8=======>

2022-04-15 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2424
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.62%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
98.2%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-22.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51860.509773-1.70%0.2616-49.56%0.4601✓0.80500k2022-05-15
XEMNEMnative0.10080.098843-1.94%0.0667-33.83%0.1539✓0.9255k2022-05-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.80385.691-1.94%5.0077-13.72%0.0050✓0.47186k2022-05-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.2642.2098-2.39%1.212-46.47%0.3927✓0.8026k2022-05-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.47080.459061-2.49%0.2124-54.89%0.7166✓0.216,4692022-05-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04960.048237-2.75%0.02694-45.69%0.3148✓1.03567k2022-05-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,554.5839,370.71-2.92%31,290.05-22.84%0.0296✓1.00582.5M2022-05-15
QNTQuantEthereum112.54109.0445-3.11%75.21-33.17%0.1303✓0.934.0M2022-05-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.292.2178-3.15%1.5-34.50%0.1270✓1.02163k2022-05-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,577.8039,255.87-3.26%31,292.30-22.88%0.0218✓0.9626k2022-05-15
STXStacksnative1.181.1413-3.28%0.62-47.46%0.3507✓1.00447k2022-05-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2042670.197521-3.30%0.144986-29.02%0.0511✓1.0018.8M2022-05-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.022520.021759-3.38%0.01426-36.68%0.2142✓0.804.9M2022-05-15
ORCAOrcaSolana1.861.7972-3.38%1-46.24%0.4014✓0.71214k2022-05-15
KCSKuCoinnative19.98419.2987-3.43%14.507-27.41%0.0621✓0.865.4M2022-05-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.67460.65008-3.63%0.3745-44.49%0.2837✓1.039.8M2022-05-15
TRXTRONTron0.06190.059637-3.66%0.072317+16.83%0.3631✗0.66254k2022-05-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.096330.092761-3.70%0.05678-41.06%0.2660✓0.8735k2022-05-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13750.132278-3.80%0.0907-34.04%0.1115✓1.02224k2022-05-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.545.3288-3.81%2.54-54.15%0.5460✓0.751.6M2022-05-15
UNIUniswapEthereum9.779.3968-3.82%5.45-44.22%0.2684✓1.078.8M2022-05-15
FIDABonfidaSolana1.531.4704-3.90%0.641-58.10%0.5750✓0.9863k2022-05-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011810.011349-3.91%0.00449-61.98%0.7635✓0.6335k2022-05-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2262.1382-3.94%1.507-32.30%0.0008✓1.358.4M2022-05-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036890.035409-4.02%0.01781-51.72%0.5147✓0.67942k2022-05-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.0418.2719-4.03%9.16-51.89%0.4017✓1.1110.5M2022-05-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,114.4618,331.72-4.09%10,598.49-44.55%0.2579✓1.125.9M2022-05-15
UMAUMAEthereum6.4136.15-4.10%3.132-51.16%0.2965✓1.463.0M2022-05-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.7871.7122-4.19%0.954-46.61%0.3075✓1.077.8M2022-05-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV85.7282.0706-4.26%54.96-35.88%0.1941✓0.803.5M2022-05-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.1113.5035-4.30%7.96-43.59%0.2314✓1.1526.0M2022-05-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24940.238608-4.33%0.1299-47.91%0.3863✓0.861.8M2022-05-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6573.497-4.38%1.587-56.60%0.6183✓0.662.7M2022-05-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.9974.7774-4.39%3.06-38.76%0.1936✓0.9779k2022-05-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.3617.546-4.43%11.79-35.78%0.1219✓1.0619.0M2022-05-15
