8=======>

2022-02-16 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2005
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+12.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.3%
in alpha space · 75.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.83%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.0464.3041-14.70%2.369-53.05%0.5466✓1.02664k2022-03-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.20191.0539-12.32%0.74-38.43%0.3069✓0.941.5M2022-03-18
CELLCellframeEthereum1.63051.4298-12.31%1.578-3.22%0.1756✗1.55140k2022-03-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.6250.548278-12.28%0.4549-27.22%0.0920✓1.911.8M2022-03-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03350.029623-11.57%0.0271-19.10%0.0145✓1.50499k2022-03-18
PROPropyEthereum2.342.0997-10.27%1.4-40.17%0.3091✓1.94812k2022-03-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0282840.025521-9.77%0.017275-38.92%0.3263✓1.2989k2022-03-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.045830.041964-8.44%0.03367-26.53%0.1804✓0.802.2M2022-03-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06950.064136-7.72%0.0633-8.92%0.0742✓1.7664.3M2022-03-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.861.7215-7.44%1.365-26.61%0.1632✓1.392.9M2022-03-18
SUSHISushiEthereum4.33.9809-7.42%3.31-23.02%0.1157✓1.397.9M2022-03-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.74023.4632-7.41%2.1916-41.40%0.4114✓0.9330k2022-03-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.28222.1189-7.16%3.3831+48.24%0.4968✗0.582.9M2022-03-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.0820.6496-6.48%16.88-23.55%0.1444✓1.1524.2M2022-03-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0560840.052505-6.38%0.0395-29.57%0.2231✓1.247.6M2022-03-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.050.98391-6.29%0.68-35.24%0.2692✓2.021.1M2022-03-18
MOVRMoonriverBase95.551589.6212-6.21%54.2608-43.21%0.4260✓1.53315k2022-03-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.44820.420692-6.14%0.3368-24.85%0.1366✓1.7321.4M2022-03-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,690.0022,325.72-5.76%20,575.06-13.15%0.0316✓1.017.2M2022-03-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.090.084935-5.63%0.0711-21.00%0.1105✓1.36868k2022-03-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15620.14755-5.54%0.1214-22.28%0.1283✓1.353.2M2022-03-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7515.8318-5.48%13.06-22.03%0.1596✓0.661.5M2022-03-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.95143.748-5.15%3.8721-2.01%0.0764✗0.892.3M2022-03-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.247.8198-5.10%5.95-27.79%0.2590✓0.291.7M2022-03-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1160.110125-5.06%0.105-9.48%0.0019✓1.0064k2022-03-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.173.0114-5.00%2.251-28.99%0.2168✓1.5016.5M2022-03-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.82924.589-4.97%4.289-11.19%0.0082✓1.20335k2022-03-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89330.849627-4.89%0.7285-18.45%0.1009✓1.0711.9M2022-03-18
XMRMoneroMonero179.36170.6535-4.85%195+8.72%0.1836✗1.011.2M2022-03-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.584.3582-4.84%4.609+0.63%0.0739✗0.361.8M2022-03-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.86685.5902-4.71%6.0844+3.71%0.1018✗0.35441k2022-03-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.013440.012825-4.58%0.0115-14.43%0.0315✓1.571.8M2022-03-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.5127.2075-4.57%28.63+0.42%0.1055✗1.1066.4M2022-03-18
GITCOINGITCOIN8.2397.866-4.53%5.917-28.18%0.2714✓0.2737k2022-03-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche95.3991.0855-4.51%85.76-10.10%0.0117✓1.45104.0M2022-03-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0169690.016211-4.47%0.011938-29.65%0.2499✓1.13450k2022-03-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum24.0322.9639-4.44%20.21-15.90%0.0514✓1.54387k2022-03-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.526.2335-4.39%8.18+25.46%0.3127✗0.83463k2022-03-18
XTZTezosTezos4.03823.8612-4.38%3.1614-21.71%0.1363✓1.292.4M2022-03-18
BANDBandEthereum4.874.6636-4.24%3.723-23.55%0.1635✓1.251.9M2022-03-18
BTTCBTTC0.000002180.000002089-4.20%0.00000186-14.68%0.0664✓1.0014.3M2022-03-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.6982-4.12%5.029+2.63%0.1300✗1.252.6M2022-03-18
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3482.2526-4.06%1.639-30.20%0.2685✓1.0084k2022-03-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16780.161207-3.93%0.1516-9.65%0.0103✓1.03470k2022-03-18
FTTFTXEthereum46.3844.5862-3.87%44.58-3.88%0.0589✗1.1930.4M2022-03-18
