8=======>

2022-04-23 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2503
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.64%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
95.7%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-26.31%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUSHISushiEthereum3.422.9531-13.65%1.53-55.26%0.2956✓1.195.5M2022-05-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.892659-13.33%0.7044-31.61%0.0789✓1.03645k2022-05-23
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5563.9824-12.59%1.931-57.62%0.2014✓1.712.1M2022-05-23
APEApeCoinEthereum16.68214.6045-12.45%7.749-53.55%0.0226✓2.1545.4M2022-05-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32920.288319-12.42%0.1353-58.90%0.3361✓1.389.0M2022-05-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.8195.1068-12.24%2.587-55.54%0.2723✓1.348.0M2022-05-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.023940.021072-11.98%0.01241-48.16%0.0813✓1.4748.3M2022-05-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.9512.3272-11.63%12.71-8.89%0.4123✗1.252.1M2022-05-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.840.743475-11.49%0.346-58.81%0.3569✓1.342.3M2022-05-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.61194.093-11.25%2.5223-45.31%0.1955✓0.95275k2022-05-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3540.314326-11.21%0.1546-56.33%0.3496✓1.189.9M2022-05-23
MOVRMoonriverBase54.252548.188-11.18%24.2885-55.23%0.2609✓1.39219k2022-05-23
AAVEAaveEthereum173.44154.2114-11.09%99.24-42.78%0.0616✓1.2412.5M2022-05-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4451.2871-10.92%0.951-34.19%0.0005✓0.99725k2022-05-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.33430.298106-10.83%0.1721-48.52%0.1583✓1.281.2M2022-05-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004080.003645-10.66%0.00141-65.44%0.6311✓1.047.1M2022-05-23
BRISEBitgertEthereum0.0000010079.00e-7-10.66%7.03e-7-30.24%0.3070✓-0.20602k2022-05-23
ZECZcashZcash153.21136.9964-10.58%99.18-35.27%0.0262✓0.977.8M2022-05-23
MINAMina Protocolnative2.252.012-10.58%0.981-56.40%0.4097✓1.011.2M2022-05-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.1340.4179-10.44%20.98-53.51%0.2945✓1.187.8M2022-05-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022080.019777-10.43%0.00906-58.97%0.4725✓1.01423k2022-05-23
BORABORAKlay Token0.794280.712617-10.28%0.41457-47.81%0.1993✓1.12140k2022-05-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6917.6845-10.19%9.44-52.06%0.2208✓1.33190k2022-05-23
LRCLoopringEthereum0.92380.830483-10.10%0.5503-40.43%0.0405✓1.22607k2022-05-23
BANDBandEthereum3.673.3021-10.02%1.708-53.46%0.2964✓1.19723k2022-05-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3021.1734-9.88%0.647-50.31%0.2509✓1.132.6M2022-05-23
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.3765.7559-9.72%2.852-55.27%0.3603✓1.12235k2022-05-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche72.8165.7625-9.68%29.04-60.12%0.4574✓1.1863.5M2022-05-23
DODODODOEthereum0.3990.360702-9.60%0.146-63.41%0.5741✓1.088.0M2022-05-23
ADACardanoCardano0.88730.802316-9.58%0.5129-42.20%0.1377✓1.0156.0M2022-05-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6682.4165-9.43%1.297-51.39%0.2460✓1.237.8M2022-05-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.153.7616-9.36%1.94-53.25%0.2601✓1.32510k2022-05-23
XVGVergenative0.010070.009138-9.26%0.00507-49.65%0.2659✓1.061.4M2022-05-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.975.4191-9.23%2.56-57.12%0.3050✓1.46461k2022-05-23
ZENHorizenBase36.0232.6977-9.22%19.9-44.75%0.1071✓1.28305k2022-05-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4814.963-9.21%7.76-52.91%0.3332✓1.0615.8M2022-05-23
SCSiacoinnative0.010380.009427-9.18%0.00513-50.58%0.2626✓1.13517k2022-05-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.974.5163-9.13%3.12-37.22%0.1619✓0.681.2M2022-05-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.565.0531-9.12%3.79-31.83%0.1237✓0.541.6M2022-05-23
