3320.332757+0.23%0.376+13.25%0.2468✓1.1915k2022-07-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37650.377397+0.24%0.3692-1.94%0.1388✓1.53160k2022-07-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.534.5421+0.27%5.49+21.19%0.3409✓1.44411k2022-07-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum8.148.1711+0.38%14.62+79.61%0.6923✓1.05283k2022-07-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2551.2598+0.38%1.417+12.91%0.2977✓1.71236k2022-07-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.752.7607+0.39%2.789+1.42%0.1271✓1.11686k2022-07-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.012810.012861+0.40%0.011938-6.81%0.0221✓0.922.0M2022-07-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum5.9175.9412+0.41%6.172+4.31%0.1764✓1.3237.2M2022-07-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2520410.253099+0.42%0.283091+12.32%0.2656✓1.462.3M2022-07-13
NANOnanopayBase0.8458840.849745+0.46%0.863212+2.05%0.1418✓1.20120k2022-07-13
BANDBandEthereum1.3181.3241+0.46%1.285-2.50%0.1345✓1.56342k2022-07-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.828490.832846+0.53%0.81417-1.73%0.1236✓1.39789k2022-07-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7780.782335+0.56%0.606-22.11%0.1362✗1.131.0M2022-07-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.19920.200357+0.58%0.2356+18.27%0.2878✓1.2087k2022-07-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos6.4956.5327+0.58%8.218+26.53%0.3680✓1.3215.2M2022-07-13
XEMNEMnative0.0390060.039275+0.69%0.038841-0.42%0.1299✓1.3431k2022-07-13
ZENHorizenBase14.1214.218+0.69%15.29+8.29%0.2251✓1.4565k2022-07-13
XMRMoneroMonero132.56133.5128+0.72%124.11-6.37%0.0459✓1.131.7M2022-07-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.258220.260282+0.80%0.29183+13.02%0.2548✓1.34453k2022-07-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026567+0.82%0.02673+1.44%0.1509✓1.3817k2022-07-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05080.051277+0.94%0.0428-15.75%0.0238✗1.491.6M2022-07-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05610.056629+0.94%0.0719+28.16%0.3719✓1.27153k2022-07-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0422.0613+0.95%2.139+4.75%0.1922✓1.48126k2022-07-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.018830.019018+1.00%0.01912+1.54%0.1229✓1.12151k2022-07-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30390.306941+1.00%0.3097+1.91%0.1373✓1.2214.4M2022-07-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006320.006384+1.02%0.00629-0.47%0.0984✓1.08607k2022-07-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003590.003627+1.03%0.0039+8.64%0.2355✓1.55213k2022-07-13
XTZTezosTezos1.40081.4155+1.05%1.5191+8.45%0.2099✓1.33914k2022-07-13
DIADIAEthereum0.380090.38426+1.10%0.39062+2.77%0.0866✓0.67271k2022-07-13
SUSHISushiEthereum0.970.980961+1.13%1.24+27.84%0.4010✓1.591.1M2022-07-13
UMAUMAEthereum1.9972.0201+1.16%2.535+26.94%0.3667✓1.331.1M2022-07-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.58e-73.62e-7+1.18%3.58e-7+0.16%0.0820✓0.881.1M2022-07-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9390690.950267+1.19%1.014+7.98%0.1948✓1.2448k2022-07-13
MOVRMoonriverBase14.648714.826+1.21%11.9814-18.21%0.0707✗1.35222k2022-07-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum4,951.675,012.92+1.24%5,907.64+19.31%0.2986✓1.283.6M2022-07-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche16.0916.2893+1.24%18.81+16.90%0.2990✓1.4849.3M2022-07-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.368.4646+1.25%8.12-2.87%0.0804✓1.16502k2022-07-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.007330.007424+1.28%0.006749-7.93%0.0111✓0.80153k2022-07-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.009050.009167+1.29%0.00888-1.88%0.0793✓1.061.5M2022-07-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8580.86924+1.31%0.603-29.72%0.1733✗1.83319k2022-07-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.3072+1.33%1.38+6.98%0.2265✓1.64574k2022-07-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,460.9722,765.00+1.35%20,220.23-9.98%0.0134✗1.00582.4M2022-07-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.0327.131+1.41%6.464-8.08%0.0383✓1.3013.5M2022-07-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.09140.092753+1.48%0.1027+12.36%0.2264✓1.18733k2022-07-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.09260.093972+1.48%0.0868-6.26%0.0814✓1.531.2M2022-07-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin43.4544.0989+1.49%49.5+13.92%0.2405✓1.1917.5M2022-07-13
KCSKuCoinnative11.70611.8902+1.57%8.937-23.65%0.1694✗1.105.3M2022-07-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002850.002896+1.63%0.002746-3.65%0.0678✓1.152.1M2022-07-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132590.134788+1.66%0.12248-7.63%0.0773✓1.65260k2022-07-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash126.93129.0444+1.67%102.54-19.22%0.1053✗1.194.4M2022-07-13
ZECZcashZcash65.4866.5764+1.67%54.92-16.13%0.0475✗1.383.6M2022-07-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.05190.052783+1.70%0.0614+18.30%0.2996✓1.41405k2022-07-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,207.821,228.55+1.72%1,114.26-7.75%0.0192✓1.11344.3M2022-07-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0541720.055177+1.86%0.061838+14.15%0.2445✓1.241.3M2022-07-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16110.16424+1.95%0.1458-9.50%0.0329✓1.45805k2022-07-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.12720.129773+2.02%0.1355+6.53%0.1929✓1.42169k2022-07-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.60.612378+2.06%0.7812+30.20%0.3589✓1.1060k2022-07-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.06677+2.09%0.0503-23.09%0.2006✗0.79299k2022-07-13
AAVEAaveEthereum59.7461.0089+2.12%79.78+33.55%0.4474✓1.707.6M2022-07-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.371680.37958+2.13%0.63818+71.70%0.6819✓1.5461k2022-07-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2560.261657+2.21%0.282+10.16%0.1913✓1.11847k2022-07-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum5.4425.5625+2.21%6.493+19.31%0.3048✓1.4310.6M2022-07-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.16070.16432+2.25%0.1823+13.44%0.2614✓1.50196k2022-07-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.7180.735577+2.45%1.0482+45.99%0.5009✓1.405.1M2022-07-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.880.901852+2.48%0.4603-47.69%0.5559✗1.1168k2022-07-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.1950.200042+2.59%0.2274+16.62%0.2761✓1.41432k2022-07-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1067610.109582+2.64%0.105275-1.39%0.0739✓1.0810.3M2022-07-13
XVGVergenative0.003030.003118+2.90%0.0034+12.21%0.2391✓1.45628k2022-07-13
DASHDashDash42.5943.8528+2.96%42.39-0.47%0.0857✓1.14837k2022-07-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.3295.4881+2.99%5.295-0.64%0.1052✓1.342.5M2022-07-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000008020.000008274+3.16%0.00001053+31.30%0.3741✓1.26850k2022-07-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.414.8696+3.26%14.41+0.07%0.1045✓1.292.6M2022-07-13
STXStacksnative0.3470.359115+3.49%0.3774+8.76%0.1907✓1.34165k2022-07-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.10130.105106+3.76%0.127+25.37%0.3415✓1.4549k2022-07-13
COMPCompoundEthereum35.7337.2216+4.17%48.39+35.43%0.4157✓1.4630k2022-07-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.13050.136117+4.30%0.1644+25.98%0.3138✓1.192,3482022-07-13
UNIUniswapEthereum3.6623.8962+6.40%6.118+67.07%0.5907✓1.332.7M2022-07-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.