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2022-02-20 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4024
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.3%
in alpha space · 34.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+10.39%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum9.369.4987+1.48%9.76+4.27%0.1032✗1.3211.4M2022-03-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.07290.072996+0.13%0.0759+4.12%0.0728✗1.13194k2022-03-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.70.698802-0.17%0.722+3.14%0.0721✓1.062.0M2022-03-22
STORJStorjEthereum0.985120.98186-0.33%1.1249+14.19%0.0311✗1.06180k2022-03-22
XLMStellarStellar0.1946470.193917-0.38%0.20689+6.29%0.0376✓1.0421.8M2022-03-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.22130.220204-0.50%0.218-1.49%0.1621✓1.543.6M2022-03-22
GTGateEthereum6.25636.2136-0.68%6.4277+2.74%0.0500✓0.853.5M2022-03-22
GITCOINGITCOIN6.5916.5434-0.72%6.962+5.63%0.0249✗0.3835k2022-03-22
IMXImmutableEthereum1.821.806-0.77%2.315+27.20%0.1440✗1.063.2M2022-03-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot16.9216.7642-0.92%20.22+19.50%0.0550✗1.3431.3M2022-03-22
XEMNEMnative0.09880.097876-0.93%0.1082+9.51%0.0006✓1.0138k2022-03-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,389.0338,007.69-0.99%42,378.26+10.39%0.0100✓1.00633.0M2022-03-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum5.5165.4606-1.00%5.986+8.52%0.0132✗0.8065k2022-03-22
QNTQuantEthereum107.71106.5877-1.04%127.12+18.02%0.0767✗1.016.6M2022-03-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.039140.038681-1.17%0.04222+7.87%0.0208✓1.1032k2022-03-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.7982.7652-1.17%4.168+48.96%0.3306✗0.81206k2022-03-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.30.296476-1.17%0.693+131.00%0.7179✗1.332.2M2022-03-22
TRXTRONTron0.062010.061257-1.22%0.063447+2.32%0.0474✓0.84307k2022-03-22
ZENHorizenBase34.7534.3276-1.22%45.47+30.85%0.1270✗1.56364k2022-03-22
SCSiacoinnative0.009120.009007-1.24%0.0096+5.26%0.0379✓1.03504k2022-03-22
XECeCashnative0.000074370.000073392-1.32%0.00008348+12.25%0.0168✗1.134.7M2022-03-22
CBKCobakEthereum2.0672.0395-1.33%2.255+9.10%0.0028✓1.0420k2022-03-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.085750.084608-1.33%0.09728+13.45%0.0323✗1.0849k2022-03-22
KCSKuCoinnative18.96218.7012-1.38%18.261-3.70%0.1420✓1.209.8M2022-03-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum6.576.478-1.40%6.98+6.24%0.0344✗0.411.4M2022-03-22
SOLSolanaSolana90.7889.5026-1.41%90.48-0.33%0.1108✓1.23171.7M2022-03-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.021160.02086-1.42%0.03998+88.94%0.4915✗1.6110.9M2022-03-22
ETHEthereumEthereum2,622.472,584.87-1.43%2,970.51+13.27%0.0287✗1.12581.4M2022-03-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.04870.047996-1.45%0.05567+14.31%0.0115✓1.38903k2022-03-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5708340.562578-1.45%0.561881-1.57%0.1137✓1.143.5M2022-03-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.240.236382-1.51%0.253+5.42%0.0250✓0.9468k2022-03-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.067540.06648-1.57%0.07561+11.95%0.0518✗0.7884k2022-03-22
XVSVenusEthereum8.958.8088-1.58%9.38+4.80%0.0663✓1.313.2M2022-03-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.75.6099-1.58%8.37+46.84%0.3168✗0.84398k2022-03-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.39610.389785-1.59%0.3622-8.56%0.2149✓1.431.6M2022-03-22
AAVEAaveEthereum137.55135.3091-1.63%152.91+11.17%0.0199✓1.446.8M2022-03-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1367140.134426-1.67%0.122365-10.50%0.1934✓1.004.7M2022-03-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.84550.831346-1.67%0.8268-2.21%0.1284✓1.2424.6M2022-03-22
