8=======>

2022-04-12 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 163 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2945
163 of 163 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+39.25%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
98.2%
in alpha space · 99.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-27.80%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (163 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PROPropyEthereum1.31.2921-0.61%0.88-32.31%0.0612✓0.99160k2022-05-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7115.5997-1.95%5.13-10.17%0.0693✗0.48177k2022-05-12
XEMNEMnative0.09870.096617-2.11%0.0411-58.36%0.5557✓0.9261k2022-05-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51880.507627-2.15%0.1911-63.16%0.7273✓0.77461k2022-05-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.46280.4527-2.18%0.1765-61.86%0.8757✓0.207,0452022-05-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1926040.188202-2.29%0.120434-37.47%0.1220✓1.0018.8M2022-05-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin40,086.2339,060.59-2.56%28,941.95-27.80%0.0259✓1.00593.1M2022-05-12
UNIUniswapEthereum9.319.0574-2.71%4.65-50.05%0.3180✓1.078.8M2022-05-12
CBKCobakEthereum2.2192.1586-2.72%0.949-57.23%0.5635✓0.7925k2022-05-12
STXStacksnative1.151.118-2.78%0.5-56.52%0.4799✓1.00562k2022-05-12
TRXTRONTron0.0598920.058181-2.86%0.066988+11.85%0.3543✗0.65312k2022-05-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.66540.645259-3.03%0.2948-55.70%0.4437✓1.048.8M2022-05-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,155.1038,931.51-3.05%29,197.00-27.29%0.0238✓0.9640k2022-05-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.2097-3.08%1.35-40.79%0.1587✓1.03165k2022-05-12
KCSKuCoinnative19.1618.5565-3.15%10.951-42.84%0.2447✓0.875.6M2022-05-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.1719.5295-3.18%8.25-59.10%0.4178✓1.36266k2022-05-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum18,841.7618,203.57-3.39%9,878.00-47.57%0.2435✓1.136.0M2022-05-12
DASHDashDash102.3898.8181-3.48%53.75-47.50%0.2737✓1.032.4M2022-05-12
QNTQuantEthereum116.24112.1361-3.53%73.37-36.88%0.1199✓0.934.1M2022-05-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV82.8879.9359-3.55%49.62-40.13%0.2177✓0.803.5M2022-05-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.051160.04934-3.56%0.02133-58.31%0.4960✓1.05574k2022-05-12
FIDABonfidaSolana1.4611.4076-3.66%0.537-63.24%0.6441✓0.9861k2022-05-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.222.1379-3.70%1.304-41.26%0.0571✓1.348.8M2022-05-12
ZENHorizenBase38.2236.8011-3.71%19.04-50.18%0.2244✓1.33467k2022-05-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot17.7717.1087-3.72%8.68-51.15%0.3272✓1.0820.9M2022-05-12
ORCAOrcaSolana1.881.8098-3.73%0.82-56.38%0.5588✓0.71268k2022-05-12
XYMSymbolnative0.11480.110502-3.74%0.0664-42.16%0.2847✓0.69840k2022-05-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24560.236272-3.80%0.1008-58.96%0.5682✓0.872.0M2022-05-12
UMAUMAEthereum6.4576.2089-3.84%2.483-61.55%0.4370✓1.473.1M2022-05-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.023180.022283-3.87%0.012-48.23%0.3551✓0.814.9M2022-05-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.72620.69789-3.90%0.4222-41.86%0.1900✓0.9618.7M2022-05-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.6713.5266-3.93%1.23-66.49%0.8358✓0.673.3M2022-05-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.09520.091413-3.98%0.04348-54.33%0.4627✓0.8630k2022-05-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1380990.132588-3.99%0.082269-40.43%0.1970✓0.864.5M2022-05-12
XTZTezosTezos3.0642.9416-4.00%1.6845-45.02%0.2130✓1.061.1M2022-05-12
MANADecentralandEthereum2.1532.0667-4.01%0.70895-67.07%0.6956✓1.151.6M2022-05-12
