8=======>

2022-02-11 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 149 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3257
149 of 149 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+27.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.8%
in alpha space · 85.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-10.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (149 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08680.087465+0.77%0.0674-22.35%0.1190✗1.23209k2022-03-13
UNIUniswapEthereum10.6510.7097+0.56%8.2-23.00%0.1141✗1.3312.5M2022-03-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2153930.215201-0.09%0.176342-18.13%0.0806✓1.0324.3M2022-03-13
KCSKuCoinnative19.08719.0203-0.35%17.691-7.31%0.0814✗1.3410.4M2022-03-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.144850.144272-0.40%0.111494-23.03%0.1391✓1.037.1M2022-03-13
XVSVenusEthereum8.928.8758-0.50%8.26-7.40%0.0773✗1.302.8M2022-03-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.28880.287312-0.52%0.1939-32.86%0.2154✓1.554.2M2022-03-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.041880.041628-0.60%0.03768-10.03%0.0293✗1.1230k2022-03-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,386.4742,128.18-0.61%37,793.01-10.84%0.0061✗1.00642.7M2022-03-13
XEMNEMnative0.10860.107854-0.69%0.0913-15.93%0.0455✓1.0635k2022-03-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.077470.076906-0.73%0.0675-12.87%0.0419✓0.7789k2022-03-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.45830.454904-0.74%0.2898-36.77%0.2791✓1.502.2M2022-03-13
TRXTRONTron0.0639580.063483-0.74%0.059286-7.30%0.0354✗0.90357k2022-03-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.097520.09674-0.80%0.0888-8.94%0.0368✗1.0750k2022-03-13
GTGateEthereum6.73996.6854-0.81%6.2488-7.29%0.0354✗0.904.0M2022-03-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.16231.1518-0.90%0.99147-14.70%0.0292✓1.05239k2022-03-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6169040.611324-0.90%0.47407-23.15%0.1203✓1.173.5M2022-03-13
ZENHorizenBase40.3639.9645-0.98%36.36-9.91%0.0844✗1.56461k2022-03-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.77.6238-0.99%5.75-25.32%0.2471✓0.301.0M2022-03-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,347.7041,917.12-1.02%37,704.30-10.96%0.0050✓0.9741k2022-03-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7710.763158-1.02%0.605-21.53%0.1061✓1.101.7M2022-03-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.77561.7571-1.04%2.0346+14.58%0.2742✗1.1178k2022-03-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash321.01317.2833-1.16%279.78-12.84%0.0083✓1.028.9M2022-03-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.9614.7798-1.20%12.22-18.32%0.0697✓1.05576k2022-03-13
XYMSymbolnative0.17350.171395-1.21%0.133-23.34%0.1713✓0.72406k2022-03-13
XECeCashnative0.000083910.00008289-1.22%0.00007348-12.43%0.0131✗1.175.6M2022-03-13
DASHDashDash103.99102.7093-1.23%93.78-9.82%0.0395✗1.142.2M2022-03-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.015.9333-1.28%4.629-22.98%0.1426✓0.9272k2022-03-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.7432.3092-1.32%25.38-22.48%0.1200✓1.064.6M2022-03-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.09761.0831-1.32%1.0999+0.21%0.1531✗1.202.3M2022-03-13
IMXImmutableEthereum2.312.2794-1.32%1.693-26.71%0.1858✓0.972.9M2022-03-13
ETHEthereumEthereum2,929.082,889.77-1.34%2,516.41-14.09%0.0099✓1.12572.6M2022-03-13
NANOnanopayBase2.18192.1524-1.36%1.6373-24.96%0.1361✓1.20675k2022-03-13
QNTQuantEthereum129.51127.6631-1.43%111.99-13.53%0.0142✓1.027.8M2022-03-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.19.9553-1.43%11.77+16.53%0.2489✗0.71660k2022-03-13
SOLSolanaSolana96.594.9968-1.56%78.75-18.39%0.0440✓1.25179.7M2022-03-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.9918.6933-1.56%17.22-9.32%0.0740✗1.3636.1M2022-03-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.2197.1057-1.57%4.381-39.31%0.3661✓1.02407k2022-03-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0720.070833-1.62%0.0678-5.83%0.0820✗1.1019k2022-03-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3750.368894-1.63%0.354-5.60%0.1148✗1.361.9M2022-03-13
LUNATerraTerra 250.3549.4692-1.75%87.46+73.70%0.7337✗1.437.8M2022-03-13
SCSiacoinnative0.010560.010375-1.75%0.0083-21.40%0.1058✓1.02550k2022-03-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin125.69123.4631-1.77%101.69-19.09%0.0439✓1.3135.7M2022-03-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.823290.808232-1.83%0.67151-18.44%0.0136✓1.50311k2022-03-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.6371.6069-1.84%1.398-14.60%0.0066✓1.161.6M2022-03-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41810.410048-1.93%0.3341-20.09%0.0522✓1.338.9M2022-03-13
