2022-02-26 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2499

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+5.82%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

62.9%

in alpha space · 9.3% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+20.46%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.4281	0.373694	-12.71%	0.5048	+17.92%	0.0922	✓	2.11	2.1M	2022-03-28
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	6.98e-7	6.12e-7	-12.29%	0.000001135	+62.57%	0.4309	✗	1.00	1.3M	2022-03-28
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	64.8155	57.3901	-11.46%	66.3939	+2.44%	0.1400	✓	1.54	223k	2022-03-28
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03453	0.03083	-10.71%	0.04219	+22.18%	0.1511	✗	0.87	1.4M	2022-03-28
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.56	2.3186	-9.43%	2.29	-10.55%	0.1986	✓	1.00	518k	2022-03-28
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.86	1.6876	-9.27%	1.64	-11.83%	0.3325	✓	1.63	539k	2022-03-28
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0274	0.02489	-9.16%	0.03317	+21.06%	0.0108	✓	1.48	479k	2022-03-28
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.808	1.645	-9.02%	1.98	+9.51%	0.0085	✓	0.95	76k	2022-03-28
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0712	0.06481	-8.97%	0.0805	+13.06%	0.1404	✓	1.92	76.7M	2022-03-28
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.048351	0.044173	-8.64%	0.043	-11.07%	0.2504	✓	1.20	8.1M	2022-03-28
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.794	0.727703	-8.35%	0.9441	+18.90%	0.1534	✗	0.57	1.4M	2022-03-28
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.02263	0.020985	-7.27%	0.039005	+72.36%	0.4228	✗	1.06	114k	2022-03-28
API3	Api3	Ethereum	6.528	6.0732	-6.97%	5.55	-14.98%	0.1591	✓	0.37	2.1M	2022-03-28
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.0612	5.6394	-6.96%	6.1415	+1.32%	0.0140	✓	0.38	433k	2022-03-28
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	78.15	72.7606	-6.90%	97.24	+24.43%	0.0318	✓	1.39	4.5M	2022-03-28
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.141	0.131346	-6.85%	0.125	-11.35%	0.2271	✓	0.95	47k	2022-03-28
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.7	0.652554	-6.78%	0.75	+7.14%	0.2189	✓	1.92	995k	2022-03-28
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01194	0.011165	-6.49%	0.014818	+24.10%	0.0745	✗	1.12	33k	2022-03-28
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3507	0.327957	-6.48%	0.3815	+8.78%	0.1739	✓	1.75	15.2M	2022-03-28
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.24	1.16	-6.46%	1.39	+12.10%	0.0571	✓	1.28	885k	2022-03-28
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.073	0.068476	-6.20%	0.0794	+8.77%	0.1174	✓	1.43	1.0M	2022-03-28
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.438	0.411047	-6.15%	0.484	+10.50%	0.0941	✓	1.38	4.2M	2022-03-28
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.6235	1.529	-5.82%	1.507	-7.18%	0.2825	✓	1.44	251k	2022-03-28
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.08	1.0246	-5.13%	1.05	-2.78%	0.0212	✓	0.02	286k	2022-03-28
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1212	0.115052	-5.07%	0.1721	+42.00%	0.1513	✗	1.35	2.9M	2022-03-28
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.139	1.0814	-5.06%	1.751	+53.73%	0.2491	✗	1.25	1.1M	2022-03-28
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.6	3.422	-4.94%	4.31	+19.72%	0.0215	✓	1.36	1.9M	2022-03-28
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000191	0.000001817	-4.86%	0.00000209	+9.42%	0.0110	✓	0.69	14.4M	2022-03-28
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	17.73	16.8705	-4.85%	21.79	+22.90%	0.0357	✓	1.18	22.1M	2022-03-28
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.4172	3.2521	-4.83%	3.7138	+8.68%	0.1235	✓	1.38	2.1M	2022-03-28
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	21.2	20.1825	-4.80%	22.99	+8.44%	0.1733	✓	1.63	325k	2022-03-28
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.7	14.0017	-4.75%	13.55	-7.82%	0.1690	✓	0.73	1.9M	2022-03-28
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8532	1.7674	-4.63%	3.61	+94.80%	0.5833	✗	0.70	2.6M	2022-03-28
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.18	28.7887	-4.61%	30.82	+2.12%	0.1259	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-28
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.581	2.4647	-4.51%	3.061	+18.60%	0.0448	✓	1.40	579k	2022-03-28
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.441	1.3763	-4.49%	1.71	+18.67%	0.0702	✓	1.54	928k	2022-03-28
