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2022-01-07 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1783
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
84.1%
in alpha space · 81.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.04%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin31.5332.0528+1.66%22.46-28.77%0.3768✗1.0522.1M2022-02-06
UNIUniswapEthereum15.7515.9117+1.03%11.7-25.71%0.3331✗1.2713.8M2022-02-06
TRXTRONTron0.0681280.068515+0.57%0.066256-2.75%0.0525✗0.94589k2022-02-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1548350.155613+0.50%0.1538-0.67%0.0337✗1.094.6M2022-02-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0196250.019703+0.40%0.016835-14.22%0.1823✗1.242.5M2022-02-06
COMPCompoundEthereum192.9193.6351+0.38%140.8-27.01%0.3416✗1.13195k2022-02-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative30.4530.5025+0.17%29.89-1.84%0.0406✗1.003.4M2022-02-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.182.1825+0.11%1.86-14.68%0.1809✗1.043.6M2022-02-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin41,565.1841,592.43+0.07%42,415.16+2.04%0.0007✓1.00748.4M2022-02-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.8571.8551-0.10%1.778-4.25%0.0654✓1.132.4M2022-02-06
XLMStellarStellar0.2570210.25672-0.12%0.223926-12.88%0.1571✓1.0124.9M2022-02-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum41,663.1041,564.59-0.24%41,902.90+0.58%0.0117✓0.9810k2022-02-06
XYMSymbolnative0.18050.180042-0.25%0.1904+5.48%0.0428✗0.65428k2022-02-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.078950.078466-0.61%0.05974-24.33%0.3017✓1.442.5M2022-02-06
XEMNEMnative0.11660.115811-0.68%0.1121-3.86%0.0531✓1.0189k2022-02-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.594-0.69%5.46-17.77%0.2015✓0.63713k2022-02-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.8824.7072-0.69%21.91-11.94%0.1460✓1.2871.0M2022-02-06
XVSVenusEthereum13.9213.8214-0.71%8.91-35.99%0.4619✓1.133.5M2022-02-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.103460.102612-0.82%0.10107-2.31%0.0375✓1.1124k2022-02-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash385.43381.8859-0.92%324.8-15.73%0.1822✓1.009.0M2022-02-06
NANOnanopayBase3.09093.0593-1.02%2.2381-27.59%0.3344✓1.08715k2022-02-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.5974.549-1.04%4.533-1.39%0.0161✓0.62489k2022-02-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV109.72108.5481-1.07%98.65-10.09%0.1145✓0.932.8M2022-02-06
ETHEthereumEthereum3,198.823,164.14-1.08%3,058.22-4.40%0.0550✓1.04619.8M2022-02-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.17630.174028-1.29%0.154-12.65%0.1404✓0.89490k2022-02-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum20.920.6166-1.36%15.56-25.55%0.2962✓0.731.2M2022-02-06
KSMKusamaHydration250.4246.9886-1.36%195.98-21.73%0.2541✓1.121.3M2022-02-06
QTUMQtumQtum7.86797.7601-1.37%7.1257-9.43%0.1129✓1.37268k2022-02-06
QNTQuantEthereum177.7175.2658-1.37%135.95-23.49%0.2729✓0.937.9M2022-02-06
KCSKuCoinnative19.1918.9146-1.44%20.001+4.23%0.0233✗1.6113.6M2022-02-06
XVGVergenative0.014540.01433-1.45%0.01152-20.77%0.2427✓1.212.1M2022-02-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.1730.170417-1.49%0.131-24.28%0.2875✓1.214.6M2022-02-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.59360.584652-1.51%0.473-20.32%0.2363✓1.2011.8M2022-02-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.0760.074663-1.76%0.0768+1.05%0.0073✓1.0316k2022-02-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum27.9427.4358-1.80%27.86-0.29%0.0019✓0.66385k2022-02-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000028950.00002842-1.83%0.0000285-1.55%0.0225✓1.251.7M2022-02-06
SOLSolanaSolana136.37133.8062-1.88%115.32-15.44%0.1692✓1.02203.4M2022-02-06
LRCLoopringEthereum1.6681.6365-1.89%1.1222-32.72%0.4160✓1.921.4M2022-02-06
ADACardanoCardano1.20931.1857-1.95%1.1436-5.43%0.0578✓1.0797.2M2022-02-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.0541.0334-1.96%0.816-22.58%0.2551✓0.942.3M2022-02-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7525580.737484-2.00%0.659906-12.31%0.1333✓1.102.8M2022-02-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3690.361543-2.02%0.27-26.83%0.3064✓0.7139k2022-02-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1274.0433-2.03%3.637-11.87%0.1214✓0.77942k2022-02-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum73.4271.9275-2.03%68.32-6.95%0.0725✓1.046.3M2022-02-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.188.0114-2.06%6.5-20.54%0.2213✓0.60801k2022-02-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57143.4964-2.10%5.0878+42.46%0.3769✗-0.09364k2022-02-06