QTUMQtumQtum6.56036.4327-1.94%5.5491-15.41%0.0186✓1.45145k2022-03-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028720.000028157-1.96%0.00002153-25.03%0.1057✓1.421.7M2022-03-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.960.940841-2.00%0.745-22.40%0.0754✓1.382.4M2022-03-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056220.055093-2.00%0.04657-17.16%0.0044✓1.431.2M2022-03-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum59.0757.8644-2.04%45.18-23.51%0.1063✓1.238.8M2022-03-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.3542.3055-2.06%2.066-12.23%0.0121✓1.0622k2022-03-13
ADACardanoCardano1.08031.0579-2.07%0.7875-27.10%0.1668✓1.12115.7M2022-03-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.20560.201199-2.14%0.194-5.64%0.1265✗1.423.7M2022-03-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.91690.897158-2.15%0.6813-25.70%0.1471✓1.1228.1M2022-03-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25940.25371-2.19%0.2266-12.64%0.0116✓1.091.6M2022-03-13
KSMKusamaHydration165.1161.4784-2.19%117.74-28.69%0.1760✓1.22973k2022-03-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.28420.277795-2.25%0.2459-13.48%0.0065✓1.12538k2022-03-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0627.4248-2.26%27.22-2.99%0.1026✗0.96679k2022-03-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4534.352-2.27%4.823+8.31%0.1990✗0.84346k2022-03-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV94.6492.3943-2.37%75.36-20.37%0.0999✓0.911.3M2022-03-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.032980.032185-2.41%0.02433-26.23%0.1806✓0.866.4M2022-03-13
FTTFTXEthereum43.4642.411-2.41%39.8-8.42%0.0717✗1.1832.3M2022-03-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.56960.555713-2.44%0.6265+9.99%0.2705✗1.312.6M2022-03-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.246.0853-2.48%8.22+31.73%0.3956✗0.83441k2022-03-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum1.991.9406-2.48%1.05-47.24%0.4782✓1.191.5M2022-03-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7542.6843-2.53%5.547+101.42%0.8811✗1.351.1M2022-03-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.475.3272-2.61%6.27+14.63%0.2538✗0.79377k2022-03-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.10860.105688-2.68%0.0962-11.42%0.0857✗1.571.3M2022-03-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013590.013225-2.68%0.01167-14.13%0.0357✓0.7813k2022-03-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.40513.3086-2.83%4.8654+42.89%0.5130✗1.112.5M2022-03-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche81.8179.4846-2.84%67.97-16.92%0.0020✓1.3592.3M2022-03-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.476.2855-2.85%6.56+1.39%0.1452✗0.89406k2022-03-13
HIVEHivenative1.0741.0428-2.91%0.829-22.81%0.0618✓1.461.9M2022-03-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2571.2188-3.04%1.073-14.64%0.0160✓1.253.2M2022-03-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0226110.021902-3.14%0.01603-29.11%0.1729✓1.212.4M2022-03-13
XVGVergenative0.011510.011148-3.15%0.00883-23.28%0.0746✓1.381.3M2022-03-13
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9237.6713-3.18%5.225-34.05%0.3435✓0.3538k2022-03-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.9629.0033-3.19%22.26-25.70%0.0921✓1.502.0M2022-03-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.63.481-3.31%3.9184+8.84%0.2291✗0.972.2M2022-03-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15660.15135-3.35%0.1446-7.66%0.0744✗1.05430k2022-03-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00620.00599-3.38%0.00336-45.81%0.3461✓2.0218.8M2022-03-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.582.4912-3.44%2.09-18.99%0.0581✓1.02457k2022-03-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.1543.0448-3.46%3.576+13.38%0.2538✗0.81206k2022-03-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3010.290023-3.65%0.221-26.58%0.1642✓0.9476k2022-03-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum5.995.7655-3.75%3.71-38.06%0.3120✓1.12689k2022-03-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum17.2416.5815-3.82%12.73-26.16%0.0638✓1.753.8M2022-03-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.70164.5181-3.90%3.931-16.39%0.0014✓1.23442k2022-03-13
RADRadworksEthereum5.45.1868-3.95%4.43-17.96%0.0384✓1.04701k2022-03-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2215.5789-3.95%12.71-21.64%0.0651✓1.2173.6M2022-03-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.92222.8058-3.98%2.256-22.80%0.1031✓1.003.0M2022-03-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.9816.3003-4.00%13.44-20.85%0.1114✓0.71919k2022-03-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08690.083407-4.02%0.0636-26.81%0.1121✓1.39567k2022-03-13
COMPCompoundEthereum124.54119.4746-4.07%98.79-20.68%0.0435✓1.2865k2022-03-13
XMRMoneroMonero169.21162.2574-4.11%176.15+4.10%0.2023✗1.051.4M2022-03-13
ZECZcashZcash116.54111.7483-4.11%155+33.00%0.4725✗1.277.3M2022-03-13
MINAMina Protocolnative2.542.4333-4.20%1.63-35.83%0.2524✓1.29401k2022-03-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.93450.894826-4.25%0.6829-26.92%0.0904✓1.57672k2022-03-13
