8=======>

2022-05-28 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1727
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
71.0%
in alpha space · 36.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.56%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WOOWOOEthereum0.15920.168742+5.99%0.1919+20.54%0.4844✓1.061,8582022-06-27
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.4788+5.48%2.96+25.96%0.7825✓1.80354k2022-06-27
ORCAOrcaSolana0.840.884453+5.29%0.88+4.76%0.3559✓1.0791k2022-06-27
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03050.03211+5.28%0.0409+34.10%0.7269✓1.44257k2022-06-27
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.7326.0321+5.27%19.33-21.84%0.1986✓1.4852.8M2022-06-27
UNIUniswapEthereum4.985.2247+4.91%5.33+7.03%0.4403✓1.253.2M2022-06-27
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,633.868,008.70+4.91%6,207.44-18.69%0.1549✓1.223.7M2022-06-27
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.18240.191111+4.78%0.14521-20.39%0.2886✓1.68293k2022-06-27
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.537.8813+4.67%5.773-23.33%0.1369✓1.334.6M2022-06-27
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6792.8024+4.61%2.616-2.35%0.4480✓1.54284k2022-06-27
BANDBandEthereum1.5051.5722+4.47%1.446-3.92%0.4272✓1.52422k2022-06-27
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13730.143375+4.42%0.1078-21.49%0.2227✓1.517.9M2022-06-27
DIADIAEthereum0.439310.458484+4.36%0.40604-7.57%0.0830✓0.61121k2022-06-27
STORJStorjEthereum0.524420.547195+4.34%0.7857+49.82%0.8620✓1.4968k2022-06-27
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6831.7545+4.25%1.43-15.03%0.3132✓1.54110k2022-06-27
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.350.364874+4.25%0.307-12.29%0.1985✓1.10970k2022-06-27
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.419.7937+4.08%7.77-17.43%0.2457✓1.4219.2M2022-06-27
UOSUltraEthereum0.347550.361571+4.03%0.27436-21.06%0.1963✓1.40779k2022-06-27
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.566.824+4.02%6.547-0.20%0.4084✓1.3419.3M2022-06-27
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14160.147244+3.99%0.1222-13.70%0.3702✓1.6689k2022-06-27
TRBTellor TributesEthereum9.069.4124+3.89%11.02+21.63%0.7010✓1.62188k2022-06-27
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.2131.2595+3.83%0.683-43.69%0.0400✗1.70490k2022-06-27
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.771.8374+3.81%1.6-9.60%0.4459✓1.74625k2022-06-27
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12880.133635+3.75%0.1353+5.05%0.5570✓1.625.4M2022-06-27
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5050.523939+3.75%0.4143-17.96%0.2994✓1.59785k2022-06-27
KSMKusamaHydration67.5170.0377+3.74%52.91-21.63%0.1358✓1.241.6M2022-06-27
GALAGALAEthereum0.07250.075088+3.57%0.06-17.24%0.3532✓1.72191k2022-06-27
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.008490.008793+3.57%0.007011-17.42%0.0344✓0.78146k2022-06-27
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.227.4763+3.55%5.783-19.90%0.2527✓1.528.0M2022-06-27
SCSiacoinnative0.005360.005549+3.52%0.00407-24.07%0.2133✓1.56343k2022-06-27
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.025640.026533+3.48%0.02035-20.63%0.0656✓0.98188k2022-06-27
COTICOTIEthereum0.11030.114105+3.45%0.1014-8.07%0.4291✓1.631.3M2022-06-27
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8430.871866+3.42%0.686-18.62%0.2702✓1.52749k2022-06-27
XVGVergenative0.004910.005077+3.39%0.00321-34.62%0.0292✓1.45825k2022-06-27
XECeCashnative0.00004730.000048889+3.36%0.00004023-14.95%0.2422✓1.305.1M2022-06-27
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.5732.659+3.34%2.592+0.74%0.3519✓1.1286k2022-06-27
HIVEHivenative0.47610.491894+3.32%0.4388-7.83%0.3152✓1.281.3M2022-06-27
STXStacksnative0.520.5372+3.31%0.4418-15.04%0.1731✓1.10243k2022-06-27
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06290.064965+3.28%0.0567-9.86%0.4217✓1.662.3M2022-06-27
AAVEAaveEthereum95.3898.3816+3.15%65.55-31.27%0.1097✓1.538.7M2022-06-27
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004030.004155+3.11%0.003071-23.80%0.0934✓1.182.0M2022-06-27