XTZTezosTezos3.19393.0502-4.50%1.915-40.04%0.1935✓1.051.1M2022-05-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.144780.138265-4.50%0.07163-50.52%0.4544✓0.7820k2022-05-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.95.631-4.56%3.83-35.08%0.1969✓0.731.1M2022-05-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.73940.705363-4.60%0.4902-33.70%0.1191✓0.9418.3M2022-05-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.1413.4874-4.62%6.04-57.28%0.5087✓1.141.5M2022-05-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010450.009966-4.63%0.0057-45.45%0.2547✓1.174.3M2022-05-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025920.000024718-4.64%0.00001304-49.69%0.3438✓1.142.8M2022-05-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.04590.043753-4.68%0.02804-38.91%0.2159✓0.8863k2022-05-15
GTGateEthereum6.5676.2597-4.68%5.5674-15.22%0.0342✓0.584.5M2022-05-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3411.278-4.70%0.704-47.50%0.2607✓1.293.6M2022-05-15
XYMSymbolnative0.11740.111877-4.70%0.0717-38.93%0.2639✓0.70840k2022-05-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1459210.13901-4.74%0.092987-36.28%0.1792✓0.865.0M2022-05-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.03880.989153-4.78%0.39997-61.50%0.5675✓1.301.4M2022-05-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.29130.27718-4.85%0.1868-35.87%0.0907✓1.17618k2022-05-15
HIVEHivenative0.92060.875879-4.86%0.5339-42.01%0.2155✓1.082.0M2022-05-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.11.0463-4.88%0.41498-62.27%0.6220✓1.17798k2022-05-15
MANADecentralandEthereum2.1442.0392-4.89%1.3383-37.58%0.1253✓1.141.6M2022-05-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.2620.2174-4.90%11.53-45.77%0.2106✓1.35226k2022-05-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.40430.384302-4.95%0.1323-67.28%0.5934✓1.822.3M2022-05-15
AVTAventusEthereum2.422.3-4.96%1.08-55.37%0.6214✓0.52491k2022-05-15
ZENHorizenBase39.0437.0843-5.01%22.1-43.39%0.1686✓1.35461k2022-05-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.20430.19406-5.01%0.0751-63.24%0.3592✓2.28623k2022-05-15
GITCOINGITCOIN6.0495.7452-5.02%2.469-59.18%0.4599✓1.4818k2022-05-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07580.071988-5.03%0.04022-46.94%0.3094✓1.05121k2022-05-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05340.05071-5.04%0.0173-67.60%0.6321✓1.7140.1M2022-05-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3141.2476-5.05%0.832-36.68%0.1556✓0.963.5M2022-05-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.1122.8798-5.10%12.37-48.69%0.3262✓1.1131.7M2022-05-15
RADRadworksEthereum4.854.6001-5.15%2-58.76%0.5842✓0.96785k2022-05-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.875.5674-5.16%2.74-53.32%0.5231✓0.721.4M2022-05-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,040.192,882.60-5.18%2,142.69-29.52%0.0234✓1.05528.8M2022-05-15
DASHDashDash109.26103.5868-5.19%63.03-42.31%0.2301✓1.032.4M2022-05-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.722810.685148-5.21%0.43346-40.03%0.1872✓1.04192k2022-05-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.4473.3935-5.23%36.54-52.82%0.3682✓1.27103.0M2022-05-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.4213.6653-5.23%5.39-62.62%0.8239✓0.411.9M2022-05-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8364.5776-5.34%1.844-61.87%0.8113✓0.384.9M2022-05-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.08251.0244-5.37%0.59535-45.00%0.2456✓1.15143k2022-05-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.815.8832-5.46%9.22-45.12%0.2764✓1.0318.5M2022-05-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.3422.0548-5.51%15.77-32.43%0.0041✓1.31833k2022-05-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin111104.8317-5.56%71.5-35.59%0.1187✓1.0223.4M2022-05-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.11480.108411-5.57%0.0705-38.59%0.1292✓1.16952k2022-05-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.25370.23947-5.61%0.122-51.91%0.3330✓1.323.5M2022-05-15
ADACardanoCardano0.95530.901713-5.61%0.598-37.40%0.1495✓1.0168.9M2022-05-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7733.5599-5.65%1.57-58.39%0.6223✓0.762.3M2022-05-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.14892.0273-5.66%1.2834-40.28%0.2313✓0.8795k2022-05-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7750.731029-5.67%0.357-53.94%0.4856✓0.892.9M2022-05-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.56610.533975-5.67%0.319-43.65%0.1885✓1.26938k2022-05-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.0180.016977-5.68%0.011-38.89%0.0519✓1.4750.4M2022-05-15
