2022-01-03 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3131

138 of 138 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+15.88%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

83.3%

in alpha space · 96.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-20.53%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▴	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.8413	0.71363	-15.18%	0.4666	-44.54%	0.0365	✓	1.69	31.9M	2022-02-02
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	6.53	5.7277	-12.29%	3.11	-52.37%	0.3061	✓	1.33	29.3M	2022-02-02
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.19941	0.176211	-11.63%	0.19118	-4.13%	0.4365	✗	1.55	6,519	2022-02-02
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		13.612	12.0612	-11.39%	7.564	-44.43%	0.4703	✓	-0.02	98k	2022-02-02
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02216	0.019653	-11.31%	0.00607	-72.61%	0.9452	✓	1.00	29.0M	2022-02-02
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	39.29	34.8558	-11.29%	26.33	-32.99%	0.0724	✓	0.91	43.4M	2022-02-02
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	3.89	3.4641	-10.95%	1.9	-51.16%	0.2966	✓	1.32	11.2M	2022-02-02
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	13.72	12.3274	-10.15%	7.54	-45.04%	0.4828	✓	0.04	3.7M	2022-02-02
HIVE	Hive	native	1.6303	1.4688	-9.91%	0.9455	-42.00%	0.1287	✓	1.36	5.5M	2022-02-02
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.374	0.339709	-9.17%	0.278	-25.67%	0.0280	✓	0.99	293k	2022-02-02
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	41.84	38.1135	-8.91%	26.55	-36.54%	0.0161	✓	1.64	2.8M	2022-02-02
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.64	0.58308	-8.89%	0.5361	-16.23%	0.2356	✗	1.39	650k	2022-02-02
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	12.81	11.7307	-8.43%	5.77	-54.96%	0.5726	✓	0.60	1.3M	2022-02-02
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.5062	1.3795	-8.41%	0.37	-75.43%	1.1177	✓	0.86	4.5M	2022-02-02
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.3842	1.2678	-8.41%	0.8404	-39.29%	0.2018	✓	0.91	21.2M	2022-02-02
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0731	0.067074	-8.24%	0.034	-53.49%	0.3582	✓	1.40	1.7M	2022-02-02
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	38,753.93	35,700.91	-7.88%	23,029.36	-40.58%	0.2969	✓	0.62	15.7M	2022-02-02
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.796	2.5781	-7.79%	1.696	-39.34%	0.1875	✓	1.01	1.9M	2022-02-02
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6942	0.64048	-7.74%	0.4277	-38.39%	0.1008	✓	1.32	2.9M	2022-02-02
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	7.19	6.6366	-7.70%	5.33	-25.87%	0.0395	✓	1.13	3.3M	2022-02-02
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.23	36.215	-7.69%	18.01	-54.09%	0.2855	✓	1.80	5.7M	2022-02-02
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	1.0025	0.926713	-7.56%	0.8666	-13.56%	0.1627	✗	1.00	146k	2022-02-02
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	108.09	99.9364	-7.54%	67.87	-37.21%	0.1449	✓	1.05	119.6M	2022-02-02
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7949	1.6613	-7.45%	0.9235	-48.55%	0.3413	✓	1.07	30.0M	2022-02-02
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.64	0.593958	-7.19%	0.316	-50.63%	0.3462	✓	1.24	2.2M	2022-02-02
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.2437	1.1566	-7.00%	0.6281	-49.50%	0.2891	✓	1.40	1.9M	2022-02-02
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.436	8.8015	-6.72%	5.754	-39.02%	0.2769	✓	0.64	302k	2022-02-02
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2506	3.032	-6.72%	2.537	-21.95%	0.0381	✓	0.94	5.9M	2022-02-02
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	150.55	140.5421	-6.65%	98.35	-34.67%	0.0646	✓	1.27	10.3M	2022-02-02
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	88.92	83.0737	-6.57%	47.6	-46.47%	0.3272	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-02-02
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	11.56	10.807	-6.51%	6.53	-43.51%	0.5397	✓	-0.16	2.3M	2022-02-02
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	267.25	250.6249	-6.22%	151.26	-43.40%	0.2548	✓	1.09	12.6M	2022-02-02
