2021-12-30 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.

+1d +7d +30d asset cohort only

rank IC

+0.3213

137 of 137 tokens assessed

long-short decile

+28.20%

realised beta-adjusted alpha

direction hit

80.3%

in alpha space · 93.4% on raw price

BTC over horizon

-18.95%

the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

token	name	chain	anchor px	pred px ▾	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d	vol 30d	target
FIL	Filecoin	Filecoin	34.96	35.6136	+1.87%	20.29	-41.96%	0.3453	✗	1.03	23.3M	2022-01-29
COMP	Compound	Ethereum	199.64	201.9229	+1.14%	123.06	-38.36%	0.2522	✗	1.16	220k	2022-01-29
UNI	Uniswap	Ethereum	17.81	17.9386	+0.72%	11.16	-37.34%	0.2025	✗	1.29	15.5M	2022-01-29
MTL	Metal DAO	Metal L2	2.063	2.0681	+0.25%	1.493	-27.63%	0.0869	✗	1.14	3.2M	2022-01-29
ICP	Internet Computer	Ethereum	24.78	24.8144	+0.14%	20.18	-18.56%	0.0946	✓	1.43	24.1M	2022-01-29
XLM	Stellar	Stellar	0.268	0.268068	+0.03%	0.203491	-24.07%	0.0604	✗	1.02	29.6M	2022-01-29
SUN	Sun Token	Tron	0.022142	0.02214	-0.01%	0.014518	-34.43%	0.1669	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-29
QNT	Quant	Ethereum	178.71	178.451	-0.14%	97.51	-45.44%	0.3995	✓	0.97	9.8M	2022-01-29
DOGE	Dogecoin	Dogecoin	0.171183	0.170683	-0.29%	0.143169	-16.36%	0.0584	✗	1.11	5.5M	2022-01-29
1INCH	1INCH	Ethereum	2.46	2.45	-0.41%	1.72	-30.08%	0.1330	✓	1.05	4.2M	2022-01-29
BTC	Bitcoin	Bitcoin	47,122.08	46,927.02	-0.41%	38,191.10	-18.95%	0.0041	✗	1.00	750.8M	2022-01-29
BCHSV	Bitcoin Cash SV		122.49	121.8919	-0.49%	92.7	-24.32%	0.0712	✓	0.96	3.7M	2022-01-29
DOT	Polkadot	Polkadot	27.53	27.3721	-0.57%	18.75	-31.89%	0.1087	✓	1.28	75.5M	2022-01-29
TRX	TRON	Tron	0.077853	0.077388	-0.60%	0.060341	-22.49%	0.0496	✓	0.95	607k	2022-01-29
XEM	NEM	native	0.1255	0.124707	-0.63%	0.1047	-16.57%	0.0576	✗	1.11	158k	2022-01-29
ATM	Atletico Madrid Fan Token	Solana	7.13	7.078	-0.73%	5.16	-27.63%	0.1819	✓	0.64	1.1M	2022-01-29
LINK	Chainlink	Ethereum	19.94	19.7898	-0.75%	16.24	-18.56%	0.0839	✗	1.34	69.7M	2022-01-29
XVS	Venus	Ethereum	15.37	15.248	-0.79%	8.22	-46.52%	0.3777	✓	1.14	4.7M	2022-01-29
XYM	Symbol	native	0.188	0.186475	-0.81%	0.1739	-7.50%	0.0432	✗	0.54	393k	2022-01-29
ACM	AC Milan Fan Token	Solana	5.079	5.0343	-0.88%	4.042	-20.42%	0.0944	✓	0.60	798k	2022-01-29
BCH	Bitcoin Cash	Bitcoin Cash	431.58	427.4744	-0.95%	299.03	-30.71%	0.1443	✓	1.01	9.8M	2022-01-29
DKA	dKargo	Ethereum	0.11126	0.110197	-0.96%	0.08979	-19.30%	0.0315	✗	1.12	29k	2022-01-29
ETC	Ethereum Classic	native	34.57	34.2318	-0.98%	25.34	-26.70%	0.0806	✓	1.05	4.7M	2022-01-29
