2022-01-28 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 144 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.1871

144 of 144 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.31%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

63.2%

in alpha space · 62.5% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-0.07%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (144 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	6.452	5.7687	-10.59%	2.358	-63.45%	0.8940	✓	1.00	1.5M	2022-02-27
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.6272	0.561222	-10.52%	0.3174	-49.39%	0.5687	✓	1.89	50.8M	2022-02-27
NCT	PolySwarm	Ethereum	0.0541	0.048472	-10.40%	0.03182	-41.18%	0.4202	✓	1.00	5.9M	2022-02-27
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.046901	0.042469	-9.45%	0.022401	-52.24%	0.6390	✓	1.00	321k	2022-02-27
POKT	Pocket Network	Ethereum	1.2839	1.1636	-9.37%	0.7935	-38.20%	0.3821	✓	1.00	3.5M	2022-02-27
PRO	Propy	Ethereum	2.39	2.192	-8.29%	1.81	-24.27%	0.1908	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-02-27
ASTR	Astar	Ethereum	0.114	0.10692	-6.21%	0.14	+22.81%	0.2702	✗	1.00	149k	2022-02-27
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.7954	1.6916	-5.78%	1.897	+5.66%	0.1151	✗	0.77	2.8M	2022-02-27
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.1835	0.173655	-5.36%	0.15123	-17.59%	0.1372	✓	1.58	21k	2022-02-27
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5555	0.530256	-4.54%	0.5151	-7.27%	0.0282	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-27
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	29.5	28.2208	-4.34%	26.8	-9.15%	0.0509	✓	1.13	130.3M	2022-02-27
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	20.31	19.4617	-4.18%	17.24	-15.12%	0.1204	✓	1.25	34.3M	2022-02-27
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0353	0.033876	-4.03%	0.0267	-24.36%	0.2371	✓	1.47	852k	2022-02-27
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.482	0.462871	-3.97%	0.4116	-14.61%	0.1164	✓	1.46	2.1M	2022-02-27
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2523	0.242489	-3.89%	0.2684	+6.38%	0.1023	✗	1.13	532k	2022-02-27
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.57	4.41	-3.50%	3.741	-18.14%	0.1637	✓	1.24	3.0M	2022-02-27
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0567	0.054773	-3.40%	0.0605	+6.70%	0.1009	✗	2.18	23.2M	2022-02-27
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	23,506.67	22,748.18	-3.23%	19,385.43	-17.53%	0.1594	✓	0.92	19.5M	2022-02-27
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.294	3.1906	-3.14%	3.002	-8.86%	0.0604	✓	0.87	944k	2022-02-27
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	1.639	1.5911	-2.92%	1.377	-15.99%	0.1436	✓	1.30	1.7M	2022-02-27
API3	Api3	Ethereum	3.75	3.645	-2.80%	6.6	+76.00%	0.5939	✗	0.22	720k	2022-02-27
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	50.6	49.2718	-2.62%	72.51	+43.30%	0.3875	✗	1.64	8.8M	2022-02-27
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	4.16	4.0509	-2.62%	3.12	-25.00%	0.2602	✓	1.35	11.6M	2022-02-27
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.01	38.9891	-2.55%	41.51	+3.75%	0.0635	✗	1.21	35.1M	2022-02-27
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.0715	2.9932	-2.55%	2.23	-27.40%	0.2938	✓	0.87	16k	2022-02-27
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.0486	1.0225	-2.49%	0.8569	-18.28%	0.1759	✓	1.13	113.2M	2022-02-27
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.247	0.240953	-2.45%	0.217	-12.15%	0.1041	✓	0.96	67k	2022-02-27
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	27.6	26.9355	-2.41%	29.13	+5.54%	0.0788	✗	0.79	407k	2022-02-27
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	0.8173	0.797768	-2.39%	0.7097	-13.17%	0.1163	✓	1.10	19.5M	2022-02-27
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3094	0.302216	-2.32%	0.1985	-35.84%	0.4193	✓	1.56	4.2M	2022-02-27
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	2.93	2.8656	-2.20%	2.185	-25.43%	0.2703	✓	1.40	25.6M	2022-02-27
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	4.5826	4.4845	-2.14%	3.8286	-16.45%	0.1573	✓	1.22	430k	2022-02-27
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.436	1.4082	-1.94%	1.081	-24.72%	0.2636	✓	1.29	3.6M	2022-02-27
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.04731	0.046408	-1.91%	0.01609	-65.99%	1.0584	✓	1.33	9.2M	2022-02-27
