8=======>

2022-03-31 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 161 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1935
161 of 161 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
88.2%
in alpha space · 93.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (161 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.032690.026286-19.59%0.02211-32.36%0.0198✓0.81185k2022-04-30
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.88635.8983-14.35%4.818-30.03%0.0028✓1.0823.4M2022-04-30
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.72e-77.60e-7-12.88%9.72e-7+11.49%0.1733✗-0.391.1M2022-04-30
APEApeCoinEthereum12.70211.1642-12.11%19.987+57.35%0.7725✗1.0083.2M2022-04-30
MOVRMoonriverBase66.874959.1326-11.58%39.7897-40.50%0.1384✓1.36159k2022-04-30
API3Api3Ethereum5.1954.6018-11.42%3.179-38.81%0.2608✓0.574.6M2022-04-30
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06840.060997-10.82%0.0358-47.66%0.2163✓1.6644.1M2022-04-30
ADACardanoCardano1.14171.0187-10.77%0.7558-33.80%0.1111✓0.9963.3M2022-04-30
BANDBandEthereum4.8934.37-10.69%2.965-39.40%0.1812✓1.09606k2022-04-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.820.733529-10.55%0.42-48.78%0.2736✓1.49363k2022-04-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.49680.444697-10.49%0.2199-55.74%0.4205✓1.498.9M2022-04-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.411.2662-10.20%0.7-50.35%0.3848✓1.09603k2022-04-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.035310.031955-9.50%0.01815-48.60%0.2766✓1.5252.9M2022-04-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0418670.037893-9.49%0.024704-40.99%0.2437✓0.974.1M2022-04-30
IMXImmutableEthereum2.3522.1304-9.42%1.356-42.35%0.2690✓0.968.3M2022-04-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004310.003907-9.34%0.00303-29.70%0.0097✓1.295.7M2022-04-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum2.1011.9091-9.13%0.904-56.97%0.5717✓0.921.3M2022-04-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7951.6324-9.06%1.058-41.06%0.1812✓1.33433k2022-04-30
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.0710.977376-8.74%0.3991-62.74%0.8216✓0.39676k2022-04-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.5358.023-8.67%29.08-54.23%0.4472✓1.285.1M2022-04-30
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum7.526.8739-8.59%4.914-34.65%0.1461✓1.00448k2022-04-30
DODODODOEthereum0.5180.47408-8.48%0.283-45.37%0.3072✓1.103.1M2022-04-30
SOLSolanaSolana122.86112.5336-8.41%84.69-31.07%0.0496✓1.2389.9M2022-04-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.242.056-8.21%1.47-34.38%0.0945✓1.27903k2022-04-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.034080.031346-8.02%0.018-47.18%0.3523✓1.06210k2022-04-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.81482.59-7.99%2.2788-19.04%0.0108✓0.7312k2022-04-30
XTZTezosTezos3.72553.4292-7.95%2.5333-32.00%0.1019✓1.061.0M2022-04-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.28320.261314-7.73%0.1713-39.51%0.2019✓1.163.0M2022-04-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.19081.1004-7.59%0.9028-24.19%0.0364✓1.2315.1M2022-04-30
ORCAOrcaSolana2.32.1268-7.53%1.84-20.00%0.0159✓0.68246k2022-04-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6090.563257-7.51%0.452-25.78%0.0149✓1.087.0M2022-04-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.58270.539707-7.38%0.2015-65.42%0.6417✓1.812.2M2022-04-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.48685.087-7.29%3.6303-33.84%0.1668✓0.90264k2022-04-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7738030.717963-7.22%0.753957-2.56%0.2506✗1.061.8M2022-04-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.316.7966-7.02%4.52-38.17%0.1316✓1.45458k2022-04-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.7525.8022-7.02%22-20.72%0.0880✗1.30740k2022-04-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche97.4290.691-6.91%57.01-41.48%0.2196✓1.29103.6M2022-04-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.6382.456-6.90%1.996-24.34%0.0516✓1.369.1M2022-04-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.0716.8358-6.83%20.45+13.17%0.4442✗1.313.1M2022-04-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.0015.6035-6.62%3.446-42.58%0.3024✓0.97102k2022-04-30