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.7459	0.712615	-4.46%	0.8484	+13.74%	0.0377	✓	1.14	9.4M	2022-03-28
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01882	0.017992	-4.40%	0.02025	+7.60%	0.0866	✓	1.10	2.2M	2022-03-28
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.67	1.5965	-4.40%	2.2	+31.74%	0.0680	✗	1.36	2.0M	2022-03-28
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.2359	2.1391	-4.33%	2.734	+22.28%	0.0824	✗	0.88	26k	2022-03-28
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01784	0.017078	-4.27%	0.03419	+91.65%	0.3855	✗	1.66	12.7M	2022-03-28
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00997	0.009549	-4.23%	0.01399	+40.32%	0.1024	✗	1.50	2.7M	2022-03-28
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.437	1.3772	-4.16%	1.725	+20.04%	0.0038	✓	1.23	940k	2022-03-28
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.35	2.2545	-4.07%	2.76	+17.45%	0.0162	✓	1.00	584k	2022-03-28
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	81.79	78.4875	-4.04%	89.58	+9.52%	0.1562	✓	1.55	110.8M	2022-03-28
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.874	3.7187	-4.01%	5.361	+38.38%	0.1158	✗	1.34	2.3M	2022-03-28
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.89	28.7327	-3.87%	29.36	-1.77%	0.1899	✓	1.14	52.8M	2022-03-28
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.3	2.2119	-3.83%	2.72	+18.26%	0.0162	✓	1.02	263k	2022-03-28
STX	Stacks	native	1.19	1.1447	-3.81%	1.41	+18.49%	0.0338	✓	1.30	646k	2022-03-28
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15626	0.150344	-3.79%	0.16823	+7.66%	0.1403	✓	1.36	28k	2022-03-28
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	113.35	109.0899	-3.76%	122.91	+8.43%	0.1206	✓	1.29	58k	2022-03-28
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2108	1.1657	-3.72%	1.2726	+5.10%	0.1843	✓	1.46	2.6M	2022-03-28
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.874	2.7672	-3.72%	4.028	+40.15%	0.1959	✗	0.96	477k	2022-03-28
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.46	4.2954	-3.69%	5.34	+19.73%	0.0865	✓	1.63	432k	2022-03-28
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	107.8	103.8278	-3.68%	192.22	+78.31%	0.4005	✗	1.16	7.4M	2022-03-28
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	6.27	6.0416	-3.64%	7.37	+17.54%	0.0790	✓	1.49	1.2M	2022-03-28
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	14.09	13.5787	-3.63%	18.66	+32.43%	0.0330	✓	1.53	2.5M	2022-03-28
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1506	0.145257	-3.55%	0.1695	+12.55%	0.0471	✓	1.08	420k	2022-03-28
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.69949	0.675602	-3.42%	0.87181	+24.64%	0.0256	✓	1.51	216k	2022-03-28
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.06	18.4134	-3.39%	25.29	+32.69%	0.0752	✗	1.30	8.6M	2022-03-28
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5505	0.531869	-3.38%	0.5753	+4.50%	0.1019	✓	0.97	684k	2022-03-28
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0854	0.082512	-3.38%	0.121	+41.69%	0.0875	✗	1.59	647k	2022-03-28
HIVE	Hive	native	0.9533	0.921514	-3.33%	1.16	+21.68%	0.0114	✓	1.30	1.9M	2022-03-28
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6813	2.5934	-3.28%	2.6767	-0.17%	0.2085	✓	1.29	3.1M	2022-03-28
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.7	5.5201	-3.16%	6.42	+12.63%	0.0064	✓	0.85	425k	2022-03-28
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.25	3.1486	-3.12%	3.81	+17.23%	0.0549	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-03-28
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.0234	3.8979	-3.12%	5.3424	+32.78%	0.0861	✗	1.23	284k	2022-03-28
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.27	6.0748	-3.11%	7	+11.64%	0.0552	✗	0.47	1.1M	2022-03-28
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.276	1.2366	-3.09%	1.596	+25.08%	0.0008	✓	1.37	1.9M	2022-03-28
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.7651	0.741579	-3.07%	1.1283	+47.47%	0.1307	✗	1.55	295k	2022-03-28
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.895	0.867898	-3.03%	1.004	+12.18%	0.1175	✓	1.41	2.1M	2022-03-28
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.04782	0.046377	-3.02%	0.05633	+17.80%	0.0461	✓	1.29	703k	2022-03-28
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.934	4.7858	-3.00%	7.75	+57.07%	0.2957	✗	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-28
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.47	4.3359	-3.00%	5.05	+12.98%	0.0354	✓	1.01	651k	2022-03-28
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4599	0.446165	-2.99%	0.716	+55.69%	0.2013	✗	1.46	559k	2022-03-28
