2022-01-15 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.2646

139 of 139 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+23.85%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

91.4%

in alpha space · 92.1% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-1.27%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.4232	1.4336	+0.73%	0.9283	-34.77%	0.4101	✗	1.91	1.3M	2022-02-14
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	29.69	29.8119	+0.41%	20.75	-30.11%	0.3484	✗	1.09	15.5M	2022-02-14
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.068548	0.068699	+0.22%	0.064484	-5.93%	0.0510	✗	0.96	537k	2022-02-14
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	43,098.20	43,139.50	+0.10%	42,548.71	-1.27%	0.0010	✓	1.00	679.0M	2022-02-14
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	16.49	16.4971	+0.04%	10.62	-35.60%	0.4237	✗	1.30	12.4M	2022-02-14
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.074	1.0731	-0.09%	0.759	-29.33%	0.3338	✓	0.97	2.2M	2022-02-14
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0805	0.08038	-0.15%	0.0708	-12.05%	0.1127	✓	1.11	16k	2022-02-14
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.259056	0.258425	-0.24%	0.210709	-18.66%	0.1908	✓	1.04	24.9M	2022-02-14
XYM	Symbol	native	0.1939	0.193306	-0.31%	0.1748	-9.85%	0.0919	✓	0.68	464k	2022-02-14
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010109	0.000100651	-0.43%	0.00008178	-19.10%	0.1946	✓	1.02	6.5M	2022-02-14
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.1231	3.1046	-0.59%	2.1432	-31.38%	0.3559	✓	1.14	710k	2022-02-14
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.6962	1.6858	-0.61%	1.1301	-33.37%	0.3886	✓	0.88	502k	2022-02-14
XMR	Monero	Monero	218.2	216.8587	-0.61%	176.38	-19.17%	0.1939	✓	0.99	3.1M	2022-02-14
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	32.86	32.6415	-0.67%	31.42	-4.38%	0.0245	✓	1.06	2.9M	2022-02-14
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	1.875	1.8622	-0.68%	1.61	-14.13%	0.1307	✓	1.15	2.2M	2022-02-14
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.184596	0.183306	-0.70%	0.145821	-21.01%	0.2147	✓	1.10	5.4M	2022-02-14
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08027	0.079706	-0.70%	0.05226	-34.89%	0.4039	✓	1.42	2.4M	2022-02-14
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.3528	1.3415	-0.83%	1.039	-23.19%	0.2421	✓	1.05	2.9M	2022-02-14
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	26.68	26.4297	-0.94%	17.04	-36.13%	0.4152	✓	1.85	3.9M	2022-02-14
KCS	KuCoin	native	20.344	20.1486	-0.96%	19.607	-3.62%	0.0066	✓	1.61	10.8M	2022-02-14
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.64	27.3653	-0.99%	18.7	-32.34%	0.3635	✓	1.34	61.7M	2022-02-14
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.020821	0.020613	-1.00%	0.016621	-20.17%	0.1994	✓	1.23	2.6M	2022-02-14
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	42,685.80	42,253.73	-1.01%	42,156.20	-1.24%	0.0103	✗	0.98	14k	2022-02-14
XEM	NEM	native	0.1187	0.117486	-1.02%	0.1094	-7.83%	0.0578	✓	1.05	55k	2022-02-14
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,328.12	3,293.15	-1.05%	2,931.01	-11.93%	0.1027	✓	1.07	533.9M	2022-02-14
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	8.117	8.0299	-1.07%	6.017	-25.87%	0.2797	✓	0.69	188k	2022-02-14
XVG	Verge	native	0.01388	0.013729	-1.09%	0.01132	-18.44%	0.1770	✓	1.24	2.0M	2022-02-14
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	390.86	386.5469	-1.10%	330.66	-15.40%	0.1431	✓	1.02	7.0M	2022-02-14
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	14.16	14.0016	-1.12%	9.58	-32.34%	0.3648	✓	1.14	3.0M	2022-02-14
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	75.35	74.4978	-1.13%	56.82	-24.59%	0.2571	✓	1.08	6.2M	2022-02-14
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1141	0.112771	-1.17%	0.0819	-28.22%	0.3055	✓	1.12	296k	2022-02-14
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.02	7.9257	-1.18%	6.47	-19.33%	0.1948	✓	0.63	680k	2022-02-14
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	167.6	165.4897	-1.26%	121.35	-27.60%	0.2983	✓	0.93	6.7M	2022-02-14