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum1.9521.7743-9.10%0.703-63.99%0.6291✓0.9781k2022-05-23
QTUMQtumQtum6.44195.8556-9.10%4.1025-36.32%0.0158✓1.11170k2022-05-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum26.2523.8691-9.07%14.13-46.17%0.1519✓1.22669k2022-05-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1471.0439-8.99%0.545-52.48%0.3314✓1.041.3M2022-05-23
SOLSolanaSolana100.6691.6995-8.90%49.11-51.21%0.2569✓1.20145.6M2022-05-23
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.59220.53996-8.82%0.2149-63.71%0.8316✓0.29814k2022-05-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.580.529257-8.75%0.20877-64.01%0.4938✓1.43387k2022-05-23
FIDABonfidaSolana1.3661.248-8.64%0.555-59.37%0.5095✓0.9959k2022-05-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3160.288794-8.61%0.1265-59.97%0.6271✓0.6538k2022-05-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010140.00927-8.58%0.00472-53.45%0.3198✓1.163.1M2022-05-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6420.587036-8.56%0.236-63.24%0.6136✓0.975.2M2022-05-23
XVSVenusEthereum10.899.9589-8.55%4.66-57.21%0.4470✓1.024.7M2022-05-23
LUNATerraTerra 289.1881.5734-8.53%0.00016-100.00%12.7599✓1.259.9M2022-05-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.21640.198112-8.45%0.1176-45.66%0.1860✓1.103.2M2022-05-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum5.224.7819-8.39%2.2096-57.67%0.5386✓0.767.7M2022-05-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.074590.068357-8.36%0.03865-48.18%0.2688✓0.99140k2022-05-23
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.25940.237725-8.36%0.1439-44.53%0.1089✓1.29236k2022-05-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4081.2904-8.35%0.676-51.99%0.2738✓1.22555k2022-05-23
UOSUltraEthereum0.913880.838175-8.28%0.38305-58.09%0.4133✓1.211.6M2022-05-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.70740.649307-8.21%0.4165-41.12%0.1706✓0.9013.2M2022-05-23
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6383.3393-8.21%1.161-68.09%0.6048✓1.48826k2022-05-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.9217.3668-8.21%8.16-56.87%0.4477✓1.0110.7M2022-05-23
DASHDashDash101.8193.5178-8.14%59.83-41.23%0.1440✓0.991.6M2022-05-23
HIVEHivenative0.96670.888346-8.11%0.4894-49.37%0.3053✓0.951.9M2022-05-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.733910.674505-8.09%0.3839-47.69%0.2583✓1.00152k2022-05-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.68130.62629-8.07%0.3315-51.34%0.3452✓0.958.9M2022-05-23
KSMKusamaHydration162.23149.1365-8.07%82.85-48.93%0.2691✓1.041.1M2022-05-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.24832.0676-8.04%1.2304-45.28%0.2645✓0.83100k2022-05-23
RADRadworksEthereum4.424.0663-8.00%1.93-56.33%0.4897✓0.84785k2022-05-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077860.071647-7.98%0.04706-39.56%0.1911✓0.7531k2022-05-23
XECeCashnative0.000090190.00008303-7.94%0.00004815-46.61%0.2667✓0.919.8M2022-05-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.34710.319706-7.89%0.1194-65.60%0.4758✓1.672.2M2022-05-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017360.01599-7.89%0.00988-43.09%0.2124✓0.881.6M2022-05-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.11410.105131-7.86%0.0664-41.81%0.1810✓0.91948k2022-05-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.752.5367-7.75%1.444-47.49%0.2681✓0.978.4M2022-05-23
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04870.044928-7.75%0.0257-47.23%0.0626✓1.6232.9M2022-05-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash312.68288.5835-7.71%191.72-38.68%0.1183✓0.956.2M2022-05-23
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0270330.024963-7.66%0.017682-34.59%0.1831✓0.53195k2022-05-23
COMPCompoundEthereum131.18121.1575-7.64%68.89-47.48%0.2263✓1.1175k2022-05-23
GALAGALAEthereum0.18830.173955-7.62%0.0797-57.67%0.4346✓1.13235k2022-05-23
