8=======>

2022-02-24 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 151 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2435
151 of 151 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.21%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
38.4%
in alpha space · 8.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+16.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (151 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.39350.342298-13.01%0.4455+13.21%0.0435✓2.052.1M2022-03-26
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.02e-76.20e-7-11.74%0.000001176+67.48%0.4909✗1.001.4M2022-03-26
MOVRMoonriverBase63.011256.9806-9.57%61.5671-2.29%0.1443✓1.48243k2022-03-26
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.033230.030125-9.34%0.04136+24.47%0.1923✗0.831.6M2022-03-26
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0458530.04179-8.86%0.042043-8.31%0.1772✓1.228.6M2022-03-26
PROPropyEthereum1.691.5415-8.79%1.62-4.14%0.1857✓1.57539k2022-03-26
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02810.025702-8.53%0.03025+7.65%0.0585✓1.48513k2022-03-26
ORCAOrcaSolana2.682.4549-8.40%2.29-14.55%0.2192✓1.00608k2022-03-26
FIDABonfidaSolana1.7171.5739-8.33%1.883+9.67%0.0296✓1.0084k2022-03-26
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.80080.737325-7.93%0.8796+9.84%0.0988✗0.521.5M2022-03-26
API3Api3Ethereum7.0016.4934-7.25%6.055-13.51%0.1255✓0.372.0M2022-03-26
CELLCellframeEthereum1.42571.3312-6.63%1.3654-4.23%0.1844✓1.40238k2022-03-26
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1260.117856-6.46%0.113-10.32%0.1790✓0.9153k2022-03-26
SUNSun TokenTron0.011470.010731-6.44%0.014424+25.75%0.1294✗1.1137k2022-03-26
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.60074-6.13%0.7+9.37%0.1312✓1.901.0M2022-03-26
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05320.049972-6.07%0.0794+49.25%0.1914✗1.8167.8M2022-03-26
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7185.3929-5.69%5.7949+1.34%0.0110✓0.41433k2022-03-26
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06850.064861-5.31%0.0815+18.98%0.0209✓1.391.1M2022-03-26
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.1871.1252-5.21%1.694+42.71%0.2229✗1.241.0M2022-03-26
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.81311.7196-5.16%3.144+73.40%0.5024✗0.672.7M2022-03-26
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.131.0718-5.15%1.42+25.66%0.0926✗1.26934k2022-03-26
DODODODOEthereum0.4230.401447-5.10%0.445+5.20%0.1030✓1.384.7M2022-03-26
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0216650.020578-5.02%0.037356+72.43%0.4420✗1.03114k2022-03-26
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12050.114601-4.90%0.1714+42.24%0.2072✗1.303.1M2022-03-26
DIADIAEthereum1.020.970214-4.88%1-1.96%0.0264✓0.03286k2022-03-26
BANDBandEthereum3.5583.3845-4.88%4.192+17.82%0.0157✓1.321.9M2022-03-26
BTTCBTTC0.000001810.000001723-4.83%0.00000194+7.18%0.0187✓0.6714.4M2022-03-26
LUNATerraTerra 265.2462.1528-4.73%91.46+40.19%0.1832✗1.364.5M2022-03-26
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum16.615.8216-4.69%19.44+17.11%0.0335✓1.1522.7M2022-03-26
NMRNumeraireEthereum30.7629.4186-4.36%30.63-0.42%0.1154✓1.041.6M2022-03-26
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.11772.0264-4.31%2.658+25.51%0.1401✗0.8827k2022-03-26
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.9713.3755-4.26%13.43-3.87%0.1014✓0.701.9M2022-03-26
AVTAventusEthereum2.192.0972-4.24%2.46+12.33%0.0099✓1.00639k2022-03-26
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.33020.316316-4.20%0.3714+12.48%0.0937✓1.7016.0M2022-03-26
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.182.0897-4.14%2.775+27.29%0.0802✗1.36579k2022-03-26