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.4	2.357	-1.79%	2.17	-9.58%	0.0820	✓	1.02	794k	2022-02-27
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	2.7962	2.7463	-1.78%	2.859	+2.25%	0.0409	✗	1.03	1.9M	2022-02-27
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.86446	0.849039	-1.78%	0.66823	-22.70%	0.2383	✓	1.73	643k	2022-02-27
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.038917	0.038232	-1.76%	0.046151	+18.59%	0.1890	✗	1.22	10.1M	2022-02-27
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	2.647	2.6005	-1.76%	3.224	+21.80%	0.2159	✗	1.53	986k	2022-02-27
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.4527	0.4448	-1.75%	0.3419	-24.48%	0.2622	✓	1.38	2.4M	2022-02-27
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.011	2.9586	-1.74%	2.647	-12.09%	0.1108	✓	0.80	407k	2022-02-27
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	12.86	12.6397	-1.71%	14.64	+13.84%	0.1474	✗	0.68	774k	2022-02-27
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	2.29	2.2521	-1.66%	1.97	-13.97%	0.1330	✓	1.19	611k	2022-02-27
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04014	0.039517	-1.55%	0.03926	-2.19%	0.0058	✓	1.13	31k	2022-02-27
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	6.01	5.9191	-1.51%	4.795	-20.22%	0.2099	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-02-27
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	149.11	146.8866	-1.49%	131.61	-11.74%	0.1089	✓	1.36	13.3M	2022-02-27
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	124.2	122.3835	-1.46%	108.08	-12.98%	0.1234	✓	1.28	74k	2022-02-27
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.1798	0.17719	-1.45%	0.1674	-6.90%	0.0559	✓	1.37	3.9M	2022-02-27
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	1.82	1.7939	-1.44%	1.6	-12.09%	0.1135	✓	1.36	2.8M	2022-02-27
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.5223	0.515076	-1.38%	0.4859	-6.97%	0.0574	✓	1.36	2.7M	2022-02-27
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.08808	0.08696	-1.27%	0.08363	-5.05%	0.0383	✓	1.20	46k	2022-02-27
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.014181	0.014006	-1.24%	0.011286	-20.41%	0.2151	✓	1.19	2.7M	2022-02-27
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	77.0062	76.0828	-1.20%	61.5448	-20.08%	0.2113	✓	1.22	437k	2022-02-27
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.5861	6.5075	-1.19%	6.3355	-3.80%	0.0262	✓	0.93	4.3M	2022-02-27
DASH	Dash	Dash	95.64	94.5225	-1.17%	88.3	-7.67%	0.0673	✓	1.18	3.0M	2022-02-27
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	25.85	25.553	-1.15%	23.96	-7.31%	0.0633	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-27
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	0.9591	0.948087	-1.15%	0.7983	-16.77%	0.1712	✓	1.17	37.7M	2022-02-27
XYM	Symbol	native	0.177	0.175087	-1.08%	0.141	-20.34%	0.2161	✓	0.68	573k	2022-02-27
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.4691	3.4322	-1.06%	5.951	+71.54%	0.5504	✗	-0.02	350k	2022-02-27
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.6203	1.6031	-1.06%	1.5293	-5.61%	0.0464	✓	1.12	82k	2022-02-27
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	20.08	19.8907	-0.94%	19.91	-0.85%	0.0020	✓	1.56	814k	2022-02-27
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.8915	0.883345	-0.91%	1.541	+72.85%	0.5575	✗	1.52	107k	2022-02-27
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	5.923	5.869	-0.91%	5.036	-14.98%	0.1524	✓	0.99	320k	2022-02-27
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01255	0.012438	-0.89%	0.01158	-7.73%	0.0709	✓	0.90	20k	2022-02-27
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.491	0.48672	-0.87%	0.416	-15.27%	0.1560	✓	1.53	5.3M	2022-02-27
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.0264	3.0009	-0.84%	3.1219	+3.16%	0.0404	✗	1.36	2.5M	2022-02-27
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	16.16	16.0322	-0.79%	13.65	-15.53%	0.1601	✓	1.22	81.3M	2022-02-27
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	3.923	3.8929	-0.77%	4.06	+3.49%	0.0425	✗	0.78	381k	2022-02-27
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	37,761.00	37,494.66	-0.71%	37,686.70	-0.20%	0.0058	✓	1.01	53k	2022-02-27
BAND	Band	Ethereum	3.46	3.4356	-0.70%	3.452	-0.23%	0.0056	✓	1.24	2.5M	2022-02-27
