8=======>

2022-02-23 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3346
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+24.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
64.7%
in alpha space · 13.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+18.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum8.758.8902+1.60%10.58+20.91%0.0552✗1.3210.8M2022-03-25
STORJStorjEthereum0.903290.901861-0.16%1.1717+29.72%0.0708✗1.10160k2022-03-25
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.06930.069123-0.26%0.0768+10.82%0.0844✓1.09176k2022-03-25
XEMNEMnative0.09430.094037-0.28%0.1077+14.21%0.0438✓1.0337k2022-03-25
XLMStellarStellar0.1818880.181235-0.36%0.211296+16.17%0.0287✓1.0521.4M2022-03-25
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.6670.664334-0.40%0.696+4.35%0.1459✓1.112.0M2022-03-25
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.1815.16-0.41%6.098+17.70%0.0280✗0.8065k2022-03-25
GTGateEthereum6.14826.1123-0.58%6.5347+6.29%0.0748✓0.823.0M2022-03-25
BTCBitcoinBitcoin37,268.1936,997.09-0.73%44,331.85+18.95%0.0073✓1.00632.3M2022-03-25
COTICOTIEthereum0.20390.202411-0.73%0.2287+12.16%0.1444✓1.543.3M2022-03-25
DOTPolkadotPolkadot15.9715.8498-0.75%20.55+28.68%0.0285✗1.3327.9M2022-03-25
IMXImmutableEthereum1.5541.5412-0.82%2.256+45.17%0.1876✗1.113.4M2022-03-25
QNTQuantEthereum108.35107.4257-0.85%137.44+26.85%0.0687✗1.026.6M2022-03-25
XECeCashnative0.000070220.000069549-0.96%0.0000841+19.77%0.0130✓1.174.4M2022-03-25
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV82.1781.3796-0.96%89.79+9.27%0.0577✓0.90946k2022-03-25
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.5992.573-1.00%3.801+46.25%0.2438✗0.84198k2022-03-25
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.684.6321-1.02%7.1+51.71%0.2878✗0.80431k2022-03-25
KSMKusamaHydration123.58122.2854-1.05%166.41+34.66%0.1010✗1.19930k2022-03-25
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.060160.059467-1.15%0.07918+31.62%0.1441✗0.8275k2022-03-25
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.044860.044339-1.16%0.05518+23.00%0.0094✓1.31768k2022-03-25
SCSiacoinnative0.00840.008302-1.16%0.00999+18.93%0.0066✓1.03525k2022-03-25
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.43910.433906-1.18%0.6614+50.63%0.1691✗1.45572k2022-03-25
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.275.2076-1.18%8.46+60.53%0.3335✗0.87367k2022-03-25
TRXTRONTron0.0607840.060064-1.18%0.064389+5.93%0.0782✓0.85286k2022-03-25
AAVEAaveEthereum130.67129.0812-1.22%162.53+24.38%0.0206✓1.456.5M2022-03-25
ZENHorizenBase32.8432.4405-1.22%44.77+36.33%0.0482✗1.58309k2022-03-25
KCSKuCoinnative18.74918.5204-1.22%18.674-0.40%0.1897✓1.149.6M2022-03-25
GITCOINGITCOIN5.8585.7852-1.24%6.938+18.44%0.1182✗0.3729k2022-03-25
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.2941.2772-1.30%1.504+16.23%0.0768✓1.381.8M2022-03-25
ETHEthereumEthereum2,580.972,546.00-1.36%3,104.15+20.27%0.0096✓1.09561.7M2022-03-25
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.78530.774563-1.37%0.8895+13.27%0.0763✓1.2422.9M2022-03-25
LINKChainlinkEthereum13.3413.1576-1.37%15.6+16.94%0.0409✓1.2260.6M2022-03-25
LTCLitecoinLitecoin105.41103.9521-1.38%124+17.64%0.0335✓1.2129.5M2022-03-25
UMAUMAEthereum4.9774.9081-1.38%7.625+53.20%0.2670✗1.001.8M2022-03-25
DASHDashDash88.2887.0293-1.42%126.29+43.06%0.1694✗1.171.5M2022-03-25
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.49220.485225-1.42%1.1782+139.37%0.6524✗1.352.2M2022-03-25
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1273610.125534-1.44%0.130825+2.72%0.1345✓1.013.7M2022-03-25
