8=======>

2022-04-17 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 162 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2183
162 of 162 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
96.3%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-23.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (162 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
MOVRMoonriverBase57.227650.8171-11.20%24.7107-56.82%0.3301✓1.47223k2022-05-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.030.917371-10.93%0.38508-62.61%0.5540✓1.18798k2022-05-17
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5674.0708-10.86%2.115-53.69%0.1944✓1.732.6M2022-05-17
SUSHISushiEthereum3.22.8577-10.70%1.43-55.31%0.3606✓1.256.7M2022-05-17
APEApeCoinEthereum11.69510.4572-10.58%8.877-24.10%0.4155✗2.1846.3M2022-05-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.017990.016112-10.44%0.01468-18.40%0.2978✗1.4749.4M2022-05-17
BANDBandEthereum3.5543.1844-10.40%1.765-50.34%0.2611✓1.24749k2022-05-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32340.289936-10.35%0.1452-55.10%0.3041✓1.469.4M2022-05-17
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.58e-78.62e-7-10.04%7.15e-7-25.41%0.2707✓-0.31596k2022-05-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.0044.5096-9.88%2.883-42.39%0.1010✓1.307.3M2022-05-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.022830.020581-9.85%0.00905-60.36%0.5167✓1.15374k2022-05-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.51924.076-9.81%2.5786-42.94%0.1975✓0.98280k2022-05-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.4631.3203-9.76%0.958-34.52%0.0505✓1.021.1M2022-05-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0351820.031788-9.65%0.016233-53.86%0.3751✓1.124.5M2022-05-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1971.0823-9.58%0.593-50.46%0.3266✓1.031.4M2022-05-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.3350.303339-9.45%0.2022-39.64%0.0585✓1.301.6M2022-05-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.282.0666-9.36%1.1-51.75%0.3401✓1.091.2M2022-05-17
AAVEAaveEthereum167.03151.5217-9.28%92.53-44.60%0.1442✓1.3113.5M2022-05-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.34860.316373-9.24%0.1798-48.42%0.2518✓1.1810.5M2022-05-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.1155.5509-9.22%4.126-32.53%0.1185✓0.671.8M2022-05-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.620.562845-9.22%0.20963-66.19%0.5899✓1.49478k2022-05-17
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4575.8627-9.20%3.13-51.53%0.3296✓1.12340k2022-05-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7112.4693-9.05%12.44-9.26%0.3450✗1.312.5M2022-05-17
DODODODOEthereum0.3780.343821-9.04%0.168-55.56%0.4043✓1.177.4M2022-05-17
BORABORAKlay Token0.809550.736881-8.98%0.39337-51.41%0.3616✓1.00182k2022-05-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8060.733671-8.97%0.342-57.57%0.4022✓1.362.7M2022-05-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.620.564673-8.92%0.253-59.19%0.5104✓1.105.9M2022-05-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.69390.632371-8.87%0.2547-63.29%0.7917✓0.44814k2022-05-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004060.003707-8.68%0.00144-64.53%0.6181✓1.239.6M2022-05-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.7032.4685-8.68%1.413-47.72%0.2939✓0.993.8M2022-05-17
ADACardanoCardano0.91480.835697-8.65%0.577-36.93%0.0947✓1.0468.9M2022-05-17
ZECZcashZcash137.47125.6746-8.58%114.63-16.61%0.1804✗1.029.2M2022-05-17
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.8453.5154-8.57%1.399-63.62%0.5389✓1.44720k2022-05-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.4221.3025-8.40%0.74-47.96%0.2142✓1.32555k2022-05-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche75.4569.1194-8.39%34.38-54.43%0.3621✓1.2694.4M2022-05-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0272570.024977-8.36%0.015368-43.62%0.3037✓0.68195k2022-05-17
QTUMQtumQtum6.53245.987-8.35%4.2187-35.42%0.0392✓1.17216k2022-05-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8540.782874-8.33%0.5004-41.41%0.0846✓1.36870k2022-05-17
