8=======>

2022-02-07 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 148 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3885
148 of 148 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+28.36%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
86.5%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (148 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.09480.095343+0.57%0.0713-24.79%0.2360✗1.22244k2022-03-09
XLMStellarStellar0.2396230.239721+0.04%0.188762-21.23%0.1928✗1.0424.4M2022-03-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1652910.165243-0.03%0.121511-26.49%0.2610✓1.047.1M2022-03-09
TRXTRONTron0.0685170.068452-0.10%0.060814-11.24%0.0778✓0.91362k2022-03-09
KCSKuCoinnative20.30920.2827-0.13%18.777-7.54%0.0175✓1.3410.4M2022-03-09
UNIUniswapEthereum12.3812.3342-0.37%9.21-25.61%0.2332✓1.3212.5M2022-03-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,868.0743,705.16-0.37%41,953.97-4.36%0.0037✗1.00642.7M2022-03-09
XEMNEMnative0.11750.11697-0.45%0.101-14.04%0.0997✓1.0535k2022-03-09
GTGateEthereum7.30857.2724-0.49%6.654-8.96%0.0494✓0.894.1M2022-03-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.046570.046325-0.53%0.04098-12.00%0.0724✓1.1229k2022-03-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.417.3643-0.62%6.19-16.46%0.1591✓0.331.1M2022-03-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6632.4035-0.79%28.04-14.15%0.0970✓1.073.8M2022-03-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.5350.530615-0.82%0.3204-40.11%0.4404✓1.442.0M2022-03-09
XECeCashnative0.000090070.000089309-0.84%0.00007564-16.02%0.1149✓1.155.5M2022-03-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.104410.103509-0.86%0.09322-10.72%0.0578✓1.0547k2022-03-09
XYMSymbolnative0.19160.189728-0.98%0.1415-26.15%0.2612✓0.72419k2022-03-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.8540.845517-0.99%0.662-22.48%0.1956✓1.101.6M2022-03-09
XVSVenusEthereum10.3310.2269-1.00%8.93-13.55%0.0772✓1.312.3M2022-03-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.32470.321439-1.00%0.2116-34.83%0.3483✓1.564.1M2022-03-09
NANOnanopayBase2.36272.338-1.04%1.7476-26.03%0.2385✓1.18845k2022-03-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.410.2916-1.04%10.46+0.58%0.0474✗0.70627k2022-03-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0790.078166-1.06%0.073-7.59%0.0195✓1.0921k2022-03-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,893.5043,426.35-1.06%41,967.60-4.39%0.0089✓0.9741k2022-03-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin137.43135.7012-1.26%106.99-22.15%0.1801✓1.2930.6M2022-03-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.679550.670951-1.27%0.524645-22.80%0.1942✓1.163.5M2022-03-09
ETHEthereumEthereum3,141.893,100.13-1.33%2,727.60-13.19%0.0787✓1.10544.5M2022-03-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.089850.088586-1.41%0.07646-14.90%0.1123✓0.7886k2022-03-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum16.816.5598-1.43%13.1-22.02%0.1876✓1.05616k2022-03-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.92311.8956-1.43%2.007+4.36%0.1068✗1.1176k2022-03-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.27140.267379-1.48%0.2319-14.55%0.0962✓1.031.7M2022-03-09
STORJStorjEthereum1.39811.3767-1.53%0.98649-29.44%0.2866✓1.05308k2022-03-09
DASHDashDash115.9114.101-1.55%99.72-13.96%0.0836✓1.152.4M2022-03-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3840.377856-1.60%0.279-27.34%0.2440✓1.331.7M2022-03-09
SOLSolanaSolana117.62115.7302-1.61%88.1-25.10%0.2176✓1.24181.0M2022-03-09
ZENHorizenBase48.247.3826-1.70%41.61-13.67%0.0604✓1.56457k2022-03-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV101.78100.0388-1.71%83.31-18.15%0.1421✓0.921.5M2022-03-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash343.12337.2086-1.72%307.25-10.45%0.0471✓1.036.8M2022-03-09
UOSUltraEthereum1.30021.2777-1.73%1.2223-6.00%0.0093✓1.202.3M2022-03-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.9626.8398-1.75%5.1-26.75%0.2528✓0.9181k2022-03-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8681.8352-1.76%1.586-15.10%0.0939✓1.171.5M2022-03-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.7537.6133-1.80%5.029-35.13%0.3690✓1.02394k2022-03-09
ADACardanoCardano1.19911.1774-1.81%0.8495-29.16%0.2764✓1.12109.8M2022-03-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.033230.032609-1.87%0.02596-21.88%0.1880✓0.907.3M2022-03-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5764.49-1.88%4.263-6.84%0.0149✓0.83359k2022-03-09
QTUMQtumQtum7.47037.3178-2.04%6.0487-19.03%0.1253✓1.46156k2022-03-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.0227.4418-2.06%28.87+3.03%0.0940✗0.97528k2022-03-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63740.624241-2.06%0.7336+15.09%0.2202✗1.322.6M2022-03-09