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31930.329178+3.09%0.2892-9.43%0.3089✓1.308.2M2022-06-27
BTTCBTTC0.000001030.000001061+3.03%8.40e-7-18.45%0.0403✓0.827.6M2022-06-27
AVTAventusEthereum1.121.1538+3.02%1.61+43.75%0.6034✓0.80177k2022-06-27
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.2212.5802+2.95%9.41-23.00%0.1188✓1.22655k2022-06-27
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3060.315009+2.94%0.2624-14.25%0.2746✓1.3650k2022-06-27
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.2191.2543+2.89%0.736-39.62%0.0933✗1.316.8M2022-06-27
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.649.9146+2.85%7.734-19.77%0.2055✓1.3513.8M2022-06-27
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036130.037148+2.82%0.03032-16.08%0.2642✓1.3937k2022-06-27
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.9964.7223+2.75%55.86-11.32%0.2531✓1.1919.8M2022-06-27
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18140.186246+2.67%0.156-14.00%0.3349✓1.52501k2022-06-27
FTTFTXEthereum27.1127.8303+2.66%27.16+0.18%0.2995✓0.9610.2M2022-06-27
XLMStellarStellar0.1225880.125842+2.65%0.118877-3.03%0.3066✓1.0810.7M2022-06-27
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6510.668274+2.65%0.579-11.06%0.3644✓1.511.7M2022-06-27
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.5419.029+2.64%15.9-14.24%0.2892✓1.393.1M2022-06-27
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5990.614642+2.61%0.571-4.67%0.4315✓1.50215k2022-06-27
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001240.001272+2.57%0.0009633-22.31%0.2407✓1.542.5M2022-06-27
XVSVenusEthereum4.424.533+2.56%4.93+11.54%0.6582✓1.712.0M2022-06-27
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00910.009331+2.54%0.00706-22.42%0.0907✓1.101.0M2022-06-27
SOLSolanaSolana44.245.3207+2.54%38.5-12.90%0.3299✓1.47102.1M2022-06-27
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25380.260166+2.51%0.2279-10.20%0.2875✓1.25318k2022-06-27
DASHDashDash56.5157.8963+2.45%49.04-13.22%0.2309✓1.181.2M2022-06-27
CHZChilizEthereum0.11280.115551+2.44%0.1089-3.46%0.3914✓1.341.0M2022-06-27
MOVRMoonriverBase21.431921.9452+2.39%11.7151-45.34%0.1345✗1.47247k2022-06-27
MANADecentralandEthereum0.956010.978852+2.39%0.96351+0.78%0.5125✓1.571.2M2022-06-27
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash178.71182.941+2.37%111.44-37.64%0.1029✗1.174.7M2022-06-27
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010780.000011034+2.36%0.00001104+2.41%0.4458✓1.321.0M2022-06-27
SUSHISushiEthereum1.521.5558+2.36%1.15-24.34%0.2106✓1.532.4M2022-06-27
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48390.495017+2.30%0.4057-16.16%0.2986✓1.48217k2022-06-27
ZENHorizenBase19.2419.6787+2.28%14.59-24.17%0.2277✓1.57124k2022-06-27
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.13.1698+2.25%2.7-12.90%0.1732✓0.99700k2022-06-27
XEMNEMnative0.04790.048972+2.24%0.042424-11.43%0.3202✓1.3831k2022-06-27
LSKLiskEthereum1.18681.2125+2.17%1.1824-0.37%0.3692✓1.1754k2022-06-27
CVCCivicEthereum0.15770.161116+2.17%0.147-6.79%0.3740✓1.38359k2022-06-27
RADRadworksEthereum2.112.1557+2.17%1.66-21.33%0.1364✓1.18233k2022-06-27
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.41332.4654+2.16%1.9826-17.84%0.2030✓1.2590k2022-06-27
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.8712.125+2.15%8.85-25.44%0.0140✓0.89510k2022-06-27
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.60660.619344+2.10%0.8052+32.74%0.7470✓1.444.8M2022-06-27
NANOnanopayBase1.09741.1205+2.10%0.84167-23.30%0.1366✓1.26167k2022-06-27
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12630.128789+1.97%0.103-18.45%0.1656✓1.1617k2022-06-27
COMPCompoundEthereum56.6557.7615+1.96%49.67-12.32%0.3245✓1.4131k2022-06-27
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4772.5254+1.95%2.426-2.06%0.5399✓1.734.2M2022-06-27
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.368820.375809+1.90%0.38727+5.00%0.4643✓1.29193k2022-06-27
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12660.128958+1.86%0.105-17.06%0.1833✓1.16905k2022-06-27
UMAUMAEthereum3.143.1978+1.84%2.703-13.92%0.4033✓1.702.2M2022-06-27