XVGVergenative0.010520.009913-5.77%0.0053-49.62%0.3240✓1.161.7M2022-05-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.517.0726-5.82%3.26-56.59%0.5785✓0.762.0M2022-05-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2713.4377-5.83%10.37-27.33%0.0834✗1.322.7M2022-05-15
NANOnanopayBase2.15442.0278-5.88%1.1867-44.92%0.2489✓1.11275k2022-05-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5251.4348-5.91%0.773-49.31%0.2753✓1.32555k2022-05-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.253997-5.93%0.1359-49.67%0.4012✓0.8639k2022-05-15
XMRMoneroMonero239.47225.0937-6.00%171.74-28.28%0.0278✓0.941.6M2022-05-15
FTTFTXEthereum42.740.1319-6.01%32.66-23.51%0.0599✓1.0314.2M2022-05-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35920.337592-6.02%0.2021-43.74%0.1745✓1.311.6M2022-05-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.7925.1784-6.02%13.65-49.05%0.3780✓0.90636k2022-05-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36860.346339-6.04%0.1995-45.88%0.2448✓1.1811.9M2022-05-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018090.016987-6.10%0.01019-43.67%0.2512✓1.002.1M2022-05-15
DODODODOEthereum0.4120.386814-6.11%0.169-58.98%0.5253✓1.177.4M2022-05-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0149670.014047-6.14%0.009284-37.97%0.1798✓0.9051k2022-05-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.43760.410528-6.19%0.2757-37.00%0.0190✓1.46463k2022-05-15
ZECZcashZcash146.55137.4733-6.19%112.6-23.17%0.0645✗1.029.9M2022-05-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.314.0405-6.25%1.86-56.84%0.4102✓1.41755k2022-05-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06830.064021-6.26%0.0357-47.73%0.2742✓1.19555k2022-05-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.15.7131-6.34%2.52-58.69%0.4316✓1.49665k2022-05-15
LUNATerraTerra 280.3775.2715-6.34%0.00022-100.00%12.4096✓1.298.2M2022-05-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.3514.3621-6.44%4.99-67.49%0.9302✓0.493.7M2022-05-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash340.95318.983-6.44%214.55-37.07%0.1405✓0.998.6M2022-05-15
BTTCBTTC0.000001980.000001852-6.48%0.00000115-41.92%0.2910✓0.719.8M2022-05-15
KSMKusamaHydration165.97155.2073-6.48%80.53-51.48%0.3812✓1.061.2M2022-05-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.2821.1984-6.52%0.528-58.81%0.5526✓1.031.6M2022-05-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004150.003879-6.53%0.00141-66.02%0.6864✓1.269.7M2022-05-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13433.8632-6.56%1.6876-59.18%0.6542✓0.675.1M2022-05-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4165.9946-6.57%2.887-55.00%0.4408✓1.12349k2022-05-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7134.4005-6.63%2.072-56.04%0.4863✓1.03119k2022-05-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34260.319607-6.71%0.1516-55.75%0.3659✓1.469.4M2022-05-15
XECeCashnative0.00009340.000087116-6.73%0.00004308-53.88%0.4447✓1.009.6M2022-05-15
QTUMQtumQtum6.63116.1834-6.75%4.2708-35.60%0.0674✓1.17206k2022-05-15
MOVRMoonriverBase56.998853.1205-6.80%25.575-55.13%0.3491✓1.47220k2022-05-15
DIADIAEthereum0.910.847716-6.84%0.40967-54.98%0.6045✓0.47169k2022-05-15
XVSVenusEthereum10.249.5391-6.84%5.01-51.07%0.3447✓1.154.8M2022-05-15
SCSiacoinnative0.010690.009948-6.94%0.00572-46.49%0.2452✓1.19565k2022-05-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.9644.6233-6.96%24.12-49.71%0.2834✓1.288.8M2022-05-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.24230.225306-7.01%0.1461-39.70%0.0753✓1.38383k2022-05-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.077120.071691-7.04%0.0485-37.11%0.1775✓0.8250k2022-05-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0367690.03418-7.04%0.017163-53.32%0.3977✓1.124.5M2022-05-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.826840.768545-7.05%0.40992-50.42%0.3692✓1.00182k2022-05-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.20160.187261-7.11%0.1001-50.35%0.3310✓1.14280k2022-05-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.025370.023549-7.18%0.01045-58.81%0.5153✓1.15344k2022-05-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.593786-7.22%0.21866-65.83%0.6108✓1.50510k2022-05-15