IMXImmutableEthereum2.862.8006-2.08%1.602-43.99%0.5173✓0.932.4M2022-03-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot22.3721.9023-2.09%17.86-20.16%0.1433✓1.3640.7M2022-03-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.50650.495907-2.09%0.3463-31.63%0.2994✓1.349.3M2022-03-09
QNTQuantEthereum154.1150.8557-2.11%118.86-22.87%0.1932✓1.017.6M2022-03-09
FTTFTXEthereum47.2246.2165-2.13%42.75-9.47%0.0256✓1.1733.0M2022-03-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.82334.7165-2.21%5.8487+21.26%0.2265✗0.25376k2022-03-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.966860.944873-2.27%0.68283-29.38%0.2582✓1.49311k2022-03-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum68.3266.7638-2.28%48.63-28.82%0.2623✓1.227.8M2022-03-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.796.6351-2.28%6.1-10.16%0.0451✓0.87416k2022-03-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.062920.061467-2.31%0.04842-23.05%0.1747✓1.431.5M2022-03-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.9452.8765-2.33%3.427+16.37%0.2350✗1.34986k2022-03-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.56463.4805-2.36%2.9949-15.98%0.1008✓1.112.5M2022-03-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013540.013215-2.40%0.01282-5.32%0.0059✓0.8113k2022-03-09
SCSiacoinnative0.012110.011812-2.46%0.00949-21.64%0.1735✓1.02572k2022-03-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.656.4811-2.54%8+20.30%0.2462✗0.80441k2022-03-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.46023.3723-2.54%2.9836-13.77%0.0801✓0.952.0M2022-03-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.2381.1072-2.55%77.65-6.70%0.0163✓1.3485.1M2022-03-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.0731.0447-2.64%0.921-14.17%0.0642✓1.392.3M2022-03-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.625.4691-2.69%5.23-6.94%0.0103✓0.77356k2022-03-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.2315.7865-2.73%14.6-10.04%0.0474✓0.69908k2022-03-09
CBKCobakEthereum2.6562.581-2.82%2.232-15.96%0.0977✓1.0722k2022-03-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4951.4524-2.85%1.185-20.74%0.1470✓1.273.4M2022-03-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.32670.317299-2.88%0.2736-16.25%0.0982✓1.12554k2022-03-09
KSMKusamaHydration198.23192.4418-2.92%135.22-31.79%0.2987✓1.211.0M2022-03-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032550.000031594-2.94%0.00002383-26.79%0.2196✓1.401.3M2022-03-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.15930.154607-2.95%0.1627+2.13%0.0971✗1.03349k2022-03-09
BANDBandEthereum4.063.9386-2.99%3.737-7.96%0.0040✓1.272.0M2022-03-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.23450.227462-3.00%0.2005-14.50%0.0648✓1.383.6M2022-03-09
XVGVergenative0.012220.011849-3.03%0.01052-13.91%0.0602✓1.321.3M2022-03-09
LUNATerraTerra 259.4857.6647-3.05%99.22+66.81%0.6057✗1.418.8M2022-03-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.40295.2379-3.05%3.9867-26.21%0.2179✓1.24442k2022-03-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.13820.133772-3.20%0.1245-9.91%0.0103✓1.383.2M2022-03-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.07061.0361-3.23%0.7672-28.34%0.2516✓1.0929.2M2022-03-09
HIVEHivenative1.23171.1912-3.28%0.9131-25.87%0.2007✓1.461.9M2022-03-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.822.7271-3.30%2.3-18.44%0.1252✓1.01504k2022-03-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3063.1954-3.34%2.732-17.36%0.1208✓0.80206k2022-03-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum32.0630.9614-3.43%25.07-21.80%0.1454✓1.472.0M2022-03-09
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28783.1738-3.47%2.4947-24.12%0.1974✓0.972.8M2022-03-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2850.275116-3.47%0.237-16.84%0.1061✓0.9770k2022-03-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0230540.022249-3.49%0.01738-24.61%0.1924✓1.222.5M2022-03-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.382.2945-3.59%1.23-48.32%0.5706✓1.192.0M2022-03-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum21.8121.0046-3.69%14.69-32.65%0.2806✓1.733.8M2022-03-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.12480.119951-3.89%0.0841-32.61%0.2851✓1.571.6M2022-03-09
XMRMoneroMonero185.08177.8272-3.92%188.71+1.96%0.1063✗1.051.6M2022-03-09
CELLCellframeEthereum1.22681.1787-3.92%1.5521+26.52%0.3435✗1.53103k2022-03-09
STXStacksnative1.721.6524-3.93%1.12-34.88%0.3443✓1.001.3M2022-03-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62570.601081-3.93%0.5284-15.55%0.0810✓1.071.4M2022-03-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum7.387.0782-4.09%4.25-42.41%0.4641✓1.03751k2022-03-09
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.6302-4.22%5.441+43.56%0.4188✗0.321.5M2022-03-09
RADRadworksEthereum65.7396-4.34%4.63-22.83%0.1676✓1.06867k2022-03-09
ZECZcashZcash128.86123.1268-4.45%141.65+9.93%0.1976✗1.296.6M2022-03-09