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.2835	2.2677	-0.69%	2.5576	+12.00%	0.1209	✗	0.95	2.8M	2022-02-27
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	9.05	8.9886	-0.68%	9.35	+3.31%	0.0399	✗	0.75	709k	2022-02-27
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.141603	0.140751	-0.60%	0.123115	-13.06%	0.1332	✓	1.05	7.1M	2022-02-27
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01046	0.010398	-0.59%	0.00965	-7.74%	0.0738	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-27
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.0927	0.092173	-0.57%	0.0773	-16.61%	0.1750	✓	1.47	1.7M	2022-02-27
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.25	2.2388	-0.50%	1.31	-41.78%	0.5349	✓	1.54	2.4M	2022-02-27
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		90.37	89.971	-0.44%	81.71	-9.58%	0.0957	✓	0.94	1.7M	2022-02-27
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	6.04	6.0134	-0.44%	5.65	-6.46%	0.0618	✓	0.85	529k	2022-02-27
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03024	0.030108	-0.44%	0.02689	-11.08%	0.1124	✓	0.93	8.7M	2022-02-27
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0629	0.062643	-0.41%	0.0698	+10.97%	0.1091	✗	1.43	605k	2022-02-27
SC	Siacoin	native	0.0101	0.010059	-0.40%	0.00867	-14.16%	0.1479	✓	1.05	598k	2022-02-27
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.5887	0.586343	-0.40%	0.4426	-24.82%	0.2802	✓	1.53	1.4M	2022-02-27
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1183	0.117898	-0.34%	0.115	-2.79%	0.0240	✓	1.31	3.8M	2022-02-27
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	25.23	25.1478	-0.33%	27.37	+8.48%	0.0854	✗	1.08	3.4M	2022-02-27
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.07192	0.071687	-0.32%	0.06333	-11.94%	0.1234	✓	0.78	67k	2022-02-27
KCS	KuCoin	native	16.846	16.7927	-0.32%	19.035	+12.99%	0.1263	✗	1.51	10.9M	2022-02-27
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.181	2.1745	-0.30%	2.379	+9.08%	0.0906	✗	1.08	23k	2022-02-27
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.020623	0.020568	-0.27%	0.01839	-10.83%	0.1112	✓	1.12	3.2M	2022-02-27
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002134	0.000021288	-0.24%	0.00002342	+9.75%	0.0964	✗	1.41	1.7M	2022-02-27
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	1.65	1.646	-0.24%	1.384	-16.12%	0.1725	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-27
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.438	1.4354	-0.18%	1.43	-0.56%	0.0030	✓	1.18	1.6M	2022-02-27
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.544057	0.543078	-0.18%	0.521555	-4.14%	0.0396	✓	1.22	3.7M	2022-02-27
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		7.091	7.0835	-0.11%	5.854	-17.44%	0.1905	✓	0.25	38k	2022-02-27
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	7.1	7.0925	-0.11%	5.93	-16.48%	0.1788	✓	0.29	1.9M	2022-02-27
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	109.49	109.4063	-0.08%	103.05	-5.88%	0.0590	✓	1.34	33.8M	2022-02-27
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2434	0.243272	-0.05%	0.2326	-4.44%	0.0440	✓	1.24	1.9M	2022-02-27
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	5.91	5.9088	-0.02%	4.21	-28.76%	0.3383	✓	0.96	953k	2022-02-27
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	67.06	67.0854	+0.04%	75.09	+11.97%	0.1136	✓	1.32	87.3M	2022-02-27
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	1.97	1.9717	+0.09%	1.197	-39.24%	0.4981	✗	1.47	4.2M	2022-02-27
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.4141	0.414495	+0.10%	0.3363	-18.79%	0.2082	✗	1.28	10.2M	2022-02-27
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.1165	3.1196	+0.10%	2.8883	-7.32%	0.0763	✗	1.10	3.4M	2022-02-27
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	296.79	297.1753	+0.13%	304.19	+2.49%	0.0240	✓	1.04	7.8M	2022-02-27
XMR	Monero	Monero	149.15	149.391	+0.16%	150.62	+0.99%	0.0089	✓	1.01	2.2M	2022-02-27
HIVE	Hive	native	0.931	0.932527	+0.16%	0.8849	-4.95%	0.0514	✗	1.52	2.6M	2022-02-27
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.3494	2.3542	+0.20%	1.7425	-25.83%	0.3001	✗	1.24	884k	2022-02-27
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0647	0.064869	+0.26%	0.0644	-0.46%	0.0065	✗	1.12	21k	2022-02-27
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.0812	0.081418	+0.27%	0.0675	-16.87%	0.1867	✗	1.24	338k	2022-02-27
