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2022-01-29 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 145 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1953
145 of 145 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+31.39%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
67.6%
in alpha space · 53.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+13.10%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (145 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09070.079748-12.08%0.0703-22.49%0.4339✓2.5023.2M2022-02-28
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum1.29361.1784-8.90%0.7584-41.37%0.5638✓1.003.4M2022-02-28
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.72841.576-8.82%2.4391+41.12%0.3426✗0.762.8M2022-02-28
BFCBifrostEthereum0.186770.170611-8.65%0.16639-10.91%0.2188✓1.5723k2022-02-28
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.60220.552176-8.31%0.3657-39.27%0.6425✓1.8748.9M2022-02-28
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.44.9917-7.56%4.154-23.07%0.3402✓1.273.1M2022-02-28
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.045150.041745-7.54%0.022655-49.82%0.7800✓1.37266k2022-02-28
ASTRAstarEthereum0.120.111017-7.49%0.132+10.00%0.0501✓1.00155k2022-02-28
GLMRMoonbeamBase6.1735.7354-7.09%2.664-56.84%0.8899✓1.001.4M2022-02-28
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.055250.051594-6.62%0.03503-36.60%0.5103✓1.006.4M2022-02-28
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos29.127.1988-6.53%31.38+7.84%0.0048✓1.12130.3M2022-02-28
FTTFTXEthereum41.7339.1337-6.22%45.95+10.11%0.0108✓1.2235.1M2022-02-28
PROPropyEthereum2.312.1684-6.13%1.84-20.35%0.2873✓1.003.5M2022-02-28
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.06312.8783-6.03%2.1929-28.41%0.3794✓0.8721k2022-02-28
GTGateEthereum6.77366.3686-5.98%6.71-0.94%0.0624✓0.934.2M2022-02-28
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90370.852782-5.63%1.6754+85.39%0.4885✗1.52107k2022-02-28
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.49880.473529-5.07%0.504+1.04%0.1188✓1.472.1M2022-02-28
BICOBiconomyEthereum2.362.2421-5.00%1.352-42.71%0.6949✓1.544.2M2022-02-28
YFIyearn.financeEthereum24,297.6523,144.51-4.75%21,589.29-11.15%0.1831✓0.9219.5M2022-02-28
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum4.8514.621-4.74%4.2345-12.71%0.2389✓1.23430k2022-02-28
API3Api3Ethereum3.693.516-4.72%7.529+104.04%0.7350✗0.22837k2022-02-28
STXStacksnative1.511.4401-4.63%1.25-17.22%0.2646✓1.002.3M2022-02-28
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.56930.54367-4.50%0.5607-1.51%0.1136✓1.172.1M2022-02-28
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.03620.034793-3.89%0.029-19.89%0.3633✓1.47836k2022-02-28
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum20.1819.4007-3.86%20.13-0.25%0.1172✓1.2534.3M2022-02-28
CVCCivicEthereum0.26710.257793-3.48%0.2945+10.26%0.0068✓1.14604k2022-02-28
COTICOTIEthereum0.310.299423-3.41%0.2321-25.13%0.4474✓1.574.2M2022-02-28
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3641.3201-3.22%1.164-14.66%0.2829✓1.283.6M2022-02-28
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.98242.8867-3.21%3.1196+4.60%0.0509✓1.041.9M2022-02-28
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum1.7581.7022-3.18%1.566-10.92%0.2435✓1.301.5M2022-02-28
NMRNumeraireEthereum26.2425.4284-3.09%30.9+17.76%0.0987✗0.78430k2022-02-28