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.7102	2.6304	-2.95%	4.2216	+55.77%	0.2862	✗	1.00	2.2M	2022-03-28
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00431	0.004184	-2.93%	0.00426	-1.16%	0.3254	✓	1.85	12.0M	2022-03-28
XVG	Verge	native	0.00985	0.009563	-2.91%	0.01205	+22.34%	0.0133	✓	1.31	1.2M	2022-03-28
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1751	0.170044	-2.89%	0.2589	+47.86%	0.1510	✗	1.45	2.7M	2022-03-28
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.232	0.225433	-2.83%	0.268	+15.52%	0.0092	✓	0.88	57k	2022-03-28
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.285	2.2212	-2.79%	2.688	+17.64%	0.0115	✓	1.09	20k	2022-03-28
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.524	1.4814	-2.79%	1.935	+26.97%	0.0379	✗	1.23	1.8M	2022-03-28
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0674	0.065534	-2.77%	0.08807	+30.67%	0.0927	✗	1.09	13k	2022-03-28
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01217	0.011834	-2.76%	0.01375	+12.98%	0.0010	✓	0.80	14k	2022-03-28
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.058	3.948	-2.71%	6.372	+57.02%	0.3185	✗	0.86	395k	2022-03-28
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.05	1.9948	-2.69%	2.59	+26.34%	0.0290	✗	1.25	343k	2022-03-28
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	24.45	23.7959	-2.68%	28.79	+17.75%	0.0937	✓	1.53	1.7M	2022-03-28
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2767	0.269392	-2.64%	0.3353	+21.18%	0.0528	✓	1.46	413k	2022-03-28
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02842	0.027681	-2.60%	0.02704	-4.86%	0.1709	✓	0.79	4.3M	2022-03-28
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8873	0.864445	-2.58%	1.1694	+31.79%	0.0836	✗	1.17	96.0M	2022-03-28
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	20,876.08	20,339.59	-2.57%	22,270.34	+6.68%	0.0972	✓	1.01	5.7M	2022-03-28
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.148	1.1186	-2.56%	1.358	+18.29%	0.0540	✓	1.33	2.8M	2022-03-28
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	50.44	49.1494	-2.56%	66.44	+31.72%	0.0495	✗	1.35	6.8M	2022-03-28
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	6.1323	5.976	-2.55%	8.1779	+33.36%	0.0430	✗	1.45	184k	2022-03-28
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.33	9.0969	-2.50%	14.47	+55.09%	0.3348	✗	0.69	853k	2022-03-28
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5733	1.5341	-2.49%	2.5454	+61.79%	0.3132	✗	1.04	69k	2022-03-28
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7384	2.6715	-2.44%	4.1594	+51.89%	0.2639	✗	0.96	2.9M	2022-03-28
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.98	8.7615	-2.43%	10.74	+19.60%	0.0389	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-28
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	12.91	12.5988	-2.41%	15.64	+21.15%	0.0195	✓	1.06	340k	2022-03-28
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	124.78	121.8022	-2.39%	168.16	+34.77%	0.0982	✗	1.21	930k	2022-03-28
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	43.29	42.2708	-2.35%	51.74	+19.52%	0.0117	✓	1.15	20.8M	2022-03-28
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.576	2.5155	-2.35%	3.85	+49.46%	0.2662	✗	0.86	213k	2022-03-28
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.394	2.3379	-2.34%	2.585	+7.98%	0.1897	✓	1.56	13.2M	2022-03-28
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.38	5.2545	-2.33%	8.52	+58.36%	0.3197	✗	0.88	398k	2022-03-28
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	136.67	133.5307	-2.30%	167.77	+22.76%	0.0470	✓	1.48	6.4M	2022-03-28
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	28.91	28.2497	-2.28%	47.08	+62.85%	0.2992	✗	1.14	5.1M	2022-03-28
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00906	0.008857	-2.24%	0.01178	+30.02%	0.0317	✗	1.36	563k	2022-03-28
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	315.57	308.5163	-2.24%	368.1	+16.65%	0.0134	✓	1.02	7.2M	2022-03-28
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.226	0.221013	-2.21%	0.2732	+20.88%	0.0195	✓	1.03	1.9M	2022-03-28
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002435	0.000023816	-2.19%	0.00002648	+8.75%	0.1458	✓	1.35	3.8M	2022-03-28
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544581	0.532788	-2.17%	0.697186	+28.02%	0.0408	✗	1.23	2.9M	2022-03-28
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.8651	1.825	-2.15%	2.4853	+33.25%	0.0738	✗	1.26	185k	2022-03-28
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.5	1.4685	-2.10%	2.68	+78.67%	0.3975	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-03-28