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.3025	8.1977	-1.26%	6.5803	-20.74%	0.2013	✓	1.44	263k	2022-02-14
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.73	145.7334	-1.35%	124.62	-15.64%	0.1389	✓	1.37	31.1M	2022-02-14
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04139	0.040812	-1.40%	0.02945	-28.85%	0.3146	✓	0.91	8.4M	2022-02-14
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.5948	0.586486	-1.40%	0.4039	-32.09%	0.3562	✓	1.31	12.2M	2022-02-14
GT	Gate	Ethereum	7.09	6.9823	-1.52%	6.6557	-6.13%	0.0369	✓	0.86	3.8M	2022-02-14
SOL	Solana	Solana	147.78	145.5248	-1.53%	96.43	-34.75%	0.3971	✓	1.13	164.2M	2022-02-14
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	28.79	28.3454	-1.54%	28.49	-1.04%	0.0142	✓	0.71	360k	2022-02-14
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1806	0.177706	-1.60%	0.1626	-9.97%	0.0771	✓	0.91	423k	2022-02-14
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	20.62	20.2684	-1.71%	15.4	-25.32%	0.2612	✓	1.05	886k	2022-02-14
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003082	0.000030292	-1.71%	0.00002958	-4.02%	0.0064	✓	1.35	1.8M	2022-02-14
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	8.39	8.2456	-1.72%	5.39	-35.76%	0.4138	✓	0.88	1.1M	2022-02-14
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11024	0.108283	-1.78%	0.09436	-14.40%	0.1230	✓	1.14	25k	2022-02-14
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.12	1.0997	-1.81%	0.94	-16.07%	0.1324	✓	1.91	1.5M	2022-02-14
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.39	2.3454	-1.87%	1.7	-28.87%	0.3082	✓	1.06	2.8M	2022-02-14
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.1719	0.168549	-1.95%	0.1573	-8.49%	0.0529	✓	1.26	4.2M	2022-02-14
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.09328	0.091443	-1.97%	0.07495	-19.65%	0.1896	✓	0.73	49k	2022-02-14
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01703	0.016683	-2.04%	0.01366	-19.79%	0.1906	✓	0.73	24k	2022-02-14
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	93.08	91.1329	-2.09%	81.84	-12.08%	0.0924	✓	1.18	107.5M	2022-02-14
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	4.944	4.8405	-2.09%	4.631	-6.33%	0.0356	✓	0.68	469k	2022-02-14
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0869	0.085062	-2.11%	0.0868	-0.12%	0.0381	✗	1.40	1.1M	2022-02-14
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.757762	0.741694	-2.12%	0.593972	-21.61%	0.2074	✓	1.14	2.5M	2022-02-14
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.324	1.2958	-2.13%	0.909	-31.34%	0.3372	✓	1.35	2.7M	2022-02-14
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	0.9833	0.96211	-2.16%	0.545	-44.57%	0.5554	✓	1.01	2.9M	2022-02-14
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	6.7	6.5537	-2.18%	5.47	-18.36%	0.1723	✓	0.66	564k	2022-02-14
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	2.76	2.6997	-2.18%	1.94	-29.71%	0.3135	✓	1.32	3.2M	2022-02-14
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.843	2.7806	-2.20%	2.341	-17.66%	0.1605	✓	0.90	25k	2022-02-14
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	30.61	29.9312	-2.22%	21.2	-30.74%	0.3251	✓	1.55	1.0M	2022-02-14
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	3.61	3.5294	-2.23%	2.29	-36.57%	0.4147	✓	1.39	2.2M	2022-02-14
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.38	1.3487	-2.27%	1.12	-18.84%	0.1644	✓	1.67	556k	2022-02-14
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05243	0.051227	-2.29%	0.0437	-16.65%	0.1449	✓	1.10	19k	2022-02-14
DASH	Dash	Dash	141.33	138.0781	-2.30%	103.84	-26.53%	0.2695	✓	1.20	2.8M	2022-02-14
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7698	3.6819	-2.33%	5.8399	+54.91%	0.4605	✗	-0.06	371k	2022-02-14
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	2.9986	2.9275	-2.37%	2.8438	-5.16%	0.0159	✓	1.02	5.1M	2022-02-14
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.0653	1.04	-2.37%	0.80709	-24.24%	0.2307	✓	1.78	937k	2022-02-14
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		112.76	110.0098	-2.44%	93.76	-16.85%	0.1476	✓	0.96	2.2M	2022-02-14
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.028908	0.028202	-2.44%	0.021238	-26.53%	0.2704	✓	1.03	5.7M	2022-02-14
