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2022-01-14 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2942
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+33.73%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
85.6%
in alpha space · 88.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.7229.9255+0.69%20.56-30.82%0.3495✗1.0915.5M2022-02-13
UNIUniswapEthereum15.8715.9457+0.48%10.35-34.78%0.4012✗1.3012.4M2022-02-13
TRXTRONTron0.0676580.06798+0.48%0.064588-4.54%0.0283✗0.96552k2022-02-13
LRCLoopringEthereum1.47071.4774+0.46%0.9151-37.78%0.4334✗1.911.4M2022-02-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin43,090.7243,218.87+0.30%42,074.99-2.36%0.0030✗1.00679.0M2022-02-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0551.0566+0.15%0.747-29.19%0.3236✗0.972.2M2022-02-13
XECeCashnative0.000097020.000097086+0.07%0.00008177-15.72%0.1475✗1.016.5M2022-02-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08130.081121-0.22%0.0714-12.18%0.1012✓1.1119k2022-02-13
XYMSymbolnative0.19290.192279-0.32%0.1686-12.60%0.1153✓0.68464k2022-02-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative31.9831.8704-0.34%32.5+1.63%0.0449✗1.062.9M2022-02-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum43,294.1043,145.32-0.34%42,091.20-2.78%0.0013✓0.9814k2022-02-13
XLMStellarStellar0.2653750.264405-0.37%0.210311-20.75%0.2041✓1.0424.2M2022-02-13
STORJStorjEthereum1.60691.6008-0.38%1.1334-29.47%0.3243✓0.88502k2022-02-13
NANOnanopayBase3.15113.1356-0.49%2.1144-32.90%0.3668✓1.14699k2022-02-13
QTUMQtumQtum7.84427.8054-0.49%6.5106-17.00%0.1472✓1.43263k2022-02-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.080720.080303-0.52%0.05267-34.75%0.3879✓1.422.6M2022-02-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8531.8434-0.52%1.6-13.65%0.1141✓1.152.2M2022-02-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1833170.182246-0.58%0.148727-18.87%0.1770✓1.105.4M2022-02-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum7.7577.7093-0.61%5.903-23.90%0.2506✓0.69192k2022-02-13
UOSUltraEthereum1.29881.2902-0.66%1.01-22.24%0.2200✓1.053.0M2022-02-13
XMRMoneroMonero229.78228.205-0.69%174.01-24.27%0.2475✓0.993.1M2022-02-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.773.1721-0.72%58.08-21.19%0.2054✓1.076.2M2022-02-13
XEMNEMnative0.11920.118278-0.77%0.11-7.72%0.0474✓1.0557k2022-02-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.65382.5657-0.80%333.81-13.44%0.1121✓1.027.6M2022-02-13
KCSKuCoinnative20.0819.9112-0.84%19.126-4.75%0.0018✓1.6111.0M2022-02-13
XVGVergenative0.013890.013772-0.85%0.01099-20.88%0.1962✓1.242.0M2022-02-13
XVSVenusEthereum1413.8793-0.86%8.7-37.86%0.4398✓1.143.1M2022-02-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.7627.5194-0.87%18.75-32.46%0.3516✓1.3564.3M2022-02-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57920.574174-0.87%0.4062-29.87%0.3150✓1.3012.2M2022-02-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.020490.020305-0.90%0.016324-20.33%0.1888✓1.232.5M2022-02-13
ETHEthereumEthereum3,310.453,280.24-0.91%2,872.84-13.22%0.1071✓1.07556.2M2022-02-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum26.2826.0288-0.96%16.82-36.00%0.3926✓1.844.1M2022-02-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.917.8337-0.96%6.49-17.95%0.1731✓0.63680k2022-02-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin144.84143.4341-0.97%125.67-13.24%0.0996✓1.3732.2M2022-02-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1130.11186-1.01%0.084-25.66%0.2597✓1.12303k2022-02-13
QNTQuantEthereum165.39163.6621-1.04%121.97-26.25%0.2718✓0.936.9M2022-02-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.041110.04063-1.17%0.03005-26.90%0.2799✓0.918.4M2022-02-13
RADRadworksEthereum7.927.815-1.33%5.45-31.19%0.3395✓0.881.1M2022-02-13
GTGateEthereum6.81286.7215-1.34%6.7726-0.59%0.0281✗0.863.5M2022-02-13
SOLSolanaSolana146.17144.1312-1.39%92.92-36.43%0.4121✓1.13177.1M2022-02-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum28.4228.0207-1.41%28.14-0.99%0.0212✗0.71360k2022-02-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17980.177239-1.42%0.1611-10.40%0.0737✓0.91432k2022-02-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.109330.107719-1.47%0.09518-12.94%0.0966✓1.1423k2022-02-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.382.3448-1.48%1.66-30.25%0.3201✓1.062.9M2022-02-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.2919.9722-1.57%15.13-25.43%0.2526✓1.05958k2022-02-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016660.016398-1.57%0.01362-18.25%0.1683✓0.7324k2022-02-