MINAMina Protocolnative2.342.171-7.22%1.16-50.43%0.3450✓1.091.4M2022-05-15
SUSHISushiEthereum3.33.0607-7.25%1.39-57.88%0.4642✓1.256.8M2022-05-15
AAVEAaveEthereum175.94163.133-7.28%92.06-47.68%0.2305✓1.3215.7M2022-05-15
SOLSolanaSolana101.3993.9517-7.34%58.82-41.99%0.1425✓1.26147.4M2022-05-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7379820.68359-7.37%0.444265-39.80%0.1428✓1.113.2M2022-05-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.242.0741-7.41%0.697-68.88%0.8336✓0.99100k2022-05-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.8960.829057-7.47%0.5152-42.50%0.1199✓1.37870k2022-05-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8660.801106-7.49%0.328-62.12%0.5402✓1.362.7M2022-05-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.6184.2707-7.52%2.084-54.87%0.2776✓1.702.6M2022-05-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.091.9322-7.55%0.89-57.42%0.4319✓1.321.6M2022-05-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.48992.2988-7.67%1.7798-28.52%0.0552✓0.7711k2022-05-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.021.8647-7.69%1.359-32.72%0.0449✓1.053.7M2022-05-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.09851.0134-7.74%0.7169-34.74%0.0167✓1.2714.3M2022-05-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.3634.4581-7.77%22.11-40.82%0.1583✓1.1016.0M2022-05-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana6.2925.8032-7.77%3.65-41.99%0.2916✓0.661.8M2022-05-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5191.4002-7.82%0.977-35.68%0.0942✓1.021.3M2022-05-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.23890.220114-7.86%0.1258-47.34%0.2513✓1.193.3M2022-05-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.40594.9751-7.97%1.5127-72.02%1.0520✓0.535.6M2022-05-15
SGBSongbirdnative0.06320.058075-8.11%0.0223-64.72%0.8157✓0.55158k2022-05-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.64194.2629-8.16%2.6617-42.66%0.2173✓0.98275k2022-05-15
COMPCompoundEthereum147.99135.6257-8.35%74.83-49.44%0.2792✓1.2271k2022-05-15
BANDBandEthereum3.7353.4224-8.37%1.808-51.59%0.3166✓1.24772k2022-05-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.70e-77.97e-7-8.41%6.30e-7-27.64%0.3175✓-0.32600k2022-05-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.3644.9044-8.57%3.057-43.01%0.1336✓1.317.5M2022-05-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03090.942214-8.60%0.3803-63.11%0.5402✓1.42231k2022-05-15
API3Api3Ethereum4.7354.3268-8.62%1.915-59.56%0.6454✓0.653.6M2022-05-15
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.79230.7233-8.71%0.24-69.71%0.9837✓0.46796k2022-05-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5170.470726-8.95%0.237-54.16%0.3930✓1.136.5M2022-05-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0290470.026399-9.12%0.012593-56.65%0.5610✓0.69187k2022-05-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19440.176337-9.29%0.0914-52.98%0.3435✓1.219.4M2022-05-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.60195.0792-9.33%2.8557-49.02%0.2627✓1.2113.7M2022-05-15
APEApeCoinEthereum12.22911.0258-9.84%9.131-25.33%0.0708✓1.0049.7M2022-05-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11730.105682-9.90%0.0557-52.51%0.3663✓1.06823k2022-05-15
PROPropyEthereum2.041.8373-9.94%1.2-41.18%0.1966✓0.88168k2022-05-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase4.0423.6305-10.18%1.412-65.07%0.5740✓1.43720k2022-05-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2430.215179-11.45%0.074-69.55%0.8971✓0.66100k2022-05-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum4.59393.9724-13.53%1.8142-60.51%0.5903✓0.753.7M2022-05-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.