LSKLiskEthereum1.62031.593-1.68%2.188+35.04%0.2050✗1.1475k2022-03-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV84.4683.0366-1.69%91.76+8.64%0.0123✓0.891.1M2022-03-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0631.0447-1.73%1.26+18.53%0.0640✗1.253.0M2022-03-22
XVGVergenative0.009620.009454-1.73%0.00999+3.85%0.0730✓1.301.2M2022-03-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.027150.026672-1.76%0.02633-3.02%0.0980✓0.865.0M2022-03-22
KSMKusamaHydration138.87136.4216-1.76%158.4+14.06%0.0332✗1.17930k2022-03-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.004650.004567-1.78%0.00429-7.74%0.2546✓1.9413.2M2022-03-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash302.87297.2-1.87%375.54+23.99%0.1374✗0.988.0M2022-03-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.5160.506172-1.90%1.1707+126.88%0.7082✗1.322.3M2022-03-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.177.0332-1.91%6.67-6.97%0.0728✓0.201.4M2022-03-22
DASHDashDash98.196.1852-1.95%130.57+33.10%0.1961✗1.111.5M2022-03-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4541.4248-2.01%1.626+11.83%0.0189✓1.142.1M2022-03-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7960.779985-2.01%0.91+14.32%0.0189✓1.372.2M2022-03-22
XYMSymbolnative0.1540.150826-2.06%0.1371-10.97%0.1701✓0.76350k2022-03-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum12.9812.7109-2.07%16.17+24.58%0.1387✗1.03448k2022-03-22
LUNATerraTerra 249.3348.3049-2.08%93.09+88.71%0.5193✗1.385.1M2022-03-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,642.8037,812.12-2.15%42,512.10+10.01%0.0216✓0.9742k2022-03-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.014.9016-2.16%6.75+34.73%0.2430✗0.78431k2022-03-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.39170.383186-2.17%0.4105+4.80%0.0689✓1.398.7M2022-03-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24010.234793-2.21%0.253+5.37%0.0247✓1.011.9M2022-03-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum14.614.2756-2.22%15.43+5.68%0.0408✓1.2063.5M2022-03-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.69108.2126-2.24%122.81+10.95%0.0071✓1.2130.0M2022-03-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.6975.5668-2.29%5.07-11.01%0.1966✓1.04327k2022-03-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum23.6323.0874-2.30%27.98+18.41%0.0431✗1.511.8M2022-03-22
XMRMoneroMonero153.87150.3299-2.30%193.89+26.01%0.1553✗1.001.0M2022-03-22
FILFilecoinFilecoin19.8219.3625-2.31%18.31-7.62%0.1774✓1.2310.5M2022-03-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.18630.181966-2.33%0.2091+12.24%0.0026✓1.383.2M2022-03-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.706180.689655-2.34%0.80946+14.63%0.0126✓1.49298k2022-03-22
HIVEHivenative0.91580.894247-2.35%0.9224+0.72%0.1235✓1.561.8M2022-03-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative27.2326.5885-2.36%51.65+89.68%0.5579✗1.075.2M2022-03-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.25250.246533-2.36%0.31+22.77%0.1184✗1.12518k2022-03-22
UMAUMAEthereum5.365.2307-2.41%7.622+42.20%0.2786✗0.991.8M2022-03-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.150.7732-2.55%52.46+0.69%0.0944✓1.298.7M2022-03-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.411.374-2.55%1.582+12.20%0.0051✓1.372.2M2022-03-22
QTUMQtumQtum6.23266.0698-2.61%7.6005+21.95%0.0799✗1.47172k2022-03-22