LPTLivepeerEthereum27.0926.2725-3.02%26.36-2.69%0.2037✓1.682.7M2022-02-28
CRVCurve DAOEthereum2.992.9025-2.93%2.442-18.33%0.3453✓1.4025.0M2022-02-28
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0092.9243-2.82%3.115+3.52%0.0348✓0.80397k2022-02-28
SUSHISushiEthereum4.194.0754-2.73%3.54-15.51%0.3063✓1.3410.7M2022-02-28
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.83020.807513-2.73%0.7967-4.04%0.1491✓1.1018.7M2022-02-28
ADACardanoCardano1.06031.0319-2.68%0.964-9.08%0.2070✓1.13113.2M2022-02-28
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.2583.1713-2.66%3.233-0.77%0.0874✓0.87884k2022-02-28
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.013470.013121-2.59%0.01231-8.61%0.1758✓0.9121k2022-02-28
LTCLitecoinLitecoin110.84107.9888-2.57%113.82+2.69%0.1117✓1.3433.8M2022-02-28
GTCGitcoinEthereum7.357.1621-2.56%6.79-7.62%0.0896✓0.291.9M2022-02-28
XMRMoneroMonero153.67149.8015-2.52%170.31+10.83%0.0035✓1.012.1M2022-02-28
LUNATerraTerra 250.9349.6537-2.51%91.38+79.42%0.4091✗1.638.8M2022-02-28
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.1512.8254-2.47%16.18+23.04%0.1483✗0.68801k2022-02-28
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.063960.062471-2.33%0.04871-23.84%0.4282✓1.461.7M2022-02-28
LINKChainlinkEthereum16.2415.8813-2.21%15.14-6.77%0.1979✓1.2281.3M2022-02-28
HIVEHivenative0.9520.93139-2.16%0.9803+2.97%0.1353✓1.522.1M2022-02-28
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum38,181.6037,386.93-2.08%43,136.20+12.98%0.0183✓1.0153k2022-02-28
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.178.9832-2.04%10.15+10.69%0.0300✗0.75709k2022-02-28
AAVEAaveEthereum154.04150.978-1.99%145.83-5.33%0.2024✓1.3612.7M2022-02-28
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.921.8828-1.94%1.86-3.12%0.1814✓1.372.8M2022-02-28
SUNSun TokenTron0.0145180.014237-1.93%0.012148-16.32%0.3050✓1.192.7M2022-02-28
ARPAARPAEthereum0.06360.062382-1.91%0.078+22.64%0.0479✗1.43577k2022-02-28
MINAMina Protocolnative2.312.2667-1.87%2.21-4.33%0.1711✓1.18602k2022-02-28
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.050520.049591-1.84%0.01796-64.45%1.1804✓1.349.2M2022-02-28
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche71.9570.6527-1.80%84.59+17.57%0.0158✓1.3385.3M2022-02-28
XTZTezosTezos3.09153.0361-1.79%3.5483+14.78%0.0122✓1.372.5M2022-02-28
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.7320.3602-1.78%21.16+2.07%0.1543✓1.57775k2022-02-28
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.1286.0187-1.78%5.875-4.13%0.1461✓0.99320k2022-02-28
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.6672.6224-1.67%3.317+24.37%0.0462✗1.53986k2022-02-28
GITCOINGITCOIN7.3247.2022-1.66%6.75-7.84%0.0959✓0.2538k2022-02-28
XYMSymbolnative0.17390.171083-1.62%0.1531-11.96%0.1940✓0.67536k2022-02-28
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum6.0015.9045-1.61%5.63-6.18%0.1503✓0.83125k2022-02-28
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.935.835-1.60%7.55+27.32%0.1612✗0.78470k2022-02-28
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0423.9848-1.41%4.565+12.94%0.0391✗0.79367k2022-02-28
CHZChilizEthereum0.18440.181865-1.37%0.1925+4.39%0.1106✓1.363.9M2022-02-28
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.52510.5181-1.33%0.5696+8.47%0.0729✓1.362.6M2022-02-28
DASHDashDash96.5595.2802-1.32%100.51+4.10%0.0924✓1.193.0M2022-02-28
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0220290.021744-1.29%0.0214-2.86%0.1553✓1.133.2M2022-02-28
