2022-02-24 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3074

151 of 151 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+19.01%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

43.7%

in alpha space · 19.2% on raw price

BTC over horizon

+16.15%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	8.83	9.14	+3.51%	10.64	+20.50%	0.0474	✗	1.33	11.0M	2022-03-26
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	1.504	1.5387	+2.31%	2.2	+46.28%	0.1939	✓	1.09	3.5M	2022-03-26
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.182403	0.184197	+0.98%	0.215838	+18.33%	0.0061	✓	1.10	21.4M	2022-03-26
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.01693	0.017083	+0.90%	0.03654	+115.83%	0.5220	✓	1.59	11.9M	2022-03-26
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.188	2.2043	+0.75%	6.444	+194.52%	0.8878	✓	1.24	772k	2022-03-26
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.1956	0.196698	+0.56%	0.2487	+27.15%	0.0091	✓	1.51	3.3M	2022-03-26
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	117.93	118.4679	+0.46%	164.65	+39.62%	0.1487	✓	1.21	930k	2022-03-26
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	2.18	2.1897	+0.44%	2.775	+27.29%	0.0334	✓	1.36	579k	2022-03-26
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.3452	0.346636	+0.42%	0.3882	+12.46%	0.1045	✗	1.45	1.3M	2022-03-26
XEM	NEM	native	0.093	0.093355	+0.38%	0.1088	+16.99%	0.0019	✓	1.04	38k	2022-03-26
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	108.73	109.0541	+0.30%	141.25	+29.91%	0.1058	✓	1.02	6.6M	2022-03-26
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.1	6.1118	+0.19%	6.99	+14.59%	0.0750	✓	0.40	1.3M	2022-03-26
KCS	KuCoin	native	18.173	18.1982	+0.14%	18.766	+3.26%	0.1268	✗	1.05	9.6M	2022-03-26
SC	Siacoin	native	0.00834	0.008351	+0.13%	0.01082	+29.74%	0.0674	✓	1.28	546k	2022-03-26
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.124116	0.124217	+0.08%	0.136089	+9.65%	0.0580	✗	1.00	3.7M	2022-03-26
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		81.89	81.946	+0.07%	90.22	+10.17%	0.0354	✗	0.88	946k	2022-03-26
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	11.99	11.9936	+0.03%	15.9	+32.61%	0.1284	✓	1.03	369k	2022-03-26
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.06073	0.060741	+0.02%	0.08581	+41.30%	0.1632	✓	1.22	77k	2022-03-26
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.458	0.457504	-0.11%	1.2208	+166.55%	0.7826	✗	1.33	2.2M	2022-03-26
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.003	1.9993	-0.18%	2.469	+23.27%	0.0557	✗	1.04	20k	2022-03-26
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.509766	0.508386	-0.27%	0.625849	+22.77%	0.0305	✗	1.18	3.2M	2022-03-26
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.5371	1.5325	-0.30%	2.3608	+53.58%	0.2824	✗	1.00	72k	2022-03-26
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.4313	0.430001	-0.30%	0.6791	+57.45%	0.2375	✗	1.47	572k	2022-03-26
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	0.89559	0.892565	-0.34%	1.2512	+39.70%	0.1283	✗	1.40	165k	2022-03-26
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	4.42	4.4049	-0.34%	6.98	+57.92%	0.3453	✗	0.77	459k	2022-03-26
XVG	Verge	native	0.00894	0.008903	-0.41%	0.01105	+23.60%	0.0238	✗	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-26
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		5.793	5.7665	-0.46%	7.203	+24.34%	0.0262	✗	1.31	29k	2022-03-26
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.7779	0.774108	-0.49%	0.9121	+17.25%	0.0178	✓	1.21	22.9M	2022-03-26
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002389	0.000023753	-0.57%	0.00002445	+2.34%	0.1732	✓	1.35	3.7M	2022-03-26
