8=======>

2022-06-09 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 172 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1064
170 of 172 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.0%
in alpha space · 60.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (172 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010560.000011146+5.55%0.00001161+9.94%0.5357✓1.49861k2022-07-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.17170.181078+5.46%0.1984+15.55%0.6270✓1.612,3482022-07-09
UNIUniswapEthereum5.1995.4347+4.53%6.448+24.02%0.6696✓1.502.6M2022-07-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,472.657,782.04+4.14%6,497.21-13.05%0.2546✓1.313.8M2022-07-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.3996.657+4.03%6.962+8.80%0.6397✓1.7910.9M2022-07-09
XVGVergenative0.004320.004482+3.74%0.00344-20.37%0.2849✓1.66705k2022-07-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8612.9511+3.15%2.386-16.60%0.3690✓1.75227k2022-07-09
MOVRMoonriverBase20.157820.77+3.04%13.0012-35.50%0.0635✓1.60229k2022-07-09
COMPCompoundEthereum55.3957.0334+2.97%55.57+0.32%0.4981✓1.5829k2022-07-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008510.008756+2.89%0.0069-18.92%0.0593✓0.90184k2022-07-09
KSMKusamaHydration66.3968.2435+2.79%53.1-20.02%0.1954✓1.341.1M2022-07-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.821.8663+2.55%1.57-13.74%0.4841✓1.98603k2022-07-09
STXStacksnative0.53780.551248+2.50%0.4146-22.91%0.1780✓1.39165k2022-07-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.7768.9834+2.36%8.98+2.32%0.5137✓1.5515.2M2022-07-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.4124.9745+2.31%19.9-18.48%0.3407✓1.7152.5M2022-07-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1461.1717+2.25%1.0142-11.50%0.3358✓1.455.2M2022-07-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2289.4348+2.24%7.249-21.45%0.2564✓1.5713.5M2022-07-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.971280.992185+2.15%0.90639-6.68%0.5315✓1.87838k2022-07-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008720.008904+2.11%0.00711-18.46%0.1685✓1.19698k2022-07-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.07590.077434+2.02%0.0554-27.01%0.3551✓2.08142k2022-07-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.9863.0454+1.99%2.709-9.28%0.3648✓1.451.3M2022-07-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash175.48178.899+1.95%111.36-36.54%0.0503✗1.284.5M2022-07-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4550.463583+1.89%0.419-7.91%0.5381✓1.93627k2022-07-09
QNTQuantEthereum63.1264.3071+1.88%85+34.66%0.6846✓1.222.1M2022-07-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.28180.286604+1.70%0.2464-12.56%0.3425✓1.49330k2022-07-09
SOLSolanaSolana39.9340.5992+1.68%38.08-4.63%0.4770✓1.63112.7M2022-07-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0712.2711+1.67%9.5-21.29%0.1687✓1.28536k2022-07-09
ZECZcashZcash92.1193.6094+1.63%61.21-33.55%0.0489✓1.434.0M2022-07-09
SCSiacoinnative0.005350.005434+1.56%0.00415-22.43%0.3151✓1.76239k2022-07-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.2247.3338+1.52%5.796-19.77%0.2952✓1.602.6M2022-07-09
AAVEAaveEthereum95.7297.1457+1.49%82.06-14.27%0.4483✓1.868.2M2022-07-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.011120.011283+1.47%0.00913-17.90%0.1842✓1.191.5M2022-07-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.392760.397823+1.29%0.432+9.99%0.5701✓1.47111k2022-07-09
DASHDashDash57.6658.4023+1.29%47.79-17.12%0.2405✓1.33862k2022-07-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3560.360196+1.18%0.284-20.22%0.1816✓1.26932k2022-07-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.027140.027425+1.05%0.02113-22.14%0.0965✓1.08156k2022-07-09
NANOnanopayBase1.16511.1773+1.05%0.911727-21.74%0.2025✓1.38144k2022-07-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190430.192405+1.04%0.13272-30.31%0.2517✓1.88276k2022-07-09
KCSKuCoinnative15.98916.1516+1.02%9.637-39.73%0.1574✗1.086.5M2022-07-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14770.149105+0.95%0.1055-28.57%0.2440✓1.786.0M2022-07-09
