8=======>

2022-05-12 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 166 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1639
166 of 166 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+37.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
56.6%
in alpha space · 54.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (166 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.152.2578+5.02%2.63+22.33%0.1860✓1.73357k2022-06-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana2.162.267+4.95%3.9+80.56%0.5626✓1.04553k2022-06-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1842.287+4.72%2.386+9.25%0.0714✓1.50206k2022-06-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1070.111857+4.54%0.1332+24.49%0.2056✓1.60109k2022-06-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.131.1798+4.41%1.2+6.19%0.0452✓1.464.1M2022-06-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.322314+4.31%0.297-3.88%0.0624✗1.001.1M2022-06-11
UNIUniswapEthereum4.654.8486+4.27%4.379-5.83%0.0788✗1.194.1M2022-06-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.443160.461746+4.19%0.47161+6.42%0.0482✓1.4093k2022-06-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana2.62.706+4.08%4.57+75.77%0.5418✓0.92817k2022-06-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.820.852898+4.01%0.74-9.76%0.1242✗0.92142k2022-06-11
DIADIAEthereum0.321210.333767+3.91%0.43727+36.13%0.2847✓0.7570k2022-06-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021330.022163+3.90%0.02402+12.61%0.1006✓1.04222k2022-06-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.06820.070844+3.88%0.0626-8.21%0.0919✗1.65204k2022-06-11
AAVEAaveEthereum76.7579.6745+3.81%77.02+0.35%0.0053✓1.488.6M2022-06-11
XECeCashnative0.000031730.000032931+3.79%0.00004524+42.58%0.3436✓1.356.7M2022-06-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche30.1931.3217+3.75%19.89-34.12%0.4264✗1.4345.0M2022-06-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum8.258.5588+3.74%16.25+96.97%0.6692✓1.45134k2022-06-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7291.7935+3.73%1.409-18.51%0.2095✗1.6587k2022-06-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase1.1331.1746+3.67%1.066-5.91%0.0645✗1.68582k2022-06-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03020.031301+3.65%0.0329+8.94%0.0755✓1.33179k2022-06-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.18.3945+3.64%6.098-24.72%0.2955✗1.257.4M2022-06-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.17650.182795+3.57%0.1288-27.03%0.3305✗1.022,9402022-06-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.34148+3.57%0.32232-2.24%0.0290✓1.491.4M2022-06-11
KSMKusamaHydration68.7471.179+3.55%57.01-17.06%0.1985✗1.221.1M2022-06-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.34290.355051+3.54%0.2599-24.21%0.2874✗1.2794k2022-06-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos9.629.9607+3.54%7.55-21.52%0.2515✗1.3220.1M2022-06-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana1.2641.3082+3.50%3.162+150.16%0.9021✓1.01724k2022-06-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004250.004399+3.50%0.00448+5.41%0.0459✓1.43403k2022-06-11
STXStacksnative0.50.517448+3.49%0.4676-6.48%0.0803✗1.09260k2022-06-11
XEMNEMnative0.04110.042522+3.46%0.0446+8.52%0.0709✓1.2097k2022-06-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39390.407462+3.44%0.4408+11.91%0.1068✓1.46299k2022-06-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.015050.015556+3.36%0.02121+40.93%0.3233✓0.69391k2022-06-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21350.220645+3.35%0.2544+19.16%0.1660✓1.23486k2022-06-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.566.7749+3.28%7.036+7.26%0.0630✓1.3019.6M2022-06-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.708950.731939+3.24%0.8164+15.16%0.1368✓1.43886k2022-06-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13370.138035+3.24%0.1232-7.85%0.0851✗1.487.3M2022-06-11
XVGVergenative0.004130.004264+3.24%0.00375-9.20%0.1027✗1.33885k2022-06-11