NANOnanopayBase1.96891.9171-2.63%2.2499+14.27%0.0368✗1.25233k2022-03-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06540.063673-2.64%0.07627+16.62%0.0751✗1.0715k2022-03-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.491.4504-2.66%1.547+3.83%0.0572✓1.231.1M2022-03-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.0910.08857-2.67%0.0905-0.55%0.1277✓1.51807k2022-03-22
FTTFTXEthereum40.8439.7316-2.71%45.28+10.87%0.0156✓1.1627.9M2022-03-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.012660.012315-2.73%0.01287+1.66%0.0365✓0.8215k2022-03-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000025470.000024768-2.76%0.00002344-7.97%0.1923✓1.393.7M2022-03-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.11761.0868-2.76%1.1525+3.12%0.0739✓1.342.5M2022-03-22
COMPCompoundEthereum116.98113.6861-2.82%114.7-1.95%0.1171✓1.2766k2022-03-22
SUSHISushiEthereum3.633.5273-2.83%3.45-4.96%0.1581✓1.387.2M2022-03-22
ADACardanoCardano0.93190.905264-2.86%0.9753+4.66%0.0360✓1.1297.3M2022-03-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.50790.493323-2.87%0.758+49.24%0.2889✗1.42610k2022-03-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2114.0891-2.89%5.543+31.63%0.2214✗0.84395k2022-03-22
ZECZcashZcash108.11104.9795-2.90%174.59+61.49%0.3908✗1.197.6M2022-03-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.90.873939-2.90%1.719+91.00%0.5501✗1.28878k2022-03-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum4.654.512-2.97%4.5-3.23%0.1098✓1.08510k2022-03-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13620.132113-3.00%0.1543+13.29%0.0536✗1.03470k2022-03-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.063.9371-3.03%5.175+27.46%0.1519✗1.232.3M2022-03-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0192550.01867-3.04%0.01899-1.38%0.0966✓1.152.4M2022-03-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.09293.9682-3.05%4.8022+17.33%0.0735✗1.19327k2022-03-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.4717-3.05%13.41+37.26%0.2815✗0.67821k2022-03-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.022.9274-3.07%4.2393+40.37%0.2725✗0.992.4M2022-03-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.52.4228-3.09%6.234+149.36%0.8197✗1.27845k2022-03-22
MINAMina Protocolnative2.482.4026-3.12%2.15-13.31%0.2285✓1.19359k2022-03-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.2314.7512-3.14%17.58+15.43%0.0073✓1.703.0M2022-03-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9327.0303-3.22%29.9+7.05%0.0054✓0.971.4M2022-03-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.441.3934-3.24%1.31-9.03%0.1832✓1.231.2M2022-03-22
LRCLoopringEthereum0.82390.79699-3.27%0.8086-1.86%0.1361✓1.52417k2022-03-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.1073.0032-3.34%4.136+33.12%0.2305✗0.91492k2022-03-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.552.4609-3.49%2.268-11.06%0.2387✓1.5914.5M2022-03-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.78590.758099-3.54%0.7746-1.44%0.0890✓1.129.9M2022-03-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.282.1991-3.55%2.44+7.02%0.0030✓1.02299k2022-03-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.7918.1225-3.55%20.78+10.59%0.0156✓1.54350k2022-03-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.5321.4774-3.57%1.457-4.90%0.1546✓1.421.0M2022-03-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.145.9169-3.63%6.43+4.72%0.0027✓0.87430k2022-03-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.156070.150307-3.69%0.15608+0.01%0.1036✓1.4330k2022-03-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum20,667.4619,898.72-3.72%20,305.82-1.75%0.0806✓1.026.0M2022-03-22
