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2022-01-16 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1977
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+18.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
92.8%
in alpha space · 87.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+3.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin30.3930.5209+0.43%22.33-26.52%0.3488✗1.0815.1M2022-02-15
LRCLoopringEthereum1.36431.363-0.09%0.9859-27.74%0.3873✓1.881.3M2022-02-15
TRXTRONTron0.0698980.069675-0.32%0.066837-4.38%0.0735✓0.95525k2022-02-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0210660.02093-0.65%0.017306-17.85%0.2322✓1.252.6M2022-02-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.911.8974-0.66%1.767-7.49%0.1097✓1.142.0M2022-02-15
NANOnanopayBase3.12013.0962-0.76%2.3357-25.14%0.3197✓1.12699k2022-02-15
XLMStellarStellar0.2591240.256866-0.87%0.221086-14.68%0.1847✓1.0324.2M2022-02-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,104.3442,654.17-1.04%44,583.52+3.43%0.0105✓1.00636.6M2022-02-15
COMPCompoundEthereum192.07190.0365-1.06%136.04-29.17%0.3725✓1.13142k2022-02-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1767160.174632-1.18%0.151784-14.11%0.1769✓1.095.4M2022-02-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.7220.4402-1.35%16.17-21.96%0.2595✓0.75841k2022-02-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash388.33383.0766-1.35%343.69-11.50%0.1421✓1.006.6M2022-02-15
XVSVenusEthereum14.0513.8598-1.35%9.87-29.75%0.3778✓1.132.9M2022-02-15
QNTQuantEthereum167.7165.4202-1.36%132.67-20.89%0.2514✓0.916.4M2022-02-15
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8317.5863-1.37%11.48-35.61%0.4698✓1.2812.6M2022-02-15
XYMSymbolnative0.19510.191959-1.61%0.1761-9.74%0.1093✓0.68489k2022-02-15
XVGVergenative0.013960.013729-1.66%0.01191-14.68%0.1836✓1.232.0M2022-02-15
XEMNEMnative0.11980.117714-1.74%0.1143-4.59%0.0638✓1.0253k2022-02-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0561.0371-1.79%0.826-21.78%0.2597✓0.952.2M2022-02-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030530.000029964-1.85%0.00003122+2.26%0.0045✓1.351.8M2022-02-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2731.6693-1.86%33.49+3.78%0.0214✗1.022.9M2022-02-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.110250.108191-1.87%0.09827-10.87%0.1339✓1.1225k2022-02-15
KSMKusamaHydration277.6272.3218-1.90%176.23-36.52%0.4741✓1.151.4M2022-02-15
KCSKuCoinnative21.15620.7493-1.92%20.577-2.74%0.0621✓1.5910.6M2022-02-15
QTUMQtumQtum8.03717.8819-1.93%7.5634-5.89%0.0876✓1.37263k2022-02-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,225.3042,346.07-2.03%44,051.40+1.91%0.0064✓0.9814k2022-02-15
ETHEthereumEthereum3,349.463,278.38-2.12%3,186.24-4.87%0.0639✓1.05481.6M2022-02-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.16840.164782-2.15%0.1628-3.33%0.0535✓1.234.2M2022-02-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV112.64110.1848-2.18%97.61-13.34%0.1529✓0.942.1M2022-02-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.082840.081028-2.19%0.05586-32.57%0.4199✓1.422.4M2022-02-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3493-2.22%1.21-12.32%0.1644✓1.64538k2022-02-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.5297-2.25%5.72-14.37%0.1546✓0.66524k2022-02-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.3847-2.27%1.8-26.23%0.3158✓1.022.7M2022-02-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.6527.0165-2.29%18.44-33.31%0.4443✓1.853.9M2022-02-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.72.6381-2.29%2.16-20.00%0.2440✓1.313.1M2022-02-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1614.0623-2.37%3.581-13.94%0.1526✓0.781.1M2022-02-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.6827.0192-2.39%20.19-27.06%0.3358✓1.3260.5M2022-02-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.359193-2.39%0.296-19.57%0.2189✓0.7544k2022-02-15
RADRadworksEthereum8.28.0024-2.41%5.66-30.98%0.3761✓0.881.1M2022-02-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4327.7427-2.42%29.09+2.32%0.0244✓0.68353k2022-02-15
CBKCobakEthereum2.8492.7793-2.45%2.475-13.13%0.1461✓0.8925k2022-02-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.9284.8054-2.49%4.772-3.17%0.0293✓0.66453k2022-02-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.78533.6892-2.54%5.9474+57.12%0.4798✗-0.07371k2022-02-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.18040.17574-2.58%0.1666-7.65%0.0835✓0.89410k2022-02-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092680.090252-2.62%0.08132-12.26%0.1287✓0.7346k2022-02-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.041140.040056-2.63%0.03092-24.84%0.2889✓0.898.4M2022-02-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.58920.573597-2.65%0.4932-16.29%0.1918✓1.2112.2M2022-02-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7664990.74595-2.68%0.642394-16.19%0.1865✓1.102.4M2022-02-15
