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2022-01-18 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1719
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+2.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
83.5%
in alpha space · 89.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.91540.789566-13.75%0.4073-55.51%0.5837✓1.7748.9M2022-02-17
BFCBifrostEthereum0.197790.175095-11.47%0.16982-14.14%0.0389✓1.576,4462022-02-17
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.2734.6061-9.57%28.08-26.63%0.1662✓0.9798.5M2022-02-17
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.08033.7275-8.65%3.4641-15.10%0.0402✓0.752,2572022-02-17
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03520.949454-8.28%1.4805+43.02%0.4922✗1.08108k2022-02-17
GITCOINGITCOIN11.38210.4681-8.03%7.107-37.56%0.3836✓0.0844k2022-02-17
API3Api3Ethereum4.644.3002-7.32%5+7.76%0.1930✗0.95471k2022-02-17
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4731.366-7.26%2.2781+54.66%0.5490✗0.851.1M2022-02-17
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0760240.070505-7.26%0.026932-64.57%0.9181✓1.001.1M2022-02-17
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.60270.559597-7.15%0.5558-7.78%0.0546✓1.391.5M2022-02-17
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.543.2909-7.04%1.69-52.26%0.6097✓1.288.5M2022-02-17
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.4110.6329-6.81%7.1-37.77%0.3973✓0.152.8M2022-02-17
GTGateEthereum7.04646.5808-6.61%6.58-6.62%0.0379✓0.864.1M2022-02-17
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.253.0379-6.53%1.66-48.92%0.5496✓1.242.8M2022-02-17
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.564.2703-6.35%2.91-36.18%0.3216✓1.4032.4M2022-02-17
FTTFTXEthereum44.9742.1948-6.17%43.72-2.78%0.0848✗1.1223.6M2022-02-17
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,596.4130,604.10-6.11%22,441.70-31.15%0.2801✓0.6822.2M2022-02-17
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.94295.5831-6.05%4.3951-26.04%0.1854✓1.22457k2022-02-17
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0932.0588-5.96%25.54-25.08%0.1538✓1.662.7M2022-02-17
MINAMina Protocolnative3.453.2447-5.95%2.56-25.80%0.1890✓1.09811k2022-02-17
LUNATerraTerra 280.4975.7016-5.95%50.27-37.55%0.3262✓1.887.6M2022-02-17
COTICOTIEthereum0.40920.385187-5.87%0.2558-37.49%0.3436✓1.494.1M2022-02-17
CTSICartesiEthereum0.60930.573779-5.83%0.4344-28.71%0.2171✓1.382.7M2022-02-17
CVCCivicEthereum0.31280.294673-5.80%0.2746-12.21%0.0250✓1.03397k2022-02-17
SPELLSpellEthereum0.012740.012046-5.45%0.0054-57.61%0.6952✓2.4223.7M2022-02-17
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3783.1993-5.29%2.668-21.02%0.1052✓1.731.2M2022-02-17
HIVEHivenative1.21491.1538-5.03%1.0138-16.55%0.0675✓1.403.7M2022-02-17
ADACardanoCardano1.45891.3871-4.92%1.0203-30.06%0.2578✓1.1198.5M2022-02-17
CHZChilizEthereum0.2590.246634-4.77%0.2015-22.20%0.1431✓1.334.0M2022-02-17
AAVEAaveEthereum232.45221.3988-4.75%152.99-34.18%0.3168✓1.1917.6M2022-02-17
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.10151.0495-4.72%0.8222-25.36%0.2005✓0.9823.2M2022-02-17
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.3557.0185-4.58%6.1-17.06%0.1094✓0.70170k2022-02-17
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2772.1743-4.51%1.741-23.54%0.1723✓1.132.0M2022-02-17
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.9821.9469-4.50%15.6-32.11%0.2885✓1.2072.8M2022-02-17
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum29.3828.1452-4.20%19.86-32.40%0.2862✓1.4134.3M2022-02-17
SUSHISushiEthereum6.215.9494-4.20%3.95-36.39%0.3523✓1.3017.7M2022-02-17
BANDBandEthereum5.054.8386-4.19%4.44-12.08%0.0369✓1.112.1M2022-02-17
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.22333.0901-4.13%3.3132+2.79%0.1219✗1.182.3M2022-02-17
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.064790.062117-4.13%0.02758-57.43%0.7575✓1.2312.4M2022-02-17
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.034.8254-4.07%4.59-8.75%0.0029✓1.203.2M2022-02-17
LTCLitecoinLitecoin141.53135.809-4.04%116.39-17.76%0.0946✓1.3531.1M2022-02-17
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0520760.049993-4.00%0.051055-1.96%0.0742✗1.209.0M2022-02-17
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016790.01612-3.99%0.01258-25.07%0.2152✓0.7423k2022-02-17
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.06310.06064-3.90%0.0608-3.65%0.0469✗1.0024.6M2022-02-17
