8=======>

2022-02-15 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 150 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1922
150 of 150 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+14.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.0%
in alpha space · 74.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (150 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1794.3998-15.05%2.404-53.58%0.5171✓1.03709k2022-03-17
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.30141.1418-12.27%0.7164-44.95%0.3877✓0.921.5M2022-03-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63930.561269-12.21%0.4235-33.76%0.1173✓1.931.8M2022-03-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03430.030462-11.19%0.02476-27.81%0.0820✓1.47499k2022-03-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0290390.02599-10.50%0.016549-43.01%0.3407✓1.3091k2022-03-17
PROPropyEthereum2.372.1271-10.25%1.45-38.82%0.2171✓1.95870k2022-03-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.38641.2551-9.47%1.5251+10.00%0.3305✗1.60131k2022-03-17
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.046680.042786-8.34%0.03458-25.92%0.1434✓0.822.4M2022-03-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07290.066838-8.32%0.0603-17.28%0.0468✓1.7664.3M2022-03-17
SUSHISushiEthereum4.434.0848-7.79%3.17-28.44%0.1346✓1.408.0M2022-03-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.7763.4826-7.77%2.0515-45.67%0.4532✓0.8930k2022-03-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.921.7758-7.51%1.283-33.18%0.2067✓1.392.9M2022-03-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.111.0334-6.90%0.6-45.95%0.3720✓2.021.1M2022-03-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.17482.0363-6.37%3.112+43.09%0.4780✗0.632.9M2022-03-17
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.46690.43824-6.14%0.3225-30.93%0.1567✓1.7624.6M2022-03-17
MOVRMoonriverBase98.652892.8748-5.86%50.138-49.18%0.4872✓1.52315k2022-03-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0549530.051818-5.71%0.039784-27.60%0.1546✓1.297.4M2022-03-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7820.5511-5.64%16.56-23.97%0.1173✓1.1624.7M2022-03-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09290.087673-5.63%0.0683-26.48%0.1322✓1.38784k2022-03-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,489.0223,149.19-5.47%19,412.72-20.73%0.0952✓0.957.4M2022-03-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16280.154142-5.32%0.12-26.29%0.1364✓1.343.3M2022-03-17
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1210.115025-4.94%0.108-10.74%0.0220✓1.0070k2022-03-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.997.5963-4.93%5.63-29.54%0.2692✓0.361.7M2022-03-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.96394.7218-4.88%4.139-16.62%0.0268✓1.23343k2022-03-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana17.3616.5159-4.86%13.04-24.88%0.1783✓0.681.2M2022-03-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.94745.6592-4.85%6.2395+4.91%0.1257✗0.33441k2022-03-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain4.01373.8199-4.83%3.8006-5.31%0.0778✗0.972.3M2022-03-17
XMRMoneroMonero182.65173.993-4.74%187.84+2.84%0.1630✗1.021.2M2022-03-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.183.032-4.65%2.129-33.05%0.2312✓1.4417.3M2022-03-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.0127.6746-4.60%28.17-2.90%0.1132✗1.1268.5M2022-03-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.89850.857414-4.57%0.7159-20.32%0.0853✓1.1212.4M2022-03-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.654.438-4.56%4.595-1.18%0.0654✗0.361.8M2022-03-17
XTZTezosTezos4.14833.9631-4.46%3.0843-25.65%0.1405✓1.302.4M2022-03-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0173060.01656-4.31%0.011603-32.95%0.2573✓1.16503k2022-03-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.094.8752-4.22%4.399-13.58%0.0040✓1.262.6M2022-03-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche93.0789.1441-4.22%79.47-14.61%0.0085✓1.45102.9M2022-03-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01360.01303-4.19%0.01102-18.97%0.0336✓1.581.8M2022-03-17
GITCOINGITCOIN7.8897.5662-4.09%5.612-28.86%0.2701✓0.3437k2022-03-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum23.722.7475-4.02%19.15-19.20%0.0399✓1.56383k2022-03-17
MANADecentralandEthereum3.3353.2066-3.85%2.4389-26.87%0.1805✓1.103.1M2022-03-17
AAVEAaveEthereum172.28165.6486-3.85%155.68-9.64%0.0578✗1.418.0M2022-03-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.626.3667-3.83%8.25+24.62%0.3299✗0.83482k2022-03-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.0927.9778-3.82%27.9-4.09%0.0778✗0.951.2M2022-03-17
FTTFTXEthereum47.1745.4101-3.73%43.06-8.71%0.0461✗1.1730.8M2022-03-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.211.165-3.72%1.131-6.53%0.0879✗1.38751k2022-03-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16660.160401-3.72%0.1508-9.48%0.0255✓1.03470k2022-03-17
