2022-01-20 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 140 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2259

140 of 140 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.93%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

82.9%

in alpha space · 83.6% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.40%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (140 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.757	0.645559	-14.72%	0.419	-44.65%	0.4069	✓	1.80	46.2M	2022-02-19
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.07094	0.064432	-9.17%	0.02609	-63.22%	0.8900	✓	1.00	682k	2022-02-19
GLMR	Moonbeam	Base	9.77	8.9501	-8.39%	3.675	-62.38%	0.8760	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-19
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	38.97	36.331	-6.77%	26.69	-31.51%	0.2949	✓	0.96	104.1M	2022-02-19
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.18914	0.178041	-5.87%	0.15998	-15.42%	0.0847	✓	1.58	6,611	2022-02-19
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.5776	0.547212	-5.26%	0.5485	-5.04%	0.0218	✓	1.38	1.7M	2022-02-19
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	2.79	2.645	-5.20%	1.58	-43.37%	0.4970	✓	1.30	2.7M	2022-02-19
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	30.25	28.6939	-5.14%	25.4	-16.03%	0.0982	✓	1.68	2.7M	2022-02-19
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	5.81	5.5206	-4.98%	3.87	-33.39%	0.3369	✓	1.30	17.0M	2022-02-19
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.5606	0.535005	-4.57%	0.4201	-25.06%	0.2222	✓	1.39	2.6M	2022-02-19
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.2825	0.269655	-4.55%	0.273	-3.36%	0.0270	✓	1.04	397k	2022-02-19
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5815	1.5115	-4.42%	1.9802	+25.21%	0.2819	✗	0.84	1.3M	2022-02-19
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0529	0.05057	-4.41%	0.0593	+12.10%	0.1733	✗	1.00	23.9M	2022-02-19
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	31,414.30	30,046.72	-4.35%	21,669.76	-31.02%	0.3171	✓	0.69	21.5M	2022-02-19
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.06785	0.064926	-4.31%	0.02516	-62.92%	0.9302	✓	1.26	12.0M	2022-02-19
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.35	3.206	-4.30%	2.42	-27.76%	0.2659	✓	1.09	752k	2022-02-19
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	0.8682	0.831242	-4.26%	0.5475	-36.94%	0.3977	✓	1.41	1.4M	2022-02-19
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.682	0.654402	-4.05%	0.489	-28.30%	0.2701	✓	1.51	8.0M	2022-02-19
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	5.2113	5.0058	-3.94%	4.2985	-17.51%	0.1350	✓	1.23	443k	2022-02-19
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	119.9355	115.2642	-3.89%	84.5568	-29.50%	0.2934	✓	1.16	489k	2022-02-19
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0839	1.0418	-3.88%	1.8854	+73.95%	0.6074	✗	1.01	108k	2022-02-19
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	77.41	74.4231	-3.86%	50.46	-34.81%	0.3621	✓	1.88	7.7M	2022-02-19
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.98	24.0281	-3.81%	20	-19.94%	0.1632	✓	1.44	34.3M	2022-02-19
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.050637	0.048761	-3.70%	0.059376	+17.26%	0.2139	✗	1.20	8.4M	2022-02-19
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01207	0.011631	-3.63%	0.0051	-57.75%	0.7909	✓	2.38	23.2M	2022-02-19
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.111	2.0351	-3.59%	1.664	-21.17%	0.1852	✓	1.15	1.9M	2022-02-19
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.19	4.0438	-3.49%	7.47	+78.28%	0.6276	✗	0.99	471k	2022-02-19
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2589	1.2158	-3.42%	0.9969	-20.81%	0.1824	✓	1.14	100.6M	2022-02-19
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.06	2.9555	-3.42%	1.57	-48.69%	0.6143	✓	1.30	7.8M	2022-02-19
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2346	0.226861	-3.30%	0.198	-15.60%	0.1169	✓	1.36	4.0M	2022-02-19
METRONOME	METRONOME		3.8114	3.6872	-3.26%	2.3136	-39.30%	0.4554	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-02-19
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	1.8707	1.8098	-3.26%	1.6691	-10.78%	0.0648	✓	1.14	89k	2022-02-19