AMPAmpEthereum0.011660.011863+1.74%0.00899-22.90%0.0684✓1.032.2M2022-06-27
ETHEthereumEthereum1,790.231,821.25+1.73%1,191.27-33.46%0.0768✗1.03393.0M2022-06-27
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004370.004442+1.65%0.00277-36.61%0.1003✗1.1111k2022-06-27
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0980.09954+1.57%0.0981+0.10%0.5964✓1.82514k2022-06-27
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.28620.290683+1.57%0.2089-27.01%0.0963✓1.27432k2022-06-27
ADACardanoCardano0.46430.471549+1.56%0.4853+4.52%0.4858✓1.3646.3M2022-06-27
LCXLCXEthereum0.06340.064382+1.55%0.0643+1.42%0.4020✓1.20410k2022-06-27
QTUMQtumQtum3.74243.7987+1.50%2.983-20.29%0.1476✓1.1669k2022-06-27
QNTQuantEthereum65.466.362+1.47%58.49-10.57%0.2301✓1.063.0M2022-06-27
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3670.372263+1.43%0.331-9.81%0.2905✓1.2117.7M2022-06-27
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.241.2575+1.41%0.5109-58.80%0.5355✗1.09108k2022-06-27
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.01770.017948+1.40%0.012535-29.18%0.0033✓1.083.4M2022-06-27
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06630.067214+1.38%0.06438-2.90%0.3232✓1.0916k2022-06-27
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8411.8658+1.35%1.299-29.44%0.2884✓1.93583k2022-06-27
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,008.9929,391.11+1.32%20,725.17-28.56%0.0131✗1.00676.2M2022-06-27
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0830.084089+1.31%0.0576-30.60%0.1622✓1.61162k2022-06-27
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.22249.7866+1.15%59.935+21.76%0.5129✓0.971.2M2022-06-27
GTGateEthereum5.32915.3842+1.03%4.2843-19.61%0.0551✗0.524.8M2022-06-27
XMRMoneroMonero175.92177.7324+1.03%120.31-31.61%0.0253✗1.092.5M2022-06-27
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08640.08727+1.01%0.0531-38.54%0.2361✗0.78235k2022-06-27
ZECZcashZcash86.6787.5425+1.01%62.21-28.22%0.0938✓1.295.1M2022-06-27
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0817850.082604+1.00%0.072161-11.77%0.2440✓1.133.5M2022-06-27
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.16860.170261+0.98%0.1183-29.83%0.1312✗0.69335k2022-06-27
DODODODOEthereum0.1370.138272+0.93%0.1274-7.01%0.4506✓1.582.6M2022-06-27
ETCEthereum Classicnative22.7422.9301+0.84%16.55-27.22%0.0920✓1.244.2M2022-06-27
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4920.496051+0.82%0.357-27.44%0.0731✓1.2025k2022-06-27
API3Api3Ethereum1.5831.5957+0.80%1.602+1.20%0.5398✓1.591.6M2022-06-27
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.047360.047723+0.77%0.0437-7.73%0.2428✓0.984,5262022-06-27
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.456.4976+0.74%5.39-16.43%0.2913✓1.42535k2022-06-27
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02380.023974+0.73%0.02551+7.18%0.8009✓2.2026.5M2022-06-27
GLMGolemEthereum0.25260.254069+0.58%0.244-3.40%0.4219✓1.37121k2022-06-27
XTZTezosTezos1.96181.9729+0.57%1.5979-18.55%0.2177✓1.271.1M2022-06-27
KCSKuCoinnative15.30415.3821+0.51%10.591-30.80%0.0453✗0.986.6M2022-06-27
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.3223.3381+0.48%3.003-9.60%0.2246✓0.981.8M2022-06-27
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.09945.1163+0.33%5.7622+13.00%0.2031✓0.25289k2022-06-27
XYMSymbolnative0.05640.056529+0.23%0.056243-0.28%0.2588✓0.78124k2022-06-27
GITCOINGITCOIN2.3462.3495+0.15%3+27.88%0.8636✓1.8416k2022-06-27
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.425.4264+0.12%4.67-13.84%0.1038✓0.762.8M2022-06-27
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.810.810666+0.08%0.7719-4.70%0.4791✓1.57367k2022-06-27
APEApeCoinEthereum6.2286.2291+0.02%5.108-17.98%0.5886✓2.3446.7M2022-06-27
CTKShentuOsmosis0.810.809914-0.01%0.803-0.86%0.3621✗1.102.6M2022-06-27
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9160.914718-0.14%0.672-26.64%0.0580✗1.09658k2022-06-27
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1980.197722-0.14%0.27+36.36%0.8533✗1.611.5M2022-06-27
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0146130.014592-0.15%0.015009+2.71%0.2462✗0.65176k2022-06-27