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91570.846273-7.58%0.381-58.39%0.4190✓1.24224k2022-05-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8380090.774513-7.58%0.420264-49.85%0.2837✓1.074.2M2022-05-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5531.9693-7.47%21.79-36.93%0.0592✓1.0610.9M2022-05-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.54990.508842-7.47%0.3022-45.04%0.1892✓1.09761k2022-05-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,359.3316,994.35-7.43%8,924.64-51.39%0.3450✓0.984.3M2022-05-23
MANADecentralandEthereum2.01361.8651-7.38%1.0279-48.95%0.2709✓1.061.3M2022-05-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.22110.204812-7.37%0.1154-47.81%0.1900✓1.263.3M2022-05-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.06880.990052-7.37%0.56008-47.60%0.2351✓1.10156k2022-05-23
DIADIAEthereum0.880.81523-7.36%0.48959-44.36%0.3619✓0.48122k2022-05-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19931.1111-7.36%0.6653-44.53%0.1429✓1.2111.3M2022-05-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0321530.029821-7.25%0.020648-35.78%0.0666✓0.994.5M2022-05-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06710.06233-7.11%0.0329-50.97%0.3042✓1.10374k2022-05-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5964.2702-7.09%2-56.48%0.3715✓1.27134k2022-05-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.455.0652-7.06%3.57-34.50%0.1614✓0.621.0M2022-05-23
NANOnanopayBase2.07931.933-7.04%1.1466-44.86%0.2250✓0.97206k2022-05-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.6323.8263-7.04%12.87-49.79%0.3475✓0.88517k2022-05-23
XTZTezosTezos3.0122.8012-7.00%1.8727-37.83%0.0942✓1.01893k2022-05-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.2121.586-7.00%11.13-52.05%0.3458✓1.0425.4M2022-05-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7020.652901-6.99%0.377-46.30%0.3218✓0.742.8M2022-05-23
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1920.178694-6.93%0.055-71.35%1.0534✓0.41175k2022-05-23
WOOWOOEthereum0.45840.426734-6.91%0.2242-51.09%0.5675✓0.255,5292022-05-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.8002-6.73%0.87-54.92%0.3353✓1.281.6M2022-05-23
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.18140.169216-6.72%0.0896-50.61%0.0467✓2.24408k2022-05-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.3234.0349-6.67%1.748-59.57%0.5580✓0.913.2M2022-05-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.32360.302075-6.65%0.1757-45.70%0.2104✓1.09518k2022-05-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18170.169945-6.47%0.0801-55.92%0.4023✓1.159.4M2022-05-23
PROPropyEthereum1.71.5905-6.44%1.04-38.82%0.2926✓0.43191k2022-05-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3623.1456-6.44%2.618-22.13%0.0150✓0.651.9M2022-05-23
UNIUniswapEthereum8.928.3476-6.42%5.62-37.00%0.0892✓1.006.8M2022-05-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.717.5274-6.27%9.88-47.17%0.2691✓1.0016.5M2022-05-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.92373.6799-6.21%2.5073-36.10%0.2151✓0.554.6M2022-05-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7084.4155-6.21%4.685-0.49%0.1327✗0.243.0M2022-05-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.1698.8299-6.02%68.95-34.43%0.0513✓1.0119.7M2022-05-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.4163.2105-6.02%3.201-6.29%0.1688✗0.562.0M2022-05-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23930.225003-5.97%0.1324-44.67%0.2865✓0.801.6M2022-05-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.022020.020707-5.96%0.01287-41.55%0.2528✓0.734.5M2022-05-23
TRXTRONTron0.0676190.063616-5.92%0.076052+12.47%0.3620✗0.60302k2022-05-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV78.7874.197-5.82%51-35.26%0.1350✓0.793.4M2022-05-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum65.6537-5.77%3.39-43.50%0.3411✓0.561.0M2022-05-23
IMXImmutableEthereum1.811.7062-5.74%0.938-48.18%0.3059✓0.967.8M2022-05-23
GLMGolemEthereum0.44490.419546-5.70%0.2569-42.26%0.0659✓1.39346k2022-05-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.3213.5112-5.65%5.66-60.47%0.7370✓0.442.7M2022-05-23
