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2021-12-31 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3771
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+29.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.0%
in alpha space · 90.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-17.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
XYMSymbolnative0.19450.19624+0.89%0.1781-8.43%0.0075✓0.53410k2022-01-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.2434.5056+0.78%19.84-42.06%0.3486✗1.0323.7M2022-01-30
UNIUniswapEthereum16.9817.1038+0.73%10.8-36.40%0.2022✗1.3015.5M2022-01-30
TRXTRONTron0.0754770.075715+0.31%0.058692-22.24%0.0662✗0.95607k2022-01-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,211.2446,347.21+0.29%37,901.35-17.98%0.0029✗1.00750.8M2022-01-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.067.074+0.20%5.28-25.21%0.1663✗0.641.1M2022-01-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot26.6726.7084+0.14%18.19-31.80%0.1295✗1.2875.1M2022-01-30
XEMNEMnative0.12270.122815+0.09%0.1024-16.54%0.0375✓1.11153k2022-01-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.88.8069+0.08%6.16-30.00%0.2370✗0.61999k2022-01-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.4224.3871-0.13%19.28-21.05%0.0486✗1.4324.2M2022-01-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2664780.265988-0.18%0.195399-26.67%0.1060✓1.0227.7M2022-01-30
XECeCashnative0.000108190.000107975-0.20%0.00007524-30.46%0.1638✓1.008.0M2022-01-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.5119.4702-0.20%17.77-8.92%0.1741✗1.3469.7M2022-01-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1702220.169643-0.34%0.139318-18.16%0.0233✗1.115.5M2022-01-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.0633.9399-0.35%24.92-26.83%0.1016✓1.054.7M2022-01-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.087670.08736-0.35%0.0595-32.13%0.0967✓1.453.9M2022-01-30
FTTFTXEthereum38.2538.0798-0.44%41.05+7.32%0.2834✗1.0520.7M2022-01-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,060.2045,822.18-0.52%37,655.60-18.25%0.0025✓0.989,2042022-01-30
XMRMoneroMonero228.93227.4396-0.65%148.16-35.28%0.2360✓0.973.0M2022-01-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0582.0433-0.72%1.486-27.79%0.0939✓1.133.1M2022-01-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0218220.021654-0.77%0.014098-35.40%0.1889✓1.212.4M2022-01-30
QNTQuantEthereum179.22177.8184-0.78%94.77-47.12%0.4371✓0.979.4M2022-01-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0296-0.80%9.32-7.81%0.0749✗0.751.3M2022-01-30
QTUMQtumQtum8.7368.6662-0.80%5.9884-31.45%0.0855✓1.43280k2022-01-30
DASHDashDash133.78132.4156-1.02%92.77-30.65%0.1030✓1.282.1M2022-01-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.15144.6352-1.04%108.59-25.70%0.0178✓1.3646.1M2022-01-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3648-1.06%1.66-30.54%0.1454✓1.054.1M2022-01-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.15425.4045-1.10%290.04-32.57%0.1828✓1.019.8M2022-01-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08230.081341-1.17%0.066-19.81%0.0057✓1.0820k2022-01-30
COMPCompoundEthereum199.58197.2109-1.19%117.46-41.15%0.2900✓1.15210k2022-01-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2591.2433-1.25%0.732-41.86%0.3417✓0.952.7M2022-01-30
XVSVenusEthereum15.1414.9493-1.26%7.79-48.55%0.4258✓1.144.3M2022-01-30
GTGateEthereum6.55556.4666-1.36%6.7915+3.60%0.2151✗0.844.0M2022-01-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.02119.3753-1.36%90.34-25.35%0.0880✓0.963.7M2022-01-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0183.9605-1.43%3.067-23.67%0.1271✓0.65502k2022-01-30
ETHEthereumEthereum3,675.803,622.94-1.44%2,602.89-29.19%0.1233✓1.05716.9M2022-01-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09710.095659-1.48%0.0619-36.25%0.1624✓1.381.8M2022-01-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.112710.11101-1.51%0.08818-21.76%0.0087✓1.1229k2022-01-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0234.9462-1.53%4.078-18.81%0.0752✓0.59773k2022-01-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19840.195347-1.54%0.1251-36.95%0.2675✓0.90622k2022-01-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8026110.789968-1.58%0.553313-31.06%0.1361✓1.112.8M2022-01-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64210.631036-1.72%0.3997-37.75%0.1992✓1.3011.8M2022-01-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.430.8578-1.73%25.75-17.99%0.0481✓0.67503k2022-01-30