XVSVenusEthereum4.995.0367+0.94%5.25+5.21%0.7103✓2.021.6M2022-07-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1398290.141046+0.87%0.112651-19.44%0.1741✓1.2010.7M2022-07-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004210.004246+0.86%0.002932-30.36%0.0442✓1.252.1M2022-07-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.40410.407546+0.85%0.3214-20.47%0.2390✓1.4414.6M2022-07-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,787.551,802.76+0.85%1,216.78-31.93%0.0253✗1.11340.5M2022-07-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8290.835488+0.78%0.698-15.80%0.4279✓1.83604k2022-07-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.321.3297+0.73%0.5055-61.70%0.5829✗1.1671k2022-07-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068970.069469+0.72%0.06088-11.73%0.3119✓1.3463k2022-07-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7211.7312+0.59%2.127+23.59%0.7788✓1.7376k2022-07-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34630.348318+0.58%0.2888-16.60%0.3031✓1.486.3M2022-07-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative21.1421.2528+0.53%15.85-25.02%0.1621✓1.372.7M2022-07-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2691.2748+0.46%0.689-45.71%0.0883✓2.12369k2022-07-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.560830.562721+0.34%0.73272+30.65%0.8312✓1.7163k2022-07-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08950.089772+0.30%0.0531-40.67%0.2917✗0.70313k2022-07-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1760.3376+0.28%54.05-10.17%0.3349✓1.3417.9M2022-07-09
XEMNEMnative0.0498610.04997+0.22%0.042082-15.60%0.3608✓1.6045k2022-07-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07340.073555+0.21%0.0498-32.15%0.2152✓1.821.7M2022-07-09
BTTCBTTC0.000001050.000001051+0.11%9.10e-7-13.33%0.1599✓0.926.4M2022-07-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12530.125415+0.09%0.1126-10.14%0.3242✓1.309,7902022-07-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.18170.181843+0.08%0.1509-16.95%0.3392✓1.58183k2022-07-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.15580.155918+0.08%0.1463-6.10%0.4603✓1.5855k2022-07-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0147860.014788+0.01%0.013118-11.28%0.2908✓1.242.1M2022-07-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin30,079.6230,078.16-0.00%21,583.99-28.24%0.0000✓1.00602.3M2022-07-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.62160.621269-0.05%0.8009+28.84%0.7449✗1.482.9M2022-07-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.34971.3488-0.07%1.1215-16.91%0.2506✗1.3149k2022-07-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.29750.297279-0.07%0.2028-31.83%0.0680✗1.36268k2022-07-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.51150.511009-0.10%0.4062-20.59%0.3664✗1.80159k2022-07-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03820.03814-0.16%0.0414+8.38%0.6359✗1.67269k2022-07-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.373340.37267-0.18%0.29022-22.26%0.2543✗1.52493k2022-07-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3819.3342-0.24%15.14-21.88%0.3268✗1.722.6M2022-07-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.99e-74.98e-7-0.27%4.00e-7-19.84%0.1062✗0.98877k2022-07-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.13130.130897-0.31%0.0966-26.43%0.2838✗1.771.2M2022-07-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6220.619929-0.33%0.557-10.45%0.4574✗1.70123k2022-07-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.723.7076-0.33%2.89-22.31%0.1199✗1.11686k2022-07-09
DIADIAEthereum0.511060.509351-0.33%0.46426-9.16%0.1297✗0.67240k2022-07-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.03590.035754-0.41%0.0299-16.71%0.0709✓0.33138k2022-07-09
ZENHorizenBase19.0618.9759-0.44%16.88-11.44%0.4602✗1.7472k2022-07-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8010.797429-0.45%0.695-13.23%0.2659✗1.22372k2022-07-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02060.020508-0.45%0.0242+17.48%1.0026✗2.5238.7M2022-07-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.11950.118963-0.45%0.1031-13.72%0.3568✗1.51913k2022-07-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.163.1404-0.62%2.65-16.14%0.5221✗2.08294k2022-07-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037780.037535-0.65%0.03017-20.14%0.3007✗1.5618k2022-07-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.611.5234-0.66%16.66+43.62%0.7271✗1.08289k2022-07-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12780.126954-0.66%0.1143-10.56%0.3446✗1.35842k2022-07-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.8912.798-0.71%16.36+26.92%0.9313✗2.07252k2022-07-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.80.794252-0.72%0.8089+1.11%0.4171✗1.2070k2022-07-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.42725.3846-0.79%5.6963+4.96%0.1649✗0.33265k2022-07-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.0272.999-0.92%2.527-16.52%0.1942✗1.1072k2022-07-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0159690.015816-0.96%0.016422+2.84%0.2998✗0.79268k2022-07-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum30,087.8029,797.86-0.96%21,554.30-28.36%0.0003✓0.9752k2022-07-09