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.00547	0.005485	+0.27%	0.00404	-26.14%	0.3043	✗	2.27	21.3M	2022-02-27
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	91.3	91.5526	+0.28%	102.66	+12.44%	0.1154	✓	1.32	7.0M	2022-02-27
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	0.9906	0.993442	+0.29%	0.7266	-26.65%	0.3115	✗	1.97	1.1M	2022-02-27
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.05152	0.051713	+0.37%	0.04436	-13.90%	0.1524	✗	1.43	1.7M	2022-02-27
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.198646	0.199414	+0.39%	0.181008	-8.88%	0.0962	✗	1.03	26.2M	2022-02-27
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	18.34	18.4121	+0.39%	17.5	-4.58%	0.0499	✗	1.38	51.5M	2022-02-27
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	5.14	5.1618	+0.42%	4.64	-9.73%	0.1061	✗	0.73	437k	2022-02-27
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.057631	0.057911	+0.49%	0.058112	+0.83%	0.0041	✓	0.94	478k	2022-02-27
XVG	Verge	native	0.00986	0.009909	+0.50%	0.00923	-6.39%	0.0701	✗	1.33	1.6M	2022-02-27
XEM	NEM	native	0.0999	0.100419	+0.52%	0.1	+0.10%	0.0035	✓	1.05	43k	2022-02-27
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	2.82	2.8347	+0.52%	1.412	-49.93%	0.6959	✗	1.54	2.2M	2022-02-27
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	19.63	19.7426	+0.57%	20.38	+3.82%	0.0326	✓	1.18	13.3M	2022-02-27
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	37,741.90	37,966.64	+0.60%	37,717.08	-0.07%	0.0059	✓	1.00	734.4M	2022-02-27
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	169	170.0247	+0.61%	117.66	-30.38%	0.3674	✗	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-27
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	14.23	14.3173	+0.61%	12	-15.67%	0.1759	✗	0.99	886k	2022-02-27
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	5.7966	5.8325	+0.62%	5.8667	+1.21%	0.0068	✓	1.43	224k	2022-02-27
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1177	0.118469	+0.65%	0.1447	+22.94%	0.2006	✓	0.95	337k	2022-02-27
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	2,546.84	2,566.33	+0.77%	2,618.01	+2.79%	0.0207	✓	1.11	569.1M	2022-02-27
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	47.09	47.4966	+0.86%	47.98	+1.89%	0.0109	✓	1.16	7.5M	2022-02-27
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	0.899	0.906767	+0.86%	0.812	-9.68%	0.1095	✗	1.37	2.4M	2022-02-27
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	5.81	5.8608	+0.87%	6.32	+8.78%	0.0760	✓	0.78	481k	2022-02-27
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.0442	1.0535	+0.89%	1.1719	+12.23%	0.1074	✓	1.29	2.4M	2022-02-27
XEC	eCash	native	0.00007277	0.000073462	+0.95%	0.00007235	-0.58%	0.0145	✗	1.11	5.8M	2022-02-27
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	5.11	5.1653	+1.08%	4.3	-15.85%	0.1827	✗	0.98	1.0M	2022-02-27
SOL	Solana	Solana	91.35	92.3725	+1.12%	85.7	-6.19%	0.0742	✗	1.18	164.2M	2022-02-27
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	0.85	0.859568	+1.13%	1.179	+38.71%	0.3170	✓	1.52	528k	2022-02-27
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	8.42	8.5339	+1.35%	8.4	-0.24%	0.0149	✗	1.32	2.8M	2022-02-27
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.328	0.33271	+1.44%	0.28	-14.63%	0.1716	✗	1.39	1.7M	2022-02-27
ZEN	Horizen	Base	38.97	39.576	+1.56%	32.64	-16.24%	0.1916	✗	1.58	626k	2022-02-27
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.1266	1.1446	+1.60%	0.9359	-16.93%	0.2007	✗	0.99	385k	2022-02-27
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	97.25	98.9495	+1.75%	105.8	+8.79%	0.0676	✓	1.04	7.5M	2022-02-27
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.64	0.651915	+1.86%	0.67	+4.69%	0.0286	✓	1.86	1.2M	2022-02-27
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	17.9	18.3028	+2.25%	13.22	-26.15%	0.3241	✗	1.82	3.9M	2022-02-27
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.736	0.753293	+2.35%	0.648	-11.96%	0.1498	✗	1.11	1.9M	2022-02-27
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	10.67	10.924	+2.38%	9.77	-8.43%	0.1108	✗	1.33	12.5M	2022-02-27
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.131	6.2853	+2.52%	4.682	-23.63%	0.2939	✗	0.84	133k	2022-02-27
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	6.49	6.678	+2.90%	6.06	-6.63%	0.0970	✗	0.22	1.2M	2022-02-27

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.