XECeCashnative0.00010310.000100298-2.72%0.00008792-14.72%0.1657✓1.016.4M2022-02-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.13830.134541-2.72%0.1078-22.05%0.2649✓1.282.4M2022-02-15
UOSUltraEthereum1.311.2742-2.73%1.3318+1.66%0.0091✓1.042.8M2022-02-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05581.0267-2.75%0.86024-18.52%0.2357✓1.74896k2022-02-15
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.1591-2.75%6.39-23.84%0.2773✓0.974.1M2022-02-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.977.749-2.77%6.62-16.94%0.1785✓0.62680k2022-02-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08050.07817-2.89%0.0747-7.20%0.0816✓1.0719k2022-02-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum80.2977.8654-3.02%63.31-21.15%0.2433✓1.086.3M2022-02-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.067.8153-3.04%6.91-14.27%0.1480✓0.74682k2022-02-15
SOLSolanaSolana147.98143.3833-3.11%105.61-28.63%0.3407✓1.04152.8M2022-02-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.23.1002-3.12%2.73-14.69%0.1597✓0.96918k2022-02-15
SCSiacoinnative0.014130.013672-3.24%0.01107-21.66%0.2443✓0.98641k2022-02-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.7622-3.28%3.286-15.53%0.1592✓0.71526k2022-02-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015060.014555-3.35%0.0136-9.69%0.1113✓1.292.2M2022-02-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.32164.1756-3.38%3.711-14.13%0.1606✓1.264.0M2022-02-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08570.082792-3.39%0.0929+8.40%0.0678✗1.40990k2022-02-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.4891.4382-3.41%1.33-10.68%0.1238✓1.354.1M2022-02-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.052060.050254-3.47%0.04542-12.75%0.1364✓1.0519k2022-02-15
STORJStorjEthereum1.6631.6053-3.47%1.2264-26.26%0.2990✓0.88462k2022-02-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.7140.689123-3.48%0.5812-18.60%0.2129✓1.263.5M2022-02-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.8729.7799-3.53%23.7-23.23%0.2784✓1.481.0M2022-02-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.1355-3.66%11.15+5.99%0.0699✗0.75808k2022-02-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3461.2968-3.66%1.005-25.33%0.3003✓1.342.5M2022-02-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.91990.886233-3.66%0.6393-30.50%0.3615✓1.032.8M2022-02-15
XTZTezosTezos4.29144.1312-3.73%4.1483-3.33%0.0414✓1.353.4M2022-02-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.32320.310874-3.81%0.2792-13.61%0.1506✓1.282.1M2022-02-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0479-3.86%1.11+1.83%0.0068✓1.911.5M2022-02-15
DODODODOEthereum0.8070.775684-3.88%0.54-33.09%0.4111✓1.458.0M2022-02-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.1814.5907-3.88%17.36+14.36%0.1509✗0.68916k2022-02-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6597.3614-3.89%7.558-1.32%0.0163✓1.27260k2022-02-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.34120.327913-3.89%0.2864-16.06%0.1843✓1.453.8M2022-02-15
MANADecentralandEthereum3.12032.9964-3.97%3.335+6.88%0.0728✗1.015.1M2022-02-15
LSKLiskEthereum2.08342.0004-3.98%1.8634-10.56%0.1058✓1.0389k2022-02-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0288480.027682-4.04%0.022313-22.65%0.2503✓1.035.7M2022-02-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.42991.3708-4.13%0.9706-32.12%0.3834✓1.1330.5M2022-02-15
ZENHorizenBase55.1352.8482-4.14%43.12-21.78%0.2509✓1.41642k2022-02-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.017450.016718-4.19%0.01398-19.89%0.2011✓0.6625k2022-02-15
MOVRMoonriverBase149.9189143.6287-4.20%98.6528-34.20%0.4089✓0.99489k2022-02-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.49140.2823-4.24%131.74-10.07%0.1084✓1.3530.1M2022-02-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche92.3488.4178-4.25%93.07+0.79%0.0135✓1.12106.0M2022-02-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.479.0656-4.27%6.26-33.90%0.3938✓0.70995k2022-02-15
ADACardanoCardano1.41181.3514-4.28%1.1087-21.47%0.2360✓1.1395.6M2022-02-15
DASHDashDash137.39131.3791-4.38%109.33-20.42%0.2232✓1.172.8M2022-02-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11240.107413-4.44%0.0872-22.42%0.2462✓1.12269k2022-02-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.395.1504-4.44%5.09-5.57%0.0513✓1.173.3M2022-02-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5440.519208-4.56%0.388-28.68%0.3345✓1.281.8M2022-02-15