AAVEAaveEthereum170.44163.9247-3.82%160.34-5.93%0.0478✗1.418.0M2022-03-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.3127.2297-3.82%28.09-0.78%0.0783✗0.951.2M2022-03-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26323.1404-3.76%2.4451-25.07%0.1908✓1.203.3M2022-03-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5143.3822-3.75%3.671+4.47%0.1259✗0.89481k2022-03-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2173.0964-3.75%3.346+4.01%0.1170✗0.80215k2022-03-18
MINAMina Protocolnative2.652.5522-3.69%2.26-14.72%0.0591✓1.26390k2022-03-18
ZECZcashZcash125.58121.0531-3.60%172.57+37.42%0.4146✗1.217.4M2022-03-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin127.84123.2691-3.58%111.9-12.47%0.0358✓1.2332.4M2022-03-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.42631.3754-3.57%1.1296-20.80%0.1338✓1.272.4M2022-03-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030950.00002985-3.56%0.00002236-27.75%0.2195✓1.402.8M2022-03-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.121.0803-3.55%1.515+35.27%0.4070✗1.39694k2022-03-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.3586.1333-3.53%5.34-16.01%0.0969✓0.8472k2022-03-18
DIADIAEthereum0.970.936209-3.48%0.94-3.09%0.0536✗1.00269k2022-03-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.26930.260633-3.22%0.2478-7.98%0.0004✓1.031.8M2022-03-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9521.8894-3.21%1.451-25.67%0.1949✓1.401.1M2022-03-18
HIVEHivenative1.11251.0769-3.20%0.9186-17.43%0.0802✓1.591.9M2022-03-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin23.0822.3432-3.19%17.61-23.70%0.1779✓1.2110.5M2022-03-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8034.6498-3.19%4.828+0.52%0.0786✗0.83379k2022-03-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.811.7525-3.17%1.591-12.10%0.0350✓1.251.3M2022-03-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.69890.676911-3.15%0.4424-36.70%0.3513✓1.50665k2022-03-18
GTGateEthereum6.88276.6702-3.09%6.34-7.88%0.0082✓0.863.8M2022-03-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2741.2355-3.02%1.216-4.55%0.0452✗1.233.4M2022-03-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0217730.021118-3.01%0.01673-23.16%0.1713✓1.242.4M2022-03-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.132.0664-2.99%1.85-13.15%0.0444✓1.342.1M2022-03-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013890.013484-2.93%0.01224-11.88%0.0581✓0.7814k2022-03-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.766.564-2.90%6.37-5.77%0.0134✓0.88430k2022-03-18
RADRadworksEthereum6.075.8992-2.81%4.31-29.00%0.2636✓1.02701k2022-03-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.3171-2.80%6.43+17.55%0.2293✗0.79407k2022-03-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.7810.4789-2.79%12.43+15.31%0.2037✗0.67821k2022-03-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1416.6616-2.79%15.02-12.37%0.0443✓1.2070.2M2022-03-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.60173.5022-2.76%4.3273+20.15%0.2616✗1.012.5M2022-03-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.6020.585426-2.75%0.512-14.95%0.0897✓0.89840k2022-03-18
AVTAventusEthereum3.313.221-2.69%2.07-37.46%0.3926✓1.00681k2022-03-18
QTUMQtumQtum7.86787.6575-2.67%6.123-22.18%0.1508✓1.47153k2022-03-18
STXStacksnative1.551.5091-2.64%1.3-16.13%0.0997✓1.00980k2022-03-18
ORCAOrcaSolana3.173.0867-2.63%2.19-30.91%0.2937✓1.00829k2022-03-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176240.17169-2.58%0.1531-13.13%0.0350✓1.6132k2022-03-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4547.2625-2.57%4.924-33.94%0.3408✓0.96407k2022-03-18
UMAUMAEthereum6.536.3665-2.50%7.638+16.97%0.2322✗1.011.9M2022-03-18
DODODODOEthereum0.5390.525735-2.46%0.402-25.42%0.1975✓1.434.5M2022-03-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.22020.214974-2.37%0.2087-5.22%0.0394✗1.393.7M2022-03-18
XVSVenusEthereum11.7811.5111-2.28%8.77-25.55%0.2078✓1.303.1M2022-03-18
XYMSymbolnative0.17470.170736-2.27%0.133-23.87%0.2172✓0.66388k2022-03-18
COMPCompoundEthereum136.01133.0211-2.20%119.38-12.23%0.0436✓1.3058k2022-03-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2531.5615-2.13%28.05-13.02%0.0653✓1.065.5M2022-03-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6328.0415-2.06%25.79-9.92%0.0088✓1.512.0M2022-03-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2880.282193-2.02%0.233-19.10%0.1455✓0.9373k2022-03-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9830.964011-1.93%0.836-14.95%0.0748✓1.372.4M2022-03-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.057590.056485-1.92%0.04977-13.58%0.0577✓1.391.2M2022-03-18
XECeCashnative0.000085390.000083885-1.76%0.00008127-4.82%0.0248✗1.144.7M2022-03-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006010.005907-1.72%0.00358-40.43%0.4011✓2.0117.9M2022-03-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,960.8043,234.58-1.65%41,510.70-5.57%0.0075✓0.9751k2022-03-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56830.559098-1.62%0.8733+53.67%0.5133✗1.362.4M2022-03-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96020.944906-1.59%0.7275-24.23%0.1865✓1.52552k2022-03-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.4262.4244-1.57%50.47-20.42%0.1500✓1.269.2M2022-03-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.085.99-1.48%4.24-30.26%0.2938✓1.04555k2022-03-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07570.074587-1.47%0.0728-3.83%0.0290✗1.0817k2022-03-18