SOLSolanaSolana100.1891.8669-8.30%57.02-43.08%0.1444✓1.25147.4M2022-05-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.6418.0116-8.29%10.34-47.35%0.1950✓1.35226k2022-05-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.28383.9301-8.26%2.18-49.11%0.3866✓0.763.9M2022-05-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2220.203861-8.17%0.12-45.95%0.2134✓1.193.2M2022-05-17
XVGVergenative0.010360.009514-8.17%0.00546-47.30%0.2464✓1.161.7M2022-05-17
LUNATerraTerra 277.2870.9965-8.13%0.00019-100.00%12.4928✓1.277.7M2022-05-17
COMPCompoundEthereum148.41136.4387-8.07%74.69-49.67%0.2822✓1.2076k2022-05-17
SCSiacoinnative0.010130.009317-8.03%0.00561-44.62%0.1908✓1.19565k2022-05-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum45.4741.8296-8.01%22.4-50.74%0.2844✓1.288.8M2022-05-17
UOSUltraEthereum0.9180.845687-7.88%0.38048-58.55%0.4518✓1.301.5M2022-05-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.123.797-7.84%1.83-55.58%0.3566✓1.40713k2022-05-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19491.1022-7.76%0.7365-38.36%0.0696✓1.2511.9M2022-05-17
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.1261.9621-7.71%0.64-69.90%0.8559✓0.9994k2022-05-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.072350.06678-7.70%0.04094-43.41%0.2092✓1.05121k2022-05-17
ZENHorizenBase36.4733.6767-7.66%22.14-39.29%0.0604✓1.35431k2022-05-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2210.20409-7.65%0.0712-67.78%0.8749✓0.67100k2022-05-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6876660.63516-7.64%0.424817-38.22%0.1064✓1.113.2M2022-05-17
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.23510.217181-7.62%0.1525-35.13%0.0142✓1.38368k2022-05-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3281.227-7.60%0.623-53.09%0.3365✓1.283.4M2022-05-17
KSMKusamaHydration168.62155.8024-7.60%82.04-51.35%0.3614✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
GALAGALAEthereum0.19250.177968-7.55%0.0892-53.66%0.3859✓1.15251k2022-05-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.718.2211-7.51%8.56-56.55%0.4585✓1.1210.9M2022-05-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.2243.9069-7.51%1.905-54.90%0.5493✓0.633.4M2022-05-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.4115.1873-7.45%8.62-47.47%0.2917✓1.0318.5M2022-05-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash328.18303.9237-7.39%206.73-37.01%0.1216✓0.998.6M2022-05-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.42-7.35%2.58-55.90%0.3384✓1.52665k2022-05-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.2320.5964-7.35%15.21-31.58%0.0445✓1.31752k2022-05-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.724790.672316-7.24%0.4149-42.76%0.2045✓1.05180k2022-05-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.11680.108435-7.16%0.0711-39.13%0.1156✓1.15952k2022-05-17
DIADIAEthereum0.880.816989-7.16%0.39763-54.81%0.5935✓0.48169k2022-05-17
FIDABonfidaSolana1.431.3278-7.15%0.629-56.01%0.4838✓0.9963k2022-05-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.5833.9949-7.07%21.76-40.51%0.1534✓1.1016.0M2022-05-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.931.7939-7.05%0.91-52.85%0.3252✓1.331.6M2022-05-17
DASHDashDash104.497.0617-7.03%60.11-42.42%0.2043✓1.032.4M2022-05-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.354.9743-7.02%2.74-48.79%0.3955✓0.751.6M2022-05-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.00967-7.02%0.00512-50.77%0.3249✓1.173.4M2022-05-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.05321.91-6.98%1.2159-40.78%0.1494✓1.141.6M2022-05-17
PROPropyEthereum1.931.796-6.95%1.21-37.31%0.1442✓0.94179k2022-05-17
XVSVenusEthereum9.769.0858-6.91%4.73-51.54%0.3455✓1.154.7M2022-05-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.180.167577-6.90%0.0913-49.28%0.2858✓1.219.4M2022-05-17
RADRadworksEthereum4.64.2831-6.89%2.04-55.65%0.4863✓0.96785k2022-05-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.64490.600607-6.87%0.3906-39.43%0.1525✓1.049.8M2022-05-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.71080.662133-6.85%0.4947-30.40%0.0415✓0.9418.3M2022-05-17
