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2022-01-08 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 139 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2669
139 of 139 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+22.68%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.8%
in alpha space · 69.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (139 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin29.4629.8258+1.24%24.52-16.77%0.2493✗1.0521.2M2022-02-07
TRXTRONTron0.0654020.066212+1.24%0.068517+4.76%0.0142✗0.95556k2022-02-07
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9215.1002+1.21%12.38-17.02%0.2643✗1.2913.4M2022-02-07
XYMSymbolnative0.1850.187023+1.09%0.1916+3.57%0.0089✓0.65441k2022-02-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative29.3729.6373+0.91%32.66+11.20%0.0440✓1.043.3M2022-02-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,684.8442,062.76+0.91%43,868.07+5.24%0.0090✗1.00743.8M2022-02-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.150790.152055+0.84%0.165291+9.62%0.0276✓1.094.6M2022-02-07
QTUMQtumQtum7.59727.6608+0.84%7.4703-1.67%0.0979✗1.42263k2022-02-07
FTTFTXEthereum35.2235.4993+0.79%47.22+34.07%0.2301✓1.0820.0M2022-02-07
XECeCashnative0.000096320.000097055+0.76%0.00009007-6.49%0.1256✗1.006.8M2022-02-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.041.0466+0.64%0.854-17.88%0.2521✗0.952.2M2022-02-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.07390.074351+0.61%0.079+6.90%0.0062✓1.0716k2022-02-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin129.51130.2564+0.58%137.43+6.12%0.0150✗1.3436.2M2022-02-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,892.2042,110.11+0.52%43,893.50+4.78%0.0086✗0.989,2042022-02-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum70.2970.5656+0.39%68.32-2.80%0.0850✗1.036.3M2022-02-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot2424.0938+0.39%22.37-6.79%0.1406✗1.3071.0M2022-02-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.122.1259+0.28%1.93-8.96%0.1516✗1.083.6M2022-02-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0186960.018736+0.21%0.01721-7.95%0.1471✗1.222.5M2022-02-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.57320.574424+0.21%0.5065-11.64%0.1920✗1.3012.2M2022-02-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08110.081271+0.21%0.0915+12.82%0.0484✓1.371.2M2022-02-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.556.5609+0.17%5.62-14.20%0.1872✗0.63686k2022-02-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.857.859+0.11%6.65-15.29%0.1981✗0.61788k2022-02-07
XLMStellarStellar0.2550910.255288+0.08%0.239623-6.06%0.1152✗1.0224.9M2022-02-07
XEMNEMnative0.11410.114148+0.04%0.1175+2.98%0.0245✗1.0569k2022-02-07
XMRMoneroMonero183.67183.7177+0.03%185.08+0.77%0.0447✗1.023.0M2022-02-07
XVGVergenative0.013920.013921+0.01%0.01222-12.21%0.1920✗1.212.1M2022-02-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.8428.812-0.10%25.54-11.44%0.1980✓1.521.0M2022-02-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7083990.707575-0.12%0.67955-4.07%0.0984✓1.142.8M2022-02-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.0888.0773-0.13%6.962-13.92%0.1815✓0.64231k2022-02-07
ETHEthereumEthereum3,080.483,075.87-0.15%3,141.89+1.99%0.0326✓1.05619.8M2022-02-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash372.84371.8795-0.26%343.12-7.97%0.1323✓1.028.8M2022-02-07
LRCLoopringEthereum1.52461.5205-0.27%1.1664-23.49%0.3635✓1.931.3M2022-02-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.102440.102149-0.28%0.10441+1.92%0.0355✓1.1223k2022-02-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11150.111094-0.36%0.0948-14.98%0.2152✓1.11296k2022-02-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8861.8772-0.47%1.868-0.95%0.0635✓1.152.4M2022-02-07
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.8481-0.52%10.33-25.79%0.3512✓1.143.4M2022-02-07
NANOnanopayBase3.05413.0375-0.54%2.3627-22.64%0.3073✓1.10710k2022-02-07
KSMKusamaHydration240.09238.6813-0.59%198.23-17.44%0.2444✓1.151.3M2022-02-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1640.162942-0.65%0.1382-15.73%0.2278✓1.244.5M2022-02-07
KCSKuCoinnative18.94618.8162-0.69%20.309+7.19%0.0066✓1.6313.6M2022-02-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.63660.632192-0.69%0.6374+0.13%0.0557✓1.254.5M2022-02-07
GTGateEthereum6.17896.1335-0.73%7.3085+18.28%0.1323✗0.843.7M2022-02-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31290.310581-0.74%0.2714-13.26%0.1992✓1.262.2M2022-02-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.6134.5762-0.80%4.576-0.80%0.0325✓0.63488k2022-02-07
