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2022-01-31 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3047
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.98%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.9%
in alpha space · 54.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+14.08%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase5.3894.6234-14.21%2.895-46.28%0.5999✓1.001.4M2022-03-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.049850.04382-12.10%0.03397-31.86%0.3864✓1.005.5M2022-03-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.27781.1342-11.23%0.7242-43.32%0.5804✓1.003.1M2022-03-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0375420.033345-11.18%0.021073-43.87%0.6434✓1.40172k2022-03-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.54030.48693-9.88%0.4033-25.36%0.4372✓1.8948.9M2022-03-02
PROPropyEthereum2.312.0979-9.18%1.82-21.21%0.2739✓1.003.4M2022-03-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09750.089151-8.56%0.0655-32.82%0.6579✓2.6524.9M2022-03-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03520.032232-8.43%0.0268-23.86%0.3780✓1.47617k2022-03-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.43690.403075-7.74%0.5029+15.11%0.0107✓1.602.0M2022-03-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.1220.113032-7.35%0.116-4.92%0.1058✓1.00141k2022-03-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.735.3219-7.12%3.976-30.61%0.4635✓1.313.2M2022-03-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.8871.7707-6.16%2.7751+47.06%0.3535✗0.733.1M2022-03-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum19.8218.61-6.10%19.31-2.57%0.1312✓1.2834.3M2022-03-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.190160.178817-5.97%0.16542-13.01%0.2906✓1.6224k2022-03-02
MOVRMoonriverBase75.077570.9289-5.53%71.55-4.70%0.1589✓1.27410k2022-03-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.0726.6508-5.06%32.25+14.89%0.0388✓1.15120.6M2022-03-02
SUSHISushiEthereum4.234.0187-5.00%3.41-19.39%0.3484✓1.409.3M2022-03-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum3.273.1127-4.81%2.647-19.05%0.3535✓1.4524.6M2022-03-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,852.8523,704.05-4.62%22,346.94-10.08%0.1832✓0.9416.4M2022-03-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.5490.524188-4.52%0.5665+3.19%0.0765✓1.172.1M2022-03-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.8881.8047-4.41%1.548-18.01%0.3174✓1.241.5M2022-03-02
STXStacksnative1.491.4289-4.10%1.25-16.11%0.2655✓1.002.0M2022-03-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.162.0721-4.07%1.359-37.08%0.6249✓1.544.2M2022-03-02
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.17753.0485-4.06%2.2311-29.78%0.4313✓0.9022k2022-03-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2273.1029-3.85%3.114-3.50%0.1087✓0.85819k2022-03-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.12150.116832-3.84%0.0991-18.44%0.3622✓1.501.7M2022-03-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0142680.013746-3.66%0.012216-14.38%0.2718✓1.172.7M2022-03-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83380.803545-3.63%0.7872-5.59%0.1691✓1.1316.8M2022-03-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.27180.262204-3.53%0.2945+8.35%0.0349✓1.15557k2022-03-02
FTTFTXEthereum43.5842.057-3.49%46.16+5.92%0.0694✓1.2337.0M2022-03-02
AAVEAaveEthereum157.59152.3863-3.30%137.7-12.62%0.2852✓1.4012.7M2022-03-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.01384.8489-3.29%4.413-11.98%0.2596✓1.26430k2022-03-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0392780.038015-3.21%0.04679+19.13%0.0427✗1.259.4M2022-03-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.52.4209-3.16%2.43-2.80%0.1301✓1.02754k2022-03-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2470.239495-3.04%0.247+0.00%0.0947✓0.9563k2022-03-02
ADACardanoCardano1.05241.0213-2.96%0.9394-10.74%0.2343✓1.14113.2M2022-03-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6832.6049-2.91%2.99+11.44%0.0633✓1.53986k2022-03-02
LUNATerraTerra 252.1550.6779-2.82%92.43+77.24%0.3778✗1.698.8M2022-03-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2513.85-2.81%16.15+13.33%0.0615✗0.70841k2022-03-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.045860.044603-2.74%0.01634-64.37%1.1507✓1.119.2M2022-03-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.32910.320081-2.74%0.2308-29.87%0.5413✓1.634.2M2022-03-02
DODODODOEthereum0.4910.477547-2.74%0.468-4.68%0.2227✓1.545.0M2022-03-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.951.898-2.67%1.93-1.03%0.1551✓1.302.8M2022-03-02
UMAUMAEthereum5.955.7936-2.63%8.421+41.53%0.2309✗1.092.1M2022-03-02
MANADecentralandEthereum2.82232.7482-2.62%2.7532-2.45%0.1267✓0.982.8M2022-03-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.06652.9861-2.62%3.0322-1.12%0.1225✓1.052.0M2022-03-02