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8391.7175-6.61%1.095-40.46%0.2889✓0.8553k2022-04-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.27320.255294-6.55%0.1801-34.08%0.1071✓1.271.8M2022-04-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum3.25953.0465-6.53%4.8763+49.60%0.6180✗0.784.1M2022-04-30
ZECZcashZcash178.39166.7402-6.53%114-36.10%0.2021✓0.9415.7M2022-04-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08520.079671-6.49%0.0513-39.79%0.2200✓1.16352k2022-04-30
LUNATerraTerra 2102.9696.4499-6.32%78.13-24.12%0.0435✓1.349.1M2022-04-30
GLMRMoonbeamBase3.1152.9202-6.25%2.382-23.53%0.0162✓1.16417k2022-04-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.4522.9428-6.16%14.23-41.80%0.2772✓1.056.6M2022-04-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.163250.153196-6.16%0.1273-22.02%0.0270✓0.8315k2022-04-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.8186.4009-6.12%4.377-35.80%0.1505✓1.214.7M2022-04-30
HIGHHighstreetEthereum6.6396.2467-5.91%3.672-44.69%0.3411✓1.002.9M2022-04-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain6.0615.7046-5.88%3.508-42.12%0.4077✓0.417.0M2022-04-30
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1740.163883-5.81%0.135-22.41%0.0984✓0.5025k2022-04-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin123.87116.7338-5.76%95.89-22.59%0.0034✓1.0226.1M2022-04-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.24170.228006-5.67%0.1491-38.31%0.2147✓1.102.4M2022-04-30
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.04050.038211-5.65%0.0277-31.60%0.1930✓0.681.1M2022-04-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38681.3089-5.62%0.659-52.48%0.4222✓1.39199k2022-04-30
AAVEAaveEthereum207195.4174-5.60%142.59-31.12%0.0826✓1.229.7M2022-04-30
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.24570.23237-5.43%0.1422-42.12%0.3009✓1.001.2M2022-04-30
XVSVenusEthereum11.8111.1707-5.41%7.66-35.14%0.1825✓1.023.2M2022-04-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66760.631494-5.41%0.4-40.08%0.2032✓1.33608k2022-04-30
RADRadworksEthereum5.415.1179-5.40%3.8-29.76%0.1212✓0.93400k2022-04-30
ETHEthereumEthereum3,283.083,106.26-5.39%2,726.59-16.95%0.0708✗1.06491.5M2022-04-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.9316.0271-5.33%10.97-35.20%0.1881✓1.0026.1M2022-04-30
XECeCashnative0.000092850.000087913-5.32%0.00006775-27.03%0.0728✓0.996.6M2022-04-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana8.1977.7625-5.30%6.245-23.81%0.0928✓0.661.5M2022-04-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.12290.116414-5.28%0.0993-19.20%0.0713✗1.21648k2022-04-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.7751.6815-5.27%1.122-36.79%0.2223✓0.96887k2022-04-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.85230.808382-5.15%0.5291-37.92%0.2321✓1.017.5M2022-04-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2121.1496-5.15%0.625-48.43%0.3583✓1.322.5M2022-04-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative47.4845.0431-5.13%25.89-45.47%0.3573✓1.034.5M2022-04-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.5941.5128-5.10%1.007-36.83%0.1747✓1.223.9M2022-04-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.92950.882485-5.06%0.5676-38.93%0.2619✓0.9417.2M2022-04-30
MANADecentralandEthereum2.60982.479-5.01%1.4319-45.13%0.3339✓1.131.3M2022-04-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash384.15365.0406-4.97%277.83-27.68%0.0934✓0.948.0M2022-04-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0331.9328-4.93%2.123+4.43%0.2754✗0.953.0M2022-04-30
HIVEHivenative1.21511.1556-4.90%0.78-35.81%0.1921✓1.062.0M2022-04-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.736.4026-4.86%6-10.85%0.0713✗0.72878k2022-04-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum2119.9809-4.85%12.43-40.81%0.2904✓0.9716.5M2022-04-30