BANDBandEthereum2.0131.9932-0.98%1.472-26.88%0.2824✗1.76342k2022-07-09
HIVEHivenative0.54430.538649-1.04%0.4878-10.38%0.3951✗1.491.6M2022-07-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.9093.8653-1.12%3.029-22.51%0.1958✗1.3239k2022-07-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4729-1.15%1.24-16.78%0.4153✗1.771.3M2022-07-09
XTZTezosTezos2.2232.197-1.17%1.6244-26.93%0.1565✗1.38928k2022-07-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.22620.223143-1.35%0.1604-29.09%0.1931✗1.58696k2022-07-09
FTTFTXEthereum28.5428.1501-1.37%27.13-4.94%0.2974✗1.019.6M2022-07-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum9.269.1159-1.56%6.48-30.02%0.1635✗1.5232.1M2022-07-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0792810.078027-1.58%0.069494-12.35%0.3108✗1.291.5M2022-07-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.15440.151854-1.65%0.082-46.89%0.0356✓1.753,4822022-07-09
XECeCashnative0.000051540.000050581-1.86%0.00004162-19.25%0.3228✗1.563.3M2022-07-09
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8490.833101-1.87%0.851+0.24%0.4370✗1.251.9M2022-07-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.86454.8153-1.88%57.018+2.07%0.3898✗1.061.1M2022-07-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6740.661319-1.88%0.5198-22.88%0.3526✗1.79886k2022-07-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.17310.169556-2.05%0.0968-44.08%0.2241✓1.01278k2022-07-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14790.144853-2.06%0.1265-14.47%0.4425✗1.743.5M2022-07-09
XMRMoneroMonero185.9181.9891-2.10%127.29-31.53%0.0233✗1.152.1M2022-07-09
ADACardanoCardano0.63210.617193-2.36%0.4777-24.43%0.2897✗1.6449.8M2022-07-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.10210.099506-2.54%0.0932-8.72%0.5748✗1.93445k2022-07-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum76.81-2.71%5.97-14.71%0.3926✗1.58427k2022-07-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.29650.288383-2.74%0.2526-14.81%0.3096✗1.33105k2022-07-09
GTGateEthereum5.49955.3382-2.93%3.9463-28.24%0.1046✓0.593.4M2022-07-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.07662.9781-3.20%2.4475-20.45%0.2966✗1.483.8M2022-07-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004670.004518-3.26%–pending––1.335,7382022-07-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011860.001144-3.57%0.0009887-16.64%0.4261✗1.721.8M2022-07-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.65.3944-3.67%4.62-17.50%0.1248✗0.841.7M2022-07-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.6111.551-3.72%2.008+24.64%0.8386✗1.75826k2022-07-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.02420.023275-3.82%0.01953-19.30%0.0390✗0.65608k2022-07-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.08210.078887-3.91%0.0752-8.40%0.3866✗1.31159k2022-07-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0564870.054274-3.92%0.052591-6.90%0.2441✗0.8374k2022-07-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.462069-3.94%0.468-2.70%0.4464✗1.3116k2022-07-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0277020.026596-3.99%0.021787-21.35%0.1990✗1.2011k2022-07-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum11.5111.0439-4.05%10.1-12.25%0.5861✗2.042.9M2022-07-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011670.011195-4.07%0.01115-4.46%0.5533✗1.6814.5M2022-07-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.73212.6199-4.11%1.938-29.07%0.1911✗1.4868k2022-07-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.009730.009329-4.12%0.005906-39.31%0.0795✓1.142,4432022-07-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.172.079-4.19%1.74-19.82%0.2578✗1.31268k2022-07-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0693.8924-4.34%2.948-27.55%0.0457✗0.971.8M2022-07-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6942.5763-4.37%2.595-3.67%0.6873✗2.053.0M2022-07-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3927730.375141-4.49%0.33105-15.71%0.3868✗1.542.3M2022-07-09