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9718.5597-4.58%6.28-30.00%0.2940✓0.3538k2022-03-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.99871.9065-4.61%3.1069+55.45%0.5166✗0.633.1M2022-03-09
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16641.1119-4.67%0.741-36.47%0.3376✓1.53725k2022-03-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.227240.216587-4.69%0.15435-32.08%0.2680✓1.5936k2022-03-09
DIADIAEthereum1.071.0198-4.69%0.94-12.15%0.0369✓1.00293k2022-03-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.931.8388-4.72%1.376-28.70%0.2336✓1.261.7M2022-03-09
UMAUMAEthereum6.616.295-4.77%8.061+21.95%0.2918✗1.001.9M2022-03-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8817.9672-4.83%14.02-25.74%0.1955✓1.1876.9M2022-03-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.0941.9906-4.94%1.394-33.43%0.2989✓1.291.2M2022-03-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.017210.016339-5.06%0.011931-30.67%0.2614✓1.192.0M2022-03-09
MINAMina Protocolnative3.092.9316-5.13%1.89-38.83%0.3842✓1.23407k2022-03-09
XTZTezosTezos4.14083.9221-5.28%3.1801-23.20%0.1508✓1.322.3M2022-03-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin24.5223.2177-5.31%18.83-23.21%0.1562✓1.1910.4M2022-03-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09150.086584-5.37%0.0717-21.64%0.1267✓1.39540k2022-03-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.272.1473-5.40%1.79-21.15%0.1236✓1.312.2M2022-03-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0427450.040399-5.49%0.041988-1.77%0.0907✗1.178.4M2022-03-09
BTTCBTTC0.000002350.00000222-5.55%0.00000186-20.85%0.1321✓1.0015.1M2022-03-09
COMPCompoundEthereum145.96137.6726-5.68%108.96-25.35%0.1764✓1.2965k2022-03-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.950.895772-5.71%0.66-30.53%0.2196✓1.92996k2022-03-09
FIDABonfidaSolana2.3082.1692-6.01%1.786-22.62%0.1498✓1.0066k2022-03-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.6329.6929-6.12%30.07-4.93%0.0633✗1.14103.7M2022-03-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.1637-6.15%1.024-17.42%0.0682✓1.34511k2022-03-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.763.5264-6.21%2.89-23.14%0.1607✓0.86585k2022-03-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum25.5423.9347-6.29%20.31-20.48%0.0941✓1.57411k2022-03-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007010.00656-6.41%0.0039-44.37%0.4312✓1.9919.8M2022-03-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.79020.7368-6.76%0.4455-43.62%0.4344✓1.541.0M2022-03-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum26,559.7224,756.62-6.79%20,404.96-23.17%0.1508✓0.9512.1M2022-03-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.95.4766-7.18%4.727-19.88%0.0918✓1.242.6M2022-03-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1330.123454-7.18%0.104-21.80%0.1269✓1.0090k2022-03-09
DODODODOEthereum0.5830.540639-7.27%0.407-30.19%0.2194✓1.454.6M2022-03-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015840.014643-7.56%0.01242-21.59%0.0981✓1.491.7M2022-03-09
AAVEAaveEthereum182.29168.2259-7.72%127.5-30.06%0.2147✓1.409.8M2022-03-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.041070.037867-7.80%0.01383-66.33%0.9582✓1.109.0M2022-03-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.068.3442-7.90%6.31-30.35%0.2630✓0.371.6M2022-03-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.99850.916449-8.22%0.7395-25.94%0.1674✓1.0613.5M2022-03-09
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.79933.4734-8.58%2.1758-42.73%0.4280✓0.8927k2022-03-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.54795-8.98%0.3619-39.88%0.3343✓1.8040.2M2022-03-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.563.2237-9.45%2.159-39.35%0.3379✓1.4120.8M2022-03-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09010.081553-9.49%0.0648-28.08%0.1550✓1.6827.2M2022-03-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.0421.2814-11.47%17.47-27.33%0.1453✓1.1726.9M2022-03-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.261.9929-11.82%1.287-43.05%0.3760✓1.373.3M2022-03-09
MOVRMoonriverBase105.883292.7849-12.37%54.9209-48.13%0.4604✓1.44319k2022-03-09
PROPropyEthereum2.21.9192-12.76%1.67-24.09%0.0945✓1.001.7M2022-03-09
SUSHISushiEthereum4.964.2422-14.47%3.19-35.69%0.2236✓1.388.3M2022-03-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03690.030812-16.50%0.024-34.96%0.1811✓1.54490k2022-03-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.64830.540018-16.70%0.4297-33.72%0.1463✓1.841.8M2022-03-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.2991.0819-16.72%0.76-41.49%0.3085✓1.002.4M2022-03-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.047780.038788-18.82%0.0398-16.70%0.0704✓1.005.1M2022-03-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0383890.030917-19.46%0.015975-58.39%0.6038✓1.27117k2022-03-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.2874.8593-22.71%2.61-58.49%0.5769✓1.001.2M2022-03-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.