ADACardanoCardano1.08331.0684-1.38%0.852-21.35%0.1699✓1.14106.9M2022-03-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,124.453,081.88-1.36%2,939.17-5.93%0.0088✓1.13581.4M2022-03-18
DASHDashDash115.33113.7726-1.35%98.87-14.27%0.0855✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6881.6654-1.34%1.574-6.75%0.0008✓1.162.1M2022-03-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.7819.5386-1.22%18.96-4.15%0.0374✗1.3633.6M2022-03-18
XVGVergenative0.011710.011569-1.20%0.00928-20.75%0.1544✓1.331.2M2022-03-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.693.4961-1.17%80.59-14.81%0.1045✓0.891.1M2022-03-18
LUNATerraTerra 256.0255.3802-1.14%88.61+58.18%0.5403✗1.426.3M2022-03-18
SOLSolanaSolana101.94100.805-1.11%89.87-11.84%0.0521✓1.27179.7M2022-03-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.19151.1788-1.07%1.0729-9.96%0.0402✓1.09193k2022-03-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,895.5643,446.89-1.02%41,774.98-4.83%0.0103✗1.00642.7M2022-03-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.48720.482449-0.98%0.4108-15.68%0.0914✓1.408.9M2022-03-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.10520.104186-0.96%0.0868-17.49%0.1060✓1.55996k2022-03-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8092.782-0.96%6.275+123.39%0.8799✗1.341.0M2022-03-18
XEMNEMnative0.11420.11311-0.95%0.1-12.43%0.0730✓1.0137k2022-03-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.672.6451-0.93%2.4-10.11%0.0461✓1.03373k2022-03-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.30670.30418-0.82%0.3002-2.12%0.0426✗1.13538k2022-03-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3730.369976-0.81%0.616+65.15%0.5771✗1.362.3M2022-03-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.4522.4358-0.66%2.189-10.73%0.0549✓1.0520k2022-03-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.6517.5447-0.60%15.01-14.96%0.0703✓1.733.4M2022-03-18
ZENHorizenBase40.6240.4156-0.50%41.26+1.58%0.0989✗1.58364k2022-03-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7870.783558-0.44%0.64-18.68%0.1475✓1.111.9M2022-03-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash334.55333.5111-0.31%305.71-8.62%0.0379✓0.998.9M2022-03-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97910.976486-0.27%0.7552-22.87%0.1960✓1.2326.7M2022-03-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.2850.284329-0.24%0.2119-25.65%0.2179✓1.544.0M2022-03-18
TRXTRONTron0.0664720.066355-0.18%0.061738-7.12%0.0301✓0.85344k2022-03-18
QNTQuantEthereum129.55129.3423-0.16%116.39-10.16%0.0554✓1.017.8M2022-03-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.47540.475137-0.06%0.3288-30.84%0.2946✓1.481.9M2022-03-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.032160.032143-0.05%0.02515-21.80%0.2031✓0.856.2M2022-03-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.835370.835017-0.04%0.84294+0.91%0.0843✗1.51334k2022-03-18
NANOnanopayBase2.25842.2588+0.02%2.3491+4.02%0.1015✓1.26367k2022-03-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.031980.032038+0.18%0.04379+36.93%0.3786✓1.3410.7M2022-03-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.247.2533+0.18%6.14-15.19%0.1532✗0.271.2M2022-03-18
KCSKuCoinnative20.85520.9456+0.43%18.259-12.45%0.0741✗1.2710.1M2022-03-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08510.085483+0.45%0.0717-15.75%0.1158✗1.21194k2022-03-18
SCSiacoinnative0.010780.010836+0.52%0.00919-14.75%0.1129✗1.05483k2022-03-18
IMXImmutableEthereum2.42.4177+0.74%1.645-31.46%0.3352✗1.013.2M2022-03-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1487370.149959+0.82%0.119322-19.78%0.1783✗1.016.1M2022-03-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.9116.085+1.10%13.65-14.20%0.1128✗1.04483k2022-03-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081170.082081+1.12%0.07318-9.84%0.0776✗0.7589k2022-03-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.82411.8448+1.13%2.1269+16.60%0.1986✓1.1469k2022-03-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097890.099154+1.29%0.0956-2.34%0.0183✓1.1150k2022-03-18
XLMStellarStellar0.218740.221948+1.47%0.192891-11.82%0.0893✗1.0321.9M2022-03-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6770910.689702+1.86%0.537425-20.63%0.1926✗1.153.6M2022-03-18
KSMKusamaHydration166.77169.9207+1.89%148.53-10.94%0.0752✗1.20973k2022-03-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.861.9115+2.77%1.05-43.55%0.5392✗1.211.3M2022-03-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044660.045952+2.89%0.04078-8.69%0.0646✗1.1131k2022-03-18
UNIUniswapEthereum11.2211.6666+3.98%9.62-14.26%0.1265✗1.3412.2M2022-03-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.