NANOnanopayBase3.40153.3423-1.74%2.2301-34.44%0.1942✓1.06798k2022-01-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.485.3835-1.76%5.25-4.20%0.2024✗1.154.3M2022-01-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum8.8738.7159-1.77%6.101-31.24%0.2380✓0.60338k2022-01-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0714.7845-1.89%14.02-6.97%0.0829✗0.691.4M2022-01-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.0632.4323-1.90%20.05-39.35%0.1771✓1.531.3M2022-01-30
KSMKusamaHydration276.22270.6864-2.00%163.11-40.95%0.2858✓1.111.4M2022-01-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41390.405418-2.05%0.5479+32.37%0.5793✗1.40722k2022-01-30
ADACardanoCardano1.30821.2805-2.11%1.0359-20.81%0.0026✓1.08106.2M2022-01-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.88625.7608-2.13%4.8343-17.87%0.0633✗1.20649k2022-01-30
SOLSolanaSolana169.88166.2479-2.14%93.31-45.07%0.3687✓1.05236.5M2022-01-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36550.35761-2.16%0.2398-34.39%0.1460✓1.284.2M2022-01-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0338250.033085-2.19%0.021008-37.89%0.2474✓1.048.5M2022-01-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.932.8639-2.25%1.9-35.15%0.1509✓1.313.2M2022-01-30
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.76133.6753-2.29%3.587-4.63%0.0477✓-0.12409k2022-01-30
BANDBandEthereum5.014.8929-2.34%3.45-31.14%0.1096✓1.212.4M2022-01-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum93.2190.9776-2.40%53.4-42.71%0.3397✓0.977.0M2022-01-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.12830.125226-2.40%0.0797-37.88%0.2395✓1.07324k2022-01-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.5084.3989-2.42%3.138-30.39%0.1979✓0.711.0M2022-01-30
KCSKuCoinnative21.37620.8576-2.43%17.407-18.57%0.1453✗1.6516.6M2022-01-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.14643.0665-2.54%3.0137-4.22%0.2220✗1.213.3M2022-01-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6341.592-2.57%1.414-13.46%0.1484✗1.357.6M2022-01-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.70780.689467-2.59%0.5123-27.62%0.0447✓1.276.1M2022-01-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.015790.015381-2.59%0.00971-38.51%0.2023✓1.302.3M2022-01-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.418.1882-2.64%6.14-26.99%0.1366✓0.761.1M2022-01-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.17.8809-2.71%5.789-28.53%0.0578✓1.26391k2022-01-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20230.1967-2.77%0.1153-43.01%0.2897✓1.235.4M2022-01-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.213.1206-2.79%2.48-22.74%0.0315✓1.001.1M2022-01-30
CBKCobakEthereum2.8822.8002-2.84%2.243-22.17%0.0481✓0.8853k2022-01-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019080.018532-2.87%0.01326-30.50%0.2104✓0.6342k2022-01-30
XVGVergenative0.017030.016538-2.89%0.00997-41.46%0.2697✓1.192.4M2022-01-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.4123.703-2.90%14.23-41.70%0.3025✓1.051.5M2022-01-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5421.4962-2.97%0.897-41.83%0.2582✓1.283.6M2022-01-30
XTZTezosTezos4.34044.2111-2.98%3.2781-24.47%0.0114✓1.324.9M2022-01-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4260.413213-3.00%0.251-41.08%0.3524✓0.7446k2022-01-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.28330.274704-3.03%0.1816-35.90%0.1545✓1.315.5M2022-01-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.048280.046812-3.04%0.02962-38.65%0.2766✓0.918.6M2022-01-30
UMAUMAEthereum9.118.8286-3.09%5.92-35.02%0.1771✓1.124.1M2022-01-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27961.2386-3.20%1.7386+35.87%0.5537✗1.08987k2022-01-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.10090.097422-3.45%0.07979-20.92%0.0718✓0.6564k2022-01-30
DODODODOEthereum0.8430.813743-3.47%0.496-41.16%0.2012✓1.488.5M2022-01-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.35470.34228-3.50%0.3236-8.77%0.2366✗1.484.3M2022-01-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0635290.061287-3.53%0.038887-38.79%0.1751✓1.417.9M2022-01-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033420.000032235-3.54%0.00002109-36.89%0.1738✓1.262.0M2022-01-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum33,038.2831,831.94-3.65%23,834.59-27.86%0.1767✓0.5713.3M2022-01-30
STORJStorjEthereum1.74281.678-3.72%1.158-33.56%0.2140✓0.79889k2022-01-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.053310.051287-3.79%0.04035-24.31%0.0202✓1.1115k2022-01-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.74254.5607-3.83%3.0214-36.29%0.2673✓0.7322k2022-01-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.60644.4262-3.91%3.0959-32.79%0.1007✓1.305.0M2022-01-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.621.5551-4.01%0.81-50.00%0.3106✓1.721.1M2022-01-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0838-4.09%0.64-43.36%0.3285✓1.002.2M2022-01-30