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.3019	1.2218	-6.15%	0.81012	-37.77%	0.0157	✓	1.72	1.3M	2022-02-02
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.0855	0.080288	-6.10%	0.0418	-51.11%	0.3769	✓	1.20	20.9M	2022-02-02
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	8.51	7.9921	-6.09%	4.09	-51.94%	0.3726	✓	1.29	17.7M	2022-02-02
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.57	3.3566	-5.98%	2.46	-31.09%	0.0689	✓	1.05	626k	2022-02-02
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01573	0.014796	-5.94%	0.00983	-37.51%	0.1916	✓	0.95	817k	2022-02-02
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.5394	1.4488	-5.88%	1.0423	-32.29%	0.1107	✓	0.95	3.7M	2022-02-02
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1352	0.127252	-5.88%	0.0794	-41.27%	0.2253	✓	1.07	310k	2022-02-02
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	191.896	180.6258	-5.87%	73.5972	-61.65%	0.6649	✓	1.01	574k	2022-02-02
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	11.29	10.6277	-5.87%	5.22	-53.76%	0.5173	✓	0.84	1.2M	2022-02-02
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.1828	5.8209	-5.85%	4.6307	-25.10%	0.0329	✓	1.14	577k	2022-02-02
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.8521	1.744	-5.84%	1.1125	-39.93%	0.2639	✓	0.81	689k	2022-02-02
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.605	4.3363	-5.83%	3.3042	-28.25%	0.1272	✓	0.63	18k	2022-02-02
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.197	0.185735	-5.72%	0.11	-44.16%	0.2516	✓	1.19	2.4M	2022-02-02
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.3005	0.283408	-5.69%	0.1803	-40.00%	0.1570	✓	1.29	4.6M	2022-02-02
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.4392	6.0751	-5.66%	6.8016	+5.63%	0.2929	✗	0.78	3.9M	2022-02-02
ZEN	Horizen	Base	63.44	59.8689	-5.63%	38.13	-39.90%	0.1260	✓	1.42	837k	2022-02-02
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.17	3.9361	-5.61%	2.18	-47.72%	0.3611	✓	1.00	3.4M	2022-02-02
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.02023	0.019105	-5.56%	0.0126	-37.72%	0.2845	✓	0.57	36k	2022-02-02
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	2.0456	1.9322	-5.54%	0.8664	-57.65%	0.3760	✓	1.85	1.5M	2022-02-02
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.3545	2.2264	-5.44%	1.6005	-32.02%	0.0906	✓	1.04	100k	2022-02-02
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.05248	0.049638	-5.42%	0.02927	-44.23%	0.3270	✓	0.88	8.2M	2022-02-02
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3888	0.368032	-5.34%	0.2783	-28.42%	0.0464	✓	1.42	3.4M	2022-02-02
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033837	0.032056	-5.26%	0.020246	-40.17%	0.2236	✓	1.03	7.8M	2022-02-02
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3948	1.3223	-5.20%	1.8613	+33.45%	0.5906	✗	1.08	926k	2022-02-02
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	4.57	4.3347	-5.15%	3.03	-33.70%	0.1284	✓	1.00	2.5M	2022-02-02
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.467	3.2925	-5.03%	2.582	-25.53%	0.1236	✗	1.60	1.9M	2022-02-02
PEOPLE	ConstitutionDAO	Ethereum	0.1235	0.117323	-5.00%	0.0786	-36.36%	0.1708	✓	1.00	35.9M	2022-02-02
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.05659	0.053791	-4.95%	0.03913	-30.85%	0.0778	✓	1.05	15k	2022-02-02
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.0636	0.060515	-4.85%	0.035872	-43.60%	0.2132	✓	1.35	7.5M	2022-02-02
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.616	1.5397	-4.72%	0.883	-45.36%	0.2610	✓	1.28	3.4M	2022-02-02
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.11092	0.105856	-4.57%	0.07379	-33.47%	0.2123	✓	0.65	55k	2022-02-02
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.14	1.0891	-4.47%	0.64	-43.86%	0.3019	✓	1.00	1.9M	2022-02-02
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.8156	4.6024	-4.43%	3.7524	-22.08%	0.0983	✗	1.32	4.9M	2022-02-02
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.27	8.8662	-4.36%	5.49	-40.78%	0.2228	✓	1.12	3.9M	2022-02-02
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.3721	0.355893	-4.36%	0.2314	-37.81%	0.1380	✓	1.27	3.4M	2022-02-02