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1050.101072-3.74%0.0849-19.14%0.1246✓1.12244k2022-02-17
DASHDashDash130.54125.6706-3.73%104.76-19.75%0.1292✓1.192.8M2022-02-17
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.95930.924266-3.65%0.6239-34.96%0.3311✓1.401.5M2022-02-17
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.301625-3.60%0.2525-19.30%0.1211✓1.282.0M2022-02-17
XMRMoneroMonero204.44197.2304-3.53%163.89-19.83%0.1415✓0.993.1M2022-02-17
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.4990.481506-3.51%0.334-33.07%0.3080✓1.311.8M2022-02-17
IMXImmutableEthereum3.723.5896-3.51%2.13-42.74%0.4579✓1.452.2M2022-02-17
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.31791.2721-3.47%0.8983-31.84%0.2958✓1.1830.5M2022-02-17
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.7414.2357-3.42%15.35+4.14%0.1055✗0.68916k2022-02-17
LSKLiskEthereum2.08162.0109-3.40%1.6695-19.80%0.1368✓1.1189k2022-02-17
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.349.9914-3.37%10.24-0.97%0.0577✗0.75872k2022-02-17
DODODODOEthereum0.7390.714089-3.37%0.493-33.29%0.3047✓1.498.0M2022-02-17
ZENHorizenBase52.3250.5606-3.36%36.74-29.78%0.2533✓1.49642k2022-02-17
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.0283.1332-3.36%88.28+2.63%0.1126✗1.19100.4M2022-02-17
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.2731.2309-3.31%0.894-29.77%0.2593✓1.372.4M2022-02-17
ZECZcashZcash131.97127.609-3.30%113.58-13.93%0.0594✓1.2910.6M2022-02-17
XTZTezosTezos4.11623.9814-3.27%3.6686-10.87%0.0211✓1.373.3M2022-02-17
MASKMask NetworkEthereum8.788.4926-3.27%5.45-37.93%0.4116✓0.72995k2022-02-17
DEXEDeXeEthereum8.798.5024-3.27%7.46-15.13%0.1316✓-0.021.3M2022-02-17
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0271640.026279-3.26%0.020359-25.05%0.2098✓1.035.2M2022-02-17
MANADecentralandEthereum2.8592.767-3.22%3.0801+7.74%0.1527✗1.034.6M2022-02-17
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.68160.659735-3.21%0.542-20.48%0.1398✓1.283.5M2022-02-17
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.86480.837387-3.17%0.5382-37.77%0.3965✓1.032.6M2022-02-17
DYDXdYdXCosmos76.7826-3.11%6.499-7.16%0.0147✓1.30271k2022-02-17
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.980.950144-3.05%0.94-4.08%0.0738✗1.911.5M2022-02-17
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.8427.0013-3.01%21.3-23.49%0.1687✓1.551.0M2022-02-17
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7273.6149-3.01%3.08-17.36%0.1289✓0.71526k2022-02-17
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08080.078391-2.98%0.0825+2.10%0.1128✗1.40990k2022-02-17
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.04990.048423-2.96%0.0309-38.08%0.3887✓1.371.3M2022-02-17
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.11973.9989-2.93%3.227-21.67%0.1587✓1.264.1M2022-02-17
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014250.013834-2.92%0.01178-17.33%0.1027✓1.312.1M2022-02-17
SOLSolanaSolana141.35137.3476-2.83%93.56-33.81%0.3337✓1.14152.8M2022-02-17
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048140.046849-2.68%0.04103-14.77%0.0842✓1.1023k2022-02-17
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3760.365944-2.67%0.268-28.72%0.2771✓0.7847k2022-02-17
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9364.8042-2.67%4.567-7.48%0.0210✓0.67469k2022-02-17
SCSiacoinnative0.01330.012946-2.66%0.00987-25.79%0.2272✓1.00654k2022-02-17
STORJStorjEthereum1.55021.5092-2.65%1.0731-30.78%0.3020✓0.88423k2022-02-17
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3481.313-2.60%1.142-15.28%0.0790✓1.373.8M2022-02-17
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07960.077536-2.59%0.0698-12.31%0.0568✓1.0921k2022-02-17
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.797.5912-2.55%6.03-22.59%0.2022✓0.63680k2022-02-17
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.8671.9791-2.55%56.37-23.68%0.1967✓1.086.4M2022-02-17
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.022.9442-2.51%2.47-18.21%0.1319✓0.99891k2022-02-17
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.6142-2.51%6.42-17.80%0.1368✓0.77652k2022-02-17
UMAUMAEthereum7.947.7423-2.49%6.03-24.06%0.2071✓0.973.9M2022-02-17
MOVRMoonriverBase126.385123.2542-2.48%85.9444-32.00%0.3108✓1.13489k2022-02-17
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17490.170591-2.46%0.1536-12.18%0.0645✓0.91397k2022-02-17
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7200570.70302-2.37%0.62107-13.75%0.0732✓1.152.4M2022-02-17
