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2022-05-20 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 169 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2166
169 of 169 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.77%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
62.7%
in alpha space · 36.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-29.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (169 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.853.0707+7.75%2.209-22.49%0.2051✓1.53263k2022-06-19
UNIUniswapEthereum5.15.403+5.94%4.184-17.96%0.1745✓1.233.4M2022-06-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001160.000012268+5.76%0.0000082-29.31%0.0574✓1.321.1M2022-06-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.871.9743+5.58%1.41-24.60%0.2705✓1.74536k2022-06-19
STXStacksnative0.50.527016+5.40%0.3545-29.10%0.0064✓1.15260k2022-06-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24780.261009+5.33%0.2089-15.70%0.2139✓1.25305k2022-06-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.190070.199871+5.16%0.1545-18.71%0.3196✓1.65280k2022-06-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.52.6263+5.05%2.37-5.20%0.5231✓1.79378k2022-06-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin7.928.2888+4.66%5.48-30.81%0.0331✓1.285.1M2022-06-19
GALAGALAEthereum0.0820.085678+4.49%0.0563-31.34%0.1829✓1.72215k2022-06-19
UMAUMAEthereum3.0823.2201+4.48%2.474-19.73%0.3255✓1.682.2M2022-06-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1251.1749+4.43%0.645-42.67%0.1292✗1.357.5M2022-06-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche28.7630.0354+4.43%16.15-43.85%0.1046✗1.4850.4M2022-06-19
WOOWOOEthereum0.20230.211133+4.37%0.1704-15.77%0.1701✓1.101,8912022-06-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.5150.537253+4.32%0.297-42.33%0.0518✗1.55904k2022-06-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.379740.395334+4.11%0.33708-11.23%0.2919✓1.29208k2022-06-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9642.0443+4.09%1.256-36.05%0.0484✓1.5387k2022-06-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,118.669,483.70+4.00%4,740.28-48.02%0.2759✗1.193.2M2022-06-19
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1281.1719+3.89%0.654-42.02%0.0328✓1.76527k2022-06-19
XLMStellarStellar0.1262310.131002+3.78%0.114608-9.21%0.2458✓1.0912.8M2022-06-19
KSMKusamaHydration75.4578.2627+3.73%50.87-32.58%0.0138✓1.271.4M2022-06-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.009790.010154+3.72%0.006456-34.06%0.1773✗0.79195k2022-06-19
COMPCompoundEthereum66.3368.7768+3.69%31.8-52.06%0.2821✗1.4028k2022-06-19
MOVRMoonriverBase21.919822.7249+3.67%11.3502-48.22%0.1861✗1.45210k2022-06-19
AAVEAaveEthereum90.0393.2982+3.63%53.97-40.05%0.0087✓1.549.2M2022-06-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.778.0516+3.62%5.48-29.47%0.1303✓1.478.0M2022-06-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.15060.156029+3.60%0.1028-31.74%0.1129✓1.528.9M2022-06-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum10.0510.4113+3.59%10.34+2.89%0.5512✓1.60159k2022-06-19
MANADecentralandEthereum1.06231.1003+3.57%0.82638-22.21%0.2642✓1.571.2M2022-06-19
XVGVergenative0.005140.005323+3.56%0.00279-45.72%0.1480✗1.42893k2022-06-19
SUSHISushiEthereum1.291.3354+3.52%1.05-18.60%0.2908✓1.523.2M2022-06-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1250.129349+3.48%0.1014-18.88%0.1378✓1.0919k2022-06-19
SCSiacoinnative0.0050.005173+3.45%0.0037-26.00%0.2010✓1.53378k2022-06-19
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13670.141355+3.41%0.1109-18.87%0.3312✓1.64105k2022-06-19
DASHDashDash57.2259.1251+3.33%44.24-22.68%0.1277✓1.191.0M2022-06-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.06110.06307+3.22%0.0615+0.65%0.3982✓1.21406k2022-06-19
SGBSongbirdnative0.03110.032094+3.20%0.0298-4.18%0.0629✓0.39138k2022-06-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.18350.189331+3.18%0.1515-17.44%0.2952✓1.48649k2022-06-19