BTTCBTTC0.000002220.000002138-3.71%0.00000182-18.02%0.0759✓1.0014.5M2022-03-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.74127.1851-3.46%110.26-16.30%0.0361✓1.2634.8M2022-03-17
FIDABonfidaSolana2.462.3757-3.43%1.654-32.76%0.2771✓1.0085k2022-03-17
MINAMina Protocolnative2.772.6751-3.42%2.13-23.10%0.1196✓1.27390k2022-03-17
ZECZcashZcash126.04121.7261-3.42%153.41+21.72%0.3347✗1.227.2M2022-03-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5813.4604-3.37%3.752+4.78%0.1559✗0.88502k2022-03-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2863.1765-3.33%3.389+3.13%0.1338✗0.81218k2022-03-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27920.269966-3.31%0.2446-12.39%0.0088✓1.061.7M2022-03-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1155.924-3.12%5.114-16.37%0.0742✓0.8672k2022-03-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.331.2886-3.12%1.176-11.58%0.0134✓1.233.4M2022-03-17
BANDBandEthereum4.654.5053-3.11%3.529-24.11%0.1370✓1.261.9M2022-03-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000030262-3.07%0.00002221-28.86%0.1900✓1.402.4M2022-03-17
HIVEHivenative1.13271.098-3.07%0.9169-19.05%0.0394✓1.661.9M2022-03-17
GTGateEthereum6.93116.7231-3.00%6.3086-8.98%0.0110✓0.883.9M2022-03-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.81.7462-2.99%1.483-17.61%0.0559✓1.261.3M2022-03-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.9711.9132-2.93%1.408-28.56%0.1922✓1.351.1M2022-03-17
DIADIAEthereum0.990.96143-2.89%0.93-6.06%0.0518✗1.00270k2022-03-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.179390.174254-2.86%0.14773-17.65%0.0294✓1.6034k2022-03-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin22.3321.6912-2.86%17.44-21.90%0.1141✓1.2210.4M2022-03-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013980.013586-2.82%0.01199-14.23%0.0600✓0.7613k2022-03-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0223130.021699-2.75%0.01684-24.53%0.1486✓1.232.4M2022-03-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.162.1029-2.64%1.81-16.20%0.0365✓1.332.2M2022-03-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.725.5694-2.63%6.56+14.69%0.2315✗0.80407k2022-03-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.3516.9103-2.53%14.41-16.95%0.0568✓1.2170.2M2022-03-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.66050.644198-2.47%0.4096-37.99%0.3230✓1.53709k2022-03-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7724.6547-2.46%4.833+1.28%0.1091✗0.84383k2022-03-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.1510.8805-2.42%12.5+12.11%0.1971✗0.69760k2022-03-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59570.581375-2.40%0.5058-15.09%0.0494✓1.06948k2022-03-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.33181.2999-2.40%1.1607-12.84%0.0042✓1.282.3M2022-03-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5587.3802-2.35%4.762-36.99%0.3548✓0.98407k2022-03-17
COMPCompoundEthereum136.04132.8399-2.35%111.36-18.14%0.0641✓1.3258k2022-03-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7113.624-2.34%4.3389+16.92%0.2719✗1.082.5M2022-03-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.916.7538-2.26%6.38-7.67%0.0189✓0.89449k2022-03-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative33.4932.7366-2.25%27.15-18.93%0.0973✓1.065.5M2022-03-17
STXStacksnative1.581.5445-2.25%1.27-19.62%0.1107✓1.00997k2022-03-17
RADRadworksEthereum5.665.5345-2.22%4.34-23.32%0.1512✓1.08682k2022-03-17
ORCAOrcaSolana3.233.1641-2.04%2.06-36.22%0.3442✓1.00882k2022-03-17
AVTAventusEthereum2.852.7934-1.99%2.12-25.61%0.1908✓1.00639k2022-03-17
UMAUMAEthereum6.396.2633-1.98%7.738+21.10%0.3008✗1.051.9M2022-03-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.22170.217351-1.96%0.2105-5.05%0.0895✗1.433.7M2022-03-17
DODODODOEthereum0.540.529765-1.90%0.389-27.96%0.1863✓1.444.5M2022-03-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0050.986741-1.82%0.794-21.00%0.0996✓1.382.5M2022-03-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006130.006024-1.73%0.00345-43.72%0.3861✓2.0218.1M2022-03-17
XYMSymbolnative0.17610.173272-1.61%0.1349-23.40%0.1908✓0.70388k2022-03-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2960.291557-1.50%0.239-19.26%0.1181✓0.9577k2022-03-17
XECeCashnative0.000087920.000086627-1.47%0.00007845-10.77%0.0013✓1.154.8M2022-03-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7671.7418-1.43%1.515-14.26%0.0386✓1.192.1M2022-03-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.055860.055101-1.36%0.04974-10.96%0.0173✗1.411.2M2022-03-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV97.6196.3052-1.34%77.91-20.18%0.1350✓0.911.2M2022-03-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum28.6728.2899-1.33%24.69-13.88%0.0034✓1.562.0M2022-03-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,186.243,144.71-1.30%2,814.67-11.66%0.0143✓1.14581.4M2022-03-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.56347.465-1.30%5.9375-21.50%0.1028✓1.48145k2022-03-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.58120.573911-1.25%0.7893+35.81%0.4342✗1.362.4M2022-03-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum44,051.4043,500.24-1.25%40,887.40-7.18%0.0210✗0.9851k2022-03-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.22641.2115-1.21%1.0593-13.62%0.0456✓1.04211k2022-03-17