XYMSymbolnative0.18360.178799-2.61%0.149-18.85%0.2717✓0.68495k2022-03-02
MINAMina Protocolnative2.392.3287-2.57%2.13-10.88%0.2480✓1.21602k2022-03-02
API3Api3Ethereum3.413.3244-2.51%7.3+114.08%0.7617✗0.191.4M2022-03-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5120.0125-2.43%20.76+1.22%0.1723✓1.59556k2022-03-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum17.1616.7484-2.40%15.29-10.90%0.2516✓1.2288.8M2022-03-02
COMPCompoundEthereum121.39118.5448-2.34%122.45+0.87%0.1401✓1.3165k2022-03-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0422.9722-2.30%2.98-2.04%0.1043✓0.81342k2022-03-02
XTZTezosTezos3.49383.4173-2.19%3.494+0.01%0.1620✓1.402.4M2022-03-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.852610.834473-2.13%0.73047-14.33%0.3618✓1.74534k2022-03-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.087840.086056-2.03%0.091+3.60%0.0878✓1.0946k2022-03-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.079790.078177-2.02%0.07258-9.04%0.1708✓0.7384k2022-03-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3591.332-1.98%1.202-11.55%0.2694✓1.263.5M2022-03-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.61660.604419-1.98%0.5144-16.57%0.3641✓1.541.2M2022-03-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.2057-1.96%6.64-9.66%0.1178✓0.271.8M2022-03-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0226.4921-1.95%26.56-1.70%0.2163✓1.662.6M2022-03-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.95040.931857-1.95%0.8204-13.68%0.2824✓1.1834.5M2022-03-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.18890.18541-1.85%0.197+4.29%0.1164✓1.343.8M2022-03-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1084.0327-1.83%4.505+9.66%0.0044✓0.81367k2022-03-02
BANDBandEthereum3.483.4184-1.77%4.016+15.40%0.0062✓1.272.5M2022-03-02
DASHDashDash94.1892.5272-1.75%100.9+7.14%0.0687✓1.182.9M2022-03-02
CBKCobakEthereum2.2472.2083-1.72%2.298+2.27%0.1037✓1.0923k2022-03-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.71993.6569-1.69%5.9424+59.75%0.4879✗-0.02350k2022-03-02
RADRadworksEthereum5.85.7029-1.67%5.59-3.62%0.1592✓1.061.0M2022-03-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.681.6519-1.67%1.496-10.95%0.2701✓1.302.1M2022-03-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.55261.5276-1.60%1.9592+26.19%0.1020✗1.1182k2022-03-02
GTGateEthereum6.8676.7569-1.60%6.803-0.93%0.1182✓0.954.2M2022-03-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.54920.54041-1.60%0.7291+32.76%0.1236✗1.342.7M2022-03-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0580.057122-1.51%0.04875-15.95%0.3466✓1.431.7M2022-03-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.629.478-1.48%10.14+5.41%0.0318✓0.75744k2022-03-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum25.2124.84-1.47%30.37+20.47%0.0981✗0.78447k2022-03-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.4640.45723-1.46%0.397-14.44%0.3256✓1.402.2M2022-03-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.256.1695-1.29%4.65-25.60%0.4074✓0.95892k2022-03-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.029780.029398-1.28%0.02832-4.90%0.1563✓0.908.7M2022-03-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.009930.009812-1.19%0.01231+23.97%0.0552✗1.302.1M2022-03-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040450.039969-1.19%0.04078+0.82%0.1275✓1.1229k2022-03-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.11360.112317-1.13%0.1299+14.35%0.0295✓1.333.8M2022-03-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5673350.561001-1.12%0.570611+0.58%0.1437✓1.223.3M2022-03-02
XMRMoneroMonero147.48145.8395-1.11%177.46+20.33%0.0618✗1.021.9M2022-03-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos5.9045.8386-1.11%6.038+2.27%0.1038✓1.04341k2022-03-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.13610.134625-1.08%0.1595+17.19%0.0402✗0.98312k2022-03-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013310.013166-1.08%0.01235-7.21%0.1819✓0.9014k2022-03-02
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3187.239-1.08%6.7-8.44%0.1078✓0.2340k2022-03-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0210240.02081-1.02%0.01892-10.01%0.2298✓1.023.1M2022-03-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.99850.988513-1.00%0.8082-19.06%0.4430✓1.83929k2022-03-02
HIVEHivenative0.96190.952317-1.00%0.9988+3.84%0.1546✓1.542.0M2022-03-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin21.321.1049-0.92%20.73-2.68%0.1781✓1.2212.6M2022-03-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.276.2169-0.85%6.43+2.55%0.0809✓0.87529k2022-03-02