WBTC	Wrapped Bitcoin	Ethereum	47,186.00	46,574.89	-1.30%	38,181.60	-19.08%	0.0065	✓	0.98	9,204	2022-01-29
ASM	Assemble AI	Ethereum	0.08851	0.087355	-1.31%	0.06396	-27.74%	0.0063	✓	1.45	4.0M	2022-01-29
KSM	Kusama	Hydration	280.04	275.0567	-1.78%	171.16	-38.88%	0.2400	✓	1.12	1.5M	2022-01-29
QTUM	Qtum	Qtum	8.8384	8.6806	-1.78%	5.9616	-32.55%	0.0739	✓	1.44	280k	2022-01-29
ASR	AS Roma Fan Token	Solana	4.048	3.9748	-1.81%	3.009	-25.67%	0.1416	✓	0.65	514k	2022-01-29
BAR	FC Barcelona Fan Token	Solana	8.87	8.7078	-1.83%	5.93	-33.15%	0.2560	✓	0.61	1.0M	2022-01-29
NANO	nanopay	Base	3.4868	3.4228	-1.84%	2.3362	-33.00%	0.1590	✓	1.06	819k	2022-01-29
CBK	Cobak	Ethereum	2.91	2.8554	-1.88%	2.245	-22.85%	0.0559	✓	0.88	65k	2022-01-29
PHA	PHALA	Ethereum	0.403	0.395421	-1.88%	0.251	-37.72%	0.2962	✓	0.75	45k	2022-01-29
ETH	Ethereum	Ethereum	3,710.02	3,639.58	-1.90%	2,603.74	-29.82%	0.1147	✓	1.05	752.6M	2022-01-29
ZRX	0x Protocol	Ethereum	0.795409	0.780299	-1.90%	0.565434	-28.91%	0.0876	✓	1.12	2.8M	2022-01-29
JUV	Juventus Fan Token	Solana	8.72	8.5514	-1.93%	6.08	-30.28%	0.1815	✓	0.76	1.1M	2022-01-29
RIF	Rootstock Infrastructure Framework	Ethereum	0.2007	0.196484	-2.10%	0.1205	-39.96%	0.2998	✓	0.90	655k	2022-01-29
ADA	Cardano	Cardano	1.3585	1.3279	-2.25%	1.0603	-21.95%	0.0018	✓	1.08	114.6M	2022-01-29
BNT	Bancor Network	Ethereum	3.27	3.1958	-2.27%	2.42	-25.99%	0.0679	✓	1.00	1.1M	2022-01-29
POWR	Powerledger	Ethereum	0.4189	0.40935	-2.28%	0.5693	+35.90%	0.6264	✗	1.41	793k	2022-01-29
AUCTION	Bounce	Ethereum	24.01	23.4537	-2.32%	14.12	-41.19%	0.2852	✓	1.06	1.5M	2022-01-29
GRT	The Graph	Ethereum	0.6466	0.631292	-2.37%	0.4104	-36.53%	0.1569	✓	1.30	11.8M	2022-01-29
DASH	Dash	Dash	133.04	129.8742	-2.38%	96.55	-27.43%	0.0271	✓	1.28	2.0M	2022-01-29
XEC	eCash	native	0.00010959	0.000106808	-2.54%	0.00007692	-29.81%	0.1185	✓	1.00	9.0M	2022-01-29
NMR	Numeraire	Ethereum	32.06	31.2284	-2.59%	26.24	-18.15%	0.0335	✓	0.67	518k	2022-01-29
RLC	iExec RLC	Ethereum	3.09	3.0087	-2.63%	1.92	-37.86%	0.1755	✓	1.30	3.2M	2022-01-29
PSG	Paris Saint-Germain Fan Token	Solana	15.45	15.041	-2.65%	13.15	-14.89%	0.0094	✓	0.68	1.4M	2022-01-29
DYDX	dYdX	Cosmos	8.302	8.0821	-2.65%	6.128	-26.19%	0.0108	✓	1.27	392k	2022-01-29
BAND	Band	Ethereum	5.13	4.9902	-2.73%	3.51	-31.58%	0.0976	✓	1.21	2.4M	2022-01-29
SNX	Synthetix	Ethereum	5.55	5.3986	-2.73%	5.4	-2.70%	0.2420	✗	1.15	4.3M	2022-01-29
OG	OG Fan Token	Solana	4.697	4.5675	-2.76%	3.258	-30.64%	0.1907	✓	0.70	1.0M	2022-01-29
ORBS	Orbs	Ethereum	0.0828	0.080423	-2.87%	0.0653	-21.14%	0.0200	✓	1.09	18k	2022-01-29
LEO	LEO Token	Ethereum	3.8078	3.6975	-2.90%	3.4878	-8.40%	0.0840	✓	-0.12	409k	2022-01-29