ADACardanoCardano1.10871.096-1.14%0.8365-24.55%0.1744✓1.13107.6M2022-03-17
SOLSolanaSolana105.61104.442-1.11%87.88-16.79%0.0632✓1.29179.7M2022-03-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.266.191-1.10%4.13-34.03%0.3120✓1.09590k2022-03-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum63.3162.6197-1.09%50.31-20.53%0.1106✓1.278.8M2022-03-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.1919.9806-1.04%18.75-7.13%0.0527✗1.3734.9M2022-03-17
XVGVergenative0.011910.011803-0.90%0.00913-23.34%0.1389✓1.391.2M2022-03-17
LUNATerraTerra 256.8556.3527-0.87%86.84+52.75%0.5532✗1.426.9M2022-03-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin44,583.5244,209.67-0.84%40,950.33-8.15%0.0084✗1.00642.7M2022-03-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.10780.106902-0.83%0.0857-20.50%0.0885✓1.561.1M2022-03-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.31390.311373-0.81%0.2838-9.59%0.0042✓1.14538k2022-03-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07470.0741-0.80%0.072-3.61%0.0655✗1.1117k2022-03-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.732.7083-0.79%2.31-15.38%0.0712✓1.03388k2022-03-17
LRCLoopringEthereum0.98590.97866-0.73%0.7071-28.28%0.1944✓1.54588k2022-03-17
XEMNEMnative0.11430.113662-0.56%0.0982-14.09%0.0570✓1.0539k2022-03-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.49320.490569-0.53%0.4095-16.97%0.0618✓1.408.9M2022-03-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8260.821806-0.51%0.639-22.64%0.1571✓1.111.8M2022-03-17
ZENHorizenBase43.1242.9153-0.47%38.72-10.20%0.0286✗1.55400k2022-03-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8872.8737-0.46%6.185+114.24%0.8808✗1.341.1M2022-03-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3880.386264-0.45%0.411+5.93%0.1758✗1.342.3M2022-03-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.4752.4641-0.44%2.148-13.21%0.0437✓1.1020k2022-03-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum18.4418.3892-0.28%15.07-18.28%0.0504✓1.753.6M2022-03-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.69342.9796-0.21%296.36-13.77%0.0614✓1.008.9M2022-03-17
QNTQuantEthereum132.67132.5124-0.12%114.23-13.90%0.0605✓1.037.8M2022-03-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.28640.286091-0.11%0.2023-29.36%0.2149✓1.554.2M2022-03-17
DASHDashDash109.33109.2467-0.08%96.42-11.81%0.0296✓1.122.0M2022-03-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.034470.03445-0.06%0.02401-30.35%0.2581✓1.2110.4M2022-03-17
NANOnanopayBase2.33572.3368+0.05%2.599+11.27%0.2140✓1.27436k2022-03-17
TRXTRONTron0.0668370.066889+0.08%0.060788-9.05%0.0209✗0.88327k2022-03-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.97060.972921+0.24%0.7417-23.58%0.1754✗1.1326.7M2022-03-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.860240.862726+0.29%0.85272-0.87%0.1167✓1.51334k2022-03-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48640.489108+0.56%0.3179-34.64%0.3031✗1.502.0M2022-03-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.47.4442+0.60%6.05-18.24%0.1818✗0.301.2M2022-03-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.030920.031147+0.74%0.02502-19.08%0.1463✗0.866.2M2022-03-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08720.087851+0.75%0.0711-18.46%0.1069✗1.23195k2022-03-17
XVSVenusEthereum9.879.9444+0.75%8.77-11.14%0.0124✗1.333.0M2022-03-17
SCSiacoinnative0.011070.011158+0.80%0.00886-19.96%0.1424✗1.04483k2022-03-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.57720.7819+1.00%18.162-11.74%0.0237✗1.3110.2M2022-03-17
IMXImmutableEthereum2.482.511+1.25%1.578-36.37%0.3790✗1.013.2M2022-03-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.081320.082478+1.42%0.07231-11.08%0.0663✗0.7786k2022-03-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.1716.4076+1.47%13.15-18.68%0.1320✗1.05483k2022-03-17
LSKLiskEthereum1.86341.891+1.48%2.0943+12.39%0.1989✓1.1469k2022-03-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1517840.154092+1.52%0.116426-23.29%0.1936✗1.026.4M2022-03-17
KSMKusamaHydration176.23179.2515+1.71%133.2-24.42%0.1952✗1.20930k2022-03-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2210860.225013+1.78%0.189695-14.20%0.0835✗1.0321.9M2022-03-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098270.100136+1.90%0.09418-4.16%0.0359✓1.1451k2022-03-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6423940.659215+2.62%0.516324-19.63%0.1451✗1.173.5M2022-03-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.982.0326+2.66%1.06-46.46%0.5489✗1.201.4M2022-03-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.045420.046865+3.18%0.04027-11.34%0.0523✗1.1730k2022-03-17
UNIUniswapEthereum11.4811.9564+4.15%9.23-19.60%0.1447✗1.3412.2M2022-03-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.