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1174.0206-2.34%3.268-20.62%0.1722✓0.791.1M2022-02-17
LCXLCXEthereum0.12930.126391-2.25%0.0969-25.06%0.2089✓1.282.1M2022-02-17
CBKCobakEthereum2.6912.6311-2.23%2.231-17.09%0.1249✓0.9125k2022-02-17
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.6431.9176-2.21%29.43-9.83%0.0337✓1.073.0M2022-02-17
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.53090.519333-2.18%0.4369-17.71%0.1149✓1.3111.7M2022-02-17
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.67093.592-2.15%5.5502+51.19%0.4323✗-0.06361k2022-02-17
XECeCashnative0.000095650.0000936-2.14%0.00007849-17.94%0.1312✓1.016.5M2022-02-17
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.00430.982842-2.13%0.76017-24.31%0.1780✓1.78896k2022-02-17
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.088430.086567-2.11%0.07416-16.14%0.1224✓0.7350k2022-02-17
QTUMQtumQtum7.83077.6666-2.10%7.015-10.42%0.0252✓1.44263k2022-02-17
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.2626.6941-2.08%26.61-2.38%0.0282✗0.71353k2022-02-17
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV108.41106.2192-2.02%87.71-19.09%0.1492✓0.961.9M2022-02-17
RADRadworksEthereum7.447.2902-2.01%5.54-25.54%0.2357✓0.881.1M2022-02-17
AMPAmpEthereum0.038870.038102-1.98%0.02995-22.95%0.2005✓0.918.4M2022-02-17
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum42,495.4041,690.52-1.89%40,651.20-4.34%0.0185✓0.9914k2022-02-17
UOSUltraEthereum1.2361.2131-1.86%1.2511+1.22%0.0775✗1.062.6M2022-02-17
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.436.3128-1.82%5.36-16.64%0.1344✓0.66564k2022-02-17
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.552.5038-1.81%1.9-25.49%0.2175✓1.323.2M2022-02-17
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1524.7373-1.64%18.16-27.79%0.2493✓1.3560.5M2022-02-17
DKAdKargoEthereum0.105410.103707-1.62%0.0902-14.43%0.0892✓1.1430k2022-02-17
ETHEthereumEthereum3,160.813,110.48-1.59%2,893.56-8.46%0.0248✓1.07496.9M2022-02-17
SKLSKALEEthereum0.15410.151699-1.56%0.1568+1.75%0.0890✗1.264.2M2022-02-17
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.281.2603-1.54%1.07-16.41%0.0901✓1.66556k2022-02-17
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.192.1574-1.49%1.65-24.66%0.2208✓1.072.7M2022-02-17
KCSKuCoinnative20.37120.0845-1.41%19.71-3.24%0.0523✗1.6110.7M2022-02-17
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0080.993919-1.40%0.742-26.39%0.2492✓0.972.2M2022-02-17
XEMNEMnative0.11420.112685-1.33%0.1047-8.32%0.0267✓1.0643k2022-02-17
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.075140.074154-1.31%0.05215-30.60%0.2890✓1.432.3M2022-02-17
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash381.47376.6734-1.26%313.15-17.91%0.1398✓1.027.0M2022-02-17
AUCTIONBounceEthereum19.5619.3489-1.08%14.58-25.46%0.2361✓1.06841k2022-02-17
XVGVergenative0.013220.013083-1.03%0.0107-19.06%0.1461✓1.242.0M2022-02-17
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028110.000027842-0.96%0.00002821+0.36%0.0730✗1.351.8M2022-02-17
KSMKusamaHydration253.4251.128-0.90%155.14-38.78%0.4290✓1.191.4M2022-02-17
BTCBitcoinBitcoin42,369.7441,993.42-0.89%40,536.73-4.33%0.0089✗1.00636.6M2022-02-17
XYMSymbolnative0.18640.184771-0.87%0.1642-11.91%0.0881✓0.68577k2022-02-17
XLMStellarStellar0.2539950.252037-0.77%0.202261-20.37%0.1743✓1.0324.4M2022-02-17
COMPCompoundEthereum178.35177.0141-0.75%123.7-30.64%0.3066✓1.17100k2022-02-17
XVSVenusEthereum13.0412.9462-0.72%11.44-12.27%0.0732✓1.142.7M2022-02-17
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1651550.164186-0.59%0.138407-16.20%0.1223✓1.106.0M2022-02-17
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.7941.7838-0.57%1.541-14.10%0.0952✓1.162.0M2022-02-17
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum23.423.2741-0.54%15.78-32.56%0.3061✓1.863.9M2022-02-17
SUNSun TokenTron0.0194690.019405-0.33%0.015816-18.76%0.1503✓1.232.7M2022-02-17
TRXTRONTron0.0684190.068241-0.26%0.062402-8.79%0.0474✓0.95494k2022-02-17
QNTQuantEthereum146.04145.74-0.21%119.39-18.25%0.1583✓0.936.7M2022-02-17
NANOnanopayBase2.92482.9227-0.07%2.1008-28.17%0.2797✓1.14665k2022-02-17
FILFilecoinFilecoin28.4828.5271+0.17%20.54-27.88%0.2803✗1.0915.1M2022-02-17
UNIUniswapEthereum15.9816.0426+0.39%10.41-34.86%0.3745✗1.3112.4M2022-02-17
LRCLoopringEthereum1.16121.1707+0.81%0.883-23.96%0.1972✗1.921.3M2022-02-17
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.