NANOnanopayBase2.47962.3605-4.80%1.6557-33.23%0.1429✓1.11178k2022-04-30
FTTFTXEthereum48.8346.4942-4.78%37.95-22.28%0.0059✓1.0414.1M2022-04-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.865770.824575-4.76%0.57042-34.11%0.1705✓1.04179k2022-04-30
QTUMQtumQtum8.28427.8946-4.70%5.3212-35.77%0.1819✓1.12143k2022-04-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.22374.0263-4.67%3.1056-26.47%0.1396✓0.634.7M2022-04-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.46980.448033-4.63%0.3067-34.72%0.1638✓1.1310.7M2022-04-30
SUSHISushiEthereum4.414.2083-4.57%2.3-47.85%0.3834✓1.166.9M2022-04-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2830.270064-4.57%0.228-19.43%0.0139✓0.8233k2022-04-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46740.446144-4.55%0.2658-43.13%0.2792✓1.261.4M2022-04-30
QNTQuantEthereum137.61131.3691-4.54%92.75-32.60%0.1767✓0.904.1M2022-04-30
WOOWOOEthereum0.64060.611589-4.53%0.3458-46.02%0.5595✓0.065,0712022-04-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2729.8577-4.52%23.46-24.98%0.0709✓0.90665k2022-04-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.40844.2106-4.49%3.3163-24.77%0.1324✓0.563.7M2022-04-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.36020.344089-4.47%0.2593-28.01%0.0712✓1.11320k2022-04-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013610.013003-4.46%0.00839-38.35%0.2163✓1.173.3M2022-04-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.927.6132-4.45%17.84-38.27%0.2267✓1.1139.5M2022-04-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.126030.120491-4.39%0.07765-38.39%0.2812✓0.8329k2022-04-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana16.5215.795-4.39%11.36-31.23%0.2440✓0.452.9M2022-04-30
KSMKusamaHydration188.49180.2299-4.38%131.55-30.21%0.1055✓1.10901k2022-04-30
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.2850.272676-4.32%0.2004-29.68%0.1178✓1.00473k2022-04-30
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum2.9982.869-4.30%1.475-50.80%0.5108✓0.8156k2022-04-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot21.3520.437-4.28%14.51-32.04%0.1398✓1.0719.8M2022-04-30
XVGVergenative0.013390.012823-4.24%0.00823-38.54%0.2297✓1.121.9M2022-04-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.724.6219-4.19%14.36-44.12%0.2941✓1.29232k2022-04-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.52042.4148-4.19%1.7499-30.57%0.1682✓0.81183k2022-04-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.8345.5896-4.19%5.688-2.50%0.1066✗0.47175k2022-04-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025860.000024782-4.17%0.00002016-22.04%0.0098✓1.142.2M2022-04-30
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0543-4.16%0.79-28.18%0.2160✓0.38165k2022-04-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.095010.091068-4.15%0.06-36.85%0.2280✓1.00101k2022-04-30
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16191.1139-4.13%0.6801-41.47%0.2367✓1.35234k2022-04-30
ZENHorizenBase48.7546.7803-4.04%29.04-40.43%0.2323✓1.29508k2022-04-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.787.4713-3.97%4.25-45.37%0.4230✓0.741.9M2022-04-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15790.151786-3.87%0.132-16.40%0.0552✗1.02211k2022-04-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.33861.2882-3.77%0.84719-36.71%0.2089✓1.11125k2022-04-30
GLMGolemEthereum0.55270.531975-3.75%0.3441-37.74%0.2455✓1.001.1M2022-04-30
GALAGALAEthereum0.25410.24466-3.72%0.1312-48.37%0.4383✓0.97215k2022-04-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0161060.015522-3.62%0.012895-19.94%0.0197✓0.8714k2022-04-30
COMPCompoundEthereum149.85144.4747-3.59%104.6-30.20%0.1131✓1.1059k2022-04-30
DASHDashDash127.13122.5736-3.58%84.6-33.45%0.1935✓0.932.2M2022-04-30
GITCOINGITCOIN7.1896.9321-3.57%4.486-37.60%0.1625✓1.4321k2022-04-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.26491.221-3.47%0.71156-43.75%0.2904✓1.311.4M2022-04-30