STORJStorjEthereum1.5151.5028-0.81%1.3981-7.72%0.1157✓0.85663k2022-02-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9427.714-0.81%28.02+0.29%0.0245✓0.69385k2022-02-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.014950.014821-0.87%0.01584+5.95%0.0003✓1.302.2M2022-02-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.8752.8495-0.89%3.4602+20.35%0.1352✗1.162.6M2022-02-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17470.1731-0.92%0.1593-8.82%0.1297✓0.91490k2022-02-07
QNTQuantEthereum172.86171.2198-0.95%154.1-10.85%0.1539✓0.957.7M2022-02-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.231.2179-0.98%1.073-12.76%0.1944✓1.333.3M2022-02-07
SOLSolanaSolana142.17140.748-1.00%117.62-17.27%0.2363✓1.11203.4M2022-02-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.35735.3017-1.04%5.4029+0.85%0.0420✓1.19457k2022-02-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.016230.016057-1.07%0.01354-16.57%0.2053✓0.6830k2022-02-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum27.7127.4134-1.07%21.81-21.29%0.3225✓1.845.4M2022-02-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana14.2414.0836-1.10%16.23+13.97%0.1082✗0.661.1M2022-02-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.024.9632-1.13%5.9+17.53%0.1142✗1.153.3M2022-02-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.25570.2527-1.17%0.2345-8.29%0.1420✓1.324.6M2022-02-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0290050.028655-1.21%0.023054-20.52%0.2696✓1.026.6M2022-02-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV107.28105.975-1.22%101.78-5.13%0.0887✓0.952.8M2022-02-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.6573.6106-1.27%3.306-9.60%0.1226✓0.68483k2022-02-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.779.6441-1.29%10.4+6.45%0.0379✗0.741.1M2022-02-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.9520.6651-1.36%16.8-19.81%0.2602✓1.041.2M2022-02-07
DASHDashDash141.79139.8453-1.37%115.9-18.26%0.2511✓1.241.9M2022-02-07
UOSUltraEthereum1.19981.1833-1.38%1.3002+8.37%0.0429✗1.013.4M2022-02-07
CBKCobakEthereum2.6042.5678-1.39%2.656+2.00%0.0118✓0.8933k2022-02-07
DODODODOEthereum0.7420.731658-1.39%0.583-21.43%0.3004✓1.447.7M2022-02-07
ADACardanoCardano1.18271.1659-1.42%1.1991+1.39%0.0280✓1.1097.2M2022-02-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.3771.3571-1.45%1.495+8.57%0.0277✗1.355.2M2022-02-07
UMAUMAEthereum8.868.7309-1.46%6.61-25.40%0.3269✓0.954.3M2022-02-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.043460.042799-1.52%0.03323-23.54%0.3000✓0.928.2M2022-02-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.846.7352-1.53%7.753+13.35%0.0764✗1.26291k2022-02-07
BANDBandEthereum4.934.8543-1.54%4.06-17.65%0.2351✓1.102.1M2022-02-07
ZENHorizenBase54.3653.5029-1.58%48.2-11.33%0.1804✓1.49802k2022-02-07
COMPCompoundEthereum189.37186.24-1.65%145.96-22.92%0.3031✓1.16195k2022-02-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.10030.098528-1.77%0.06292-37.27%0.5230✓1.462.5M2022-02-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000027750.000027247-1.81%0.00003255+17.30%0.1146✗1.241.7M2022-02-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.048850.047895-1.96%0.04657-4.67%0.0856✓1.1316k2022-02-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.073.0077-2.03%2.82-8.14%0.1146✓0.98977k2022-02-07
RADRadworksEthereum8.48.2267-2.06%6-28.57%0.3613✓0.891.1M2022-02-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.010.989033-2.08%0.95-5.94%0.1300✓1.761.7M2022-02-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3540.346629-2.08%0.285-19.49%0.2325✓0.7239k2022-02-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.441.4097-2.10%1.24-13.89%0.2142✓1.68831k2022-02-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.752.692-2.11%2.27-17.45%0.2379✓1.323.2M2022-02-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.092310.090337-2.14%0.08985-2.66%0.0405✓0.6952k2022-02-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana7.817.6359-2.23%6.79-13.06%0.1561✓0.76771k2022-02-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.071.0459-2.25%0.6483-39.41%0.5248✓0.913.7M2022-02-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.31510.307821-2.31%0.3247+3.05%0.0226✓1.493.8M2022-02-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77373.6861-2.32%4.8233+27.81%0.2729✗-0.08364k2022-02-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.99713.9036-2.34%3.5646-10.82%0.1552✓1.264.4M2022-02-07
SCSiacoinnative0.013260.012944-2.38%0.01211-8.67%0.1165✓0.98764k2022-02-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3034.1981-2.44%3.76-12.62%0.1503✓0.78942k2022-02-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.49410.481641-2.52%0.6257+26.63%0.1894✗1.41650k2022-02-07