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.94026	0.899493	-4.34%	0.5718	-39.19%	0.2072	✓	1.07	2.8M	2022-02-02
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.1004	0.096143	-4.24%	0.0599	-40.34%	0.1577	✓	1.37	1.6M	2022-02-02
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.72	1.6473	-4.23%	1.36	-20.93%	0.1958	✗	1.69	1.0M	2022-02-02
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	3.381	3.2396	-4.18%	2.235	-33.90%	0.1784	✓	0.84	41k	2022-02-02
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01736	0.016636	-4.17%	0.00952	-45.16%	0.2677	✓	1.26	2.2M	2022-02-02
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	36.41	34.8941	-4.16%	20.09	-44.82%	0.2165	✓	1.46	1.1M	2022-02-02
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.13	3.9611	-4.09%	3.4	-17.68%	0.0770	✗	1.00	1.0M	2022-02-02
XMR	Monero	Monero	231.81	222.4063	-4.06%	145.08	-37.41%	0.2127	✓	0.93	3.2M	2022-02-02
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.56	5.3408	-3.94%	3.37	-39.39%	0.1959	✓	1.15	2.1M	2022-02-02
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.904	0.868562	-3.92%	0.465	-48.56%	0.2958	✓	1.43	8.1M	2022-02-02
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	148.43	142.673	-3.88%	108.36	-27.00%	0.0300	✓	1.33	38.3M	2022-02-02
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	40.22	38.6737	-3.84%	42.9	+6.66%	0.3348	✗	1.01	19.4M	2022-02-02
XVG	Verge	native	0.01731	0.016663	-3.74%	0.00978	-43.50%	0.2596	✓	1.19	2.2M	2022-02-02
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.25	3.1302	-3.68%	1.87	-42.46%	0.2189	✓	1.29	3.0M	2022-02-02
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.682	1.6201	-3.68%	1.279	-23.96%	0.0727	✗	1.35	6.0M	2022-02-02
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	94.38	90.9448	-3.64%	49.12	-47.96%	0.3937	✓	0.97	6.3M	2022-02-02
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.086	0.082883	-3.62%	0.0643	-25.23%	0.0159	✓	1.04	20k	2022-02-02
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7048	0.679627	-3.57%	0.5398	-23.41%	0.0554	✗	1.24	5.3M	2022-02-02
KCS	KuCoin	native	22.363	21.5907	-3.45%	17.776	-20.51%	0.1759	✗	1.61	14.1M	2022-02-02
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.777	4.6124	-3.45%	3.166	-33.72%	0.2049	✓	0.75	1.2M	2022-02-02
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1177	3.014	-3.33%	3.0352	-2.65%	0.2824	✗	1.20	3.1M	2022-02-02
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.43	3.3168	-3.30%	2.41	-29.74%	0.0956	✓	0.97	995k	2022-02-02
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003307	0.000031979	-3.30%	0.00002064	-37.59%	0.1517	✓	1.25	1.7M	2022-02-02
SOL	Solana	Solana	170.13	164.5937	-3.25%	101.99	-40.05%	0.2559	✓	0.97	217.0M	2022-02-02
DASH	Dash	Dash	139.05	134.5476	-3.24%	93.05	-33.08%	0.0858	✓	1.23	1.9M	2022-02-02
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.316	8.0532	-3.16%	5.883	-29.26%	0.0329	✓	1.22	354k	2022-02-02
XEC	eCash	native	0.00011648	0.000112809	-3.15%	0.00007582	-34.91%	0.1737	✓	0.97	7.4M	2022-02-02
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	23.72	22.9757	-3.14%	15.79	-33.43%	0.0880	✓	1.25	69.2M	2022-02-02
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.51	10.1841	-3.10%	9.36	-10.94%	0.0872	✗	0.75	1.3M	2022-02-02
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.24	1.202	-3.07%	0.719	-42.02%	0.3019	✓	0.92	2.5M	2022-02-02
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.2052	0.199219	-2.91%	0.1092	-46.78%	0.3246	✓	1.20	4.8M	2022-02-02
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.7	23.9819	-2.91%	13.76	-44.29%	0.3953	✓	0.70	1.3M	2022-02-02
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.6279	4.4994	-2.78%	3.1357	-32.24%	0.0644	✓	1.29	5.0M	2022-02-02
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.7914	3.6865	-2.77%	4.1355	+9.08%	0.0893	✗	-0.11	374k	2022-02-02
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	31.64	30.8018	-2.65%	23.57	-25.51%	0.1192	✓	0.65	385k	2022-02-02
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.414	0.40308	-2.64%	0.25	-39.61%	0.3119	✓	0.72	41k	2022-02-02