HIVEHivenative0.91060.87349-4.08%0.4037-55.67%0.4173✓1.092.0M2022-05-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.9713.3998-4.08%6.56-53.04%0.3378✓1.1625.8M2022-05-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.27930.267814-4.11%0.1302-53.38%0.3409✓1.17566k2022-05-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum13.2712.7242-4.11%4.63-65.11%0.6246✓1.191.4M2022-05-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13910.133246-4.21%0.0863-37.96%0.1019✓1.02228k2022-05-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.081.0345-4.21%0.28999-73.15%0.8865✓1.18798k2022-05-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.4618.6389-4.22%8.1-58.38%0.4644✓1.1310.5M2022-05-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.995.7324-4.30%2.16-63.94%0.7271✓0.761.8M2022-05-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8074.5993-4.32%1.421-70.44%1.0481✓0.395.9M2022-05-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.011180.010695-4.34%0.00359-67.89%0.7040✓1.194.3M2022-05-12
RADRadworksEthereum4.674.4661-4.37%1.67-64.24%0.6756✓0.95686k2022-05-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011910.01139-4.37%0.00359-69.86%0.9435✓0.6532k2022-05-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.043420.041518-4.38%0.02176-49.88%0.3653✓0.8645k2022-05-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.038260.036573-4.41%0.01505-60.66%0.6806✓0.64942k2022-05-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.0744.8498-4.42%2.683-47.12%0.2684✓0.9981k2022-05-12
XVGVergenative0.010150.009701-4.42%0.00413-59.31%0.4677✓1.191.8M2022-05-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.19960.190753-4.43%0.0648-67.54%0.3212✓2.33662k2022-05-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2641.208-4.43%0.8-36.71%0.0980✓0.963.6M2022-05-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.3591.2985-4.45%0.381-71.96%0.8083✓1.283.9M2022-05-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1291.0782-4.50%0.405-64.13%0.6467✓1.021.6M2022-05-12
UOSUltraEthereum1.04520.997373-4.57%0.32972-68.45%0.6852✓1.291.5M2022-05-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05240.050001-4.58%0.0163-68.89%0.5652✓1.7140.5M2022-05-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.35890.342454-4.58%0.1695-52.77%0.2840✓1.291.9M2022-05-12
GTGateEthereum6.38876.0958-4.59%5.3674-15.99%0.0641✗0.594.5M2022-05-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.92100.1004-4.59%64.26-38.75%0.1125✓1.0225.1M2022-05-12
IMXImmutableEthereum1.8381.7534-4.60%0.775-57.83%0.4632✓1.087.0M2022-05-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.6115.8444-4.61%7.22-56.53%0.4425✓1.0518.5M2022-05-12
STORJStorjEthereum1.04480.996117-4.66%0.44316-57.59%0.4381✓1.14143k2022-05-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.3672.7398-4.74%30.19-60.46%0.4649✓1.27103.7M2022-05-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.95.6177-4.79%2.19-62.88%0.7074✓0.721.5M2022-05-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.142030.13522-4.80%0.05891-58.52%0.5733✓0.7918k2022-05-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2713.5766-4.86%8.59-39.80%0.0229✓1.342.8M2022-05-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash304.99290.0638-4.89%193.69-36.49%0.0881✓0.978.3M2022-05-12
AVTAventusEthereum2.552.4248-4.91%0.73-71.37%1.0289✓0.53592k2022-05-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.025.7205-4.97%3.26-45.85%0.3231✓0.731.1M2022-05-12
GITCOINGITCOIN5.9445.645-5.03%2.172-63.46%0.4740✓1.4818k2022-05-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.24980.237215-5.04%0.0997-60.09%0.4317✓1.343.5M2022-05-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.41320.391903-5.15%0.0785-81.00%1.0104✓1.832.3M2022-05-12
ETHEthereumEthereum3,027.822,870.97-5.18%1,954.39-35.45%0.0402✓1.06551.3M2022-05-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.244.0192-5.21%1.59-62.50%0.4660✓1.42824k2022-05-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.6423.3468-5.25%9.62-60.96%0.5165✓1.1432.2M2022-05-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.3730.35331-5.28%0.1337-64.16%0.5876✓1.1812.5M2022-05-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7893.589-5.28%1.264-66.64%0.7918✓0.772.6M2022-05-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.722140.683967-5.29%0.36057-50.07%0.2960✓1.06226k2022-05-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077890.073764-5.30%0.03169-59.31%0.4979✓1.07121k2022-05-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.41970.397457-5.30%0.2085-50.32%0.1694✓1.46567k2022-05-12