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.561.4961-4.10%2.16+38.46%0.1677✗1.332.0M2022-03-26
XTZTezosTezos3.03892.915-4.08%3.6619+20.50%0.0289✓1.332.1M2022-03-26
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009770.009377-4.02%0.01356+38.79%0.1480✗1.482.3M2022-03-26
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.016930.016258-3.97%0.03654+115.83%0.5715✗1.5911.9M2022-03-26
STXStacksnative1.121.0777-3.77%1.36+21.43%0.0383✓1.30725k2022-03-26
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.4818.7472-3.76%22.24+14.17%0.0653✓1.58334k2022-03-26
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.361.3098-3.69%1.659+21.99%0.0113✓1.50970k2022-03-26
BFCBifrostEthereum0.151320.145791-3.65%0.16187+6.97%0.0999✓1.3729k2022-03-26
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.017180.016559-3.62%0.02062+20.02%0.0533✗1.112.2M2022-03-26
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.9413.8004-3.57%5.117+29.84%0.1010✗1.312.4M2022-03-26
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.192.1149-3.43%2.6+18.72%0.0559✗1.01275k2022-03-26
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche76.4173.8017-3.41%85.96+12.50%0.0723✓1.50106.7M2022-03-26
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.244.1015-3.27%5.28+24.53%0.0279✓1.50456k2022-03-26
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.2722-3.26%17.38+26.68%0.0378✗1.552.7M2022-03-26
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48050.464875-3.25%0.5554+15.59%0.0419✗0.91643k2022-03-26
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13040.126209-3.21%0.1602+22.85%0.0836✗1.03446k2022-03-26
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3441.3015-3.16%1.628+21.13%0.0478✗1.181.1M2022-03-26
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos24.8624.1013-3.05%28.8+15.85%0.0149✓1.0952.8M2022-03-26
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.69530.674572-2.98%0.8312+19.55%0.0458✗1.099.7M2022-03-26
LCXLCXEthereum0.0790.076669-2.95%0.132+67.09%0.3123✗1.54668k2022-03-26
UOSUltraEthereum1.15791.1239-2.94%1.1526-0.46%0.1914✓1.452.6M2022-03-26
LRCLoopringEthereum0.740.71906-2.83%1.0653+43.96%0.1642✗1.53317k2022-03-26
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.011880.011544-2.83%0.01334+12.29%0.0304✗0.7615k2022-03-26
HIVEHivenative0.81430.79136-2.82%1.0536+29.39%0.0968✗1.271.8M2022-03-26
MANADecentralandEthereum2.58252.5102-2.80%2.6174+1.35%0.1522✓1.303.3M2022-03-26
COMPCompoundEthereum108.77105.7837-2.75%121.77+11.95%0.0533✓1.3064k2022-03-26
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.73513.6335-2.72%5.2377+40.23%0.1872✗1.19291k2022-03-26
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.7472.6725-2.71%4.072+48.23%0.2821✗0.93477k2022-03-26
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.660220.64236-2.71%0.85828+30.00%0.0659✗1.50246k2022-03-26
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.15.9393-2.63%6.99+14.59%0.1037✗0.401.3M2022-03-26
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.895.7376-2.59%7.17+21.73%0.0207✓1.351.3M2022-03-26
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06090.059384-2.49%0.08093+32.89%0.1519✗1.0514k2022-03-26
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.62542.5611-2.45%4.1754+59.04%0.3512✗0.922.9M2022-03-26
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.425.2875-2.44%6.44+18.82%0.0728✗0.83430k2022-03-26
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4217.9706-2.44%19.43+5.48%0.1130✓1.289.4M2022-03-26
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.8247.6383-2.42%66.96+37.16%0.1401✗1.347.5M2022-03-26
YFIyearn.financeEthereum19,425.1718,958.83-2.40%21,160.33+8.93%0.0388✓0.995.7M2022-03-26