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.64	0.6362	-0.59%	0.729	+13.91%	0.0368	✓	1.16	2.2M	2022-03-26
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	5.42	5.3854	-0.64%	6.44	+18.82%	0.0545	✗	0.83	430k	2022-03-26
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	1.13	1.1213	-0.77%	1.42	+25.66%	0.0475	✗	1.26	934k	2022-03-26
DASH	Dash	Dash	87.88	87.1524	-0.83%	128.04	+45.70%	0.2177	✗	1.12	1.5M	2022-03-26
ZEN	Horizen	Base	34.22	33.8848	-0.98%	46.92	+37.11%	0.1013	✗	1.50	309k	2022-03-26
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.66022	0.653745	-0.98%	0.85828	+30.00%	0.0484	✗	1.50	246k	2022-03-26
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.6203	2.5932	-1.04%	4.2793	+63.31%	0.3558	✗	0.97	2.3M	2022-03-26
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2141	0.211837	-1.06%	0.2689	+25.60%	0.0879	✗	1.01	1.9M	2022-03-26
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.016	4.9611	-1.10%	5.416	+7.97%	0.0557	✓	0.96	241k	2022-03-26
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	38,347.30	37,916.66	-1.12%	44,539.42	+16.15%	0.0113	✗	1.00	632.3M	2022-03-26
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.274	0.270885	-1.14%	0.609	+122.26%	0.6042	✗	1.38	2.2M	2022-03-26
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.338	1.3226	-1.15%	1.897	+41.78%	0.1837	✗	1.18	1.8M	2022-03-26
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	4.44	4.3887	-1.15%	5.18	+16.67%	0.0152	✗	1.01	696k	2022-03-26
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0646	0.06385	-1.16%	0.079	+22.29%	0.0570	✗	1.04	176k	2022-03-26
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,597.42	2,566.53	-1.19%	3,146.22	+21.13%	0.0438	✗	1.07	561.7M	2022-03-26
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	4.785	4.7276	-1.20%	7.708	+61.09%	0.3447	✗	0.96	1.9M	2022-03-26
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.95	8.8398	-1.23%	10.24	+14.41%	0.0469	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-03-26
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.219	0.216172	-1.29%	0.26	+18.72%	0.0553	✗	0.86	59k	2022-03-26
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.079	0.077908	-1.38%	0.132	+67.09%	0.2962	✗	1.54	668k	2022-03-26
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.061098	0.060242	-1.40%	0.066368	+8.63%	0.0290	✓	0.84	286k	2022-03-26
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	16.18	15.9527	-1.40%	20.93	+29.36%	0.0740	✗	1.32	27.9M	2022-03-26
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	0.8533	0.841162	-1.42%	1.153	+35.12%	0.1428	✗	1.15	97.3M	2022-03-26
NANO	nanopay	Base	1.7738	1.7484	-1.43%	2.5027	+41.10%	0.1768	✗	1.21	206k	2022-03-26
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.0436	0.042974	-1.44%	0.05491	+25.94%	0.0567	✗	1.26	768k	2022-03-26
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	102.72	101.2223	-1.46%	204.96	+99.53%	0.5386	✗	1.11	7.8M	2022-03-26
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08206	0.080857	-1.47%	0.10351	+26.14%	0.0814	✗	1.11	47k	2022-03-26
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	108.77	107.1481	-1.49%	121.77	+11.95%	0.0661	✓	1.30	64k	2022-03-26
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.03686	0.036301	-1.52%	0.04666	+26.59%	0.0898	✗	1.08	31k	2022-03-26
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	300.94	296.3572	-1.52%	362.07	+20.31%	0.0507	✗	1.00	7.3M	2022-03-26
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.02616	0.025749	-1.57%	0.02636	+0.76%	0.0933	✓	0.78	4.4M	2022-03-26