XTZTezosTezos4.00053.898-2.56%4.1408+3.51%0.0082✓1.354.7M2022-02-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.3124.6585-2.57%18.88-25.40%0.3285✓1.2069.2M2022-02-07
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.72513.6288-2.59%3.7993+1.99%0.0078✓0.754,3322022-02-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0598660.058311-2.60%0.042745-28.60%0.3770✓1.307.3M2022-02-07
AAVEAaveEthereum212.32206.7951-2.60%182.29-14.14%0.1853✓1.1617.6M2022-02-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.88540.861604-2.69%1.2268+38.56%0.3023✗1.00137k2022-02-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5150.501012-2.72%0.384-25.44%0.3318✓1.292.1M2022-02-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.13270.128932-2.84%0.1248-5.95%0.0943✓1.212.1M2022-02-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.38541.346-2.85%1.0706-22.72%0.2871✓1.1430.5M2022-02-07
IMXImmutableEthereum3.423.3211-2.89%2.86-16.37%0.2210✓1.402.5M2022-02-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8152.7335-2.90%2.945+4.62%0.0049✓1.561.3M2022-02-07
MANADecentralandEthereum2.9332.8472-2.93%3.2878+12.10%0.0925✗1.015.5M2022-02-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.01970.98885-3.02%0.96686-5.18%0.1134✓1.781.0M2022-02-07
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.1406-3.07%3.09-4.63%0.0691✓1.04715k2022-02-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche83.9181.3217-3.08%83.23-0.81%0.0354✓1.15115.7M2022-02-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.57550.557591-3.11%0.535-7.04%0.1103✓1.352.8M2022-02-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.96060.92963-3.22%0.7902-17.74%0.2338✓1.401.6M2022-02-07
SUSHISushiEthereum6.566.3477-3.24%4.96-24.39%0.3127✓1.2918.2M2022-02-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum32.931.8026-3.34%24.04-26.93%0.3511✓1.4024.8M2022-02-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.479.1528-3.35%7.41-21.75%0.2076✓-0.071.8M2022-02-07
LSKLiskEthereum2.05091.9791-3.50%1.9231-6.23%0.0852✓1.1190k2022-02-07
GITCOINGITCOIN10.83910.4514-3.58%8.971-17.23%0.1553✓0.0568k2022-02-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.073170.070548-3.58%0.04107-43.87%0.6039✓1.2319.5M2022-02-07
ZECZcashZcash143.63138.4811-3.58%128.86-10.28%0.1401✓1.3310.6M2022-02-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07561.0363-3.66%0.9985-7.17%0.0871✓0.9821.4M2022-02-07
API3Api3Ethereum3.813.6691-3.70%3.79-0.52%0.0034✓0.70848k2022-02-07
MOVRMoonriverBase156.3963150.3441-3.87%105.8832-32.30%0.4073✓1.11560k2022-02-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.2572.1669-3.99%2.094-7.22%0.0893✓1.081.8M2022-02-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.09440.090272-4.37%0.0901-4.56%0.0530✓1.0033.0M2022-02-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.05920.056558-4.46%0.0369-37.67%0.4954✓1.341.5M2022-02-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60221.5294-4.54%1.9987+24.75%0.2222✗0.89922k2022-02-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum9.449.0028-4.63%7.38-21.82%0.2327✓0.661.2M2022-02-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,111.9831,558.84-4.69%26,559.72-19.79%0.2052✓0.6423.0M2022-02-07
LUNATerraTerra 266.8463.5794-4.88%59.48-11.01%0.1177✓1.007.2M2022-02-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum3533.2746-4.93%32.06-8.40%0.1203✓1.632.8M2022-02-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.31250.296209-5.21%0.3267+4.54%0.0471✓1.00293k2022-02-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.7610.1825-5.37%9.06-15.80%0.1224✓0.112.8M2022-02-07
HIVEHivenative1.32081.2433-5.87%1.2317-6.75%0.0806✓1.394.8M2022-02-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.614.3381-5.90%3.56-22.78%0.2695✓1.4130.4M2022-02-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.062.8657-6.35%2.38-22.22%0.2485✓1.233.2M2022-02-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.523.292-6.48%2.26-35.80%0.4388✓1.2310.4M2022-02-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.014690.013738-6.48%0.00701-52.28%0.7946✓2.3827.8M2022-02-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.176620.164806-6.69%0.22724+28.66%0.2410✗1.575,9572022-02-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos35.8733.0589-7.84%31.63-11.82%0.0911✓0.9245.6M2022-02-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.07670.068294-10.96%0.038389-49.95%0.6271✓1.003.0M2022-02-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.63360.550939-13.05%0.602-4.99%0.0017✓1.7740.0M2022-02-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.