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.152	4.0482	-2.50%	3.03	-27.02%	0.1372	✓	0.66	483k	2022-02-02
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6582	0.642006	-2.46%	0.4048	-38.50%	0.1877	✓	1.19	11.4M	2022-02-02
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	289.65	282.585	-2.44%	162.31	-43.96%	0.3049	✓	1.09	1.3M	2022-02-02
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,766.04	3,679.27	-2.30%	2,682.66	-28.77%	0.0827	✓	1.02	654.8M	2022-02-02
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.18	14.8329	-2.29%	14.09	-7.18%	0.1038	✗	0.68	1.2M	2022-02-02
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.5792	3.4976	-2.28%	2.1064	-41.15%	0.2667	✓	1.05	754k	2022-02-02
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.1984	0.193957	-2.24%	0.1348	-32.06%	0.1605	✓	0.89	527k	2022-02-02
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	9.2052	9.0008	-2.22%	6.025	-34.55%	0.0914	✓	1.35	273k	2022-02-02
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3186	1.2893	-2.22%	1.0268	-22.13%	0.0171	✓	1.07	98.5M	2022-02-02
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.6	8.4152	-2.15%	6.05	-29.65%	0.1624	✓	0.73	773k	2022-02-02
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	29.28	28.6866	-2.03%	21.59	-26.26%	0.0337	✗	1.38	24.2M	2022-02-02
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	30.09	29.5041	-1.95%	18.76	-37.65%	0.1634	✓	1.26	72.5M	2022-02-02
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.12106	0.118742	-1.91%	0.08941	-26.14%	0.0353	✓	1.08	26k	2022-02-02
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.89	8.7244	-1.86%	6.02	-32.28%	0.2339	✓	0.60	869k	2022-02-02
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.72	34.1633	-1.60%	26.29	-24.28%	0.0329	✓	1.00	3.9M	2022-02-02
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.09008	0.088648	-1.59%	0.05325	-40.89%	0.1755	✓	1.45	3.0M	2022-02-02
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.152	5.0704	-1.58%	3.998	-22.40%	0.1022	✓	0.59	598k	2022-02-02
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	434.61	428.1454	-1.49%	278	-36.03%	0.2039	✓	0.99	9.1M	2022-02-02
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.290288	0.286063	-1.46%	0.193151	-33.46%	0.1611	✓	1.01	24.9M	2022-02-02
XYM	Symbol	native	0.2058	0.203346	-1.19%	0.1756	-14.67%	0.0076	✓	0.61	428k	2022-02-02
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.18	120.8532	-1.09%	90	-26.34%	0.0797	✓	0.94	3.2M	2022-02-02
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.56	2.5327	-1.07%	1.63	-36.33%	0.2073	✓	1.02	4.0M	2022-02-02
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.52	15.3634	-1.01%	7.83	-49.55%	0.4115	✓	1.14	3.5M	2022-02-02
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	46,018.20	45,561.37	-0.99%	37,883.40	-17.68%	0.0390	✗	0.97	10k	2022-02-02
XEM	NEM	native	0.127	0.125833	-0.92%	0.1015	-20.08%	0.0283	✗	1.06	115k	2022-02-02
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.21	7.1499	-0.83%	5.04	-30.10%	0.2038	✓	0.64	861k	2022-02-02
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	46,459.56	46,106.63	-0.76%	36,923.39	-20.53%	0.0076	✗	1.00	727.0M	2022-02-02
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.265	2.248	-0.75%	1.589	-29.85%	0.0919	✓	1.11	2.7M	2022-02-02
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	18.47	18.3325	-0.74%	10.53	-42.99%	0.2658	✓	1.26	14.1M	2022-02-02
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.170103	0.169094	-0.59%	0.137104	-19.40%	0.0406	✗	1.09	4.7M	2022-02-02
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.076988	0.076594	-0.51%	0.058639	-23.83%	0.0545	✓	0.93	552k	2022-02-02
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.99	178.3921	-0.33%	113.54	-36.57%	0.2367	✓	0.94	8.7M	2022-02-02
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022053	0.022004	-0.22%	0.014783	-32.97%	0.1176	✓	1.22	2.4M	2022-02-02
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	222.2	221.7949	-0.18%	121.22	-45.45%	0.3486	✓	1.11	210k	2022-02-02
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	35.08	35.499	+1.19%	20.19	-42.45%	0.3273	✗	1.03	22.7M	2022-02-02

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.