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	39,589.70	38,780.16	-2.04%	47,634.90	+20.32%	0.0254	✗	0.97	49k	2022-03-28
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3486	0.341637	-2.00%	0.4334	+24.33%	0.0362	✓	1.47	8.3M	2022-03-28
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	14.72	14.4273	-1.99%	16.51	+12.16%	0.0988	✓	1.26	56.1M	2022-03-28
XMR	Monero	Monero	157.91	154.7708	-1.99%	214.66	+35.94%	0.1407	✗	1.00	960k	2022-03-28
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3655	0.358268	-1.98%	0.4031	+10.29%	0.1636	✓	1.51	1.3M	2022-03-28
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.29	0.284289	-1.97%	0.581	+100.34%	0.4494	✗	1.43	2.0M	2022-03-28
SOL	Solana	Solana	90.32	88.5578	-1.95%	105.84	+17.18%	0.0634	✓	1.30	131.2M	2022-03-28
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.679	0.665772	-1.95%	0.763	+12.37%	0.0853	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-03-28
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.305	2.2605	-1.93%	6.28	+172.45%	0.7891	✗	1.25	687k	2022-03-28
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08727	0.085615	-1.90%	0.11222	+28.59%	0.0593	✗	1.13	46k	2022-03-28
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.391	5.292	-1.84%	5.572	+3.36%	0.1392	✓	1.02	202k	2022-03-28
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,780.71	2,730.97	-1.79%	3,334.47	+19.91%	0.0016	✓	1.08	540.3M	2022-03-28
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.039432	-1.76%	0.04895	+21.95%	0.0116	✓	1.10	30k	2022-03-28
ZEN	Horizen	Base	33.26	32.6786	-1.75%	47.68	+43.36%	0.0938	✗	1.53	281k	2022-03-28
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.04	17.7278	-1.73%	21.97	+21.78%	0.0377	✓	1.36	26.4M	2022-03-28
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.504	0.495358	-1.71%	1.2251	+143.08%	0.6531	✗	1.36	2.1M	2022-03-28
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.68	4.6001	-1.71%	7	+49.57%	0.2743	✗	0.78	459k	2022-03-28
DASH	Dash	Dash	93.68	92.1108	-1.68%	127.73	+36.35%	0.1094	✗	1.17	1.5M	2022-03-28
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		6.245	6.1422	-1.65%	7.142	+14.36%	0.1199	✓	1.45	28k	2022-03-28
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.8598	0.845886	-1.62%	0.9075	+5.55%	0.1602	✓	1.24	22.5M	2022-03-28
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1441	0.141812	-1.59%	0.1499	+4.02%	0.1022	✓	0.85	301k	2022-03-28
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007538	0.0000742	-1.57%	0.00009365	+24.24%	0.0098	✓	1.20	4.5M	2022-03-28
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06611	0.065078	-1.56%	0.08479	+28.26%	0.0229	✗	1.30	69k	2022-03-28
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	108.29	106.9552	-1.23%	127.59	+17.82%	0.0483	✓	1.21	29.3M	2022-03-28
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	110.79	109.4288	-1.23%	142.25	+28.40%	0.0661	✗	1.05	6.3M	2022-03-28
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.708	19.4818	-1.15%	19.506	-1.02%	0.2010	✓	1.09	9.5M	2022-03-28
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.059459	0.058782	-1.14%	0.069168	+16.33%	0.0069	✓	0.84	270k	2022-03-28
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.2129	0.210507	-1.12%	0.258	+21.18%	0.0853	✓	1.55	3.0M	2022-03-28
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		84.76	83.9095	-1.00%	95.28	+12.41%	0.0386	✓	0.89	915k	2022-03-28
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.127595	0.126463	-0.89%	0.142307	+11.53%	0.0713	✓	1.02	3.7M	2022-03-28
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.99036	0.981786	-0.87%	1.2969	+30.96%	0.0086	✓	1.45	165k	2022-03-28
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	39,137.80	38,848.64	-0.74%	47,144.92	+20.46%	0.0074	✗	1.00	630.5M	2022-03-28
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4106	6.3696	-0.64%	6.7648	+5.53%	0.0861	✓	0.79	2.9M	2022-03-28
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.192899	0.191774	-0.58%	0.229783	+19.12%	0.0322	✓	1.14	19.8M	2022-03-28
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0685	0.068179	-0.47%	0.0824	+20.29%	0.0116	✓	1.08	163k	2022-03-28
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	5.009	4.986	-0.46%	6.365	+27.07%	0.0875	✗	0.84	65k	2022-03-28
XEM	NEM	native	0.101	0.100715	-0.28%	0.1127	+11.58%	0.0858	✓	1.07	38k	2022-03-28
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	9.06	9.1476	+0.97%	10.91	+20.42%	0.0758	✗	1.35	10.8M	2022-03-28

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.