2022-02-09 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2029

148 of 148 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+16.19%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

74.3%

in alpha space · 81.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-12.80%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	5.908	4.9628	-16.00%	2.42	-59.04%	0.5813	✓	1.00	1.0M	2022-03-11
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.8202	0.705303	-14.01%	0.3924	-52.16%	0.3350	✓	1.84	1.8M	2022-03-11
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.03747	0.032359	-13.64%	0.01489	-60.26%	0.6009	✓	1.28	114k	2022-03-11
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.351	1.1859	-12.22%	0.7156	-47.03%	0.3682	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-03-11
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8694	3.438	-11.15%	2.0529	-46.95%	0.3950	✓	0.88	28k	2022-03-11
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.086	0.077267	-10.16%	0.0576	-33.02%	0.0644	✓	1.67	27.8M	2022-03-11
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.3852	1.2458	-10.06%	1.4867	+7.33%	0.3885	✗	1.55	107k	2022-03-11
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.46	2.2213	-9.70%	1.51	-38.62%	0.2490	✓	1.00	1.4M	2022-03-11
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0337	0.030466	-9.60%	0.02301	-31.72%	0.0752	✓	1.50	490k	2022-03-11
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.76	4.3548	-8.51%	2.89	-39.29%	0.2230	✓	1.37	8.0M	2022-03-11
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.5665	0.518854	-8.41%	0.3152	-44.36%	0.2526	✓	1.79	40.2M	2022-03-11
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.04699	0.043404	-7.63%	0.04078	-13.22%	0.0746	✓	1.00	4.9M	2022-03-11
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.84	5.3967	-7.59%	4.165	-28.68%	0.0920	✓	1.22	2.6M	2022-03-11
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	2.28	2.1072	-7.58%	1.157	-49.25%	0.4109	✓	1.38	3.1M	2022-03-11
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	6.8052	6.3073	-7.32%	5.8362	-14.24%	0.0374	✓	0.29	407k	2022-03-11
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	26,293.98	24,379.92	-7.28%	18,538.11	-29.50%	0.1445	✓	0.94	11.3M	2022-03-11
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	23.1	21.4499	-7.14%	16.01	-30.69%	0.1351	✓	1.15	26.1M	2022-03-11
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.23058	0.214334	-7.05%	0.15536	-32.62%	0.1043	✓	1.59	36k	2022-03-11
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.94	28.8095	-6.89%	27.47	-11.22%	0.1044	✗	1.11	96.8M	2022-03-11
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.9679	1.8353	-6.74%	2.5749	+30.85%	0.4230	✗	0.62	2.8M	2022-03-11
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.05819	0.054366	-6.57%	0.040059	-31.16%	0.1418	✓	1.19	8.8M	2022-03-11
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.329	8.7207	-6.52%	5.556	-40.44%	0.4061	✓	0.33	38k	2022-03-11
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.31	8.7178	-6.36%	5.57	-40.17%	0.4003	✓	0.35	1.6M	2022-03-11
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.128	0.119972	-6.27%	0.111	-13.28%	0.0592	✓	1.00	72k	2022-03-11
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.5	3.2826	-6.21%	1.97	-43.71%	0.3203	✓	1.39	20.5M	2022-03-11
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.09	1.0234	-6.11%	0.59	-45.87%	0.2853	✓	1.94	1.1M	2022-03-11
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	107.0699	100.6753	-5.97%	48.7591	-54.46%	0.5306	✓	1.42	320k	2022-03-11
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.43	1.3448	-5.96%	0.959	-32.94%	0.1537	✓	1.35	523k	2022-03-11
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0216	0.961909	-5.84%	0.7111	-30.39%	0.1593	✓	1.04	13.5M	2022-03-11
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01509	0.014243	-5.62%	0.01151	-23.72%	0.0090	✓	1.49	1.7M	2022-03-11
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.4429	4.2014	-5.44%	2.9889	-32.73%	0.1609	✓	1.31	2.3M	2022-03-11
XMR	Monero	Monero	185.83	176.0055	-5.29%	170.68	-8.15%	0.1118	✗	1.04	1.5M	2022-03-11
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	25.8	24.4591	-5.20%	17.81	-30.97%	0.1028	✓	1.57	398k	2022-03-11
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	188.2	178.7864	-5.00%	116.61	-38.04%	0.2364	✓	1.39	9.5M	2022-03-11
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	47.97	45.6032	-4.93%	40.81	-14.93%	0.0489	✓	1.17	32.3M	2022-03-11