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	13.27	13.0533	-1.63%	15.84	+19.37%	0.0110	✓	1.22	60.6M	2022-03-26
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	26.53	26.088	-1.67%	47.21	+77.95%	0.4279	✗	1.10	5.1M	2022-03-26
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1641	0.161336	-1.68%	0.242	+47.47%	0.1960	✗	1.40	2.9M	2022-03-26
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.3618	0.355544	-1.73%	0.4109	+13.57%	0.0759	✓	1.47	8.4M	2022-03-26
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	125.3	122.9252	-1.90%	163.4	+30.41%	0.0708	✗	1.43	6.5M	2022-03-26
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	2.481	2.434	-1.90%	3.756	+51.39%	0.3104	✗	0.82	205k	2022-03-26
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2371	0.23258	-1.91%	0.3258	+37.41%	0.1311	✗	1.38	469k	2022-03-26
SOL	Solana	Solana	89.41	87.6745	-1.94%	101.79	+13.85%	0.0427	✓	1.28	132.7M	2022-03-26
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	4.747	4.6517	-2.01%	6.115	+28.82%	0.1510	✗	0.82	65k	2022-03-26
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.6254	2.5727	-2.01%	4.1754	+59.04%	0.3467	✗	0.92	2.9M	2022-03-26
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	4.24	4.1547	-2.01%	5.28	+24.53%	0.0151	✓	1.50	456k	2022-03-26
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007114	0.000069674	-2.06%	0.0000868	+22.01%	0.0442	✗	1.17	4.4M	2022-03-26
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.5825	2.5288	-2.08%	2.6174	+1.35%	0.1596	✓	1.30	3.3M	2022-03-26
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.104	1.0799	-2.18%	1.345	+21.83%	0.0258	✗	1.29	2.8M	2022-03-26
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	104.24	101.9641	-2.18%	124.85	+19.77%	0.0261	✗	1.18	29.5M	2022-03-26
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	3.14	3.0696	-2.24%	3.64	+15.92%	0.0306	✓	1.34	7.1M	2022-03-26
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.344	1.3129	-2.32%	1.628	+21.13%	0.0391	✗	1.18	1.1M	2022-03-26
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.8411	5.7057	-2.32%	8.2397	+41.07%	0.1521	✗	1.44	172k	2022-03-26
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.36	1.3284	-2.33%	1.659	+21.99%	0.0028	✓	1.50	970k	2022-03-26
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.03	4.9127	-2.33%	8.41	+67.20%	0.4106	✗	0.85	398k	2022-03-26
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	18.42	17.9882	-2.34%	19.43	+5.48%	0.1139	✓	1.28	9.4M	2022-03-26
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.945	3.8506	-2.39%	5.974	+51.43%	0.3155	✗	0.83	414k	2022-03-26
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	1.97	1.9206	-2.51%	2.55	+29.44%	0.1009	✗	1.22	343k	2022-03-26
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.208	1.1774	-2.54%	1.516	+25.50%	0.0504	✗	1.35	1.8M	2022-03-26
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	8.97	8.7389	-2.58%	14.26	+58.97%	0.3892	✗	0.67	853k	2022-03-26
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1399	0.136279	-2.59%	0.1501	+7.29%	0.0253	✓	0.81	345k	2022-03-26
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.74	0.72076	-2.60%	1.0653	+43.96%	0.1619	✗	1.53	317k	2022-03-26
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1579	1.1267	-2.69%	1.1526	-0.46%	0.1939	✓	1.45	2.6M	2022-03-26
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.19	2.131	-2.69%	2.6	+18.72%	0.0483	✗	1.01	275k	2022-03-26
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.241	2.1791	-2.76%	2.41	+7.54%	0.1252	✓	1.51	13.2M	2022-03-26
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.827	0.803816	-2.80%	0.998	+20.68%	0.0118	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-03-26