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01405	0.013704	-2.46%	0.01033	-26.48%	0.2699	✓	0.99	641k	2022-02-14
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	46	44.8568	-2.49%	44.85	-2.50%	0.0141	✓	1.11	21.8M	2022-02-14
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3248	0.316633	-2.51%	0.268	-17.49%	0.1503	✓	1.28	2.2M	2022-02-14
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.7	282.3826	-2.53%	167.33	-42.24%	0.5081	✓	1.19	1.4M	2022-02-14
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.2922	1.2595	-2.53%	1.05	-18.74%	0.1671	✓	1.15	95.6M	2022-02-14
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.66	10.3888	-2.54%	11.42	+7.13%	0.1043	✗	0.76	898k	2022-02-14
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.538	1.4981	-2.60%	1.259	-18.14%	0.1563	✓	1.37	4.2M	2022-02-14
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7349	0.715704	-2.61%	0.5481	-25.42%	0.2503	✓	1.29	3.7M	2022-02-14
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01503	0.014633	-2.64%	0.01219	-18.90%	0.1658	✓	1.31	2.2M	2022-02-14
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.28	5.1403	-2.65%	4.58	-13.26%	0.1002	✓	1.18	3.3M	2022-02-14
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3416	0.332396	-2.69%	0.2742	-19.73%	0.1730	✓	1.52	3.8M	2022-02-14
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	7.871	7.6579	-2.71%	7.402	-5.96%	0.0172	✓	1.30	260k	2022-02-14
ZEN	Horizen	Base	55.11	53.6103	-2.72%	41.27	-25.11%	0.2424	✓	1.49	649k	2022-02-14
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.3785	1.3409	-2.73%	0.9001	-34.70%	0.3836	✓	1.17	30.5M	2022-02-14
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.19	3.1006	-2.80%	2.56	-19.75%	0.1789	✓	0.99	918k	2022-02-14
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	192.18	186.7624	-2.82%	123.15	-35.92%	0.4015	✓	1.17	145k	2022-02-14
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	3.846	3.7372	-2.83%	3.225	-16.15%	0.1383	✓	0.71	526k	2022-02-14
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		11.158	10.8369	-2.88%	7.128	-36.12%	0.4175	✓	0.11	40k	2022-02-14
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	8.47	8.2142	-3.02%	6	-29.16%	0.3017	✓	0.97	4.1M	2022-02-14
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.222	4.0939	-3.03%	3.33	-21.13%	0.1963	✓	0.80	1.1M	2022-02-14
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.282	4.1517	-3.04%	3.9473	-7.82%	0.0329	✓	1.37	3.8M	2022-02-14
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.379	0.367206	-3.11%	0.285	-24.80%	0.2436	✓	0.76	44k	2022-02-14
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.07	14.5946	-3.15%	17.92	+18.91%	0.2141	✗	0.68	1.0M	2022-02-14
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.534	0.516344	-3.31%	0.364	-31.84%	0.3329	✓	1.30	1.8M	2022-02-14
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.04	7.7721	-3.33%	6.76	-15.92%	0.1297	✓	0.77	705k	2022-02-14
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.3614	4.2158	-3.34%	3.5401	-18.83%	0.1585	✓	1.26	4.1M	2022-02-14
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.34	3.2275	-3.37%	2.793	-16.38%	0.1223	✓	1.74	1.1M	2022-02-14
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	144.36	139.3903	-3.44%	120.62	-16.44%	0.1280	✓	1.30	10.9M	2022-02-14
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.057912	0.05588	-3.51%	0.046133	-20.34%	0.1763	✓	1.20	7.5M	2022-02-14
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.1257	1.0857	-3.55%	0.8459	-24.86%	0.2368	✓	1.00	23.2M	2022-02-14
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2669	0.257406	-3.56%	0.2046	-23.34%	0.2125	✓	1.33	3.9M	2022-02-14
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.3546	3.234	-3.60%	3.9552	+17.90%	0.2166	✗	1.19	2.3M	2022-02-14
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.71	5.504	-3.61%	4.21	-26.27%	0.2538	✓	1.10	2.3M	2022-02-14
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	238.63	229.865	-3.67%	161.11	-32.49%	0.3402	✓	1.18	17.6M	2022-02-14
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1398	0.134634	-3.69%	0.0983	-29.69%	0.2981	✓	1.28	2.4M	2022-02-14