XMRMoneroMonero224.12213.899-4.56%182.65-18.50%0.1891✓0.923.1M2022-02-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0560.053445-4.56%0.0343-38.75%0.4899✓1.371.5M2022-02-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.05431.0061-4.57%0.6605-37.35%0.4682✓1.401.5M2022-02-15
IMXImmutableEthereum4.173.9773-4.62%2.48-40.53%0.5197✓1.402.2M2022-02-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32953.1755-4.62%4.0137+20.55%0.1940✗1.191.9M2022-02-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07060.067329-4.63%0.03447-51.18%0.7102✓1.2113.3M2022-02-15
ZECZcashZcash141.5134.8728-4.68%126.04-10.93%0.1092✓1.2310.9M2022-02-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.07990.076143-4.70%0.0729-8.76%0.0773✓1.0026.3M2022-02-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum31.1829.714-4.70%21.78-30.15%0.3574✓1.3934.3M2022-02-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0576850.054962-4.72%0.054953-4.74%0.0395✓1.177.5M2022-02-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.719.2467-4.77%7.4-23.79%0.2223✓-0.011.4M2022-02-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3033.1407-4.91%2.887-12.59%0.1428✓1.74980k2022-02-15
SUSHISushiEthereum6.976.6253-4.95%4.43-36.44%0.4455✓1.2717.7M2022-02-15
AAVEAaveEthereum242.5230.2831-5.04%172.28-28.96%0.3287✓1.1417.6M2022-02-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.26980.256114-5.07%0.2217-17.83%0.1885✓1.313.9M2022-02-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.13731.078-5.21%0.8985-21.00%0.2149✓0.9723.2M2022-02-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.8267.4177-5.22%6.115-21.86%0.2173✓0.72178k2022-02-15
BANDBandEthereum5.685.3779-5.32%4.65-18.13%0.1816✓1.072.2M2022-02-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.512.3663-5.72%1.971-21.47%0.2199✓1.102.0M2022-02-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.5124.0089-5.88%17.35-31.99%0.3629✓1.1374.2M2022-02-15
MINAMina Protocolnative3.493.2818-5.97%2.77-20.63%0.2053✓1.06808k2022-02-15
HIVEHivenative1.31931.2385-6.13%1.1327-14.14%0.1356✓1.373.8M2022-02-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,593.6931,474.89-6.31%24,489.02-27.10%0.2738✓0.6824.4M2022-02-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2733.9391-6.43%28.67-20.95%0.2245✓1.652.7M2022-02-15
FTTFTXEthereum46.4343.4307-6.46%47.17+1.59%0.0467✓1.0622.3M2022-02-15
LUNATerraTerra 287.1681.4971-6.50%56.85-34.78%0.4201✓1.787.4M2022-02-15
GTGateEthereum7.06216.591-6.67%6.9311-1.85%0.0231✓0.813.8M2022-02-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.66130.616969-6.70%0.4864-26.45%0.2840✓1.372.6M2022-02-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.3410.5704-6.79%7.99-29.54%0.2869✓0.212.5M2022-02-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.33740.314248-6.86%0.3139-6.97%0.0357✓1.03397k2022-02-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.57776.1178-6.99%4.9639-24.53%0.2483✓1.16457k2022-02-15
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.4539-7.02%4.65-2.92%0.0155✓0.82471k2022-02-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.323.0843-7.10%1.98-40.36%0.4862✓1.273.1M2022-02-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0845150.077977-7.74%0.029039-65.64%1.0215✓1.001.9M2022-02-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.53811.4191-7.74%2.1748+41.40%0.3978✗0.86988k2022-02-15
GITCOINGITCOIN11.31410.4241-7.87%7.889-30.27%0.2834✓0.1440k2022-02-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.01590.014646-7.89%0.00613-61.45%0.9512✓2.3825.3M2022-02-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.823.5087-8.15%1.92-49.74%0.6457✓1.278.5M2022-02-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.134.7119-8.15%3.18-38.01%0.4394✓1.3732.4M2022-02-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.15073.8009-8.43%3.776-9.03%0.0301✓0.702,2572022-02-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.65360.598155-8.48%0.5957-8.86%0.0509✓1.391.0M2022-02-15
CELLCellframeEthereum1.08480.98821-8.90%1.3864+27.80%0.3042✗1.02108k2022-02-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos43.7138.7119-11.43%29.01-33.63%0.3205✓0.9596.8M2022-02-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.201110.17744-11.77%0.17939-10.80%0.0419✓1.575,3602022-02-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum1.03150.868556-15.80%0.4669-54.74%0.6792✓1.7343.6M2022-02-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.