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.017007	0.016187	-4.82%	0.011862	-30.25%	0.1499	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-03-11
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	18.16	17.2851	-4.82%	13.84	-23.79%	0.1260	✓	0.70	919k	2022-03-11
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.3633	5.1151	-4.63%	4.0628	-24.25%	0.0629	✓	1.22	442k	2022-03-11
FIDA	Bonfida	Solana	3.269	3.1197	-4.57%	1.662	-49.16%	0.4928	✓	1.00	67k	2022-03-11
BTTC	BTTC		0.00000232	0.000002216	-4.48%	0.00000178	-23.28%	0.0821	✓	1.00	15.1M	2022-03-11
DIA	DIA	Ethereum	1.07	1.0231	-4.39%	0.93	-13.08%	0.0416	✓	1.00	286k	2022-03-11
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0867	0.082903	-4.38%	0.0661	-23.76%	0.0376	✓	1.38	548k	2022-03-11
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0423	6.7367	-4.34%	6.328	-10.14%	0.0595	✗	0.89	4.1M	2022-03-11
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.897	6.5982	-4.33%	4.778	-30.72%	0.1991	✓	0.90	81k	2022-03-11
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.885	3.7173	-4.32%	3.4608	-10.92%	0.0604	✗	0.96	2.2M	2022-03-11
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	90.18	86.4324	-4.16%	71.25	-20.99%	0.0086	✓	1.35	87.1M	2022-03-11
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.94	2.8229	-3.98%	1.75	-40.48%	0.3035	✓	1.28	401k	2022-03-11
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.263	7.9353	-3.97%	4.594	-44.40%	0.4082	✓	1.01	460k	2022-03-11
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.3415	3.2091	-3.96%	2.3033	-31.07%	0.1990	✓	0.97	2.8M	2022-03-11
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.796	3.6475	-3.91%	2.869	-24.42%	0.1205	✓	0.87	536k	2022-03-11
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.16	2.0768	-3.85%	1.307	-39.49%	0.2872	✓	1.28	1.2M	2022-03-11
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	33.92	32.6415	-3.77%	22.89	-32.52%	0.1486	✓	1.51	2.0M	2022-03-11
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	140.21	134.9593	-3.74%	104.55	-25.43%	0.0769	✓	1.30	32.4M	2022-03-11
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.04	3.8904	-3.70%	4.776	+18.22%	0.2498	✗	0.33	1.5M	2022-03-11
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	18.7	18.008	-3.70%	13.05	-30.21%	0.1591	✓	1.19	75.4M	2022-03-11
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.43	1.3776	-3.67%	1.113	-22.17%	0.0439	✓	1.24	3.2M	2022-03-11
HIVE	Hive	native	1.1728	1.1313	-3.54%	0.8661	-26.15%	0.0676	✓	1.46	1.9M	2022-03-11
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1678	0.161874	-3.53%	0.1489	-11.26%	0.0594	✗	1.04	412k	2022-03-11
STX	Stacks	native	1.72	1.6603	-3.47%	1.36	-20.93%	0.0626	✓	1.00	1.2M	2022-03-11
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	144.23	139.3222	-3.40%	102.07	-29.23%	0.1369	✓	1.27	65k	2022-03-11
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.48	27.5395	-3.30%	27.91	-2.00%	0.1457	✗	0.97	566k	2022-03-11
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003298	0.000031894	-3.29%	0.00002206	-33.11%	0.1770	✓	1.40	1.4M	2022-03-11
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.93	1.867	-3.26%	1.321	-31.55%	0.1746	✓	1.25	1.5M	2022-03-11
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.14	6.9076	-3.26%	7.84	+9.80%	0.2373	✗	0.81	463k	2022-03-11
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.7609	0.736213	-3.24%	0.4152	-45.43%	0.3630	✓	1.53	938k	2022-03-11
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2412	0.233439	-3.22%	0.1931	-19.94%	0.0010	✓	1.39	3.7M	2022-03-11
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.28	2.2069	-3.21%	1.64	-28.07%	0.1189	✓	1.30	2.2M	2022-03-11
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6017	0.583124	-3.09%	0.5009	-16.75%	0.0056	✓	1.07	1.2M	2022-03-11
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00744	0.007218	-2.99%	0.00353	-52.55%	0.4413	✓	2.00	19.8M	2022-03-11
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.347	3.2479	-2.96%	2.741	-18.11%	0.0589	✓	0.81	206k	2022-03-11
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3185	0.3091	-2.95%	0.2585	-18.84%	0.0268	✓	1.11	518k	2022-03-11
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0794	0.077068	-2.94%	0.06831	-13.97%	0.0281	✓	1.09	21k	2022-03-11
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	33.84	32.97	-2.57%	26.5	-21.69%	0.0731	✓	1.06	4.0M	2022-03-11