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.44.3908-0.21%4.04-8.18%0.2089✗0.87829k2022-06-27
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum28,840.9028,779.63-0.21%20,743.60-28.08%0.0005✓0.9780k2022-06-27
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.31293.3055-0.22%2.5998-21.52%0.2873✗1.576.5M2022-06-27
IMXImmutableEthereum0.9150.911927-0.34%0.8346-8.79%0.4439✗1.584.4M2022-06-27
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0264060.026262-0.54%0.021938-16.92%0.1661✗1.0314k2022-06-27
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3790260.376879-0.57%0.323254-14.71%0.3007✗1.354.0M2022-06-27
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum10.1910.1122-0.76%9.29-8.83%0.4468✗1.586.4M2022-06-27
SUNSun TokenTron0.0091350.009047-0.96%0.005987-34.46%0.0632✓1.045,8522022-06-27
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04770.047162-1.13%0.0461-3.35%0.4069✗1.281.2M2022-06-27
BORABORAKlay Token0.423640.41753-1.44%0.32292-23.77%0.3152✗1.7022k2022-06-27
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.023840.023426-1.74%0.0228-4.36%0.1731✗0.60601k2022-06-27
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05640.055418-1.74%0.0524-7.09%0.3889✗1.3280k2022-06-27
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16520.162207-1.81%0.0828-49.88%0.3362✓1.003,4222022-06-27
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6260.614466-1.84%0.639+2.08%0.5551✗1.5311k2022-06-27
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.01170.011482-1.86%0.00979-16.32%0.3325✗1.4624.5M2022-06-27
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.5250.514247-2.05%0.926+76.38%1.2170✗1.872.0M2022-06-27
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.392.3332-2.38%3.11+30.13%0.6426✗1.06763k2022-06-27
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.40462.3461-2.43%2.2352-7.04%0.2879✗1.003.0M2022-06-27
CBKCobakEthereum1.15241.1242-2.45%0.99095-14.01%0.2248✗1.047,1582022-06-27
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.913.8126-2.49%3.16-19.18%0.1496✗1.00661k2022-06-27
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.17e-76.99e-7-2.54%3.87e-7-46.01%0.2834✓0.911.6M2022-06-27
TRXTRONTron0.0811480.079076-2.55%0.066909-17.55%0.1060✗0.811.5M2022-06-27
PROPropyEthereum0.920.892162-3.03%0.86-6.52%0.2062✗0.72261k2022-06-27
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06220.059953-3.61%0.05178-16.75%0.6228✗2.292.9M2022-06-27
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052650.050631-3.84%0.04792-8.98%0.3057✗1.0714k2022-06-27
STEEMSteemnative0.24030.231074-3.84%0.2229-7.24%0.5388✗1.71824k2022-06-27
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2991.2481-3.92%1.382+6.39%0.5789✗1.427.6M2022-06-27
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana7.897.567-4.09%6.61-16.22%0.0225✓0.471.2M2022-06-27
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.621130.594802-4.24%0.54041-13.00%0.4595✗1.65397k2022-06-27
FLOWFlownative2.4032.29-4.70%1.681-30.05%0.0271✓1.001.1M2022-06-27
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2411.1818-4.77%0.669-46.09%0.2327✓1.002.2M2022-06-27
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.29352.1751-5.16%1.8891-17.63%0.1740✗0.944.3M2022-06-27
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8322.6778-5.45%3.151+11.26%0.4064✗0.721.2M2022-06-27
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.45361.3633-6.21%0.76875-47.11%0.3544✓0.656,1952022-06-27
GMTGMTEthereum1.0370.970835-6.38%0.989-4.63%0.8170✗2.373.8M2022-06-27
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.774.4574-6.55%3.76-21.17%0.1100✗0.83749k2022-06-27
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.03871.9-6.80%1.4065-31.01%0.1631✗1.385.5M2022-06-27
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6072.4285-6.85%2.052-21.29%0.1678✗1.00133k2022-06-27
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.414.0662-7.80%3.798-13.88%0.0972✗0.494.3M2022-06-27
LUNATerraTerra 20.000091770.000074444-18.88%0.00008876-3.28%1.1503✗2.905.2M2022-06-27
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.