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2022-02-04 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 147 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3595
147 of 147 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.89%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
73.5%
in alpha space · 82.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (147 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08710.087448+0.40%0.0678-22.16%0.1625✗1.15256k2022-03-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7720.77407+0.27%0.66-14.51%0.0767✗1.031.6M2022-03-06
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1811.2096+0.26%8.48-24.15%0.1772✗1.2712.5M2022-03-06
XVSVenusEthereum8.728.7326+0.14%8.47-2.87%0.0688✓1.242.5M2022-03-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2092160.209425+0.10%0.172791-17.41%0.1131✗0.9925.3M2022-03-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.24941.2496+0.02%0.91478-26.78%0.2338✗0.97333k2022-03-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1236.119-0.07%4.983-18.62%0.1397✓0.82103k2022-03-06
TRXTRONTron0.064450.064387-0.10%0.058875-8.65%0.0176✓0.90396k2022-03-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1479470.147641-0.21%0.120679-18.43%0.1205✓1.017.1M2022-03-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,614.6441,512.86-0.24%38,408.38-7.70%0.0024✗1.00682.8M2022-03-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum7.387.3604-0.27%6.28-14.91%0.1343✓0.301.1M2022-03-06
XEMNEMnative0.10960.109162-0.40%0.0955-12.86%0.0571✓0.9540k2022-03-06
XECeCashnative0.000082670.000082274-0.48%0.0000699-15.45%0.0755✓1.095.5M2022-03-06
NANOnanopayBase2.2072.1952-0.53%1.69-23.43%0.1699✓1.14888k2022-03-06
KCSKuCoinnative19.44719.3409-0.55%18.061-7.13%0.0445✗1.4110.5M2022-03-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07040.069977-0.60%0.0672-4.55%0.0436✗1.0519k2022-03-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00002220.000022057-0.64%0.00002355+6.08%0.1674✗1.271.4M2022-03-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum51.3350.9871-0.67%48.83-4.87%0.0456✗1.117.8M2022-03-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.48720.483839-0.69%0.322-33.91%0.2982✓1.362.0M2022-03-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3520.34947-0.72%0.271-23.01%0.1514✓1.281.8M2022-03-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin121.42120.5142-0.75%101.1-16.74%0.0719✓1.2933.0M2022-03-06
SOLSolanaSolana112.69111.8218-0.77%84.57-24.95%0.1855✓1.17191.4M2022-03-06
QNTQuantEthereum134.25133.1609-0.81%110.38-17.78%0.1150✓0.918.1M2022-03-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3733.3447-0.84%2.9225-13.36%0.0518✓1.042.6M2022-03-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.25130.249164-0.85%0.2294-8.71%0.0054✓1.101.8M2022-03-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum15.1315-0.86%12.47-17.58%0.1069✓0.97731k2022-03-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.729.4401-0.88%26.55-10.61%0.0209✓1.033.8M2022-03-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV95.6194.7545-0.89%77.72-18.71%0.1258✓0.901.7M2022-03-06
ETHEthereumEthereum2,998.192,971.26-0.90%2,550.77-14.92%0.0654✓1.09573.1M2022-03-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.044070.043661-0.93%0.03826-13.18%0.0462✓1.0729k2022-03-06
GTGateEthereum7.03866.9608-1.11%6.8076-3.28%0.0475✗0.874.1M2022-03-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.44060.435354-1.19%0.329-25.33%0.1778✓1.289.7M2022-03-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7211.7003-1.20%1.447-15.92%0.0732✓1.101.6M2022-03-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.1721.1576-1.23%1.1901+1.54%0.1241✗1.202.4M2022-03-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum40,457.7039,951.64-1.25%38,936.90-3.76%0.0524✗0.9751k2022-03-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.395.3216-1.27%5.1-5.38%0.0153✗0.72398k2022-03-06
ZENHorizenBase43.1942.6402-1.27%33.26-22.99%0.1252✓1.54568k2022-03-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.899.7515-1.40%10.3+4.15%0.1109✗0.70660k2022-03-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9780.964231-1.41%0.775-20.76%0.1108✓1.342.3M2022-03-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.292.2574-1.42%1.11-51.53%0.6140✓1.202.3M2022-03-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash306.37301.9859-1.43%282.11-7.92%0.0133✓1.017.6M2022-03-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.056920.056104-1.43%0.05-12.16%0.0094✓1.321.5M2022-03-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot20.5120.2119-1.45%16.99-17.16%0.0678✓1.3244.7M2022-03-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche77.9176.736-1.51%72.47-6.98%0.0497✗1.3389.7M2022-03-06
IMXImmutableEthereum32.9546-1.51%1.152-61.60%0.8660✓0.952.2M2022-03-06