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4805	0.466791	-2.85%	0.5554	+15.59%	0.0378	✗	0.91	643k	2022-03-26
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	2.747	2.6673	-2.90%	4.072	+48.23%	0.2841	✗	0.93	477k	2022-03-26
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1304	0.126556	-2.95%	0.1602	+22.85%	0.0809	✗	1.03	446k	2022-03-26
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01188	0.011528	-2.96%	0.01334	+12.29%	0.0318	✗	0.76	15k	2022-03-26
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	13.72	13.3087	-3.00%	17.38	+26.68%	0.0350	✗	1.55	2.7M	2022-03-26
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00413	0.004005	-3.02%	0.00426	+3.15%	0.2136	✓	1.84	12.6M	2022-03-26
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.15132	0.146745	-3.02%	0.16187	+6.97%	0.1064	✓	1.37	29k	2022-03-26
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.619961	-3.13%	0.7	+9.37%	0.1627	✓	1.90	1.0M	2022-03-26
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	76.41	74.0159	-3.13%	85.96	+12.50%	0.0752	✓	1.50	106.7M	2022-03-26
HIVE	Hive	native	0.8143	0.788566	-3.16%	1.0536	+29.39%	0.1003	✗	1.27	1.8M	2022-03-26
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	22.41	21.6976	-3.18%	27.43	+22.40%	0.0146	✓	1.47	1.8M	2022-03-26
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.6953	0.67189	-3.37%	0.8312	+19.55%	0.0498	✗	1.09	9.7M	2022-03-26
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0389	2.935	-3.42%	3.6619	+20.50%	0.0221	✓	1.33	2.1M	2022-03-26
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.00977	0.009435	-3.42%	0.01356	+38.79%	0.1417	✗	1.48	2.3M	2022-03-26
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	3.7351	3.6045	-3.50%	5.2377	+40.23%	0.1952	✗	1.19	291k	2022-03-26
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.56	1.5049	-3.53%	2.16	+38.46%	0.1618	✗	1.33	2.0M	2022-03-26
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	48.82	47.0897	-3.54%	66.96	+37.16%	0.1517	✗	1.34	7.5M	2022-03-26
METRONOME	METRONOME		2.1177	2.042	-3.58%	2.658	+25.51%	0.1325	✗	0.88	27k	2022-03-26
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.558	3.4306	-3.58%	4.192	+17.82%	0.0022	✓	1.32	1.9M	2022-03-26
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	38,311.50	36,938.18	-3.58%	44,445.40	+16.01%	0.0416	✗	0.96	39k	2022-03-26
AVT	Aventus	Ethereum	2.19	2.1105	-3.63%	2.46	+12.33%	0.0036	✓	1.00	639k	2022-03-26
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	5.89	5.6726	-3.69%	7.17	+21.73%	0.0321	✓	1.35	1.3M	2022-03-26
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.235	6.0037	-3.71%	6.4911	+4.11%	0.0400	✓	0.79	3.0M	2022-03-26
STX	Stacks	native	1.12	1.0775	-3.79%	1.36	+21.43%	0.0385	✓	1.30	725k	2022-03-26
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.423	0.406959	-3.79%	0.445	+5.20%	0.1166	✓	1.38	4.7M	2022-03-26
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0609	0.058578	-3.81%	0.08093	+32.89%	0.1656	✗	1.05	14k	2022-03-26
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	3.941	3.7844	-3.97%	5.117	+29.84%	0.1053	✗	1.31	2.4M	2022-03-26
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.01718	0.016482	-4.06%	0.02062	+20.02%	0.0580	✗	1.11	2.2M	2022-03-26
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	13.97	13.3829	-4.20%	13.43	-3.87%	0.1019	✓	0.70	1.9M	2022-03-26
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	16.6	15.8838	-4.31%	19.44	+17.11%	0.0296	✓	1.15	22.7M	2022-03-26
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1205	0.115181	-4.41%	0.1714	+42.24%	0.2022	✗	1.30	3.1M	2022-03-26