XECeCashnative0.000098550.000096467-2.11%0.00008613-12.60%0.1334✓0.996.9M2022-02-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8113.7285-2.16%3.261-14.43%0.1477✓0.68483k2022-02-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.31920.312192-2.20%0.2607-18.33%0.2058✓1.262.6M2022-02-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.037.8531-2.20%6.64-17.31%0.1825✓0.73771k2022-02-06
DASHDashDash134.68131.7075-2.21%108.83-19.19%0.2152✓1.201.9M2022-02-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin131.34128.3312-2.29%127.68-2.79%0.0320✓1.3336.7M2022-02-06
UOSUltraEthereum1.26221.2333-2.29%1.197-5.17%0.0503✓1.013.5M2022-02-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.113.0377-2.32%2.73-12.22%0.1263✓0.96995k2022-02-06
CBKCobakEthereum2.6612.5984-2.35%2.583-2.93%0.0239✓0.8934k2022-02-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.9730.2274-2.40%24.65-20.41%0.2336✓1.461.1M2022-02-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.08821.0606-2.53%0.5826-46.46%0.6184✓0.953.8M2022-02-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.6380.621796-2.54%0.5976-6.33%0.0646✓1.234.5M2022-02-06
XMRMoneroMonero194.72189.7608-2.55%173.8-10.74%0.1073✓0.963.0M2022-02-06
FTTFTXEthereum35.5134.5879-2.60%46.65+31.37%0.2782✗1.0420.0M2022-02-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.8892.8139-2.60%2.784-3.63%0.0422✓1.561.4M2022-02-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos6.9896.8051-2.63%7.292+4.34%0.0443✗1.22315k2022-02-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.19284.0814-2.66%3.4089-18.70%0.2056✓1.264.5M2022-02-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.09420.091621-2.74%0.08812-6.45%0.0530✓0.6955k2022-02-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.832.752-2.75%2.18-22.97%0.2595✓1.313.2M2022-02-06
RADRadworksEthereum8.98.6538-2.77%5.79-34.94%0.4201✓0.901.2M2022-02-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.5061.4642-2.78%1.489-1.13%0.0105✓1.355.3M2022-02-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.15430.150002-2.79%0.129-16.40%0.1757✓1.232.1M2022-02-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.08550.083073-2.84%0.0712-16.73%0.1823✓1.391.2M2022-02-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.043490.042246-2.86%0.03208-26.24%0.2935✓0.908.2M2022-02-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.3061.2682-2.89%1.016-22.21%0.2486✓1.323.3M2022-02-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5046-2.93%1.22-21.29%0.2433✓1.66862k2022-02-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015620.015151-3.00%0.0126-19.33%0.2103✓1.282.2M2022-02-06
ZENHorizenBase55.5753.8982-3.01%47.49-14.54%0.1550✓1.41805k2022-02-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0914.62-3.11%16.28+7.89%0.0942✗0.661.1M2022-02-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.019.6981-3.12%10.26+2.50%0.0414✗0.741.2M2022-02-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02722.9306-3.19%3.2472+7.27%0.0790✗1.162.7M2022-02-06
STORJStorjEthereum1.56361.5135-3.21%1.3479-13.80%0.1333✓0.86663k2022-02-06
AAVEAaveEthereum211.6204.6961-3.26%173.57-17.97%0.1876✓1.1216.2M2022-02-06
DODODODOEthereum0.8020.775307-3.33%0.556-30.67%0.3610✓1.418.1M2022-02-06
IMXImmutableEthereum3.773.6434-3.36%2.82-25.20%0.2764✓1.002.5M2022-02-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.072.9664-3.38%2.33-24.10%0.2617✓1.003.2M2022-02-06
XTZTezosTezos4.25644.1109-3.42%3.9256-7.77%0.0731✓1.334.9M2022-02-06
SCSiacoinnative0.013580.013116-3.42%0.0116-14.58%0.1424✓0.97777k2022-02-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.049460.047757-3.44%0.04503-8.96%0.0806✓1.0816k2022-02-06
UMAUMAEthereum9.419.0857-3.45%6.44-31.56%0.3638✓0.974.1M2022-02-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum10.965464-3.45%0.83-17.00%0.1867✓1.761.9M2022-02-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche86.7983.7775-3.47%79.05-8.92%0.0802✓1.09119.5M2022-02-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.33780.325888-3.53%0.311-7.93%0.0757✓1.433.4M2022-02-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum30.2229.1316-3.60%23.36-22.70%0.2485✓1.3724.4M2022-02-06
SUSHISushiEthereum7.176.9106-3.62%4.81-32.91%0.3885✓1.2918.2M2022-02-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0295570.028468-3.69%0.02203-25.47%0.2771✓1.036.8M2022-02-06