QTUMQtumQtum6.87616.7661-1.60%5.7763-15.99%0.0460✓1.40174k2022-03-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06630.065234-1.61%0.0687+3.62%0.1494✗1.22540k2022-03-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.466.3548-1.63%5.97-7.59%0.0041✓0.83483k2022-03-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.6473320.636789-1.63%0.478814-26.03%0.1951✓1.123.5M2022-03-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.082390.081045-1.63%0.06662-19.14%0.1365✓0.7480k2022-03-06
DASHDashDash103.07101.3781-1.64%85.59-16.96%0.0786✓1.132.7M2022-03-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.59020.580426-1.66%0.6795+15.13%0.2580✗1.252.7M2022-03-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.031210.030686-1.68%0.02606-16.50%0.0958✓0.847.7M2022-03-06
SCSiacoinnative0.011190.010998-1.72%0.00845-24.49%0.1826✓1.01572k2022-03-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.436.3118-1.84%7.79+21.15%0.2709✗0.75481k2022-03-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.30980.304084-1.85%0.197-36.41%0.3114✓1.534.1M2022-03-06
XVGVergenative0.010840.010639-1.86%0.00921-15.04%0.0431✓1.261.4M2022-03-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.098590.096739-1.88%0.08726-11.49%0.0250✓0.9747k2022-03-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.4546.3289-1.94%4.82-25.32%0.1938✓0.98320k2022-03-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.9640.945283-1.94%1.3889+44.08%0.5001✗1.4499k2022-03-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.20230.198259-2.00%0.2075+2.57%0.1475✗1.273.6M2022-03-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.79251.7564-2.02%2.0803+16.05%0.2554✗1.0776k2022-03-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.3734.2812-2.10%4.307-1.51%0.0696✗0.79351k2022-03-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013630.013343-2.11%0.01217-10.71%0.0216✓0.8813k2022-03-06
HIVEHivenative1.10731.084-2.11%0.87-21.43%0.1080✓1.401.9M2022-03-06
KSMKusamaHydration180.53176.7191-2.11%119.71-33.69%0.2964✓1.161.1M2022-03-06
XYMSymbolnative0.18860.1846-2.12%0.136-27.89%0.2509✓0.68423k2022-03-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.12620.123388-2.23%0.1112-11.89%0.0003✓1.293.3M2022-03-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.899080.878935-2.24%0.63843-28.99%0.1916✓1.60351k2022-03-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.91130.890775-2.25%0.7112-21.96%0.0915✓1.67783k2022-03-06
ADACardanoCardano1.13981.113-2.35%0.823-27.79%0.2140✓1.10113.2M2022-03-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.16010.156252-2.40%0.1441-9.99%0.0023✓1.04337k2022-03-06
MANADecentralandEthereum2.81852.7503-2.42%2.4146-14.33%0.0594✓0.882.8M2022-03-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.7342.6675-2.43%3.369+23.23%0.3399✗1.33986k2022-03-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9714.6045-2.44%17.3+15.56%0.2221✗0.66908k2022-03-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01060.010339-2.46%0.0114+7.55%0.2011✗1.291.7M2022-03-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.02240.021845-2.48%0.01701-24.06%0.1675✓1.032.7M2022-03-06
ZECZcashZcash107.21104.4901-2.54%107.41+0.19%0.1270✗1.246.6M2022-03-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.6520.1181-2.58%14.03-32.06%0.2217✓1.733.9M2022-03-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.476.3009-2.61%3.82-40.96%0.4212✓0.99818k2022-03-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4581.4188-2.69%1.088-25.38%0.1667✓1.233.4M2022-03-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.98374.8479-2.73%3.778-24.19%0.1518✓1.22364k2022-03-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.4952.4256-2.78%2.108-15.51%0.0592✓1.0121k2022-03-06
GITCOINGITCOIN7.9967.7731-2.79%5.586-30.14%0.3031✓0.3440k2022-03-06
FTTFTXEthereum46.0344.728-2.83%39.81-13.51%0.0240✓1.1534.8M2022-03-06
BANDBandEthereum3.843.7312-2.83%3.706-3.49%0.0935✗1.252.2M2022-03-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.99870.970027-2.87%0.7462-25.28%0.1738✓1.1029.7M2022-03-06
LUNATerraTerra 254.0652.4941-2.90%79.23+46.56%0.5253✗1.428.8M2022-03-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.6320.9867-2.97%18.46-14.66%0.0372✓1.1410.4M2022-03-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.1863.0909-2.99%2.9812-6.43%0.0390✗0.942.2M2022-03-06
XMRMoneroMonero165.31160.3355-3.01%158.98-3.83%0.0726✗1.011.8M2022-03-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.80.775677-3.04%0.64-20.00%0.0427✓1.871.0M2022-03-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2343.1334-3.11%2.732-15.52%0.0752✓0.77212k2022-03-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum29.6728.7223-3.19%22.08-25.58%0.1334✓1.622.1M2022-03-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.771.7134-3.20%1.3-26.55%0.1784✓1.221.8M2022-03-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.30640.296487-3.24%0.2571-16.09%0.0572✓1.06566k2022-03-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.652.5631-3.28%2.17-18.11%0.0871✓0.99604k2022-03-06