XECeCashnative0.000088780.000082713-6.83%0.00004936-44.40%0.2496✓1.009.5M2022-05-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.23330.217383-6.82%0.121-48.14%0.2262✓1.353.5M2022-05-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.0741.9325-6.82%1.2954-37.54%0.1685✓0.8795k2022-05-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.1942.0452-6.78%1.389-36.69%0.0295✓1.347.7M2022-05-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4324.6395-6.77%13.66-48.32%0.3495✓0.90636k2022-05-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06640.061937-6.72%0.0353-46.84%0.2448✓1.19555k2022-05-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017490.016319-6.70%0.0104-40.54%0.1845✓1.002.1M2022-05-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.370.345972-6.49%0.1418-61.68%0.4090✓1.812.3M2022-05-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07460.06978-6.46%0.04738-36.49%0.1656✓0.8350k2022-05-17
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.37775.0308-6.45%2.9271-45.57%0.2191✓1.2112.0M2022-05-17
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19570.183091-6.44%0.0803-58.97%0.2161✓2.29592k2022-05-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.03590.969198-6.44%0.61254-40.87%0.1534✓1.15143k2022-05-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04920.046049-6.40%0.0167-66.06%0.5644✓1.6938.1M2022-05-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.5134.2262-6.36%2.034-54.93%0.4569✓1.03119k2022-05-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.57310.536914-6.31%0.346-39.63%0.1063✓1.25967k2022-05-17
HIVEHivenative0.88580.830409-6.25%0.5411-38.91%0.1420✓1.082.0M2022-05-17
NANOnanopayBase2.0741.9455-6.20%1.1607-44.04%0.2222✓1.11243k2022-05-17
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9420.883842-6.17%0.3614-61.63%0.5190✓1.41231k2022-05-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.685.3335-6.10%2.85-49.82%0.4353✓0.721.4M2022-05-17
XTZTezosTezos3.092.9016-6.10%1.8568-39.91%0.1676✓1.051.0M2022-05-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.00293.7595-6.08%1.9688-50.82%0.4683✓0.674.8M2022-05-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.745.3944-6.02%3.76-34.49%0.1681✓0.721.1M2022-05-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7934.5062-5.98%3.148-34.32%0.2579✓0.384.1M2022-05-17
WOOWOOEthereum0.47370.445387-5.98%0.2109-55.48%0.6906✓0.216,4692022-05-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7470.702874-5.91%0.384-48.59%0.3678✓0.892.9M2022-05-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6693.4543-5.85%1.748-52.36%0.4797✓0.762.2M2022-05-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2670.251541-5.79%0.1311-50.90%0.4236✓0.8636k2022-05-17
GLMGolemEthereum0.41940.395122-5.79%0.2705-35.50%0.0096✓1.46422k2022-05-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana14.8714.0097-5.79%5.35-64.02%0.8316✓0.492.9M2022-05-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.77835.4447-5.77%1.6841-70.85%1.0327✓0.535.6M2022-05-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.842.2439-5.71%32.03-28.50%0.0085✓1.0115.1M2022-05-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.5613.7315-5.69%5.86-59.75%0.7422✓0.412.0M2022-05-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,713.4917,651.90-5.67%9,984.13-46.65%0.2741✓1.115.0M2022-05-17
XYMSymbolnative0.11170.105373-5.66%0.0697-37.60%0.2268✓0.70820k2022-05-17
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7291.6335-5.53%0.913-47.19%0.2995✓1.067.8M2022-05-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.2321.9544-5.49%11.46-50.67%0.3574✓1.1031.7M2022-05-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.28320.267696-5.47%0.1804-36.30%0.0834✓1.17524k2022-05-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.034210.032339-5.47%0.0187-45.34%0.3744✓0.65942k2022-05-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.4037-5.37%1.674-53.46%0.5320✓0.672.5M2022-05-17