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7482050.736311-1.59%0.60939-18.55%0.1619✓1.142.5M2022-02-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8674.7845-1.69%4.66-4.25%0.0102✓0.68469k2022-02-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum29.729.1913-1.71%21.38-28.01%0.2746✓1.541.0M2022-02-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.091.0713-1.72%0.91-16.51%0.1176✓1.911.6M2022-02-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.686.5648-1.73%5.5-17.66%0.1612✓0.66602k2022-02-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030840.000030301-1.75%0.00003011-2.37%0.0259✗1.351.8M2022-02-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.17540.172184-1.83%0.1475-15.91%0.1246✓1.264.2M2022-02-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3081.2837-1.86%0.88-32.72%0.3453✓1.352.7M2022-02-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.093360.091604-1.88%0.07534-19.30%0.1782✓0.7352k2022-02-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08650.084868-1.89%0.0866+0.12%0.0535✗1.401.2M2022-02-13
KSMKusamaHydration281.84276.4162-1.92%163.53-41.98%0.4967✓1.181.4M2022-02-13
FTTFTXEthereum44.7343.8577-1.95%44.32-0.92%0.0369✗1.1121.6M2022-02-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7158-1.96%2-27.80%0.2744✓1.323.2M2022-02-13
DASHDashDash141.12138.3278-1.98%102.03-27.70%0.2757✓1.202.8M2022-02-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche90.4188.5851-2.02%77.97-13.76%0.0995✓1.18108.4M2022-02-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.97790.957672-2.07%0.5644-42.28%0.5048✓1.013.0M2022-02-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.71070.695674-2.11%0.5345-24.79%0.2329✓1.283.7M2022-02-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.225.1048-2.21%4.47-14.37%0.1046✓1.183.3M2022-02-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.381.3493-2.22%1.06-23.19%0.2015✓1.67569k2022-02-13
CBKCobakEthereum2.8572.7931-2.24%2.388-16.42%0.1351✓0.9026k2022-02-13
IMXImmutableEthereum3.553.4701-2.25%2.29-35.49%0.3825✓1.392.2M2022-02-13
ADACardanoCardano1.29311.2636-2.28%1.0431-19.33%0.1643✓1.1595.6M2022-02-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV113.04110.4513-2.29%92.52-18.15%0.1543✓0.962.2M2022-02-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5091.4743-2.30%1.244-17.56%0.1373✓1.374.4M2022-02-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76993.6828-2.31%5.8538+55.28%0.4619✗-0.06364k2022-02-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.33210.32441-2.32%0.2771-16.56%0.1271✓1.282.2M2022-02-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5210.2725-2.35%11.07+5.23%0.0928✗0.75955k2022-02-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0284310.027761-2.36%0.021469-24.49%0.2325✓1.035.7M2022-02-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.3350.327024-2.38%0.2688-19.76%0.1599✓1.513.8M2022-02-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0150.014642-2.38%0.01193-20.47%0.1736✓1.312.2M2022-02-13
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9552.8843-2.39%2.8231-4.46%0.0028✓1.025.2M2022-02-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.6737.4876-2.42%7.052-8.09%0.0289✓1.30271k2022-02-13
COMPCompoundEthereum189.59184.9895-2.43%124.43-34.37%0.3688✓1.16149k2022-02-13
SCSiacoinnative0.013860.013521-2.45%0.01036-25.25%0.2426✓0.99656k2022-02-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.05261.0268-2.45%0.8076-23.27%0.1976✓1.78974k2022-02-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8453.7505-2.46%3.139-18.36%0.1611✓0.71526k2022-02-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053420.052095-2.48%0.04259-20.27%0.1753✓1.1019k2022-02-13
UMAUMAEthereum8.398.1792-2.51%6.01-28.37%0.2851✓0.974.3M2022-02-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3660.356612-2.57%0.291-20.49%0.1851✓0.7643k2022-02-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38221.346-2.62%0.8967-35.13%0.3782✓1.1730.5M2022-02-13
ZENHorizenBase53.852.3492-2.70%40.16-25.35%0.2295✓1.49667k2022-02-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.193.1008-2.79%2.52-21.00%0.1839✓0.99918k2022-02-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.9614.538-2.82%17.86+19.39%0.2221✗0.681.1M2022-02-13
GITCOINGITCOIN10.86610.5573-2.84%7.272-33.08%0.3702✓0.1144k2022-02-13
XTZTezosTezos4.2854.1596-2.93%3.8546-10.04%0.0435✓1.374.3M2022-02-13