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.4121.8736-2.39%27.43+22.40%0.0065✓1.471.8M2022-03-26
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.62032.5576-2.39%4.2793+63.31%0.3696✗0.972.3M2022-03-26
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2412.1876-2.38%2.41+7.54%0.1292✓1.5113.2M2022-03-26
ADACardanoCardano0.85330.833059-2.37%1.153+35.12%0.1525✗1.1597.3M2022-03-26
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8270.808085-2.29%0.998+20.68%0.0065✓1.372.1M2022-03-26
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004130.004036-2.28%0.00426+3.15%0.2212✓1.8412.6M2022-03-26
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,311.5037,441.36-2.27%44,445.40+16.01%0.0281✗0.9639k2022-03-26
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9453.8561-2.25%5.974+51.43%0.3141✗0.83414k2022-03-26
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.978.7714-2.21%14.26+58.97%0.3855✗0.67853k2022-03-26
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3381.3086-2.20%1.897+41.78%0.1944✗1.181.8M2022-03-26
XVGVergenative0.008940.008746-2.17%0.01105+23.60%0.0417✗1.281.2M2022-03-26
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1041.08-2.17%1.345+21.83%0.0257✗1.292.8M2022-03-26
CHZChilizEthereum0.16410.160544-2.17%0.242+47.47%0.2009✗1.402.9M2022-03-26
FTTFTXEthereum41.340.4069-2.16%49.92+20.87%0.0404✗1.1426.3M2022-03-26
XVSVenusEthereum8.958.7602-2.12%10.24+14.41%0.0378✓1.303.2M2022-03-26
MINAMina Protocolnative1.971.9289-2.08%2.55+29.44%0.0966✗1.22343k2022-03-26
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000023890.000023394-2.08%0.00002445+2.34%0.1579✓1.353.7M2022-03-26
NANOnanopayBase1.77381.7372-2.06%2.5027+41.10%0.1832✗1.21206k2022-03-26
RADRadworksEthereum4.444.3491-2.05%5.18+16.67%0.0243✗1.01696k2022-03-26
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5325.9977-2.01%47.21+77.95%0.4314✗1.105.1M2022-03-26
AUCTIONBounceEthereum11.9911.751-1.99%15.9+32.61%0.1488✗1.03369k2022-03-26
QTUMQtumQtum5.84115.7251-1.99%8.2397+41.07%0.1487✗1.44172k2022-03-26
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04360.042737-1.98%0.05491+25.94%0.0622✗1.26768k2022-03-26
ZECZcashZcash102.72100.7191-1.95%204.96+99.53%0.5436✗1.117.8M2022-03-26
AMPAmpEthereum0.026160.025657-1.92%0.02636+0.76%0.0897✓0.784.4M2022-03-26
CVCCivicEthereum0.23710.232554-1.92%0.3258+37.41%0.1312✗1.38469k2022-03-26
LSKLiskEthereum1.53711.5079-1.90%2.3608+53.58%0.2986✗1.0072k2022-03-26
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.36180.354923-1.90%0.4109+13.57%0.0741✓1.478.4M2022-03-26
UMAUMAEthereum4.7854.6949-1.88%7.708+61.09%0.3516✗0.961.9M2022-03-26
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.21410.21015-1.85%0.2689+25.60%0.0959✗1.011.9M2022-03-26
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2190.215037-1.81%0.26+18.72%0.0605✗0.8659k2022-03-26
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.1882.1486-1.80%6.444+194.52%0.9135✗1.24772k2022-03-26
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5097660.500717-1.78%0.625849+22.77%0.0457✗1.183.2M2022-03-26
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash300.94295.6368-1.76%362.07+20.31%0.0532✗1.007.3M2022-03-26
SUSHISushiEthereum3.143.0855-1.74%3.64+15.92%0.0357✓1.347.1M2022-03-26
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2081.1875-1.70%1.516+25.50%0.0419✗1.351.8M2022-03-26
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2740.269402-1.68%0.609+122.26%0.6097✗1.382.2M2022-03-26
CTSICartesiEthereum0.34520.339532-1.64%0.3882+12.46%0.0838✓1.451.3M2022-03-26
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.2713.0591-1.59%15.84+19.37%0.0105✓1.2260.6M2022-03-26