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	24.32	23.7021	-2.54%	17.37	-28.58%	0.1477	✓	1.19	10.4M	2022-03-11
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2963	0.288893	-2.50%	0.2186	-26.22%	0.1304	✓	1.08	1.7M	2022-03-11
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	57.56	56.1794	-2.40%	88.28	+53.37%	0.6444	✗	1.41	8.8M	2022-03-11
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.024233	0.023656	-2.38%	0.01714	-29.27%	0.1560	✓	1.21	2.5M	2022-03-11
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	126.05	123.2778	-2.20%	153.51	+21.79%	0.3918	✗	1.26	6.6M	2022-03-11
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6	5.8684	-2.19%	5.49	-8.50%	0.0405	✗	0.78	377k	2022-03-11
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009721	0.000095133	-2.14%	0.0000731	-24.80%	0.1070	✓	1.14	5.6M	2022-03-11
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.086	1.0631	-2.11%	0.807	-25.69%	0.0881	✓	1.37	2.3M	2022-03-11
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	21.97	21.5131	-2.08%	17.7	-19.44%	0.0104	✓	1.35	37.4M	2022-03-11
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1237	0.121184	-2.03%	0.0787	-36.38%	0.2189	✓	1.55	1.5M	2022-03-11
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.91	10.6902	-2.01%	10.59	-2.93%	0.0871	✗	0.71	660k	2022-03-11
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3218	0.315351	-2.00%	0.1962	-39.03%	0.2625	✓	1.55	4.0M	2022-03-11
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3519	1.325	-1.99%	0.96652	-28.51%	0.1746	✓	1.03	279k	2022-03-11
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.1947	1.171	-1.98%	0.7884	-34.01%	0.2436	✓	1.11	109.8M	2022-03-11
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1429	0.140079	-1.97%	0.1144	-19.94%	0.0141	✓	1.38	3.2M	2022-03-11
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.83	46.9202	-1.90%	37.86	-20.84%	0.0039	✓	1.54	461k	2022-03-11
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.801	4.7102	-1.89%	4.326	-9.89%	0.0290	✗	0.83	346k	2022-03-11
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	150.18	147.4426	-1.82%	113.22	-24.61%	0.1268	✓	1.00	7.6M	2022-03-11
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.06	6.9342	-1.78%	3.82	-45.89%	0.4453	✓	1.10	733k	2022-03-11
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,246.22	3,189.25	-1.75%	2,556.42	-21.25%	0.0692	✓	1.11	544.5M	2022-03-11
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.2907	1.2685	-1.72%	1.1514	-10.79%	0.0649	✗	1.18	2.3M	2022-03-11
SOL	Solana	Solana	114.04	112.0911	-1.71%	80.7	-29.24%	0.1593	✓	1.24	179.7M	2022-03-11
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.66	6.5473	-1.69%	7.075	+6.23%	0.2114	✗	0.98	1.9M	2022-03-11
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.8968	3.8321	-1.66%	3.707	-4.87%	0.1178	✗	1.10	2.5M	2022-03-11
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.18	7.0627	-1.63%	6.28	-12.53%	0.0031	✓	0.88	416k	2022-03-11
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.591	0.58135	-1.63%	0.385	-34.86%	0.2155	✓	1.44	4.6M	2022-03-11
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.08	5.9869	-1.53%	4.44	-26.97%	0.1572	✓	1.04	773k	2022-03-11
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.17	4.1071	-1.51%	3.44	-17.51%	0.0041	✓	1.26	1.9M	2022-03-11
XEM	NEM	native	0.1212	0.119407	-1.48%	0.0935	-22.85%	0.1013	✓	1.05	35k	2022-03-11
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	44,492.60	43,838.64	-1.47%	38,852.80	-12.68%	0.0116	✓	0.97	41k	2022-03-11
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.609	2.5761	-1.26%	2.114	-18.97%	0.0534	✓	1.05	22k	2022-03-11
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.832	1.8092	-1.25%	1.464	-20.09%	0.0545	✓	1.15	1.6M	2022-03-11
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.83	2.7964	-1.19%	2.16	-23.67%	0.1191	✓	1.02	489k	2022-03-11
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01324	0.013086	-1.17%	0.01186	-10.42%	0.0104	✓	0.79	12k	2022-03-11
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6233	0.616224	-1.14%	0.6706	+7.59%	0.2641	✗	1.31	2.6M	2022-03-11
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1868	0.184727	-1.11%	0.1335	-28.53%	0.2272	✓	0.71	423k	2022-03-11
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	44,416.35	43,925.33	-1.11%	38,732.04	-12.80%	0.0111	✗	1.00	642.7M	2022-03-11
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.041	0.040599	-0.98%	0.0143	-65.12%	0.8903	✓	1.12	9.1M	2022-03-11