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0399990.039485-1.28%0.049264+23.16%0.0700✗1.2310.1M2022-02-28
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.08170.080653-1.28%0.073-10.65%0.2518✓1.24317k2022-02-28
DKAdKargoEthereum0.089790.088669-1.25%0.09213+2.61%0.1091✓1.2046k2022-02-28
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum2.422.3902-1.23%2.44+0.83%0.1051✓1.02794k2022-02-28
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.06530.064514-1.20%0.0695+6.43%0.0639✓1.1221k2022-02-28
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV92.791.6025-1.18%88.67-4.35%0.1492✓0.951.7M2022-02-28
1INCH1INCHEthereum1.721.7006-1.13%1.505-12.50%0.2800✓1.282.2M2022-02-28
SPELLSpellEthereum0.007230.007148-1.13%0.00439-39.28%0.7789✓2.3722.6M2022-02-28
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.847870.838442-1.11%0.74117-12.58%0.3336✓1.71610k2022-02-28
DODODODOEthereum0.5080.502565-1.07%0.461-9.25%0.2757✓1.545.2M2022-02-28
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.48783.4506-1.07%5.9258+69.90%0.5433✗-0.02350k2022-02-28
PHAPHALAEthereum0.2510.248375-1.05%0.236-5.98%0.1698✓0.9667k2022-02-28
CTSICartesiEthereum0.46370.458919-1.03%0.3943-14.97%0.3217✓1.382.3M2022-02-28
XEMNEMnative0.10470.103676-0.98%0.1081+3.25%0.0880✓1.0543k2022-02-28
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9240.915701-0.90%0.877-5.09%0.2131✓1.382.4M2022-02-28
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.96930.960863-0.87%0.8684-10.41%0.2447✓1.1736.8M2022-02-28
BANDBandEthereum3.513.4798-0.86%3.934+12.08%0.0307✓1.252.5M2022-02-28
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.040890.04054-0.86%0.04194+2.57%0.1055✓1.1330k2022-02-28
DOTPolkadotPolkadot18.7518.5994-0.80%18.95+1.07%0.1509✓1.3850.2M2022-02-28
ETCEthereum Classicnative25.3425.1403-0.79%30.53+20.48%0.0614✗1.083.3M2022-02-28
XECeCashnative0.000076920.000076355-0.74%0.00007869+2.30%0.1077✓1.125.8M2022-02-28
MANADecentralandEthereum2.3722.3549-0.72%2.8507+20.18%0.0750✗0.942.8M2022-02-28
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.086.0404-0.65%6.6+8.55%0.0159✓0.85503k2022-02-28
LCXLCXEthereum0.110.109292-0.64%0.0857-22.09%0.4286✓1.511.8M2022-02-28
BTCBitcoinBitcoin38,191.1037,959.90-0.61%43,192.66+13.10%0.0061✗1.00717.4M2022-02-28
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.24250.241417-0.45%0.2454+1.20%0.1366✓1.241.9M2022-02-28
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.165.1371-0.44%5.51+6.78%0.0194✓0.73413k2022-02-28
IMXImmutableEthereum2.832.8177-0.44%1.564-44.73%0.7776✓1.542.2M2022-02-28
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.342.3303-0.41%1.36-41.88%0.7300✓1.562.4M2022-02-28
UMAUMAEthereum6.086.0552-0.41%7.228+18.88%0.0450✗1.072.3M2022-02-28
CBKCobakEthereum2.2452.2365-0.38%2.477+10.33%0.0314✓1.0823k2022-02-28
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1431690.142701-0.33%0.133451-6.79%0.1963✓1.057.1M2022-02-28
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01040.010369-0.30%0.01099+5.67%0.0991✓1.282.2M2022-02-28
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.15733.1491-0.26%3.1104-1.49%0.1476✓1.103.4M2022-02-28
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.41040.409509-0.22%0.3772-8.09%0.2405✓1.2910.2M2022-02-28
MOVRMoonriverBase79.312479.1423-0.21%67.763-14.56%0.3066✓1.23410k2022-02-28
UOSUltraEthereum1.04791.0465-0.14%1.3278+26.71%0.0796✗1.292.4M2022-02-28