FTTFTXEthereum41.0338.7236-5.62%29.68-27.66%0.0044✓0.8919.5M2022-05-23
BTTCBTTC0.000001850.000001746-5.61%0.0000011-40.54%0.2453✓0.719.5M2022-05-23
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033370.031507-5.58%0.02975-10.85%0.1191✗0.58574k2022-05-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9112.1918-5.56%6.18-52.13%0.3663✓1.031.1M2022-05-23
XYMSymbolnative0.11130.105116-5.56%0.0654-41.24%0.2758✓0.65823k2022-05-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.52870.499495-5.52%0.2567-51.45%0.4056✓0.85511k2022-05-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.65594.4026-5.44%2.2211-52.29%0.5305✓0.505.6M2022-05-23
ORCAOrcaSolana1.951.8454-5.37%0.78-60.00%0.6451✓0.71250k2022-05-23
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.90515.593-5.29%3.4941-40.83%0.1164✓1.1610.7M2022-05-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.3212.6208-5.25%7.01-47.37%0.2589✓1.0826.0M2022-05-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13410.127157-5.18%0.087-35.12%0.0790✓0.98203k2022-05-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana12.8612.2053-5.09%8.01-37.71%0.3135✓0.351.9M2022-05-23
ETHEthereumEthereum2,933.442,784.74-5.07%1,971.06-32.81%0.0442✓0.99438.2M2022-05-23
UMAUMAEthereum6.1645.8533-5.04%3.459-43.88%0.0832✓1.452.6M2022-05-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.0798-5.03%1.36-37.90%0.1257✓0.98128k2022-05-23
CBKCobakEthereum2.2592.148-4.91%1.169-48.25%0.3958✓0.7026k2022-05-23
KCSKuCoinnative20.01119.0386-4.86%16.3-18.54%0.0793✗0.775.8M2022-05-23
AVTAventusEthereum2.312.1978-4.86%1.18-48.92%0.4701✓0.50322k2022-05-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.093090.088631-4.79%0.05627-39.55%0.2178✓0.7739k2022-05-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045180.043088-4.63%0.02709-40.04%0.2184✓0.8071k2022-05-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024110.000022999-4.61%0.00001167-51.60%0.3607✓1.042.1M2022-05-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.10750.102646-4.52%0.0539-49.86%0.3625✓0.922.4M2022-05-23
QNTQuantEthereum105.88101.1051-4.51%67.91-35.86%0.1542✓0.803.4M2022-05-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.138530.132356-4.46%0.07037-49.20%0.4057✓0.7415k2022-05-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.015.7425-4.45%4-33.44%0.1730✓0.621.4M2022-05-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.0147870.01414-4.37%0.00859-41.91%0.2372✓0.8653k2022-05-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1338140.127968-4.37%0.083087-37.91%0.1772✓0.835.0M2022-05-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.47142.3644-4.33%1.5809-36.03%0.2043✓0.6511k2022-05-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011130.010665-4.18%0.0045-59.57%0.6937✓0.5538k2022-05-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2621.2093-4.18%0.769-39.06%0.1387✓1.033.8M2022-05-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.046520.044593-4.14%0.02707-41.81%0.2547✓0.80405k2022-05-23
STXStacksnative1.131.0839-4.08%0.62-45.13%0.2764✓0.92422k2022-05-23
XLMStellarStellar0.1913990.183693-4.03%0.128708-32.75%0.0637✓0.9618.9M2022-05-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89755.6689-3.88%4.9179-16.61%0.0088✓0.49201k2022-05-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.2945.0897-3.86%2.975-43.80%0.2477✓0.9564k2022-05-23
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9625.7336-3.83%2.531-57.55%0.3788✓1.4418k2022-05-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,465.8738,159.21-3.31%29,082.52-26.31%0.0337✓1.00544.9M2022-05-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum39,545.9038,313.36-3.12%29,122.50-26.36%0.0068✓0.9225k2022-05-23
XMRMoneroMonero267.1259.4888-2.85%185.61-30.51%0.0637✓0.892.8M2022-05-23
XEMNEMnative0.09420.091715-2.64%0.0554-41.19%0.2280✓0.9067k2022-05-23
GTGateEthereum6.42046.2853-2.10%5.6735-11.63%0.0433✗0.484.6M2022-05-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.