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5587-3.44%1.7-35.85%0.2179✓1.00644k2022-04-30
SCSiacoinnative0.012070.011661-3.39%0.00824-31.73%0.1350✓1.12469k2022-04-30
PROPropyEthereum1.571.5179-3.32%1.57+0.00%0.2269✗1.02185k2022-04-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.020880.020208-3.22%0.01431-31.47%0.1579✓0.981.7M2022-04-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2284220.221254-3.14%0.169004-26.01%0.0848✓0.9718.7M2022-04-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.7562.6719-3.05%1.814-34.18%0.2422✓0.7618k2022-04-30
STXStacksnative1.441.3963-3.03%0.91-36.81%0.2474✓0.95610k2022-04-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum22,229.8021,558.36-3.02%16,656.58-25.07%0.0441✓1.125.9M2022-04-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum65.821-2.98%3.73-37.83%0.1797✓1.40661k2022-04-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.682.6001-2.98%1.99-25.75%0.0825✓0.97142k2022-04-30
UMAUMAEthereum7.8037.5721-2.96%5.348-31.46%0.1078✓1.265.7M2022-04-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.9150.888492-2.90%0.584-36.17%0.2506✓0.891.8M2022-04-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.258.9899-2.81%4.96-46.38%0.4576✓0.722.9M2022-04-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26950.261927-2.81%0.1946-27.79%0.1437✓0.811.7M2022-04-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1224.0095-2.73%2.879-30.16%0.2022✓0.682.7M2022-04-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.026950.026216-2.72%0.01933-28.27%0.1594✓0.763.1M2022-04-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,528.4544,296.06-2.71%37,644.10-17.32%0.0274✗1.00680.6M2022-04-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.511.4701-2.64%0.985-34.77%0.2285✓0.902.8M2022-04-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.091830.089449-2.59%0.067-27.04%0.1414✓0.7825k2022-04-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum45,846.4044,665.36-2.58%37,625.50-17.93%0.0121✓0.9725k2022-04-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8913.7943-2.48%2.764-28.96%0.1674✓0.792.3M2022-04-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.8913.5592-2.38%9.41-32.25%0.2911✓0.393.0M2022-04-30
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2911.0267-2.33%6.76-40.12%0.2950✓1.026.3M2022-04-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0295.8952-2.22%4.05-32.82%0.1880✓0.9987k2022-04-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59660.583938-2.12%0.414-30.61%0.2133✓0.69376k2022-04-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.6515.3183-2.12%11.23-28.24%0.0870✓1.17788k2022-04-30
BTTCBTTC0.000002140.000002096-2.07%0.00000166-22.43%0.1087✓0.6511.5M2022-04-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052710.051621-2.07%0.0373-29.24%0.1686✓0.8227k2022-04-30
AVTAventusEthereum2.682.6247-2.06%1.72-35.82%0.3445✓0.41376k2022-04-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1381120.135442-1.93%0.127449-7.72%0.0950✗0.822.6M2022-04-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.592.7643-1.84%71.35-24.50%0.1153✓0.772.0M2022-04-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.054880.053948-1.70%0.0405-26.20%0.0892✓1.04576k2022-04-30
KCSKuCoinnative20.46520.2094-1.25%17.262-15.65%0.0084✓0.875.1M2022-04-30
XMRMoneroMonero212.94210.7025-1.05%214.3+0.64%0.1956✗0.941.6M2022-04-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.463-1.03%4.55-30.32%0.2150✓0.711.6M2022-04-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08360.083011-0.71%0.107+27.99%0.4348✗0.95176k2022-04-30
XEMNEMnative0.11830.117473-0.70%0.0885-25.19%0.1263✓0.8338k2022-04-30
TRXTRONTron0.0737960.073789-0.01%0.06267-15.08%0.0449✓0.62289k2022-04-30
GTGateEthereum6.67526.695+0.30%6.297-5.67%0.0517✓0.594.4M2022-04-30
XYMSymbolnative0.14610.147097+0.68%0.0892-38.95%0.3588✗0.74630k2022-04-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013120.013383+2.00%0.00833-36.51%0.3463✗0.6710k2022-04-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.