CBKCobakEthereum2.0071.9775-1.47%2.438+21.47%0.0280✗1.0419k2022-03-25
SOLSolanaSolana84.6483.3427-1.53%98.63+16.53%0.0475✓1.24132.7M2022-03-25
XMRMoneroMonero149.01146.7187-1.54%199.98+34.21%0.1358✗1.00966k2022-03-25
SUSHISushiEthereum3.283.2281-1.58%3.62+10.37%0.1271✓1.397.0M2022-03-25
DKAdKargoEthereum0.082870.081543-1.60%0.10144+22.41%0.0258✗1.1147k2022-03-25
CTSICartesiEthereum0.36510.359109-1.64%0.3638-0.36%0.2325✓1.411.3M2022-03-25
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2820.277365-1.64%0.612+117.02%0.5519✗1.382.0M2022-03-25
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.2210.217365-1.64%0.2593+17.33%0.0022✓1.001.8M2022-03-25
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash288.37283.5483-1.67%365.21+26.65%0.0799✗1.007.3M2022-03-25
AMPAmpEthereum0.025930.025494-1.68%0.02608+0.58%0.1117✓0.774.4M2022-03-25
XVGVergenative0.009380.009222-1.69%0.0103+9.81%0.1125✓1.291.2M2022-03-25
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2340.230047-1.69%0.255+8.97%0.0509✓0.8959k2022-03-25
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.037440.036791-1.73%0.0437+16.72%0.0177✓1.0931k2022-03-25
ZECZcashZcash97.5195.802-1.75%195.35+100.34%0.5104✗1.167.6M2022-03-25
XYMSymbolnative0.1470.144355-1.80%0.1486+1.09%0.1105✓0.80345k2022-03-25
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.35360.347154-1.82%0.409+15.67%0.0818✓1.428.4M2022-03-25
LSKLiskEthereum1.58611.5572-1.82%2.245+41.55%0.1800✗1.0772k2022-03-25
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0381.0191-1.82%1.282+23.51%0.0113✓1.262.8M2022-03-25
XVSVenusEthereum8.348.1857-1.85%9.96+19.42%0.0285✓1.293.1M2022-03-25
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.3635.2637-1.85%5.224-2.59%0.1884✓1.04241k2022-03-25
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5265790.516737-1.87%0.584855+11.07%0.0782✓1.163.2M2022-03-25
GTCGitcoinEthereum5.855.7395-1.89%7.02+20.00%0.1302✗0.411.3M2022-03-25
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.76365-1.97%0.943+21.05%0.0259✓1.362.1M2022-03-25
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3311.3044-1.99%1.678+26.07%0.0527✗1.151.6M2022-03-25
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004440.004351-2.00%0.00422-4.95%0.3579✓1.8912.6M2022-03-25
CHZChilizEthereum0.17030.166895-2.00%0.2472+45.16%0.1476✗1.412.9M2022-03-25
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum37,524.2036,762.56-2.03%44,293.40+18.04%0.0185✓0.9739k2022-03-25
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.716.5734-2.04%6.73+0.30%0.0148✓0.221.2M2022-03-25
QTUMQtumQtum5.74015.6226-2.05%8.2665+44.01%0.1340✗1.45153k2022-03-25
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.3182.2701-2.06%6.662+187.40%0.8569✗1.27772k2022-03-25
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.7112.4452-2.08%15.84+24.63%0.0626✗1.03369k2022-03-25
MINAMina Protocolnative2.122.0756-2.09%2.48+16.98%0.0364✓1.24324k2022-03-25
FILFilecoinFilecoin18.4318.0434-2.10%18.83+2.17%0.1685✓1.229.2M2022-03-25
HIVEHivenative0.81850.800584-2.19%1.0029+22.53%0.0136✓1.381.7M2022-03-25
CVCCivicEthereum0.23960.234311-2.21%0.3039+26.84%0.0577✗1.17410k2022-03-25
RADRadworksEthereum4.864.7522-2.22%5.03+3.50%0.1153✓0.99682k2022-03-25
ETCEthereum Classicnative26.5325.9289-2.27%48.17+81.57%0.4302✗1.094.9M2022-03-25
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.2852.2323-2.31%2.285+0.00%0.2487✓1.5713.2M2022-03-25
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.78752.7209-2.39%4.3602+56.42%0.2958✗1.012.3M2022-03-25
FTTFTXEthereum40.7839.8051-2.39%49.71+21.90%0.0220✓1.1526.3M2022-03-25