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	3.97	3.8418	-3.23%	2.81	-29.22%	0.2921	✓	1.46	32.4M	2022-02-19
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	198.37	191.9717	-3.23%	146.18	-26.31%	0.2554	✓	1.22	17.6M	2022-02-19
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3693	0.357417	-3.22%	0.247	-33.12%	0.3483	✓	1.51	4.3M	2022-02-19
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.0173	0.985019	-3.17%	0.827	-18.71%	0.1606	✓	1.01	22.7M	2022-02-19
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1141	0.11048	-3.17%	0.0963	-15.60%	0.1192	✓	1.29	2.0M	2022-02-19
BAND	Band	Ethereum	4.68	4.5354	-3.09%	4.93	+5.34%	0.0993	✗	1.13	2.3M	2022-02-19
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	45.17	43.7963	-3.04%	42.78	-5.29%	0.0077	✓	1.12	24.7M	2022-02-19
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.6442	0.624726	-3.02%	0.5576	-13.44%	0.0953	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-02-19
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.583	3.4755	-3.00%	2.973	-17.02%	0.1461	✓	0.71	523k	2022-02-19
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1598	3.0701	-2.84%	3.0659	-2.97%	0.0150	✓	1.17	2.1M	2022-02-19
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	20.18	19.6105	-2.82%	15.52	-23.09%	0.2167	✓	1.22	73.6M	2022-02-19
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	4.78	4.6465	-2.79%	4.37	-8.58%	0.0443	✓	1.21	3.2M	2022-02-19
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	3.861	3.7538	-2.78%	3.281	-15.02%	0.1233	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-02-19
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	162.17	157.7159	-2.75%	121.25	-25.23%	0.2462	✓	1.19	95k	2022-02-19
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.481	7.2767	-2.73%	6.265	-16.25%	0.1316	✓	1.29	301k	2022-02-19
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	7.75	7.5389	-2.72%	5.69	-26.58%	0.2676	✓	0.98	3.9M	2022-02-19
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.1614	1.1299	-2.72%	0.9001	-22.50%	0.2102	✓	1.22	30.5M	2022-02-19
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	3.715	3.6147	-2.70%	3.6074	-2.90%	0.0176	✓	1.39	3.1M	2022-02-19
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	9.52	9.2637	-2.69%	6.99	-26.58%	0.2791	✓	0.18	3.1M	2022-02-19
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.9838	3.8815	-2.57%	3.0416	-23.65%	0.2272	✓	1.18	3.9M	2022-02-19
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	6.89	6.7238	-2.41%	5.31	-22.93%	0.2236	✓	0.89	1.0M	2022-02-19
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	2.8	2.7332	-2.38%	2.38	-15.00%	0.1243	✓	1.00	855k	2022-02-19
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.428	0.417835	-2.38%	0.325	-24.07%	0.2324	✓	1.34	1.8M	2022-02-19
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.04537	0.044302	-2.35%	0.04064	-10.43%	0.0708	✓	1.10	24k	2022-02-19
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		104.32	101.8645	-2.35%	87.64	-15.99%	0.1368	✓	0.96	1.8M	2022-02-19
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	118.84	116.0742	-2.33%	112.33	-5.48%	0.0141	✓	1.33	8.4M	2022-02-19
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	14.59	14.2511	-2.32%	15.11	+3.56%	0.0681	✗	0.68	813k	2022-02-19
HIVE	Hive	native	1.0699	1.0456	-2.27%	0.9635	-9.94%	0.0616	✓	1.43	3.7M	2022-02-19
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7088	3.6247	-2.27%	5.7961	+56.28%	0.4687	✗	-0.05	371k	2022-02-19
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.2832	0.276783	-2.27%	0.2512	-11.30%	0.0788	✓	1.29	1.9M	2022-02-19
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.095	3.0253	-2.25%	2.586	-16.45%	0.1326	✓	1.73	1.1M	2022-02-19
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.328	0.320633	-2.25%	0.254	-22.56%	0.2217	✓	0.80	51k	2022-02-19
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0736	0.071956	-2.23%	0.0806	+9.51%	0.1334	✗	1.42	826k	2022-02-19
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0452	0.044213	-2.18%	0.03	-33.63%	0.3684	✓	1.38	1.2M	2022-02-19
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	7.057	6.9032	-2.18%	6.787	-3.83%	0.0034	✓	1.45	251k	2022-02-19
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	7.4	7.2395	-2.17%	6.41	-13.38%	0.1109	✓	0.77	638k	2022-02-19