BANDBandEthereum4.254.0644-4.37%3.308-22.16%0.0638✓1.241.9M2022-03-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.14831.0971-4.46%1.3+13.21%0.3521✗1.59114k2022-03-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.711.6336-4.47%1.312-23.27%0.0749✓1.261.4M2022-03-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.973.7896-4.54%4.835+21.79%0.2822✗0.341.8M2022-03-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1490.142226-4.55%0.1131-24.09%0.0739✓1.353.2M2022-03-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59560.568505-4.55%0.478-19.74%0.0522✓1.061.1M2022-03-13
STXStacksnative1.511.4408-4.59%1.22-19.21%0.0516✓1.001.2M2022-03-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum6.18685.9016-4.61%5.8335-5.71%0.0248✓0.32447k2022-03-13
UMAUMAEthereum5.965.6679-4.90%7.326+22.92%0.3694✗0.981.9M2022-03-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.189070.179678-4.97%0.14262-24.57%0.0457✓1.6240k2022-03-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8331.7415-4.99%1.3-29.08%0.1423✓1.311.2M2022-03-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.012440.011813-5.04%0.01121-9.89%0.1223✗1.521.7M2022-03-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.071.9642-5.11%1.59-23.19%0.0620✓1.302.3M2022-03-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91511.8142-5.27%2.5839+34.92%0.4240✗0.612.9M2022-03-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.0919.9764-5.28%17.25-18.21%0.0082✓1.2110.8M2022-03-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.11.0419-5.28%0.926-15.82%0.0419✓1.39655k2022-03-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.036530.034573-5.36%0.01279-64.99%0.8655✓1.129.5M2022-03-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.977.5314-5.50%5.25-34.13%0.3180✓0.371.7M2022-03-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.5625.0078-5.84%26.25-1.17%0.1780✗1.1376.9M2022-03-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum22.3621.0478-5.87%17.54-21.56%0.0021✓1.57387k2022-03-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0158720.014933-5.91%0.011138-29.83%0.1588✓1.17689k2022-03-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum23,115.1321,745.44-5.93%18,034.56-21.98%0.0772✓0.968.0M2022-03-13
AAVEAaveEthereum163.71153.7588-6.08%115.63-29.37%0.1235✓1.419.5M2022-03-13
DIADIAEthereum0.960.901604-6.08%0.87-9.38%0.0790✗1.00281k2022-03-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.94.5978-6.17%3.91-20.20%0.0201✓1.242.6M2022-03-13
XTZTezosTezos4.31294.0464-6.18%2.9117-32.49%0.1799✓1.302.4M2022-03-13
FIDABonfidaSolana2.5512.3911-6.27%1.578-38.14%0.3009✓1.0068k2022-03-13
BTTCBTTC0.000002160.000002023-6.35%0.00000174-19.44%0.0360✓1.0014.6M2022-03-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.920.86139-6.37%0.58-36.96%0.1705✓1.961.1M2022-03-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.293.0777-6.45%4.399+33.71%0.4594✗0.89525k2022-03-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.45030.419848-6.76%0.2937-34.78%0.1476✓1.8335.7M2022-03-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1170.109017-6.82%0.106-9.40%0.0866✗1.0072k2022-03-13
DODODODOEthereum0.520.484429-6.84%0.364-30.00%0.1199✓1.454.9M2022-03-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.65370.608838-6.86%0.4011-38.64%0.2405✓1.54743k2022-03-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.87540.812206-7.22%0.6804-22.28%0.0554✓1.0613.0M2022-03-13
ORCAOrcaSolana3.112.8697-7.73%2.04-34.41%0.2265✓1.002.0M2022-03-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0477190.043884-8.04%0.039353-17.53%0.0301✓1.218.7M2022-03-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.892.6535-8.18%1.919-33.60%0.1623✓1.4120.0M2022-03-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.59413.2915-8.42%2.0246-43.67%0.3847✓0.8830k2022-03-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06540.059618-8.84%0.0539-17.58%0.0996✗1.7542.7M2022-03-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8217.8077-10.15%15.75-20.53%0.0106✓1.1625.3M2022-03-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum1.951.7472-10.40%1.151-40.97%0.2581✓1.393.0M2022-03-13
SUSHISushiEthereum4.093.6426-10.94%2.78-32.03%0.1120✓1.388.0M2022-03-13
PROPropyEthereum2.281.9773-13.28%1.5-34.21%0.1616✓1.001.4M2022-03-13
MOVRMoonriverBase84.832173.2915-13.60%45.1-46.84%0.3198✓1.44319k2022-03-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.63580.535972-15.70%0.364-42.75%0.1730✓1.871.8M2022-03-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0321240.026842-16.44%0.015747-50.98%0.3854✓1.29111k2022-03-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03190.026615-16.57%0.02245-29.62%0.0009✓1.49490k2022-03-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.22691.0124-17.49%0.7095-42.17%0.2522✓0.901.8M2022-03-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.051110.04162-18.57%0.0383-25.06%0.0316✓1.004.9M2022-03-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.1573.9492-23.42%2.25-56.37%0.4574✓0.921.0M2022-03-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.