ADACardanoCardano0.95450.903583-5.33%0.4724-50.51%0.3178✓1.0268.9M2022-05-12
FTTFTXEthereum41.7839.5449-5.35%29.67-28.99%0.0479✓1.0314.2M2022-05-12
BTTCBTTC0.000001830.000001731-5.39%0.00000104-43.17%0.2767✓0.7210.2M2022-05-12
ZECZcashZcash147.35139.3854-5.41%86.4-41.36%0.1521✓1.0011.0M2022-05-12
LSKLiskEthereum2.12082.0058-5.42%0.989391-53.35%0.4218✓0.87111k2022-05-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.11480.108434-5.55%0.052-54.70%0.3528✓1.17989k2022-05-12
SUSHISushiEthereum3.223.0408-5.56%1.13-64.91%0.5860✓1.247.2M2022-05-12
DODODODOEthereum0.3850.363426-5.60%0.135-64.94%0.6015✓1.196.8M2022-05-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.4124.9282-5.61%11.58-56.15%0.4705✓0.91651k2022-05-12
KSMKusamaHydration153.75145.0599-5.65%68.74-55.29%0.3995✓1.071.2M2022-05-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017630.016624-5.70%0.00786-55.42%0.4244✓1.002.1M2022-05-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2360.222288-5.81%0.107-54.66%0.2777✓1.39368k2022-05-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.7312.9277-5.84%4.29-68.75%0.9689✓0.412.1M2022-05-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.8322.4314-5.87%14.06-41.00%0.0322✓1.34833k2022-05-12
QTUMQtumQtum6.44556.0614-5.96%3.628-43.71%0.1323✓1.17206k2022-05-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8430.79245-6.00%0.243-71.17%0.7377✓1.362.7M2022-05-12
XMRMoneroMonero232.3218.3397-6.01%137.43-40.84%0.1717✓0.891.6M2022-05-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.020480.019247-6.02%0.00889-56.59%0.2884✓1.4961.0M2022-05-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7820.734881-6.03%0.309-60.49%0.5716✓0.902.9M2022-05-12
XVSVenusEthereum9.699.1056-6.03%3.62-62.64%0.5510✓1.144.8M2022-05-12
SCSiacoinnative0.010070.009458-6.08%0.00425-57.80%0.4129✓1.19540k2022-05-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum4.5594.2808-6.10%1.548-66.05%0.4458✓1.752.5M2022-05-12
AAVEAaveEthereum164.52154.4775-6.10%76.75-53.35%0.2718✓1.3117.5M2022-05-12
DIADIAEthereum0.890.835197-6.16%0.32121-63.91%0.8035✓0.47186k2022-05-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum6.4556.0566-6.17%2.184-66.17%0.6511✓1.13430k2022-05-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.955.5823-6.18%2.15-63.87%0.4688✓1.49665k2022-05-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.9835.6125-6.19%2.677-55.26%0.5176✓0.681.8M2022-05-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5591.4619-6.23%0.579-62.86%0.4919✓1.33555k2022-05-12
COMPCompoundEthereum129.07120.9828-6.27%60.88-52.83%0.3016✓1.1866k2022-05-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0144310.013525-6.28%0.007887-45.35%0.2425✓0.9148k2022-05-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0352450.033029-6.29%0.01502-57.38%0.4250✓1.114.3M2022-05-12
API3Api3Ethereum4.1043.8449-6.31%1.457-64.50%0.7625✓0.643.5M2022-05-12
XECeCashnative0.000091050.000085271-6.35%0.00003173-65.15%0.6630✓1.009.6M2022-05-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2790.261144-6.40%0.108-61.29%0.5965✓0.8843k2022-05-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.34480.322592-6.44%0.1345-60.99%0.4084✓1.4310.3M2022-05-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum47.2944.2178-6.50%19.31-59.17%0.4092✓1.298.8M2022-05-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.9534.6291-6.54%2.486-49.81%0.1899✓1.336.7M2022-05-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004130.003859-6.57%0.00121-70.70%0.7481✓1.269.7M2022-05-12
MINAMina Protocolnative2.42.2422-6.57%0.95-60.42%0.5059✓1.081.4M2022-05-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000026910.000025138-6.59%0.00001081-59.83%0.4677✓1.162.7M2022-05-12
MOVRMoonriverBase58.243654.3612-6.67%21.3123-63.41%0.4561✓1.47210k2022-05-12