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01217	0.011907	-2.16%	0.00967	-20.54%	0.1938	✓	1.02	641k	2022-02-19
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.655547	0.641564	-2.13%	0.594043	-9.38%	0.0606	✓	1.16	2.3M	2022-02-19
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	18.34	17.9495	-2.13%	14.06	-23.34%	0.2300	✓	1.01	807k	2022-02-19
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	24.39	23.8728	-2.12%	20.48	-16.03%	0.1313	✓	1.56	1.0M	2022-02-19
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	7.96	7.7928	-2.10%	5.08	-36.18%	0.4174	✓	0.74	1.0M	2022-02-19
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.11	1.0868	-2.09%	0.99	-10.81%	0.0697	✓	1.68	556k	2022-02-19
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.026039	0.025496	-2.08%	0.020617	-20.82%	0.1977	✓	1.04	3.9M	2022-02-19
DASH	Dash	Dash	121.15	118.7775	-1.96%	102.42	-15.46%	0.1312	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-02-19
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		9.432	9.2474	-1.96%	6.873	-27.13%	0.2951	✓	0.12	38k	2022-02-19
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1666	0.163348	-1.95%	0.1444	-13.33%	0.1104	✓	0.91	362k	2022-02-19
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.731	4.6404	-1.91%	4.472	-5.47%	0.0274	✓	0.68	445k	2022-02-19
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.09	9.8977	-1.91%	9.9	-1.88%	0.0108	✓	0.75	800k	2022-02-19
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.35	2.306	-1.87%	1.82	-22.55%	0.2179	✓	1.33	3.1M	2022-02-19
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01227	0.012041	-1.87%	0.01191	-2.93%	0.0077	✓	1.32	2.1M	2022-02-19
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.6385	2.5915	-1.78%	2.8917	+9.60%	0.1243	✗	1.05	4.3M	2022-02-19
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01551	0.015236	-1.77%	0.01266	-18.38%	0.1737	✓	0.82	21k	2022-02-19
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	239.61	235.4313	-1.74%	151.15	-36.92%	0.4262	✓	1.20	1.3M	2022-02-19
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	0.90658	0.891067	-1.71%	0.75237	-17.01%	0.1438	✓	1.80	866k	2022-02-19
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.0322	6.9166	-1.64%	6.6548	-5.37%	0.0264	✓	0.86	4.3M	2022-02-19
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.08157	0.08023	-1.64%	0.07126	-12.64%	0.1081	✓	0.74	56k	2022-02-19
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1484	0.146027	-1.60%	0.1472	-0.81%	0.0258	✗	1.27	4.2M	2022-02-19
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	79.35	78.0821	-1.60%	85.07	+7.21%	0.1029	✗	1.22	87.3M	2022-02-19
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1002	0.098654	-1.54%	0.0784	-21.76%	0.2140	✓	1.12	244k	2022-02-19
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.539	2.4999	-1.54%	2.168	-14.61%	0.1283	✓	1.01	24k	2022-02-19
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.272	1.2534	-1.46%	1.132	-11.01%	0.0824	✓	1.39	4.0M	2022-02-19
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	69.09	68.1193	-1.40%	54.84	-20.63%	0.2012	✓	1.11	6.3M	2022-02-19
SOL	Solana	Solana	127.52	125.7669	-1.37%	91.34	-28.37%	0.3035	✓	1.16	142.2M	2022-02-19
XVG	Verge	native	0.01234	0.012173	-1.35%	0.01032	-16.37%	0.1475	✓	1.26	1.8M	2022-02-19
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.36	3.3156	-1.32%	1.98	-41.07%	0.4949	✓	1.47	2.2M	2022-02-19
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.0964	0.095134	-1.31%	0.08925	-7.42%	0.0475	✓	1.16	34k	2022-02-19
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.03	2.0035	-1.31%	1.58	-22.17%	0.2223	✓	1.07	2.7M	2022-02-19
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	129.8	128.1285	-1.29%	115.59	-10.95%	0.0839	✓	1.36	30.5M	2022-02-19
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.018378	0.018143	-1.28%	0.015145	-17.59%	0.1634	✓	1.22	2.7M	2022-02-19
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.143	1.1293	-1.20%	0.861	-24.67%	0.2517	✓	1.39	2.3M	2022-02-19
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00002648	0.000026181	-1.13%	0.0000275	+3.85%	0.0682	✗	1.35	1.7M	2022-02-19
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.14	6.0721	-1.11%	5.28	-14.01%	0.1304	✓	0.67	505k	2022-02-19