RADRadworksEthereum5.445.26-3.31%4.9-9.93%0.0083✓0.99952k2022-03-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.573.4469-3.45%5.559+55.71%0.5011✗0.291.5M2022-03-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.15834.9734-3.58%5.3709+4.12%0.0970✗0.25376k2022-03-06
STXStacksnative1.551.4921-3.74%1.08-30.32%0.2430✓1.001.3M2022-03-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.12070.116031-3.87%0.0829-31.32%0.2219✓1.431.6M2022-03-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum29.428.2537-3.90%28.82-1.97%0.0962✗0.95484k2022-03-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.5116.8164-3.96%13.32-23.93%0.1397✓1.1679.4M2022-03-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.270.259245-3.98%0.242-10.37%0.0036✓0.9067k2022-03-06
MINAMina Protocolnative2.712.6007-4.03%1.92-29.15%0.2094✓1.17494k2022-03-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.59940.574896-4.09%0.5029-16.10%0.0463✓1.091.6M2022-03-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8231.7474-4.15%1.342-26.39%0.1702✓1.171.3M2022-03-06
UMAUMAEthereum6.195.9316-4.17%8.411+35.88%0.4345✗1.061.9M2022-03-06
XTZTezosTezos4.01413.8432-4.26%2.9738-25.92%0.1548✓1.272.4M2022-03-06
COMPCompoundEthereum132.7126.9111-4.36%102-23.13%0.1201✓1.2354k2022-03-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0165620.015832-4.40%0.011572-30.13%0.2209✓1.152.7M2022-03-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.006630.00633-4.53%0.00377-43.14%0.3557✓2.0320.3M2022-03-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum21.9920.9233-4.85%17.6-19.96%0.0503✓1.53418k2022-03-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.11.9961-4.95%1.71-18.57%0.0525✓1.272.3M2022-03-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.04080.038757-5.01%0.042886+5.11%0.1995✗1.238.8M2022-03-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.241.1755-5.20%0.98-20.97%0.0799✓1.27490k2022-03-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.67930.643915-5.21%0.4255-37.36%0.2998✓1.431.1M2022-03-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.08811.9792-5.21%2.227+6.65%0.1709✗0.663.5M2022-03-06
DIADIAEthereum1.010.956793-5.27%0.95-5.94%0.0731✗1.00369k2022-03-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204720.193572-5.45%0.14543-28.96%0.1664✓1.4932k2022-03-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.042260.039958-5.45%0.01199-71.63%1.1180✓1.079.0M2022-03-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos31.1329.4037-5.55%28.14-9.60%0.0442✓1.10110.8M2022-03-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.563.3621-5.56%2.876-19.21%0.0906✓0.82708k2022-03-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum8.017.5423-5.84%5.58-30.34%0.2725✓0.361.7M2022-03-06
AAVEAaveEthereum166.87157.0538-5.88%116.73-30.05%0.1885✓1.3511.5M2022-03-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,905.4423,424.63-5.95%18,244.52-26.74%0.1764✓0.9212.5M2022-03-06
BTTCBTTC0.000002230.000002094-6.09%0.00000178-20.18%0.0824✓1.0015.7M2022-03-06
DODODODOEthereum0.5430.50947-6.17%0.395-27.26%0.1426✓1.404.6M2022-03-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.95670.895268-6.42%0.6929-27.57%0.1743✓1.0214.7M2022-03-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.1394-7.06%3.553-35.75%0.2729✓1.203.0M2022-03-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53180.493975-7.11%0.3243-39.02%0.2767✓1.8044.4M2022-03-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.42173.1683-7.41%2.0504-40.08%0.3680✓0.8426k2022-03-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1240.114488-7.67%0.1-19.35%0.0551✓1.00110k2022-03-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07980.073516-7.87%0.0524-34.34%0.1881✓1.8826.7M2022-03-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.433.1551-8.01%2.06-39.94%0.3144✓1.4021.7M2022-03-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.141.9446-9.13%1.211-43.41%0.3632✓1.383.7M2022-03-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.2719.9656-10.35%16.6-25.46%0.0928✓1.1428.0M2022-03-06
SUSHISushiEthereum4.473.9993-10.53%2.91-34.90%0.2110✓1.338.4M2022-03-06
MOVRMoonriverBase88.736278.9148-11.07%55.607-37.33%0.2421✓1.35351k2022-03-06
PROPropyEthereum2.11.8496-11.92%1.66-20.95%0.0280✓1.002.8M2022-03-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04080.035354-13.35%0.02514-38.38%0.2165✓1.55490k2022-03-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.410.350509-14.51%0.418+1.95%0.3020✗1.571.8M2022-03-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.26091.0706-15.09%0.749-40.60%0.2771✓1.002.8M2022-03-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.050940.042905-15.77%0.03483-31.63%0.1283✓1.005.3M2022-03-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0396450.03339-15.78%0.017916-54.81%0.5198✓1.28123k2022-03-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.7484.5329-21.14%2.702-52.99%0.4372✓1.001.4M2022-03-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.