LUNATerraTerra 284.6178.9599-6.68%0.0087-99.99%8.6941✓1.299.1M2022-05-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.5161.4148-6.68%0.807-46.77%0.2336✓1.011.3M2022-05-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.03223.762-6.70%1.0557-73.82%1.0529✓0.676.6M2022-05-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06760.063066-6.71%0.0302-55.33%0.3448✓1.20555k2022-05-12
NANOnanopayBase2.26882.1159-6.74%0.997494-56.03%0.3846✓1.13275k2022-05-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.2352.0841-6.75%0.583-73.91%0.9552✓0.98100k2022-05-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.20140.187673-6.82%0.0682-66.14%0.6443✓1.13304k2022-05-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.824480.76802-6.85%0.28864-64.99%0.6529✓1.00187k2022-05-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos4.7264.4015-6.87%1.729-63.42%0.6021✓1.02108k2022-05-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.076810.071511-6.90%0.03867-49.65%0.3437✓0.8350k2022-05-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.981.8427-6.94%0.72-63.64%0.5032✓1.341.4M2022-05-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana15.4214.3488-6.95%4.09-73.48%1.0929✓0.503.7M2022-05-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.62260.579284-6.96%0.2135-65.71%0.5815✓1.28910k2022-05-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.587.9799-6.99%2.6-69.70%0.8824✓0.732.2M2022-05-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.42794.1149-7.07%2.3863-46.11%0.2312✓0.96261k2022-05-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.22750.211103-7.21%0.0968-57.45%0.3929✓1.193.1M2022-05-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7117250.659756-7.30%0.334376-53.02%0.3200✓1.102.3M2022-05-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91830.851084-7.32%0.3939-57.11%0.3180✓1.39870k2022-05-12
SOLSolanaSolana103.3195.5949-7.47%44.65-56.78%0.3516✓1.26147.4M2022-05-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0851.0035-7.52%0.5935-45.30%0.1033✓1.3015.0M2022-05-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.591802-7.53%0.17236-73.07%0.7406✓1.51539k2022-05-12
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03060.952946-7.53%0.3429-66.73%0.5627✓1.41231k2022-05-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.026370.024354-7.65%0.0108-59.04%0.4365✓1.16348k2022-05-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4620.425507-7.90%0.189-59.09%0.4291✓1.177.5M2022-05-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.1335.0757-8.01%18.89-50.46%0.2578✓1.1116.0M2022-05-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.24614.8212-8.10%1.057-79.85%1.3423✓0.546.1M2022-05-12
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.33e-77.65e-7-8.13%4.63e-7-44.37%0.6092✓-0.33645k2022-05-12
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.46712.2649-8.20%1.6077-34.83%0.0927✓0.7711k2022-05-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0270520.024801-8.32%0.010713-60.40%0.6181✓0.68194k2022-05-12
BANDBandEthereum3.7893.4721-8.36%1.514-60.04%0.4334✓1.22733k2022-05-12
SGBSongbirdnative0.06290.057604-8.42%0.0294-53.26%0.4908✓0.56162k2022-05-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.6743.3493-8.84%1.133-69.16%0.6465✓1.34657k2022-05-12
APEApeCoinEthereum11.58910.5462-9.00%7.785-32.82%0.0222✓1.0056.7M2022-05-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.8170.742226-9.15%0.2835-65.30%0.8075✓0.48777k2022-05-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.18790.169843-9.61%0.0773-58.86%0.3881✓1.238.5M2022-05-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.81745.214-10.37%1.4271-75.47%0.9029✓1.2116.8M2022-05-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.83873.3931-11.61%1.2954-66.25%0.7031✓0.803.7M2022-05-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.4112.1225-11.96%0.896-62.84%0.5173✓1.063.5M2022-05-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13110.115172-12.15%0.0389-70.33%0.7315✓1.09294k2022-05-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.2650.23198-12.46%0.065-75.47%1.0589✓0.6644k2022-05-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.