TKO	Tokocrypto	Binance Smart Chain	1.267	1.2301	-2.92%	0.731	-42.30%	0.3204	✓	0.95	2.8M	2022-01-29
CITY	Manchester City Fan Token	Solana	10.11	9.8142	-2.93%	9.17	-9.30%	0.0902	✗	0.75	1.4M	2022-01-29
XTZ	Tezos	Tezos	4.3407	4.2112	-2.98%	3.0915	-28.78%	0.0303	✓	1.33	4.9M	2022-01-29
SKL	SKALE	Ethereum	0.208	0.201658	-3.05%	0.121	-41.83%	0.2517	✓	1.23	5.7M	2022-01-29
FTT	FTX	Ethereum	38.89	37.7001	-3.06%	41.73	+7.30%	0.3226	✗	1.05	20.7M	2022-01-29
KCS	KuCoin	native	21.048	20.3933	-3.11%	17.542	-16.66%	0.1967	✗	1.65	17.5M	2022-01-29
LAZIO	Lazio Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	4.7081	4.5602	-3.14%	3.1573	-32.94%	0.0945	✓	1.30	5.0M	2022-01-29
SOL	Solana	Solana	172.52	166.9875	-3.21%	96.25	-44.21%	0.3294	✓	1.05	248.9M	2022-01-29
DODO	DODO	Ethereum	0.863	0.834937	-3.25%	0.508	-41.14%	0.1850	✓	1.48	8.7M	2022-01-29
TRB	Tellor Tributes	Ethereum	33.99	32.8826	-3.26%	20.73	-39.01%	0.1391	✓	1.53	1.3M	2022-01-29
CTK	Shentu	Osmosis	1.624	1.57	-3.32%	1.364	-16.01%	0.1436	✗	1.35	7.9M	2022-01-29
XMR	Monero	Monero	225.01	217.0939	-3.52%	153.67	-31.71%	0.1398	✓	0.98	2.9M	2022-01-29
XPR	XPR Network	Ethereum	0.01653	0.015936	-3.59%	0.0104	-37.08%	0.1542	✓	1.30	2.4M	2022-01-29
ANKR	Ankr Network	Ethereum	0.10085	0.097143	-3.68%	0.0727	-27.91%	0.1538	✓	0.65	74k	2022-01-29
BEL	Bella Protocol	Ethereum	1.533	1.4756	-3.75%	0.924	-39.73%	0.1980	✓	1.29	3.8M	2022-01-29
XVG	Verge	native	0.01711	0.016467	-3.76%	0.01002	-41.44%	0.2454	✓	1.20	2.5M	2022-01-29
LTC	Litecoin	Litecoin	147.94	142.3007	-3.81%	110.84	-25.08%	0.0357	✓	1.36	49.4M	2022-01-29
PORTO	FC Porto	Binance Smart Chain	3.1771	3.0556	-3.82%	2.9824	-6.13%	0.2311	✗	1.22	3.3M	2022-01-29
AXS	Axie Infinity	Ethereum	95.03	91.3527	-3.87%	49.58	-47.83%	0.4065	✓	0.97	7.4M	2022-01-29
TWT	Trust Wallet	Binance Smart Chain	0.7283	0.699847	-3.91%	0.5251	-27.90%	0.0199	✓	1.27	6.2M	2022-01-29
AGLD	Adventure Gold	Ethereum	1.69	1.6223	-4.01%	0.85	-49.70%	0.2845	✓	1.72	1.2M	2022-01-29
SHIB	Shiba Inu	Ethereum	0.00003376	0.000032404	-4.02%	0.00002166	-35.84%	0.1358	✓	1.27	2.1M	2022-01-29
ARPA	ARPA	Ethereum	0.0981	0.094151	-4.03%	0.0636	-35.17%	0.1023	✓	1.38	1.9M	2022-01-29
KNC	Kyber Network Crystal	Ethereum	1.3222	1.2684	-4.07%	1.7284	+30.72%	0.5364	✗	1.08	1.0M	2022-01-29
YFI	yearn.finance	Ethereum	30,177.90	28,944.19	-4.09%	24,297.65	-19.49%	0.0510	✓	0.59	10.4M	2022-01-29
ACH	Alchemy Pay	Ethereum	0.061787	0.059143	-4.28%	0.039999	-35.26%	0.0923	✓	1.42	7.9M	2022-01-29
API3	Api3	Ethereum	4.42	4.2292	-4.32%	3.69	-16.52%	0.0738	✗	1.00	1.2M	2022-01-29