FLOWFlownative2.3862.2739-4.70%1.697-28.88%0.0393✓1.00608k2022-07-09
TRXTRONTron0.0807680.076955-4.72%0.069799-13.58%0.2070✗0.92715k2022-07-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9221.8296-4.81%1.449-24.61%0.4061✗1.93291k2022-07-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2931.2291-4.94%1.224-5.34%0.3277✗1.001.3M2022-07-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.59552.4607-5.19%2.1733-16.27%0.2474✗1.123.6M2022-07-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.05330.050486-5.28%–pending––1.094,6802022-07-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.0960.090824-5.39%0.0663-30.94%0.1074✗1.27396k2022-07-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.910.860268-5.47%1.0075+10.71%0.7458✗1.77232k2022-07-09
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2161.1492-5.49%0.674-44.57%0.1748✓1.081.1M2022-07-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070830.066842-5.63%0.07264+2.56%0.4151✗1.001,4072022-07-09
CBKCobakEthereum1.27421.2014-5.71%1.01-20.74%0.2378✗1.246,7502022-07-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.050946-5.83%0.0496-8.32%0.4695✗1.50443k2022-07-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.297269-5.84%0.2594-17.83%0.3725✗1.5331k2022-07-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9830.92496-5.90%0.9709-1.23%0.6989✗1.962.7M2022-07-09
STEEMSteemnative0.25710.24187-5.92%0.2545-1.01%0.5503✗1.50585k2022-07-09
PROPropyEthereum10.938787-6.12%0.87-13.00%0.1840✗0.78186k2022-07-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.914.5991-6.33%4.13-15.89%0.1843✗0.881.1M2022-07-09
APEApeCoinEthereum5.7175.3488-6.44%5.007-12.42%0.6714✗2.2218.8M2022-07-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.393460.368033-6.46%0.31073-21.03%0.3522✗1.5717k2022-07-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05980.055849-6.61%0.0453-24.25%0.4152✗1.8830k2022-07-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065980.061458-6.85%0.05322-19.34%0.5726✗2.162.2M2022-07-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.681.564-6.90%1.45-13.69%0.2456✗0.97153k2022-07-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.059960.055818-6.91%0.04698-21.65%0.2151✗1.1716k2022-07-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.067.4811-7.18%6.37-20.97%0.0461✓0.621.9M2022-07-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.89641.7597-7.21%1.3921-26.59%0.2140✗1.352.2M2022-07-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5550.51375-7.43%0.751+35.32%0.9795✗1.814,8372022-07-09
DODODODOEthereum0.18020.166776-7.45%0.1461-18.92%0.4379✗1.722.9M2022-07-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.33182.1537-7.64%1.8302-21.51%0.1950✗1.083.6M2022-07-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.313.9761-7.75%3.25-24.59%0.1121✗0.951.5M2022-07-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.9920.913207-7.94%1.001+0.91%0.8449✗2.272.1M2022-07-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8122.583-8.14%2.489-11.49%0.5625✗1.81108k2022-07-09
GITCOINGITCOIN3.1382.879-8.25%2.6854-14.42%0.6407✗2.1415k2022-07-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2670.244383-8.47%0.272+1.87%0.7751✗2.011.3M2022-07-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.854.406-9.15%3.82-21.24%0.1165✗0.781.9M2022-07-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8144.3482-9.68%3.801-21.04%0.1153✗0.756.4M2022-07-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6853.31-10.18%3.563-3.31%0.2943✗0.663.4M2022-07-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.9061.7079-10.39%1.341-29.64%0.3046✗1.655.0M2022-07-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.9343.5148-10.65%3.034-22.88%0.1337✗0.852.1M2022-07-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.684890.608455-11.16%0.5119-25.26%0.5714✗2.243.0M2022-07-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.45041.2691-12.50%0.84108-42.01%0.1607✓0.764,7612022-07-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000075060.000065284-13.02%0.00011046+47.16%1.6714✗3.452.4M2022-07-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3331.1062-17.01%0.859-35.56%0.4965✗2.264.0M2022-07-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.