LSKLiskEthereum0.9893911.021+3.19%1.1426+15.48%0.1324✓1.0396k2022-06-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.6405+3.18%1.48-6.92%0.0705✗1.68399k2022-06-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6832.768+3.17%2.777+3.50%0.0231✓1.0386k2022-06-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.0081+3.05%0.00779-0.89%0.0181✓1.081.0M2022-06-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19110.196887+3.03%0.2586+35.32%0.2959✓1.21305k2022-06-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.13020.134103+3.00%0.1611+23.73%0.2098✓1.37372k2022-06-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.102648+2.96%0.1088+9.13%0.0883✓1.561.8M2022-06-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.227.4298+2.91%5.966-17.37%0.1924✗1.408.0M2022-06-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13450.138368+2.88%0.1159-13.83%0.1469✗1.576.2M2022-06-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.688.9276+2.85%8.03-7.49%0.0815✗1.2611.8M2022-06-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.3810.391783+2.83%0.541+41.99%0.3512✓1.481.7M2022-06-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4050.41645+2.83%0.394-2.72%0.0277✓1.44869k2022-06-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.003590.003691+2.82%0.00391+8.91%0.0757✓0.9420k2022-06-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.01630.016755+2.79%0.01781+9.26%0.1043✓2.2425.3M2022-06-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana1.231.2641+2.77%3.371+174.07%0.9986✓0.92826k2022-06-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031690.032565+2.76%0.03183+0.44%0.0029✓1.3394k2022-06-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.4832.5515+2.76%2.558+3.02%0.0345✓1.652.4M2022-06-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038670.039728+2.74%0.04731+22.34%0.1928✓0.949,2282022-06-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.9490.974939+2.73%1.093+15.17%0.1329✓0.9625k2022-06-11
XVSVenusEthereum3.623.7187+2.73%4.46+23.20%0.2091✓1.422.9M2022-06-11
BANDBandEthereum1.5141.5551+2.71%1.772+17.04%0.1581✓1.43537k2022-06-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16950.174068+2.69%0.2195+29.50%0.2597✓1.44634k2022-06-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.5895+2.68%1.597+3.17%0.0426✓1.961.0M2022-06-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9974941.0242+2.67%1+0.25%0.0000✓1.24161k2022-06-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.95111.2414+2.65%15.02+37.16%0.3074✓0.924.1M2022-06-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1080.110803+2.60%0.1108+2.59%0.0176✓0.9119k2022-06-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06480.066468+2.57%0.0736+13.58%0.1383✓1.88194k2022-06-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.09680.09928+2.56%0.1045+7.95%0.0771✓1.341.2M2022-06-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.7750.794542+2.52%0.794+2.45%0.0287✓1.528.2M2022-06-11
AVTAventusEthereum0.730.748366+2.52%1.2+64.38%0.4865✓0.74221k2022-06-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana2.192.2449+2.51%4.16+89.95%0.6352✓0.95429k2022-06-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1890.193453+2.36%0.221+16.93%0.1613✓1.464.1M2022-06-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.3119.7628+2.35%16.29-15.64%0.1660✗1.413.8M2022-06-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.4862.5441+2.34%2.333-6.15%0.0544✗1.677.7M2022-06-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1722.2224+2.32%2.59+19.24%0.1858✓1.7023k2022-06-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10080.103124+2.31%0.1114+10.52%0.0984✓1.101.1M2022-06-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5370.549219+2.28%0.414-22.91%0.2598✗1.1846k2022-06-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.4211.4531+2.26%4.07+186.42%1.0433✓0.691.8M2022-06-11
ZENHorizenBase19.0419.4532+2.17%16.5-13.34%0.1354✗1.52173k2022-06-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29480.301163+2.16%0.3004+1.90%0.0211✓1.238.5M2022-06-11
HIVEHivenative0.40370.412377+2.15%0.4854+20.24%0.1864✓1.211.5M2022-06-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.950.970399+2.15%0.72-24.21%0.2720✗1.37755k2022-06-11
BTTCBTTC0.000001040.000001062+2.10%9.50e-7-8.65%0.0961✗0.797.8M2022-06-11
DASHDashDash53.7554.8616+2.07%48.95-8.93%0.0914✗1.171.1M2022-06-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.20850.212735+2.03%0.2524+21.06%0.1970✓1.35184k2022-06-11