MED	Medibloc	Osmosis	0.0549	0.05246	-4.44%	0.04089	-25.52%	0.0167	✓	1.11	15k	2022-01-29
AMP	Amp	Ethereum	0.04892	0.04674	-4.46%	0.03035	-37.96%	0.2398	✓	0.91	9.1M	2022-01-29
OXT	Orchid Protocol	Ethereum	0.37	0.353106	-4.57%	0.2425	-34.46%	0.1064	✓	1.28	4.3M	2022-01-29
COTI	COTI	Ethereum	0.3713	0.354103	-4.63%	0.31	-16.51%	0.1765	✗	1.47	4.4M	2022-01-29
SUPER	SuperVerse	Ethereum	1.13	1.076	-4.78%	0.66	-41.59%	0.2786	✓	1.00	2.3M	2022-01-29
JASMY	JasmyCoin	Ethereum	0.07911	0.075283	-4.84%	0.05052	-36.14%	0.1347	✓	1.26	21.7M	2022-01-29
METRONOME	METRONOME		4.57	4.3466	-4.89%	3.0631	-32.97%	0.1946	✓	0.74	25k	2022-01-29
GODS	Gods Unchained	Ethereum	4.33	4.1141	-4.99%	2.34	-45.96%	0.3541	✓	1.00	3.6M	2022-01-29
LCX	LCX	Ethereum	0.1856	0.175787	-5.29%	0.11	-40.73%	0.2265	✓	1.15	2.9M	2022-01-29
VSYS	V.SYSTEMS	native	0.01945	0.018409	-5.35%	0.01347	-30.75%	0.1809	✓	0.63	43k	2022-01-29
UMA	UMA	Ethereum	9.32	8.8185	-5.38%	6.08	-34.76%	0.1360	✓	1.12	4.1M	2022-01-29
ZEN	Horizen	Base	61.58	58.2521	-5.40%	41.64	-32.38%	0.0183	✓	1.51	1.0M	2022-01-29
CHZ	Chiliz	Ethereum	0.2896	0.273906	-5.42%	0.1844	-36.33%	0.1207	✓	1.31	5.6M	2022-01-29
BAT	Basic Attention	Ethereum	1.1947	1.1295	-5.46%	0.84787	-29.03%	0.0891	✗	1.79	1.4M	2022-01-29
RAD	Radworks	Ethereum	10.83	10.2381	-5.47%	5.34	-50.69%	0.4709	✓	0.86	1.3M	2022-01-29
SANTOS	Santos FC Fan Token	Binance Smart Chain	3.579	3.3813	-5.53%	2.667	-25.48%	0.0272	✓	1.00	2.7M	2022-01-29
XYO	XYO Network	Ethereum	0.033799	0.031882	-5.67%	0.022029	-34.82%	0.1498	✓	1.05	8.9M	2022-01-29
DNT	district0x	Ethereum	0.1317	0.124189	-5.70%	0.0817	-37.97%	0.1939	✓	1.07	344k	2022-01-29
STORJ	Storj	Ethereum	1.755	1.6541	-5.75%	1.154	-34.24%	0.1937	✓	0.79	946k	2022-01-29
IMX	Immutable	Ethereum	5.14	4.8417	-5.80%	2.83	-44.94%	0.3269	✓	1.00	2.8M	2022-01-29
MOVR	Moonriver	Base	185.6988	174.8915	-5.82%	79.3124	-57.29%	0.5468	✓	1.16	648k	2022-01-29
AAVE	Aave	Ethereum	262.93	247.5896	-5.83%	154.04	-41.41%	0.2375	✓	1.13	11.4M	2022-01-29
LSK	Lisk	Ethereum	2.4417	2.2976	-5.90%	1.6081	-34.14%	0.1164	✓	1.14	147k	2022-01-29
SC	Siacoin	native	0.01531	0.014399	-5.95%	0.01015	-33.70%	0.1474	✓	0.96	910k	2022-01-29
OMG	OMG Network	Ethereum	6.0654	5.7003	-6.02%	4.851	-20.02%	0.0917	✗	1.20	653k	2022-01-29
MINA	Mina Protocol	native	3.59	3.3674	-6.20%	2.31	-35.65%	0.1521	✓	1.07	787k	2022-01-29
UOS	Ultra	Ethereum	1.4845	1.3912	-6.28%	1.0479	-29.41%	0.0777	✓	0.98	4.8M	2022-01-29
LRC	Loopring	Ethereum	1.9975	1.8714	-6.31%	0.9684	-51.52%	0.2526	✓	1.93	1.5M	2022-01-29
ALGO	Algorand	Algorand	1.7299	1.6178	-6.48%	0.9693	-43.97%	0.2778	✓	1.12	31.7M	2022-01-29
GT	Gate	Ethereum	6.8152	6.372	-6.50%	6.7736	-0.61%	0.2358	✗	0.83	4.0M	2022-01-29