LSKLiskEthereum1.13741.1734+3.17%0.993799-12.62%0.2165✓1.0980k2022-06-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31960.329677+3.15%0.2732-14.52%0.2647✓1.299.0M2022-06-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.867.076+3.15%6.592-3.91%0.3985✓1.3419.2M2022-06-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009230.009519+3.14%0.00666-27.84%0.0345✓1.121.2M2022-06-19
XVSVenusEthereum4.915.0628+3.11%4.32-12.02%0.4378✓1.712.7M2022-06-19
ORCAOrcaSolana0.860.886402+3.07%0.42-51.16%0.3864✗1.03103k2022-06-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.1911.5327+3.06%6.765-39.54%0.0329✗1.4321.0M2022-06-19
QNTQuantEthereum66.2268.2383+3.05%53.73-18.86%0.1327✓1.063.6M2022-06-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.10730.110535+3.01%0.0892-16.87%0.3576✓1.641.6M2022-06-19
BANDBandEthereum1.6731.7227+2.97%1.383-17.33%0.3059✓1.50447k2022-06-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.7872.8694+2.96%2.476-11.16%0.2335✓1.0995k2022-06-19
MINAMina Protocolnative0.9841.0129+2.93%0.626-36.38%0.0305✓1.46775k2022-06-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.026130.026892+2.92%0.01957-25.11%0.0130✓0.95180k2022-06-19
NANOnanopayBase1.09351.1246+2.85%0.78229-28.46%0.0747✓1.25161k2022-06-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.3883+2.84%0.51-62.22%0.6210✗1.09132k2022-06-19
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02260.023231+2.79%0.02708+19.82%0.9345✓2.2323.0M2022-06-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.669.9242+2.74%7.521-22.14%0.1918✓1.3413.9M2022-06-19
UOSUltraEthereum0.355730.365061+2.62%0.25495-28.33%0.1314✓1.401.2M2022-06-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.360.368782+2.44%0.267-25.83%0.0708✓1.131.0M2022-06-19
STORJStorjEthereum0.539090.55212+2.42%0.52879-1.91%0.4711✓1.4789k2022-06-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.004690.004798+2.31%0.0027-42.43%0.1520✗1.211.9M2022-06-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash189.86194.249+2.31%120.39-36.59%0.0706✗1.175.2M2022-06-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.3260.333446+2.28%0.817+150.61%1.5209✓1.791.7M2022-06-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.069840.071418+2.26%0.0468-32.99%0.0482✗1.0718k2022-06-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum12.7513.0357+2.24%8.05-36.86%0.1487✗0.95622k2022-06-19
XTZTezosTezos1.7421.7806+2.22%1.3878-20.33%0.1940✓1.271.1M2022-06-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03260.033303+2.16%0.0281-13.80%0.3243✓1.41189k2022-06-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0161250.016469+2.13%0.012325-23.57%0.0970✓1.113.5M2022-06-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative20.1120.5387+2.13%15.35-23.67%0.1524✓1.273.6M2022-06-19
ZENHorizenBase20.1120.5327+2.10%13.88-30.98%0.1628✓1.59166k2022-06-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07760.079224+2.09%0.0509-34.41%0.1391✓1.662.8M2022-06-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.036640.037388+2.04%0.02774-24.29%0.1859✓1.3948k2022-06-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.18080.184453+2.02%0.133-26.44%0.1571✓1.38386k2022-06-19
LRCLoopringEthereum0.48180.491465+2.01%0.366-24.03%0.2367✓1.52260k2022-06-19
GITCOINGITCOIN2.4142.4589+1.86%2.3176-3.99%0.5711✓1.8021k2022-06-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.43290.440897+1.85%0.3142-27.42%0.0887✓1.2215.4M2022-06-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.31030.316008+1.84%0.1721-44.54%0.1615✗1.28445k2022-06-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08850.090071+1.78%0.0547-38.19%0.2169✗0.81190k2022-06-19
KCSKuCoinnative15.42415.6956+1.76%10.625-31.11%0.0518✗0.975.0M2022-06-19
XEMNEMnative0.05310.054026+1.74%0.03985-24.95%0.1634✓1.3458k2022-06-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6640.675539+1.74%0.439-33.89%0.0945✓1.50309k2022-06-19
DIADIAEthereum0.527520.536636+1.73%0.38209-27.57%0.1505✗0.5472k2022-06-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12820.130397+1.71%0.1167-8.97%0.4539✓1.625.6M2022-06-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.623.6807+1.68%2.57-29.01%0.0243✗0.96788k2022-06-19
SOLSolanaSolana49.3750.1802+1.64%34.15-30.83%0.1179✓1.4493.8M2022-06-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12650.128545+1.62%0.0932-26.32%0.0751✓1.131.1M2022-06-19