AAVEAaveEthereum224.05217.2823-3.02%158.29-29.35%0.2886✓1.1817.6M2022-02-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.26680.258584-3.08%0.2009-24.70%0.2207✓1.334.0M2022-02-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.03525.8491-3.08%4.6803-22.45%0.1940✓1.21457k2022-02-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.2694.1373-3.09%3.387-20.66%0.1810✓0.801.1M2022-02-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.047.7894-3.12%6.63-17.54%0.1428✓0.77737k2022-02-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34634.2076-3.19%3.4786-19.96%0.1602✓1.264.1M2022-02-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0596540.057729-3.23%0.043319-27.38%0.2585✓1.207.5M2022-02-13
BANDBandEthereum5.75.5146-3.25%4.06-28.77%0.2799✓1.102.3M2022-02-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5210.503804-3.30%0.379-27.26%0.2537✓1.302.0M2022-02-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.32043.2091-3.35%3.7675+13.47%0.1888✗1.192.6M2022-02-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.13920.134449-3.41%0.1025-26.36%0.2407✓1.282.4M2022-02-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.12231.0831-3.49%0.8484-24.41%0.2204✓1.0023.2M2022-02-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3723.2526-3.54%2.754-18.33%0.1250✓1.731.2M2022-02-13
API3Api3Ethereum3.923.7807-3.55%4.57+16.58%0.2086✗0.80471k2022-02-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.41981.369-3.58%1.823+28.40%0.3070✗0.87922k2022-02-13
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.772716-3.65%0.499-37.78%0.4018✓1.498.0M2022-02-13
ZECZcashZcash142.55137.3311-3.66%117.13-17.83%0.1281✓1.3010.9M2022-02-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4152.3257-3.70%1.737-28.07%0.2652✓1.122.0M2022-02-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.13563.9818-3.72%3.4198-17.31%0.1341✓0.762,2572022-02-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.7424.7707-3.77%15.6-39.39%0.4340✓1.1974.2M2022-02-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07070.067955-3.88%0.03066-56.63%0.7667✓1.2316.4M2022-02-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.849.4534-3.93%7.41-24.70%0.2440✓-0.021.5M2022-02-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.59.1146-4.06%5.89-38.00%0.4197✓0.711.0M2022-02-13
MINAMina Protocolnative3.463.3196-4.06%2.37-31.50%0.3110✓1.09808k2022-02-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.5431.2159-4.07%19.77-39.24%0.4231✓1.4134.3M2022-02-13
LSKLiskEthereum2.09242.0067-4.10%1.7279-17.42%0.1231✓1.1195k2022-02-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71450.685158-4.11%0.443-38.00%0.4031✓1.382.7M2022-02-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.03050.98733-4.19%0.6296-38.90%0.4165✓1.401.5M2022-02-13
CELLCellframeEthereum1.06471.0198-4.21%1.3168+23.68%0.2797✗1.01108k2022-02-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.9810.5014-4.36%7.27-33.79%0.3635✓0.182.8M2022-02-13
LUNATerraTerra 281.4777.784-4.52%51.89-36.31%0.3810✓1.007.4M2022-02-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.0790.075282-4.71%0.0626-20.76%0.1606✓1.0027.8M2022-02-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,239.4930,691.82-4.80%22,889.91-29.00%0.2774✓0.6726.4M2022-02-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62720.596783-4.85%0.5723-8.75%0.0089✓1.38736k2022-02-13
SUSHISushiEthereum7.036.6867-4.88%4.03-42.67%0.4756✓1.2917.7M2022-02-13
HIVEHivenative1.311.2449-4.97%1.072-18.17%0.1162✓1.404.0M2022-02-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05570.052921-4.99%0.0312-43.99%0.4956✓1.371.5M2022-02-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.355.0777-5.09%2.75-48.60%0.5798✓1.4032.4M2022-02-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.2534.3383-5.27%25.86-28.66%0.2440✓1.662.7M2022-02-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.32910.311351-5.39%0.2812-14.55%0.0774✓1.02397k2022-02-13
MOVRMoonriverBase157.2002148.4324-5.58%82.6677-47.41%0.5585✓1.12515k2022-02-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014340.013531-5.64%0.00579-59.62%0.7924✓2.3726.1M2022-02-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.3969-6.16%1.88-48.07%0.5618✓1.258.5M2022-02-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos40.4437.4406-7.42%26.19-35.24%0.3348✓0.9586.7M2022-02-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum2.922.6911-7.84%1.9-34.93%0.3180✓1.263.1M2022-02-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.222390.203238-8.61%0.17187-22.72%0.1296✓1.595,3602022-02-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0836380.076264-8.82%0.027679-66.91%0.9897✓1.002.4M2022-02-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.96050.810053-15.66%0.4207-56.20%0.6133✓1.7638.7M2022-02-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.