UNIUniswapEthereum9.258.7581-5.32%5.47-40.86%0.1884✓1.068.8M2022-05-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin108.78103.0658-5.25%73.04-32.86%0.0700✓1.0323.4M2022-05-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.165.8398-5.20%3.314-46.20%0.1780✓1.462.8M2022-05-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.23850.226211-5.15%0.1493-37.40%0.1879✓0.861.7M2022-05-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.7416.8364-5.09%11.02-37.88%0.1425✓1.0619.0M2022-05-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV83.6279.4365-5.00%55.75-33.33%0.1412✓0.803.5M2022-05-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.55352.427-4.95%1.6818-34.14%0.1609✓0.7711k2022-05-17
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001807-4.92%0.00000113-40.53%0.2781✓0.729.8M2022-05-17
ETHEthereumEthereum2,988.402,841.97-4.90%2,088.96-30.10%0.0283✓1.05448.2M2022-05-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2812.631-4.89%6.53-50.83%0.3587✓1.131.5M2022-05-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.022240.021157-4.87%0.01407-36.74%0.1945✓0.804.9M2022-05-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.7213.0554-4.84%7.71-43.80%0.2236✓1.1426.0M2022-05-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024680.0000235-4.78%0.00001255-49.15%0.3247✓1.142.8M2022-05-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11340.108213-4.57%0.0562-50.44%0.3758✓1.051.1M2022-05-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.143170.136679-4.53%0.07213-49.62%0.4280✓0.7918k2022-05-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0140590.013424-4.51%0.008963-36.25%0.1621✓0.9147k2022-05-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.092370.088214-4.50%0.05523-40.21%0.2371✓0.8735k2022-05-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13640.130332-4.45%0.0907-33.50%0.0904✓1.02224k2022-05-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.62.487-4.35%1.16-55.38%0.6292✓0.50546k2022-05-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.016.7064-4.33%3.61-48.50%0.4169✓0.761.7M2022-05-17
KCSKuCoinnative19.93219.0833-4.26%14.916-25.17%0.0172✓0.865.4M2022-05-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011680.011187-4.22%0.00443-62.07%0.7603✓0.6235k2022-05-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49690.475954-4.22%0.2589-47.90%0.3977✓0.79490k2022-05-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.242.1457-4.21%1.47-34.38%0.1083✓1.01163k2022-05-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043620.041806-4.16%0.02904-33.43%0.1296✓0.8867k2022-05-17
QNTQuantEthereum110.99106.5562-3.99%74.46-32.91%0.1123✓0.924.0M2022-05-17
TRXTRONTron0.0601490.057757-3.98%0.072142+19.94%0.3990✗0.66252k2022-05-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2391.1907-3.90%0.817-34.06%0.1205✓0.963.5M2022-05-17
XLMStellarStellar0.1966170.189036-3.86%0.141543-28.01%0.0231✓1.0018.8M2022-05-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1393710.134031-3.83%0.090151-35.32%0.1678✓0.865.0M2022-05-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.1952.1134-3.72%1.231-43.92%0.3279✓0.8025k2022-05-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.049780.047945-3.69%0.02971-40.32%0.2069✓1.02561k2022-05-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.89595.679-3.68%4.98-15.53%0.0057✓0.47177k2022-05-17
STXStacksnative1.131.089-3.63%0.58-48.67%0.3630✓1.00440k2022-05-17
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.7979-3.34%0.97-47.85%0.4279✓0.71238k2022-05-17
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9215.7242-3.32%2.75-53.56%0.3321✓1.5118k2022-05-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,677.8039,432.99-3.06%30,409.80-25.24%0.0063✓0.9526k2022-05-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin39,683.5438,499.29-2.98%30,412.12-23.36%0.0303✓1.00529.9M2022-05-17
XMRMoneroMonero242235.5111-2.68%172.72-28.63%0.0637✓0.931.7M2022-05-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7754.6511-2.59%3.057-35.98%0.1622✓0.9772k2022-05-17
XEMNEMnative0.09710.095077-2.08%0.0614-36.77%0.1918✓0.9261k2022-05-17
GTGateEthereum6.41686.3057-1.73%5.7521-10.36%0.0639✗0.594.4M2022-05-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.