AAVEAaveEthereum253.92243.5248-4.09%149.01-41.32%0.2669✓1.1311.5M2022-01-30
IMXImmutableEthereum4.914.7081-4.11%2.57-47.66%0.4071✓1.003.0M2022-01-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07630.073015-4.31%0.0352-53.87%0.4545✓1.391.7M2022-01-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.65891.587-4.33%0.9447-43.05%0.2966✓1.1231.7M2022-01-30
LRCLoopringEthereum2.09081.9957-4.55%1.0017-52.09%0.3083✓1.921.5M2022-01-30
CELLCellframeEthereum0.90880.867254-4.57%0.8483-6.66%0.1761✗1.00146k2022-01-30
API3Api3Ethereum4.224.0263-4.59%3.63-13.98%0.0946✗1.001.1M2022-01-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.17520.166859-4.76%0.1219-30.42%0.0842✓1.162.8M2022-01-30
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.3707-4.78%2.27-35.88%0.1835✓1.07723k2022-01-30
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.3287-4.80%5.09-53.09%0.5386✓0.851.2M2022-01-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.20391.1448-4.91%0.83304-30.81%0.0355✓1.781.4M2022-01-30
ZENHorizenBase60.5757.5429-5.00%40.22-33.60%0.0592✓1.511.0M2022-01-30
GITCOINGITCOIN12.73412.0816-5.12%7.233-43.20%0.5337✓-0.10111k2022-01-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos32.4330.7436-5.20%27.19-16.16%0.0531✓0.8942.6M2022-01-30
MOVRMoonriverBase181.8528171.9711-5.43%75.0918-58.71%0.5987✓1.16622k2022-01-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.56661.4807-5.48%1.0776-31.22%0.1262✓0.974.3M2022-01-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.085130.080445-5.50%0.04709-44.68%0.2901✓1.2421.7M2022-01-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.22821.1603-5.53%0.5944-51.60%0.3922✓1.402.1M2022-01-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche109.4103.13-5.73%67.98-37.86%0.1969✓1.11127.7M2022-01-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum39.6937.2401-6.17%26.29-33.76%0.0164✓1.672.9M2022-01-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.324.9896-6.21%3.18-40.23%0.1892✓1.3228.7M2022-01-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68640.643762-6.21%0.4519-34.16%0.0909✓1.333.1M2022-01-30
SUSHISushiEthereum9.428.8303-6.26%4.09-56.58%0.5040✓1.3417.1M2022-01-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.4963.2766-6.28%2.693-22.97%0.1214✗1.602.5M2022-01-30
LUNATerraTerra 285.5680.1865-6.28%46.21-45.99%0.3529✓1.006.3M2022-01-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.7811.0389-6.29%6.37-45.93%0.5842✓-0.173.4M2022-01-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6120.573274-6.33%0.313-48.86%0.3532✓1.272.5M2022-01-30
ZECZcashZcash146.46136.8758-6.54%93.02-36.49%0.1159✓1.3611.8M2022-01-30
SCSiacoinnative0.015180.014168-6.67%0.00984-35.18%0.1741✓0.96868k2022-01-30
MANADecentralandEthereum3.26773.0485-6.71%2.5078-23.25%0.0072✓0.956.9M2022-01-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.711.8194-6.93%7.28-42.68%0.4931✓-0.044.2M2022-01-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.3972.2286-7.03%1.5641-34.75%0.1275✓1.14128k2022-01-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5742.3926-7.05%1.788-30.54%0.0881✓1.032.1M2022-01-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.36581.2694-7.06%0.8142-40.39%0.2577✓0.9423.6M2022-01-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.9235.9835-7.54%19.1-50.92%0.2728✓1.826.6M2022-01-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.343.9981-7.88%2.14-50.69%0.4268✓1.003.4M2022-01-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2211.2529-7.91%5.92-51.55%0.5304✓0.561.3M2022-01-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.32790.30141-8.08%0.2571-21.59%0.0281✓0.94293k2022-01-30
HIVEHivenative1.48961.3472-9.56%0.9375-37.06%0.0855✓1.405.8M2022-01-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.196880.177074-10.06%0.18014-8.50%0.3321✗1.598,4562022-01-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.621.4381-11.23%0.4444-72.57%1.0112✓0.824.6M2022-01-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.553.9721-12.70%2.13-53.19%0.3566✓1.3412.3M2022-01-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023460.020403-13.03%0.0074-68.46%0.8160✓1.0033.0M2022-01-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.93560.776046-17.05%0.5593-40.22%0.0085✓1.7030.1M2022-01-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.