MOVRMoonriverBase21.312321.738+2.00%17.8217-16.38%0.1706✗1.45195k2022-06-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59350.604748+1.90%0.624+5.14%0.0583✓1.406.1M2022-06-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.003590.003658+1.89%0.00362+0.84%0.0121✓1.171.7M2022-06-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.015020.015302+1.88%0.013157-12.40%0.1297✗1.104.4M2022-06-11
RADRadworksEthereum1.671.7003+1.81%1.9+13.77%0.1304✓1.00392k2022-06-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin64.2665.4135+1.80%52.13-18.88%0.2049✗1.1417.8M2022-06-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.052906+1.74%0.0687+32.12%0.2828✓1.11416k2022-06-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,878.0010,049.58+1.74%6,353.67-35.68%0.4361✗1.162.6M2022-06-11
XMRMoneroMonero137.43139.7493+1.69%166.23+20.96%0.1932✓1.023.0M2022-06-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum11.5811.7711+1.65%10.29-11.14%0.1172✗0.90520k2022-06-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.07730.078534+1.60%0.0578-25.23%0.2772✗1.523.7M2022-06-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum4.634.7038+1.59%5.99+29.37%0.2676✓1.34666k2022-06-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001210.001229+1.59%0.001013-16.28%0.1649✗1.483.9M2022-06-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.172360.175095+1.59%0.16333-5.24%0.0385✗1.61250k2022-06-11
ZECZcashZcash86.487.7668+1.58%79.58-7.89%0.0740✗1.245.1M2022-06-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010810.000010981+1.58%0.00000932-13.78%0.1388✗1.311.3M2022-06-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1204340.122301+1.55%0.125213+3.97%0.0439✓1.0613.8M2022-06-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.6772.718+1.53%3.46+29.25%0.2607✓1.001.4M2022-06-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5790.587668+1.50%0.535-7.60%0.0659✗1.45344k2022-06-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin28,941.9529,366.60+1.47%28,388.63-1.91%0.0146✗1.00667.2M2022-06-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0822690.083434+1.42%0.069729-15.24%0.1581✗1.117.1M2022-06-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0107130.010865+1.41%0.013159+22.83%0.2060✓0.75198k2022-06-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.360570.365566+1.39%0.33297-7.65%0.0693✗1.25166k2022-06-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana4.294.3492+1.38%7.19+67.60%0.5180✓0.791.2M2022-06-11
SOLSolanaSolana44.6545.2475+1.34%33.91-24.05%0.2619✗1.3887.4M2022-06-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative18.8919.1355+1.30%18.23-3.49%0.0243✗1.254.4M2022-06-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.2430.246145+1.29%1.217+400.82%1.6312✓1.711.7M2022-06-11
DODODODOEthereum0.1350.136651+1.22%0.148+9.63%0.1076✓1.444.7M2022-06-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.0120.012146+1.22%0.01046-12.83%0.1292✗1.053.4M2022-06-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.058910.059613+1.19%0.06237+5.87%0.0649✓1.0219k2022-06-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043480.043993+1.18%0.0527+21.21%0.1992✓0.9726k2022-06-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum29,197.0029,520.21+1.11%28,488.70-2.43%0.0167✗0.9840k2022-06-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.4571.472+1.03%1.305-10.43%0.0934✗1.402.6M2022-06-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.6283.6646+1.01%3.3617-7.34%0.0632✗1.19135k2022-06-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.288640.291549+1.01%0.35094+21.58%0.2154✓1.5539k2022-06-11
COMPCompoundEthereum60.8861.4856+0.99%45.28-25.62%0.2798✗1.3531k2022-06-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.38632.4094+0.97%2.2757-4.63%0.0334✗1.23188k2022-06-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.6729.9524+0.95%27.47-7.41%0.0681✗0.9613.8M2022-06-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.094.1282+0.93%5.07+23.96%0.2217✓0.842.8M2022-06-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.01080.010892+0.85%0.00819-24.17%0.2695✗0.80246k2022-06-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash193.69195.3209+0.84%156.57-19.16%0.1995✗1.125.3M2022-06-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021760.021935+0.80%0.024591+13.01%0.1332✓0.9830k2022-06-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.263.2854+0.78%3.74+14.72%0.1435✓0.72777k2022-06-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3041.3142+0.78%0.908-30.37%0.3422✗1.425.3M2022-06-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008890.008954+0.72%0.01027+15.52%0.1689✓1.6444.1M2022-06-11