STORJStorjEthereum1.1541.1526-0.12%1.0426-9.65%0.2245✓1.01376k2022-02-28
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash299.03298.7204-0.10%339.27+13.46%0.0012✓1.047.6M2022-02-28
LSKLiskEthereum1.60811.6065-0.10%1.7163+6.72%0.0710✓1.1182k2022-02-28
AMPAmpEthereum0.030350.030336-0.05%0.02937-3.23%0.1473✓0.938.7M2022-02-28
TRXTRONTron0.0603410.06034-0.00%0.061786+2.39%0.0931✓0.95460k2022-02-28
ZENHorizenBase41.6441.6449+0.01%37.91-8.96%0.2900✗1.59639k2022-02-28
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4931.4932+0.01%1.571+5.22%0.0953✗1.191.6M2022-02-28
ETHEthereumEthereum2,603.742,606.13+0.09%2,923.08+12.26%0.0220✗1.11560.6M2022-02-28
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.07270.072777+0.11%0.07201-0.95%0.1077✗0.7967k2022-02-28
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum49.5849.6431+0.13%54.42+9.76%0.0515✗1.177.5M2022-02-28
QTUMQtumQtum5.96165.9703+0.15%6.4925+8.91%0.0936✗1.44221k2022-02-28
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.660.661002+0.15%0.75+13.64%0.1033✗1.871.2M2022-02-28
SCSiacoinnative0.010150.010166+0.16%0.00968-4.63%0.1790✗1.06593k2022-02-28
SOLSolanaSolana96.2596.4105+0.17%99.74+3.63%0.1127✗1.19164.2M2022-02-28
KCSKuCoinnative17.54217.5777+0.20%20.677+17.87%0.0241✗1.5210.7M2022-02-28
NANOnanopayBase2.33622.341+0.21%1.9381-17.04%0.3416✗1.24888k2022-02-28
MASKMask NetworkEthereum6.16.1152+0.25%4.86-20.33%0.3484✗0.96953k2022-02-28
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1210.121428+0.35%0.1303+7.69%0.0911✗1.313.8M2022-02-28
RADRadworksEthereum5.345.361+0.39%4.85-9.18%0.2221✗0.99978k2022-02-28
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.12050.121071+0.47%0.1612+33.78%0.1685✓0.96312k2022-02-28
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum20.0720.1832+0.56%15.37-23.42%0.4990✗1.843.9M2022-02-28
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.5654340.568996+0.63%0.575051+1.70%0.1400✗1.223.7M2022-02-28
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.59680.60075+0.66%0.5007-16.10%0.3711✗1.541.3M2022-02-28
LRCLoopringEthereum0.96840.975523+0.74%0.823-15.01%0.4111✗1.961.1M2022-02-28
XLMStellarStellar0.2034910.205208+0.84%0.197675-2.86%0.1653✗1.0426.2M2022-02-28
COMPCompoundEthereum123.06124.2744+0.99%120.75-1.88%0.1858✗1.2868k2022-02-28
FILFilecoinFilecoin20.2920.5058+1.06%21.72+7.05%0.0888✗1.1913.0M2022-02-28
KSMKusamaHydration171.16173.1043+1.14%130.28-23.88%0.4321✗1.201.3M2022-02-28
ZECZcashZcash96.3997.6304+1.29%118.68+23.12%0.0314✓1.337.0M2022-02-28
XVGVergenative0.010020.010161+1.40%0.01037+3.49%0.1437✗1.331.6M2022-02-28
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.7310.742482+1.57%0.697-4.65%0.1992✗1.101.8M2022-02-28
DEXEDeXeEthereum6.656.76+1.65%6.6-0.75%0.0514✗0.221.2M2022-02-28
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.3330.338976+1.79%0.308-7.51%0.2664✗1.391.7M2022-02-28
AUCTIONBounceEthereum14.1214.3768+1.82%14.2+0.57%0.1345✗0.99886k2022-02-28
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.850.865463+1.82%1.236+45.41%0.1704✓1.51523k2022-02-28
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000021660.000022233+2.65%0.00002579+19.07%0.0254✓1.411.7M2022-02-28
XVSVenusEthereum8.228.4677+3.01%9.33+13.50%0.0646✗1.312.8M2022-02-28
QNTQuantEthereum97.51100.5243+3.09%115.74+18.70%0.0131✓1.047.3M2022-02-28
UNIUniswapEthereum11.1611.5532+3.52%10.53-5.65%0.2571✗1.3412.5M2022-02-28
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.