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.021665	0.020708	-4.42%	0.037356	+72.43%	0.4357	✗	1.03	114k	2022-03-26
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	19.48	18.5908	-4.56%	22.24	+14.17%	0.0570	✓	1.58	334k	2022-03-26
XMR	Monero	Monero	147	140.0999	-4.69%	207.22	+40.97%	0.2428	✗	0.99	966k	2022-03-26
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	19,425.17	18,502.17	-4.75%	21,160.33	+8.93%	0.0144	✓	0.99	5.7M	2022-03-26
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.3302	0.314427	-4.78%	0.3714	+12.48%	0.0877	✓	1.70	16.0M	2022-03-26
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	5.718	5.4406	-4.85%	5.7949	+1.34%	0.0022	✓	0.41	433k	2022-03-26
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0685	0.065134	-4.91%	0.0815	+18.98%	0.0167	✓	1.39	1.1M	2022-03-26
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	41.3	39.148	-5.21%	49.92	+20.87%	0.0721	✗	1.14	26.3M	2022-03-26
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	1.717	1.6256	-5.32%	1.883	+9.67%	0.0027	✓	1.00	84k	2022-03-26
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	24.86	23.5137	-5.42%	28.8	+15.85%	0.0396	✓	1.09	52.8M	2022-03-26
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000181	0.000001709	-5.60%	0.00000194	+7.18%	0.0268	✓	0.67	14.4M	2022-03-26
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	63.0112	59.4527	-5.65%	61.5671	-2.29%	0.1867	✓	1.48	243k	2022-03-26
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.03323	0.031341	-5.68%	0.04136	+24.47%	0.1528	✗	0.83	1.6M	2022-03-26
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.187	1.1183	-5.79%	1.694	+42.71%	0.2290	✗	1.24	1.0M	2022-03-26
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0532	0.049869	-6.26%	0.0794	+49.25%	0.1934	✗	1.81	67.8M	2022-03-26
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	1.69	1.584	-6.27%	1.62	-4.14%	0.2130	✓	1.57	539k	2022-03-26
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	0.8008	0.74915	-6.45%	0.8796	+9.84%	0.0828	✗	0.52	1.5M	2022-03-26
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.01147	0.010727	-6.48%	0.014424	+25.75%	0.1298	✗	1.11	37k	2022-03-26
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.045853	0.042815	-6.63%	0.042043	-8.31%	0.2014	✓	1.22	8.6M	2022-03-26
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.8131	1.6908	-6.74%	3.144	+73.40%	0.5193	✗	0.67	2.7M	2022-03-26
ORCA	Orca	Solana	2.68	2.4945	-6.92%	2.29	-14.55%	0.2352	✓	1.00	608k	2022-03-26
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	30.76	28.6082	-7.00%	30.63	-0.42%	0.0875	✓	1.04	1.6M	2022-03-26
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	65.24	60.4905	-7.28%	91.46	+40.19%	0.2103	✗	1.36	4.5M	2022-03-26
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.02	0.940425	-7.80%	1	-1.96%	0.0576	✓	0.03	286k	2022-03-26
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.3935	0.361854	-8.04%	0.4455	+13.21%	0.0990	✓	2.05	2.1M	2022-03-26
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.126	0.115716	-8.16%	0.113	-10.32%	0.1607	✓	0.91	53k	2022-03-26
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0281	0.025793	-8.21%	0.03025	+7.65%	0.0621	✓	1.48	513k	2022-03-26
BRISE	Bitgert	Ethereum	7.02e-7	6.29e-7	-10.40%	0.000001176	+67.48%	0.4758	✗	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-26
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.4257	1.2538	-12.06%	1.3654	-4.23%	0.1245	✓	1.40	238k	2022-03-26
API3	Api3	Ethereum	7.001	6.108	-12.76%	6.055	-13.51%	0.0643	✓	0.37	2.0M	2022-03-26

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.