HIVEHivenative0.47730.484601+1.53%0.3732-21.81%0.1881✓1.281.6M2022-06-19
QTUMQtumQtum3.80873.8661+1.51%2.7295-28.34%0.0684✓1.19120k2022-06-19
BTTCBTTC0.00000110.000001116+1.48%7.90e-7-28.18%0.0738✗0.787.6M2022-06-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.013080.01327+1.45%0.00894-31.65%0.0268✗1.053.0M2022-06-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin29,155.7529,552.44+1.36%20,552.44-29.51%0.0135✓1.00728.1M2022-06-19
AVTAventusEthereum1.21.216+1.34%1.88+56.67%0.7257✓0.83192k2022-06-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0837570.084803+1.25%0.060316-27.99%0.0527✓1.135.8M2022-06-19
ADACardanoCardano0.51550.521915+1.24%0.484-6.11%0.3964✓1.3548.2M2022-06-19
ETHEthereumEthereum1,956.581,980.78+1.24%1,126.90-42.40%0.2036✗1.03464.2M2022-06-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.64390.651846+1.23%0.7568+17.53%0.6642✓1.475.3M2022-06-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.11750.118784+1.09%0.0934-20.51%0.2281✓1.341.0M2022-06-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.256.3182+1.09%4.54-27.36%0.1609✓1.41717k2022-06-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,101.4029,415.62+1.08%20,529.00-29.46%0.0200✗0.9778k2022-06-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.5242.5495+1.01%2.092-17.12%0.4109✓1.745.8M2022-06-19
RADRadworksEthereum1.941.9587+0.97%1.51-22.16%0.1118✓1.06258k2022-06-19
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.21820.220253+0.94%0.1219-44.13%0.3792✗0.61379k2022-06-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin68.4869.0581+0.84%54.25-20.78%0.1740✓1.1919.7M2022-06-19
XECeCashnative0.000045320.000045664+0.76%0.00003759-17.06%0.2690✓1.335.9M2022-06-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.1249.476+0.72%60.27+22.70%0.5350✓0.971.6M2022-06-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum20.6920.8253+0.65%13.78-33.40%0.0786✓1.413.4M2022-06-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum15.5415.6355+0.61%7.59-51.16%0.2820✗1.26836k2022-06-19
GLMGolemEthereum0.25120.252718+0.60%0.2211-11.98%0.3480✓1.38161k2022-06-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.99265.0208+0.56%5.1793+3.74%0.1102✓0.23307k2022-06-19
ZECZcashZcash106.98107.5385+0.52%67.41-36.99%0.0117✗1.305.4M2022-06-19
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8570.861445+0.52%0.778-9.22%0.4502✓1.586.5M2022-06-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6830.685786+0.41%0.54-20.94%0.2972✓1.531.8M2022-06-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.9711.9778+0.35%2.702+37.09%0.6425✓0.95793k2022-06-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.9150.915893+0.10%0.579-36.72%0.0794✗1.08769k2022-06-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001331+0.07%0.000747-43.83%0.0517✗1.503.4M2022-06-19
API3Api3Ethereum1.7731.7727-0.02%1.398-21.15%0.3209✗1.601.9M2022-06-19
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7920.791689-0.04%0.81+2.27%0.4161✗1.123.1M2022-06-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.40052.3854-0.63%1.8101-24.60%0.1621✗1.25100k2022-06-19
FTTFTXEthereum29.7229.5271-0.65%25.06-15.68%0.1725✗0.9611.7M2022-06-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.43.3707-0.86%3.01-11.47%0.2492✗1.04557k2022-06-19
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5620.556901-0.91%0.334-40.57%0.0969✓1.1936k2022-06-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.004310.00427-0.93%0.002766-35.82%0.0696✓1.0417k2022-06-19
PROPropyEthereum1.051.0385-1.10%0.89-15.24%0.0837✗0.68375k2022-06-19
XMRMoneroMonero173.53171.6021-1.11%114.45-34.05%0.0306✓1.072.9M2022-06-19
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05730.05659-1.24%0.0468-18.32%0.2225✗1.1887k2022-06-19
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.1242.0975-1.25%1.242-41.53%0.1472✗1.92801k2022-06-19
CBKCobakEthereum1.0961.0812-1.35%0.86877-20.73%0.1333✗1.0115k2022-06-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.1442.1139-1.40%2.999+39.88%0.7237✗1.07730k2022-06-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.044680.043994-1.54%0.04075-8.80%0.2628✗0.978,0692022-06-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.008770.008632-1.57%0.006078-30.70%0.0127✓1.0411k2022-06-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.026150.025702-1.71%0.021244-18.76%0.1674✗1.0223k2022-06-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.011230.01102-1.87%0.00989-11.93%0.4300✗1.5438.6M2022-06-19