KCSKuCoinnative18.06517.9203-0.80%20.355+12.68%0.0734✓1.5210.6M2022-03-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.6725.467-0.79%29.52+15.00%0.0043✓1.093.3M2022-03-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1416460.14058-0.75%0.133081-6.05%0.1951✓1.077.1M2022-03-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,589.3038,313.75-0.71%44,262.00+14.70%0.0104✗1.0251k2022-03-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin109.55108.7886-0.69%110.35+0.73%0.1635✓1.3533.8M2022-03-02
ZECZcashZcash94.5793.9169-0.69%125.91+33.14%0.1151✗1.356.6M2022-03-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.5471.5366-0.67%1.59+2.78%0.1252✓1.211.6M2022-03-02
SCSiacoinnative0.009940.009874-0.67%0.00957-3.72%0.1682✓1.04588k2022-03-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche69.9269.4758-0.64%83.42+19.31%0.0059✓1.3485.3M2022-03-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV91.3290.7532-0.62%86.11-5.71%0.1773✓0.951.6M2022-03-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.83880.833816-0.59%1.6226+93.44%0.4674✗1.51106k2022-03-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot19.3919.2851-0.54%18.61-4.02%0.2198✓1.4050.2M2022-03-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007280.007245-0.48%0.00469-35.58%0.7437✓2.3423.2M2022-03-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021420.000021322-0.46%0.00002591+20.96%0.0089✗1.411.6M2022-03-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.4090.407169-0.45%0.3742-8.51%0.2568✓1.3110.0M2022-03-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.266.2348-0.40%7.94+26.84%0.1369✗0.80504k2022-03-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24230.241377-0.38%0.2571+6.11%0.0912✓1.171.9M2022-03-02
NANOnanopayBase2.13152.124-0.35%1.8782-11.89%0.2863✓1.24888k2022-03-02
XVGVergenative0.010220.010184-0.35%0.01037+1.47%0.1581✓1.341.6M2022-03-02
QTUMQtumQtum6.06786.0475-0.33%6.4867+6.90%0.1224✓1.46181k2022-03-02
UOSUltraEthereum1.09031.0866-0.33%1.389+27.40%0.0841✗1.232.4M2022-03-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06190.061711-0.30%0.0775+25.20%0.0547✗1.31564k2022-03-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06580.065614-0.28%0.0714+8.51%0.0616✓1.1121k2022-03-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash285.23284.517-0.25%320.43+12.34%0.0189✓1.056.8M2022-03-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.11643.1087-0.25%3.0297-2.78%0.1740✓1.132.9M2022-03-02
KSMKusamaHydration159.75159.3676-0.24%138.31-13.42%0.2969✓1.181.2M2022-03-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.255.2389-0.21%5.57+6.10%0.0355✓0.73429k2022-03-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1997230.199475-0.12%0.193624-3.05%0.1666✓1.0426.2M2022-03-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum52.3852.343-0.07%55.59+6.13%0.0929✓1.168.0M2022-03-02
ZENHorizenBase4140.9795-0.05%38.92-5.07%0.2661✓1.63626k2022-03-02
TRXTRONTron0.0591320.059115-0.03%0.061505+4.01%0.0830✓0.93431k2022-03-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.1520.1466-0.02%15.16-24.76%0.5280✓1.853.9M2022-03-02
XEMNEMnative0.10220.102187-0.01%0.1064+4.11%0.0936✓1.0241k2022-03-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,491.9338,492.83+0.00%43,912.34+14.08%0.0000✓1.00717.4M2022-03-02
ETHEthereumEthereum2,689.722,690.47+0.03%2,948.56+9.62%0.0540✗1.11557.7M2022-03-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.152.1522+0.10%1.27-40.93%0.7325✗1.562.3M2022-03-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.820.820863+0.11%1.164+41.95%0.1479✓1.53490k2022-03-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.3614.3867+0.19%13.69-4.67%0.1795✗0.99814k2022-03-02
XECeCashnative0.000076330.000076508+0.23%0.00007594-0.51%0.1559✗1.135.8M2022-03-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9150.917573+0.28%0.917+0.22%0.1821✗1.382.3M2022-03-02
SOLSolanaSolana99.5299.8558+0.34%100.73+1.22%0.1474✗1.19165.9M2022-03-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08120.081501+0.37%0.0754-7.14%0.2407✗1.24317k2022-03-02
IMXImmutableEthereum2.692.7037+0.51%1.464-45.58%0.8182✗1.552.2M2022-03-02
UNIUniswapEthereum11.7811.8713+0.77%10.05-14.69%0.3465✗1.3712.5M2022-03-02
STORJStorjEthereum1.16481.1761+0.97%1.0742-7.78%0.2253✗1.02352k2022-03-02
XVSVenusEthereum7.948.0244+1.06%9.78+23.17%0.0233✓1.332.8M2022-03-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3180.321729+1.17%0.308-3.14%0.2231✗1.361.7M2022-03-02
QNTQuantEthereum97.1598.5022+1.39%117.95+21.41%0.0417✓1.057.5M2022-03-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.640.649649+1.51%0.75+17.19%0.1010✗1.861.1M2022-03-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.742546+1.58%0.703-3.83%0.1953✗1.071.7M2022-03-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.1196.244+2.04%5.551-9.28%0.2304✗0.86118k2022-03-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.546.6997+2.44%6.71+2.60%0.0284✗0.231.1M2022-03-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.