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.036860.036286-1.56%0.04666+26.59%0.0902✗1.0831k2022-03-26
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.034.953-1.53%8.41+67.20%0.4024✗0.85398k2022-03-26
SOLSolanaSolana89.4188.0528-1.52%101.79+13.85%0.0470✓1.28132.7M2022-03-26
XMRMoneroMonero147144.777-1.51%207.22+40.97%0.2100✗0.99966k2022-03-26
CBKCobakEthereum2.0031.9728-1.51%2.469+23.27%0.0691✗1.0420k2022-03-26
SCSiacoinnative0.008340.008215-1.50%0.01082+29.74%0.0838✗1.28546k2022-03-26
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082060.08085-1.47%0.10351+26.14%0.0815✗1.1147k2022-03-26
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.0164.9448-1.42%5.416+7.97%0.0525✓0.96241k2022-03-26
ZENHorizenBase34.2233.7451-1.39%46.92+37.11%0.1054✗1.50309k2022-03-26
KSMKusamaHydration117.93116.3234-1.36%164.65+39.62%0.1669✗1.21930k2022-03-26
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.77790.767535-1.33%0.9121+17.25%0.0092✓1.2122.9M2022-03-26
AAVEAaveEthereum125.3123.6342-1.33%163.4+30.41%0.0651✗1.436.5M2022-03-26
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43130.425791-1.28%0.6791+57.45%0.2474✗1.47572k2022-03-26
GITCOINGITCOIN5.7935.7199-1.26%7.203+24.34%0.0343✗1.3129k2022-03-26
XYMSymbolnative0.13990.138138-1.26%0.1501+7.29%0.0388✓0.81345k2022-03-26
ETHEthereumEthereum2,597.422,566.05-1.21%3,146.22+21.13%0.0440✗1.07561.7M2022-03-26
DASHDashDash87.8886.82-1.21%128.04+45.70%0.2216✗1.121.5M2022-03-26
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060730.060013-1.18%0.08581+41.30%0.1753✗1.2277k2022-03-26
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.424.3678-1.18%6.98+57.92%0.3538✗0.77459k2022-03-26
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.4580.452606-1.18%1.2208+166.55%0.7934✗1.332.2M2022-03-26
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.4812.4534-1.11%3.756+51.39%0.3025✗0.82205k2022-03-26
XECeCashnative0.000071140.000070384-1.06%0.0000868+22.01%0.0341✗1.174.4M2022-03-26
TRXTRONTron0.0610980.060463-1.04%0.066368+8.63%0.0326✓0.84286k2022-03-26
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5041.4886-1.03%2.2+46.28%0.2270✗1.093.5M2022-03-26
LTCLitecoinLitecoin104.24103.1719-1.02%124.85+19.77%0.0143✗1.1829.5M2022-03-26
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.1816.0211-0.98%20.93+29.36%0.0697✗1.3227.9M2022-03-26
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1241160.122949-0.94%0.136089+9.65%0.0477✓1.003.7M2022-03-26
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.640.635108-0.76%0.729+13.91%0.0351✓1.162.2M2022-03-26
QNTQuantEthereum108.73107.9433-0.72%141.25+29.91%0.1160✗1.026.6M2022-03-26
COTICOTIEthereum0.19560.194231-0.70%0.2487+27.15%0.0217✗1.513.3M2022-03-26
KCSKuCoinnative18.17318.0479-0.69%18.766+3.26%0.1185✓1.059.6M2022-03-26
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV81.8981.3518-0.66%90.22+10.17%0.0281✓0.88946k2022-03-26
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,347.3038,134.70-0.55%44,539.42+16.15%0.0056✗1.00632.3M2022-03-26
GTGateEthereum6.2356.2097-0.41%6.4911+4.11%0.0737✓0.793.0M2022-03-26
STORJStorjEthereum0.895590.892943-0.30%1.2512+39.70%0.1279✗1.40165k2022-03-26
XLMStellarStellar0.1824030.181876-0.29%0.215838+18.33%0.0066✗1.1021.4M2022-03-26
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06460.064521-0.12%0.079+22.29%0.0465✗1.04176k2022-03-26
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7474.7445-0.05%6.115+28.82%0.1312✗0.8265k2022-03-26
XEMNEMnative0.0930.093143+0.15%0.1088+16.99%0.0003✓1.0438k2022-03-26
UNIUniswapEthereum8.838.9652+1.53%10.64+20.50%0.0281✗1.3311.0M2022-03-26
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.