MANADecentralandEthereum2.69212.5888-3.84%2.4316-9.68%0.1851✓1.243.2M2022-03-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.3974.4056-3.86%83.98+8.52%0.0222✓1.45106.7M2022-03-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.0925.0744-3.89%28.03+7.44%0.0054✓1.0757.6M2022-03-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51190.490124-4.25%0.5151+0.63%0.0404✓0.91724k2022-03-22
AVTAventusEthereum2.572.4606-4.26%2.21-14.01%0.2063✓1.00681k2022-03-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.731.6558-4.29%1.93+11.56%0.0216✓1.332.0M2022-03-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.010780.010302-4.44%0.01179+9.37%0.0197✓1.562.2M2022-03-22
XTZTezosTezos3.26243.1176-4.44%3.302+1.21%0.0689✓1.282.1M2022-03-22
STXStacksnative1.231.1749-4.48%1.3+5.69%0.0249✓1.28817k2022-03-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.95392.814-4.74%3.8754+31.20%0.2227✗0.982.5M2022-03-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.07440.070861-4.76%0.0724-2.69%0.1121✓1.351.1M2022-03-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.37850.360424-4.78%0.3714-1.88%0.1352✓1.6716.9M2022-03-22
DODODODOEthereum0.4710.447001-5.10%0.446-5.31%0.1391✓1.384.5M2022-03-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME2.13752.0283-5.11%2.6489+23.93%0.1735✗0.9428k2022-03-22
DIADIAEthereum0.940.89102-5.21%0.95+1.06%0.0348✓1.00277k2022-03-22
BTTCBTTC0.000001970.000001864-5.36%0.00000186-5.58%0.1013✓1.0014.3M2022-03-22
RADRadworksEthereum7.056.6714-5.37%4.97-29.50%0.3827✓0.89682k2022-03-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13430.126996-5.44%0.1349+0.45%0.0681✓1.303.3M2022-03-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.7355.4107-5.66%6.1887+7.91%0.0963✗0.38430k2022-03-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7113.8614-5.77%13.32-9.45%0.1101✓0.711.8M2022-03-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum18.717.6061-5.85%18.02-3.64%0.0921✓1.1723.0M2022-03-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.013180.012403-5.89%0.013307+0.96%0.0423✓1.1481k2022-03-22
BANDBandEthereum4.384.1213-5.91%3.81-13.01%0.2017✓1.251.9M2022-03-22
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.05310.049939-5.95%0.0657+23.73%0.1013✗1.7564.3M2022-03-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.01761.8936-6.15%3.292+63.16%0.5024✗0.512.8M2022-03-22
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0254740.023844-6.40%0.025067-1.60%0.0580✓1.0989k2022-03-22
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1270.118685-6.55%0.105-17.32%0.2307✓1.0951k2022-03-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.81411.6941-6.61%1.466-19.19%0.2941✓1.51189k2022-03-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.780.725395-7.00%0.67-14.10%0.2741✓1.971.2M2022-03-22
GLMRMoonbeamBase2.8282.6269-7.11%2.762-2.33%0.0769✓1.28579k2022-03-22
FIDABonfidaSolana2.0391.8777-7.91%1.793-12.06%0.1450✓1.0084k2022-03-22
ORCAOrcaSolana2.762.5387-8.02%2.16-21.74%0.2604✓1.00696k2022-03-22
API3Api3Ethereum6.976.4023-8.15%4.907-29.60%0.2913✓0.262.0M2022-03-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0280.025593-8.60%0.026-7.14%0.1289✓1.46499k2022-03-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0512190.046646-8.93%0.040562-20.81%0.2673✓1.297.5M2022-03-22
MOVRMoonriverBase74.324266.5062-10.52%66.9272-9.95%0.1431✓1.51281k2022-03-22
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.950.846283-10.92%0.78-17.89%0.1549✓0.741.5M2022-03-22
PROPropyEthereum1.961.7441-11.02%1.54-21.43%0.3030✓1.81690k2022-03-22
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.036340.031951-12.08%0.03923+7.95%0.1337✗0.721.9M2022-03-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.46020.403816-12.25%0.4064-11.69%0.1857✓1.942.0M2022-03-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.