BANDBandEthereum5.275.0757-3.69%3.97-24.67%0.2675✓1.082.1M2022-02-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.11110.106989-3.70%0.0894-19.53%0.2020✓1.11304k2022-02-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0593080.05711-3.71%0.039748-32.98%0.3881✓1.277.3M2022-02-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.07121.0311-3.75%0.94262-12.01%0.1251✓1.751.1M2022-02-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum30.0128.885-3.75%20.86-30.49%0.3630✓1.855.4M2022-02-06
ZECZcashZcash139.74134.3625-3.85%124.6-10.83%0.1009✓1.269.6M2022-02-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.45.1914-3.86%5.81+7.59%0.0894✗1.143.3M2022-02-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum9.268.9001-3.89%7.25-21.71%0.2037✓-0.071.8M2022-02-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01690.016237-3.93%0.01348-20.24%0.1985✓0.6230k2022-02-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.10040.096322-4.06%0.0929-7.47%0.0564✓1.0034.7M2022-02-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.26380.25282-4.16%0.232-12.05%0.1123✓1.304.6M2022-02-06
MOVRMoonriverBase163.2907156.4641-4.18%91.4575-43.99%0.5567✓0.98574k2022-02-06
API3Api3Ethereum3.793.6302-4.22%3.63-4.22%0.0203✓1.00929k2022-02-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.00670.963815-4.26%0.7752-23.00%0.2462✓1.401.7M2022-02-06
LSKLiskEthereum2.13922.0467-4.32%1.8521-13.42%0.1209✓1.0494k2022-02-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.49475.2559-4.35%5.1636-6.03%0.0407✓1.14480k2022-02-06
MANADecentralandEthereum3.052.9151-4.42%3.3003+8.21%0.1036✗1.015.6M2022-02-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.4451.3805-4.46%1.0259-29.00%0.3192✓1.1030.5M2022-02-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07490.071552-4.47%0.0408-45.53%0.5864✓1.2220.3M2022-02-06
LUNATerraTerra 268.6965.5943-4.51%56.13-18.29%0.1761✓1.007.4M2022-02-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.5460.520021-4.76%0.367-32.78%0.3743✓1.272.2M2022-02-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.1837.7754-4.98%6.279-23.27%0.2274✓0.68251k2022-02-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.59990.570013-4.98%0.5074-15.42%0.1437✓1.352.8M2022-02-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.11441.0584-5.03%0.9592-13.93%0.1178✓0.9622.3M2022-02-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3442.2255-5.06%2.063-11.99%0.0974✓1.071.9M2022-02-06
GTGateEthereum6.17375.8602-5.08%7.1624+16.01%0.1847✗0.793.9M2022-02-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME3.90993.7065-5.20%3.4668-11.33%0.0808✓0.698,5232022-02-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.159.6091-5.33%6.91-31.92%0.3431✓0.661.2M2022-02-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.51620.48866-5.34%0.6191+19.93%0.2078✗1.42650k2022-02-06
MINAMina Protocolnative3.363.1769-5.45%3.04-9.52%0.0646✓1.01715k2022-02-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06690.062976-5.87%0.0353-47.23%0.6064✓1.361.5M2022-02-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum25.9724.4313-5.92%18.06-30.46%0.3253✓1.1469.2M2022-02-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum37.0234.6003-6.54%31.33-15.37%0.1323✓1.632.8M2022-02-06
HIVEHivenative1.36121.2698-6.72%1.2177-10.54%0.0698✓1.385.0M2022-02-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.92150.859537-6.72%1.1073+20.16%0.2330✗1.00141k2022-02-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.33090.307943-6.94%0.3194-3.48%0.0162✓1.01293k2022-02-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.015090.014027-7.05%0.007-53.61%0.7436✓2.4029.0M2022-02-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum35,821.0833,193.19-7.34%24,634.41-31.23%0.3116✓0.6621.5M2022-02-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.1211.1126-8.31%8.58-29.21%0.2618✓0.153.0M2022-02-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.623.3177-8.35%2.17-40.06%0.4495✓1.2310.6M2022-02-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.172550.158128-8.36%0.23556+36.52%0.3672✗1.555,9572022-02-06
GITCOINGITCOIN12.09811.0505-8.66%8.466-30.02%0.2683✓0.0974k2022-02-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum54.559-8.82%3.39-32.20%0.3244✓1.3930.4M2022-02-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos38.5434.1808-11.31%31.31-18.76%0.1065✓0.9343.4M2022-02-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.69830.613823-12.10%0.5305-24.03%0.1815✓1.7635.9M2022-02-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.051.739-15.17%2.076+1.27%0.1587✓0.91922k2022-02-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.