QNTQuantEthereum73.3773.8539+0.66%55-25.04%0.2747✗1.043.5M2022-06-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5830.586605+0.62%0.533-8.58%0.0677✗1.4624k2022-06-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68451.6945+0.60%1.7948+6.55%0.0817✓1.26866k2022-06-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3343760.336271+0.57%0.332152-0.67%0.0128✓1.306.1M2022-06-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.289990.291482+0.51%0.59423+104.91%0.7434✓1.61365k2022-06-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,954.391,963.72+0.48%1,531.09-21.66%0.2290✗1.03464.2M2022-06-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.720.723134+0.44%0.79+9.72%0.1178✓1.52842k2022-06-11
GTGateEthereum5.36745.3901+0.42%5.2873-1.49%0.0088✗0.544.8M2022-06-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0650.065237+0.37%0.0509-21.69%0.2283✗1.03115k2022-06-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.03890.039033+0.34%0.046+18.25%0.1863✓1.141.7M2022-06-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum1.351.3532+0.24%1.1-18.52%0.1864✗1.08134k2022-06-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.6249.7259+0.21%52.899+6.61%0.0803✓0.962.0M2022-06-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum14.0614.071+0.08%10.23-27.24%0.2936✗1.31812k2022-06-11
ADACardanoCardano0.47240.472367-0.01%0.5535+17.17%0.1831✗1.2742.0M2022-06-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08630.086156-0.17%0.0843-2.32%0.0055✓0.85169k2022-06-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.05571.0528-0.28%2.399+127.24%0.8438✗1.052.5M2022-06-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0078870.007864-0.30%0.00918+16.39%0.1745✗1.0232k2022-06-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.80.796168-0.48%0.763-4.63%0.0212✓1.103.3M2022-06-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.42220.42016-0.48%0.3504-17.01%0.1588✓1.1812.6M2022-06-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8070.802516-0.56%0.694-14.00%0.1242✓1.09643k2022-06-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.7857.7355-0.64%4.736-39.17%0.4397✓2.6483.4M2022-06-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.28350.281245-0.80%0.1608-43.28%0.5499✓0.48485k2022-06-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain1.42711.4149-0.86%2.6845+88.11%0.6706✗1.567.0M2022-06-11
XYMSymbolnative0.06640.065765-0.96%0.052386-21.11%0.2132✓0.74619k2022-06-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.29541.2822-1.02%1.6454+27.02%0.2724✗1.199.8M2022-06-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07850.07767-1.06%0.0883+12.48%0.1632✗1.81734k2022-06-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.60771.589-1.17%1.2205-24.08%0.2515✓0.6416k2022-06-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.135.0676-1.22%5.5003+7.22%0.0872✗0.27284k2022-06-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.598.4471-1.66%9.2+7.10%0.1154✗1.565.8M2022-06-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum4.63e-74.55e-7-1.77%3.17e-7-31.61%0.3522✓0.521.4M2022-06-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L20.8960.876296-2.20%1.714+91.29%0.6965✗1.3316.1M2022-06-11
TRXTRONTron0.0669880.065474-2.26%0.075758+13.09%0.1615✗0.81825k2022-06-11
PROPropyEthereum0.880.859827-2.29%0.92+4.55%0.0806✗0.67528k2022-06-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.0571.0281-2.73%2.0307+92.12%0.7007✗1.044.2M2022-06-11
STEEMSteemnative0.17710.169456-4.32%0.2405+35.80%0.3694✗1.002.1M2022-06-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.2311.156-6.09%1.088-11.62%0.0414✓1.005.7M2022-06-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.06530.057347-12.18%0.05764-11.73%0.0244✓1.004.0M2022-06-11
GMTGMTEthereum1.1611.0059-13.36%0.798-31.27%0.2123✓1.009.5M2022-06-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.00870.004028-53.70%0.0000695-99.20%4.0006✓3.067.8M2022-06-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.