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5001	0.494664	-1.09%	0.4172	-16.58%	0.1518	✓	1.31	10.8M	2022-02-19
KCS	KuCoin	native	19.429	19.2223	-1.06%	19.839	+2.11%	0.0545	✗	1.62	10.7M	2022-02-19
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.679	1.6616	-1.04%	1.491	-11.20%	0.0918	✓	1.17	1.8M	2022-02-19
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	25.43	25.1667	-1.04%	30.94	+21.67%	0.2167	✗	0.72	342k	2022-02-19
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	0.89	0.881326	-0.97%	0.85	-4.49%	0.0092	✓	1.91	1.3M	2022-02-19
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	357.74	354.3089	-0.96%	312.05	-12.77%	0.1126	✓	1.03	6.6M	2022-02-19
ZEN	Horizen	Base	47.6	47.2012	-0.84%	38.13	-19.89%	0.1921	✓	1.51	620k	2022-02-19
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	41,418.10	41,083.02	-0.81%	39,901.00	-3.66%	0.0153	✓	0.98	16k	2022-02-19
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	23	22.8172	-0.79%	17.86	-22.35%	0.2256	✓	1.37	58.5M	2022-02-19
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	7.97	7.9078	-0.78%	7.27	-8.78%	0.0840	✓	0.01	1.2M	2022-02-19
XEM	NEM	native	0.1095	0.108727	-0.71%	0.1018	-7.03%	0.0508	✓	1.07	41k	2022-02-19
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.03533	0.035115	-0.61%	0.02878	-18.54%	0.1859	✓	0.93	8.3M	2022-02-19
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	29.37	29.2001	-0.58%	28.7	-2.28%	0.0020	✓	1.09	3.3M	2022-02-19
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,000.94	2,984.41	-0.55%	2,764.44	-7.88%	0.0614	✓	1.08	485.8M	2022-02-19
XMR	Monero	Monero	188.73	187.759	-0.51%	161.12	-14.63%	0.1389	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-02-19
NANO	nanopay	Base	2.8203	2.8069	-0.48%	2.071	-26.57%	0.2878	✓	1.16	665k	2022-02-19
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	26.19	26.0696	-0.46%	20.82	-20.50%	0.2092	✓	1.11	14.5M	2022-02-19
XEC	eCash	native	0.00009053	0.000090121	-0.45%	0.00007811	-13.72%	0.1286	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-02-19
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	0.939	0.935672	-0.35%	0.749	-20.23%	0.2086	✓	0.99	2.0M	2022-02-19
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.155509	0.15498	-0.34%	0.141002	-9.33%	0.0789	✓	1.11	6.5M	2022-02-19
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	7.38	7.3579	-0.30%	5.92	-19.78%	0.2084	✓	0.64	652k	2022-02-19
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	132.32	131.9288	-0.30%	110.71	-16.33%	0.1620	✓	0.94	6.7M	2022-02-19
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	11.36	11.333	-0.24%	9.99	-12.06%	0.1097	✓	1.17	2.9M	2022-02-19
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.231498	0.231027	-0.20%	0.204174	-11.80%	0.1088	✓	1.05	24.4M	2022-02-19
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.067694	0.067658	-0.05%	0.063482	-6.22%	0.0503	✓	0.95	486k	2022-02-19
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.06885	0.068846	-0.01%	0.05154	-25.14%	0.2702	✓	1.37	2.1M	2022-02-19
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.6721	0.672506	+0.06%	0.4814	-28.37%	0.3191	✗	1.08	2.5M	2022-02-19
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0723	0.072466	+0.23%	0.0679	-6.09%	0.0495	✗	1.11	21k	2022-02-19
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	40,670.97	40,768.80	+0.24%	40,101.94	-1.40%	0.0024	✗	1.00	636.6M	2022-02-19
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	6.92	6.9381	+0.26%	5.766	-16.68%	0.1751	✗	0.71	163k	2022-02-19
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.3945	1.3995	+0.36%	1.0275	-26.32%	0.2963	✗	0.91	402k	2022-02-19
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.1313	1.1376	+0.56%	1.1527	+1.89%	0.0283	✓	1.07	2.4M	2022-02-19
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	14.49	14.5898	+0.69%	10.03	-30.78%	0.3561	✗	1.32	12.4M	2022-02-19
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1782	0.180046	+1.04%	0.1581	-11.28%	0.1203	✗	0.69	573k	2022-02-19
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.0653	1.0827	+1.63%	0.8878	-16.66%	0.1710	✗	1.94	1.2M	2022-02-19
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	21.12	21.538	+1.98%	16.06	-23.96%	0.2672	✗	1.87	4.1M	2022-02-19

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.