GTGateEthereum5.65545.5475-1.91%3.9604-29.97%0.1519✓0.534.9M2022-06-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.294.2046-1.99%4-6.76%0.2460✗0.85798k2022-06-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.890.872252-1.99%0.68-23.60%0.2924✗1.55715k2022-06-19
DODODODOEthereum0.1390.136215-2.00%0.1199-13.74%0.3999✗1.513.5M2022-06-19
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34690.338818-2.33%0.2426-30.07%0.1137✗1.2883k2022-06-19
XYMSymbolnative0.06580.06426-2.34%0.050701-22.95%0.0234✓0.74412k2022-06-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.049910.048733-2.36%0.0462-7.43%0.2981✗1.0122k2022-06-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.873.7688-2.61%3.55-8.27%0.2393✗0.86521k2022-06-19
BORABORAKlay Token0.359850.349654-2.83%0.29105-19.12%0.3947✗1.6526k2022-06-19
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7487.5122-3.04%4.125-46.76%0.2465✗2.4283.4M2022-06-19
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.56e-77.30e-7-3.39%3.28e-7-56.62%0.5270✓0.781.4M2022-06-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05410.052248-3.42%0.0354-34.57%0.0545✗1.271.4M2022-06-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.4461220.430669-3.46%0.264085-40.80%0.0218✓1.346.1M2022-06-19
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.16680.160778-3.61%0.0807-51.62%0.3396✓1.003,4222022-06-19
NEXONEXOEthereum1.3081.2606-3.62%0.686-47.55%0.2588✓1.003.9M2022-06-19
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205740.019754-3.99%0.014782-28.15%0.0595✓0.66205k2022-06-19
TRXTRONTron0.0712360.068352-4.05%0.061275-13.98%0.1669✗0.791.2M2022-06-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2350.225026-4.24%0.261+11.06%0.7129✗1.612.3M2022-06-19
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.11880.113672-4.32%0.0527-55.64%0.2096✓1.60162k2022-06-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.55872.4458-4.41%2.1353-16.55%0.2151✗1.002.5M2022-06-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.817.4617-4.46%4.29-45.07%0.2689✓0.813.0M2022-06-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.13820.131559-4.81%0.0782-43.42%0.0963✗1.76645k2022-06-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.0312.387-4.93%8.91-31.62%0.2330✗1.616.9M2022-06-19
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.822.6808-4.94%1.769-37.27%0.0660✓1.00171k2022-06-19
STEEMSteemnative0.25920.24594-5.12%0.2001-22.80%0.1434✗1.001.2M2022-06-19
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06590.062041-5.86%0.0477-27.62%0.0868✗1.003.0M2022-06-19
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6793.4589-5.98%2.453-33.32%0.1850✗1.5110.1M2022-06-19
GMTGMTEthereum1.3421.2587-6.21%0.749-44.19%0.1694✓1.004.8M2022-06-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.65071.5436-6.49%0.77679-52.94%0.4784✓0.6013k2022-06-19
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5970.557805-6.57%0.366-38.69%0.1021✗1.5016k2022-06-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3671.2686-7.20%1.26-7.83%0.4863✗1.4112.1M2022-06-19
LUNATerraTerra 20.000130.000120212-7.53%0.0000611-53.00%0.2433✗2.636.8M2022-06-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.7615.3174-7.70%2.88-50.01%0.2565✓1.021.7M2022-06-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.44682.2357-8.63%1.7552-28.27%0.0838✓0.934.6M2022-06-19
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.032920.030035-8.77%0.01665-49.42%0.3258✓0.76400k2022-06-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.428.5252-9.50%6.29-33.23%0.1262✓0.511.2M2022-06-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.804780.706749-12.18%0.5202-35.36%0.2313✗1.54327k2022-06-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.64652.2838-13.71%1.3145-50.33%0.0914✓1.328.6M2022-06-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.5914.6883-16.15%3.514-37.15%0.1378✓0.432.4M2022-06-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.