LPTLivepeerEthereum22.1821.646-2.41%27.78+25.25%0.0006✓1.441.8M2022-03-25
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000024840.000024236-2.43%0.00002414-2.82%0.2433✓1.383.7M2022-03-25
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.71260.694616-2.52%0.7822+9.77%0.0794✓1.149.7M2022-03-25
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum48.7947.5515-2.54%71.62+46.79%0.1799✗1.327.5M2022-03-25
COMPCompoundEthereum109.49106.6566-2.59%116.03+5.97%0.1399✓1.2964k2022-03-25
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.659430.642359-2.59%0.83416+26.50%0.0104✓1.45246k2022-03-25
ADACardanoCardano0.86640.843893-2.60%1.0966+26.57%0.0624✗1.1597.3M2022-03-25
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.765.6089-2.62%6.48+12.50%0.0077✓0.88425k2022-03-25
NANOnanopayBase1.90931.8589-2.64%2.4068+26.06%0.0451✗1.23206k2022-03-25
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,320.9519,780.96-2.66%20,599.76+1.37%0.1385✓1.035.7M2022-03-25
OGOG Fan TokenSolana2.8782.8015-2.66%4.106+42.67%0.2183✗0.95460k2022-03-25
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.018020.017538-2.68%0.03913+117.15%0.5196✗1.6311.1M2022-03-25
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1354.0232-2.70%5.992+44.91%0.2498✗0.86395k2022-03-25
LRCLoopringEthereum0.75130.730666-2.75%1.058+40.82%0.1033✗1.54317k2022-03-25
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.289.0248-2.75%14.45+55.71%0.3452✗0.72758k2022-03-25
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.3831.345-2.75%1.573+13.74%0.0554✓1.221.0M2022-03-25
MANADecentralandEthereum2.55162.4805-2.79%2.5921+1.59%0.1801✓1.293.2M2022-03-25
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012230.011888-2.80%0.01311+7.20%0.0337✓0.7615k2022-03-25
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7483.6428-2.81%5.057+34.93%0.1080✗1.272.3M2022-03-25
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.9380.911097-2.87%1.647+75.59%0.3784✗1.23934k2022-03-25
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.8118.2686-2.88%21.53+14.46%0.1037✓1.54334k2022-03-25
LCXLCXEthereum0.08450.082031-2.92%0.1468+73.73%0.3278✗1.46668k2022-03-25
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.2413.8206-2.95%17.57+23.38%0.0305✓1.562.3M2022-03-25
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06220.06035-2.97%0.07759+24.74%0.0657✗1.0714k2022-03-25
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum3.86583.7502-2.99%5.1383+32.92%0.1055✗1.21283k2022-03-25
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.234.0998-3.08%5.04+19.15%0.0160✓1.10456k2022-03-25
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.272.1997-3.10%2.746+20.97%0.0190✓1.39579k2022-03-25
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.84182.7532-3.12%4.1956+47.64%0.2452✗1.012.6M2022-03-25
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos25.1524.3639-3.13%28.15+11.93%0.0468✓1.1052.8M2022-03-25
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13350.129188-3.23%0.157+17.60%0.0187✓1.02467k2022-03-25
UOSUltraEthereum1.19541.1567-3.24%1.1617-2.82%0.2339✓1.372.6M2022-03-25
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.018760.018146-3.27%0.02041+8.80%0.0787✓1.132.1M2022-03-25
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche73.571.0825-3.29%83.58+13.71%0.0983✓1.50106.7M2022-03-25
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.48490.468891-3.30%0.5404+11.45%0.0248✓0.96643k2022-03-25
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.3891.343-3.31%1.616+16.34%0.0711✓1.48928k2022-03-25