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.1369	3.982	-3.74%	3.4806	-15.86%	0.1249	✓	0.76	2,257	2022-02-14
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	25.19	24.2306	-3.81%	15.9	-36.88%	0.4060	✓	1.19	74.2M	2022-02-14
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	9.81	9.434	-3.83%	7.22	-26.40%	0.2677	✓	-0.02	1.5M	2022-02-14
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	9.46	9.095	-3.86%	5.66	-40.17%	0.4652	✓	0.71	1.0M	2022-02-14
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.458	2.3626	-3.88%	1.753	-28.68%	0.2841	✓	1.12	2.0M	2022-02-14
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07028	0.067456	-4.02%	0.02976	-57.66%	0.8026	✓	1.22	14.7M	2022-02-14
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.677	0.649753	-4.02%	0.4478	-33.86%	0.3545	✓	1.38	2.7M	2022-02-14
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.5259	1.4643	-4.03%	1.9224	+25.98%	0.2833	✗	0.87	926k	2022-02-14
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.089	2.0024	-4.15%	1.7556	-15.96%	0.1173	✓	1.11	95k	2022-02-14
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	11.13	10.6668	-4.16%	7.17	-35.58%	0.3950	✓	0.18	2.6M	2022-02-14
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	32.55	31.1916	-4.17%	20.74	-36.28%	0.3900	✓	1.41	34.3M	2022-02-14
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0618	1.0171	-4.21%	1.2512	+17.84%	0.2202	✗	1.01	108k	2022-02-14
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.81	0.77575	-4.23%	0.502	-38.02%	0.4161	✓	1.49	8.0M	2022-02-14
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.0846	1.0376	-4.33%	0.6376	-41.21%	0.4689	✓	1.41	1.5M	2022-02-14
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.5	3.3437	-4.47%	2.68	-23.43%	0.2073	✓	1.09	808k	2022-02-14
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	87.55	83.5833	-4.53%	53.94	-38.39%	0.4151	✓	1.78	7.4M	2022-02-14
HIVE	Hive	native	1.3273	1.266	-4.62%	1.0452	-21.25%	0.1737	✓	1.40	3.9M	2022-02-14
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0544	0.051804	-4.77%	0.0338	-37.87%	0.4094	✓	1.37	1.5M	2022-02-14
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.757	6.433	-4.80%	4.6155	-31.69%	0.3164	✓	1.22	457k	2022-02-14
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	33,487.36	31,851.63	-4.88%	23,089.90	-31.05%	0.3131	✓	0.67	26.4M	2022-02-14
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.6358	0.604258	-4.96%	0.5644	-11.23%	0.0505	✓	1.38	736k	2022-02-14
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.28	5.013	-5.06%	2.91	-44.89%	0.5259	✓	1.40	32.4M	2022-02-14
API3	Api3	Ethereum	5.09	4.8309	-5.09%	4.35	-14.54%	0.0943	✓	0.82	471k	2022-02-14
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3345	0.317423	-5.11%	0.2886	-13.72%	0.0820	✓	1.03	397k	2022-02-14
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.0756	0.071733	-5.12%	0.0688	-8.99%	0.0289	✓	1.00	27.0M	2022-02-14
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	7.04	6.6589	-5.41%	4.07	-42.19%	0.4758	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-02-14
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	36.22	34.1754	-5.64%	26.44	-27.00%	0.2353	✓	1.66	2.7M	2022-02-14
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	154.3287	145.5771	-5.67%	83.68	-45.78%	0.5393	✓	1.12	489k	2022-02-14
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.01441	0.013578	-5.77%	0.00566	-60.72%	0.8447	✓	2.37	25.3M	2022-02-14
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.55	3.3368	-6.01%	1.81	-49.01%	0.5956	✓	1.25	8.5M	2022-02-14
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.16	36.2272	-7.49%	27.16	-30.64%	0.2759	✓	0.94	86.7M	2022-02-14
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.20848	0.192778	-7.53%	0.1719	-17.55%	0.0942	✓	1.59	5,360	2022-02-14
CWEB	Coinweb	Ethereum	0.087032	0.079303	-8.88%	0.028657	-67.07%	1.0050	✓	1.00	2.2M	2022-02-14
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	3.25	2.9499	-9.23%	1.84	-43.38%	0.4557	✓	1.27	3.1M	2022-02-14
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8963	0.759759	-15.23%	0.4399	-50.92%	0.5240	✓	1.75	38.7M	2022-02-14

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.