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	67.62	66.9688	-0.96%	45.9	-32.12%	0.2111	✓	1.22	8.4M	2022-03-11
DASH	Dash	Dash	114.95	113.8927	-0.92%	94.95	-17.40%	0.0267	✓	1.13	2.2M	2022-03-11
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		101.5	100.5969	-0.89%	78.04	-23.11%	0.1302	✓	0.90	1.4M	2022-03-11
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.2042	7.1414	-0.87%	5.8755	-18.44%	0.0028	✓	1.45	156k	2022-03-11
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	346.21	343.4862	-0.79%	287.73	-16.89%	0.0377	✓	1.02	7.9M	2022-03-11
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0976	1.0899	-0.70%	0.6978	-36.42%	0.2347	✓	1.54	672k	2022-03-11
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0943	0.09364	-0.70%	0.0696	-26.19%	0.1281	✓	1.23	219k	2022-03-11
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.94117	0.934898	-0.67%	0.65584	-30.32%	0.1522	✓	1.48	311k	2022-03-11
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01205	0.011982	-0.56%	0.00879	-27.05%	0.1720	✓	1.01	572k	2022-03-11
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.0371	1.0313	-0.56%	0.7014	-32.37%	0.2353	✓	1.10	29.2M	2022-03-11
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05941	0.059091	-0.54%	0.0472	-20.55%	0.0288	✓	1.43	1.2M	2022-03-11
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5406	0.53784	-0.51%	0.2924	-45.91%	0.4066	✓	1.48	2.2M	2022-03-11
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4877	0.485254	-0.50%	0.3189	-34.61%	0.2396	✓	1.32	9.2M	2022-03-11
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.27	21.1675	-0.48%	13.72	-35.50%	0.1975	✓	1.72	3.8M	2022-03-11
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.10785	0.10737	-0.45%	0.09115	-15.48%	0.0187	✓	1.06	49k	2022-03-11
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.288	0.286966	-0.36%	0.226	-21.53%	0.1081	✓	0.95	70k	2022-03-11
XVG	Verge	native	0.01253	0.012501	-0.23%	0.00939	-25.06%	0.0998	✓	1.36	1.3M	2022-03-11
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.083	3.078	-0.16%	5.761	+86.86%	0.8118	✗	1.35	1.1M	2022-03-11
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.9982	1.998	-0.01%	2.1155	+5.87%	0.2079	✗	1.10	79k	2022-03-11
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.069943	0.07004	+0.14%	0.060203	-13.93%	0.0284	✗	0.90	362k	2022-03-11
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08573	0.085874	+0.17%	0.07118	-16.97%	0.0841	✗	0.76	89k	2022-03-11
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.4	2.4057	+0.24%	1.6874	-29.69%	0.1923	✗	1.19	845k	2022-03-11
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.706728	0.709928	+0.45%	0.48841	-30.89%	0.2167	✗	1.15	3.5M	2022-03-11
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.21	2.2217	+0.53%	1.06	-52.04%	0.5786	✗	1.18	1.7M	2022-03-11
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.827	0.832157	+0.62%	0.636	-23.10%	0.1194	✗	1.09	1.6M	2022-03-11
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.48	7.5352	+0.74%	5.85	-21.79%	0.2089	✗	0.32	1.0M	2022-03-11
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.238854	0.240794	+0.81%	0.183591	-23.14%	0.1312	✗	1.02	24.9M	2022-03-11
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.81	2.836	+0.92%	1.705	-39.32%	0.3822	✗	0.92	2.6M	2022-03-11
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	16.51	16.6732	+0.99%	12.74	-22.83%	0.1256	✗	1.05	590k	2022-03-11
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	10.06	10.1628	+1.02%	8.54	-15.11%	0.0033	✓	1.29	2.5M	2022-03-11
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.159048	0.160675	+1.02%	0.11539	-27.45%	0.1905	✗	1.03	7.1M	2022-03-11
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.705	20.9191	+1.03%	18.17	-12.24%	0.0427	✓	1.34	10.4M	2022-03-11
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.0312	0.031591	+1.25%	0.02468	-20.90%	0.1250	✗	0.89	6.6M	2022-03-11
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.406	0.411231	+1.29%	0.262	-35.47%	0.2650	✗	1.36	1.8M	2022-03-11
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0468	0.047406	+1.30%	0.03906	-16.54%	0.0409	✗	1.12	30k	2022-03-11
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	192.22	195.6697	+1.79%	124.19	-35.39%	0.2896	✗	1.20	1.0M	2022-03-11
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	12.33	12.7706	+3.57%	8.51	-30.98%	0.2253	✗	1.32	12.5M	2022-03-11

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.