ATOM	Cosmos Hub	Cosmos	30.19	28.2221	-6.52%	29.1	-3.61%	0.2210	✗	0.91	41.9M	2022-01-29
LUNA	Terra	Terra 2	84.84	79.125	-6.74%	50.93	-39.97%	0.2304	✓	1.00	5.3M	2022-01-29
EWT	Energy Web Token	Ethereum	9.329	8.6953	-6.79%	6.001	-35.67%	0.2468	✓	0.59	368k	2022-01-29
DEXE	DeXe	Ethereum	12.04	11.2176	-6.83%	6.65	-44.77%	0.5603	✓	-0.18	3.7M	2022-01-29
CELL	Cellframe	Ethereum	0.9199	0.856205	-6.92%	0.9037	-1.76%	0.2641	✗	1.00	146k	2022-01-29
TRAC	OriginTrail	Ethereum	1.203	1.1188	-7.00%	0.5968	-50.39%	0.3325	✓	1.41	2.3M	2022-01-29
ZEC	Zcash	Zcash	153.9	142.5049	-7.40%	96.39	-37.37%	0.1056	✓	1.36	11.8M	2022-01-29
MANA	Decentraland	Ethereum	3.2879	3.044	-7.42%	2.372	-27.86%	0.0507	✓	0.95	7.1M	2022-01-29
OGN	Origin Token	Ethereum	0.634	0.586869	-7.43%	0.333	-47.48%	0.3001	✓	1.27	2.8M	2022-01-29
ENJ	Enjin Coin	Ethereum	2.643	2.4442	-7.52%	1.758	-33.48%	0.1148	✓	1.02	2.2M	2022-01-29
AVAX	Avalanche	Avalanche	101.73	93.6005	-7.99%	71.95	-29.27%	0.0263	✓	1.13	127.7M	2022-01-29
CVC	Civic	Ethereum	0.3349	0.307529	-8.17%	0.2671	-20.24%	0.0574	✓	0.94	293k	2022-01-29
ENS	Ethereum Name Service	Ethereum	39.06	35.8444	-8.23%	20.07	-48.62%	0.1962	✓	1.83	6.8M	2022-01-29
CTSI	Cartesi	Ethereum	0.6956	0.638065	-8.27%	0.4637	-33.34%	0.0400	✓	1.33	3.2M	2022-01-29
MASK	Mask Network	Ethereum	11.98	10.9593	-8.52%	6.1	-49.08%	0.4661	✓	0.57	1.4M	2022-01-29
CERE	Cere Network	Ethereum	0.0787	0.071762	-8.82%	0.0362	-54.00%	0.3927	✓	1.39	1.7M	2022-01-29
IOTA	IOTA	IOTA	1.4266	1.2981	-9.01%	0.8302	-41.81%	0.2508	✓	0.93	23.6M	2022-01-29
LPT	Livepeer	Ethereum	40.32	36.6523	-9.10%	27.09	-32.81%	0.0495	✓	1.67	3.0M	2022-01-29
CRV	Curve DAO	Ethereum	5.11	4.6424	-9.15%	2.99	-41.49%	0.1607	✓	1.33	28.7M	2022-01-29
SUSHI	Sushi	Ethereum	10.25	9.2806	-9.46%	4.19	-59.12%	0.5164	✓	1.33	16.5M	2022-01-29
HIVE	Hive	native	1.5179	1.3713	-9.66%	0.952	-37.28%	0.0715	✓	1.40	6.4M	2022-01-29
NAKA	Nakamoto Games	Polygon	1.6911	1.5227	-9.96%	0.4988	-70.50%	0.9446	✓	0.82	4.7M	2022-01-29
GTC	Gitcoin	Ethereum	12.93	11.585	-10.40%	7.35	-43.16%	0.4650	✓	-0.05	4.6M	2022-01-29
BFC	Bifrost	Ethereum	0.2	0.176914	-11.54%	0.18677	-6.62%	0.3886	✗	1.59	9,235	2022-01-29
SPELL	Spell	Ethereum	0.02166	0.019026	-12.16%	0.00723	-66.62%	0.7574	✓	1.00	34.3M	2022-01-29
GITCOIN	GITCOIN		12.775	11.1743	-12.53%	7.324	-42.67%	0.4447	✓	-0.11	119k	2022-01-29
BICO	Biconomy	Ethereum	4.72	4.0819	-13.52%	2.36	-50.00%	0.3378	✓	1.00	15.2M	2022-01-29
DUSK	DUSK	Ethereum	0.9403	0.771628	-17.94%	0.6022	-35.96%	0.1082	✓	1.69	29.3M	2022-01-29

Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.