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.172.0982-3.31%2.55+17.51%0.0190✓1.01275k2022-03-25
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.32930.317264-3.66%0.3554+7.93%0.1785✓1.6816.0M2022-03-25
AVTAventusEthereum2.352.2615-3.77%2.48+5.53%0.0813✓1.00639k2022-03-25
STXStacksnative1.131.0874-3.77%1.34+18.58%0.0201✓1.32725k2022-03-25
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010060.00968-3.77%0.01223+21.57%0.0309✓1.532.2M2022-03-25
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.5327.4499-3.79%29.96+5.01%0.0893✓1.021.5M2022-03-25
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.591.5297-3.79%2.09+31.45%0.0776✗1.352.0M2022-03-25
LUNATerraTerra 259.5457.2673-3.82%90.34+51.73%0.2245✗1.334.5M2022-03-25
XTZTezosTezos2.93312.8202-3.85%3.5173+19.92%0.0041✓1.302.0M2022-03-25
DODODODOEthereum0.4430.424662-4.14%0.436-1.58%0.2111✓1.374.5M2022-03-25
BFCBifrostEthereum0.149490.143209-4.20%0.16013+7.12%0.1239✓1.3629k2022-03-25
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.191.1387-4.31%1.42+19.33%0.0033✓1.29934k2022-03-25
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.15382.0579-4.45%2.6075+21.07%0.0852✗0.8728k2022-03-25
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0227580.021732-4.51%0.037574+65.10%0.3644✗1.06111k2022-03-25
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum17.2916.494-4.60%18.77+8.56%0.0703✓1.1522.3M2022-03-25
BTTCBTTC0.00000190.000001811-4.68%0.00000192+1.05%0.1152✓1.0014.4M2022-03-25
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06870.065427-4.76%0.0803+16.89%0.0336✓1.371.1M2022-03-25
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12060.114809-4.80%0.1402+16.25%0.0317✓1.332.9M2022-03-25
BANDBandEthereum3.6553.4789-4.82%4.03+10.26%0.0726✓1.271.9M2022-03-25
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.3513.6389-4.96%13.5-5.92%0.1396✓0.751.8M2022-03-25
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72071.624-5.62%3.1309+81.96%0.5661✗0.522.7M2022-03-25
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.04760.044887-5.70%0.0808+69.75%0.2795✗1.7864.3M2022-03-25
DIADIAEthereum1.11.0367-5.76%0.98-10.91%0.2298✓1.00286k2022-03-25
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.670.630285-5.93%0.67+0.00%0.2752✓1.941.0M2022-03-25
SUNSun TokenTron0.012140.011413-5.99%0.013428+10.61%0.0362✓1.1539k2022-03-25
CELLCellframeEthereum1.74841.6345-6.52%1.4336-18.01%0.3936✓1.51229k2022-03-25
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.09755.6948-6.60%5.9358-2.65%0.0267✓0.39412k2022-03-25
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1440.134177-6.82%0.109-24.31%0.3846✓1.0253k2022-03-25
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.02530.023471-7.23%0.0297+17.39%0.0120✓1.43497k2022-03-25
API3Api3Ethereum6.3575.8811-7.49%5.388-15.24%0.1461✓0.342.0M2022-03-25
FIDABonfidaSolana1.8071.6647-7.88%1.843+1.99%0.0718✓1.0076k2022-03-25
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.92990.853182-8.25%0.834-10.31%0.1292✓0.611.5M2022-03-25
PROPropyEthereum1.781.6282-8.53%1.57-11.80%0.3200✓1.63582k2022-03-25
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0491780.044956-8.59%0.041104-16.42%0.3084✓1.267.5M2022-03-25
MOVRMoonriverBase67.759161.9081-8.64%58.5245-13.63%0.3170✓1.50243k2022-03-25
ORCAOrcaSolana2.582.3555-8.70%2.26-12.40%0.2149✓1.00671k2022-03-25
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.03660.033143-9.45%0.0411+12.30%0.0610✓0.891.7M2022-03-25
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43310.384005-11.34%0.4204-2.93%0.2375✓1.892.0M2022-03-25
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.