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2021-12-30 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 137 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3632
137 of 137 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.29%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.0%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-18.95%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (137 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.94030.782805-16.75%0.6022-35.96%0.0938✓1.6929.3M2022-01-29
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021660.018667-13.82%0.00723-66.62%0.7384✓1.0034.3M2022-01-29
BICOBiconomyEthereum4.724.0761-13.64%2.36-50.00%0.3363✓1.0015.2M2022-01-29
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.69111.474-12.84%0.4988-70.50%0.9120✓0.824.7M2022-01-29
BFCBifrostEthereum0.20.178291-10.85%0.18677-6.62%0.3809✗1.599,2352022-01-29
HIVEHivenative1.51791.3623-10.25%0.952-37.28%0.0649✓1.406.4M2022-01-29
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum39.0635.7047-8.59%20.07-48.62%0.1923✓1.836.8M2022-01-29
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum4.333.9642-8.45%2.34-45.96%0.3170✓1.003.6M2022-01-29
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.9810.9776-8.37%6.1-49.08%0.4678✓0.571.4M2022-01-29
CVCCivicEthereum0.33490.307128-8.29%0.2671-20.24%0.0587✓0.94293k2022-01-29
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6432.442-7.60%1.758-33.48%0.1140✓1.022.2M2022-01-29
ZECZcashZcash153.9142.2066-7.60%96.39-37.37%0.1035✓1.3611.8M2022-01-29
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28793.0406-7.52%2.372-27.86%0.0496✓0.957.1M2022-01-29
LSKLiskEthereum2.44172.2603-7.43%1.6081-34.14%0.1001✓1.14147k2022-01-29
SCSiacoinnative0.015310.014182-7.37%0.01015-33.70%0.1322✓0.96910k2022-01-29
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.42661.3218-7.35%0.8302-41.81%0.2689✓0.9323.6M2022-01-29
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.589148-7.07%0.333-47.48%0.3039✓1.272.8M2022-01-29
GTCGitcoinEthereum12.9312.0389-6.89%7.35-43.16%0.5035✓-0.054.6M2022-01-29
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5793.3335-6.86%2.667-25.48%0.0129✓1.002.7M2022-01-29
SUSHISushiEthereum10.259.551-6.82%4.19-59.12%0.5452✓1.3316.5M2022-01-29
CTSICartesiEthereum0.69560.648248-6.81%0.4637-33.34%0.0558✓1.333.2M2022-01-29
LUNATerraTerra 284.8479.2141-6.63%50.93-39.97%0.2316✓1.005.3M2022-01-29
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.0411.2553-6.52%6.65-44.77%0.5637✓-0.183.7M2022-01-29
LPTLivepeerEthereum40.3237.6963-6.51%27.09-32.81%0.0214✓1.673.0M2022-01-29
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche101.7395.2969-6.32%71.95-29.27%0.0443✓1.13127.7M2022-01-29
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.114.7922-6.22%2.99-41.49%0.1924✓1.3328.7M2022-01-29
MOVRMoonriverBase185.6988174.294-6.14%79.3124-57.29%0.5434✓1.16648k2022-01-29
UOSUltraEthereum1.48451.3934-6.14%1.0479-29.41%0.0792✓0.984.8M2022-01-29
ZENHorizenBase61.5858.1937-5.50%41.64-32.38%0.0173✓1.511.0M2022-01-29
GITCOINGITCOIN12.77512.0949-5.32%7.324-42.67%0.5239✓-0.11119k2022-01-29
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.079110.074965-5.24%0.05052-36.14%0.1305✓1.2621.7M2022-01-29
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07870.07464-5.16%0.0362-54.00%0.4320✓1.391.7M2022-01-29
CELLCellframeEthereum0.91990.872683-5.13%0.9037-1.76%0.2451✗1.00146k2022-01-29
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.19471.1338-5.10%0.84787-29.03%0.0853✗1.791.4M2022-01-29
LCXLCXEthereum0.18560.176507-4.90%0.11-40.73%0.2305✓1.152.9M2022-01-29
MINAMina Protocolnative3.593.4143-4.89%2.31-35.65%0.1659✓1.07787k2022-01-29
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.72991.6453-4.89%0.9693-43.97%0.2947✓1.1231.7M2022-01-29
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.2031.1442-4.89%0.5968-50.39%0.3550✓1.412.3M2022-01-29
RADRadworksEthereum10.8310.3209-4.70%5.34-50.69%0.4790✓0.861.3M2022-01-29
API3Api3Ethereum4.424.2155-4.63%3.69-16.52%0.0770✗1.001.2M2022-01-29
LRCLoopringEthereum1.99751.907-4.53%0.9684-51.52%0.2715✓1.931.5M2022-01-29
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.691.6143-4.48%0.85-49.70%0.2795✓1.721.2M2022-01-29
STORJStorjEthereum1.7551.6775-4.41%1.154-34.24%0.2078✓0.79946k2022-01-29
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos30.1928.8629-4.40%29.1-3.61%0.1986✗0.9141.9M2022-01-29
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.131.0806-4.38%0.66-41.59%0.2829✓1.002.3M2022-01-29
AAVEAaveEthereum262.93251.5357-4.33%154.04-41.41%0.2533✓1.1311.4M2022-01-29
IMXImmutableEthereum5.144.9173-4.33%2.83-44.94%0.3423✓1.002.8M2022-01-29
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.70814.5201-3.99%3.1573-32.94%0.0857✓1.305.0M2022-01-29
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05490.052751-3.91%0.04089-25.52%0.0222✓1.1115k2022-01-29
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.574.3932-3.87%3.0631-32.97%0.2053✓0.7425k2022-01-29
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000033760.000032484-3.78%0.00002166-35.84%0.1383✓1.272.1M2022-01-29
COTICOTIEthereum0.37130.357479-3.72%0.31-16.51%0.1670✗1.474.4M2022-01-29
DODODODOEthereum0.8630.831313-3.67%0.508-41.14%0.1806✓1.488.7M2022-01-29
UMAUMAEthereum9.328.9809-3.64%6.08-34.76%0.1542✓1.124.1M2022-01-29
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100850.097281-3.54%0.0727-27.91%0.1553✓0.6574k2022-01-29
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.016530.015957-3.46%0.0104-37.08%0.1555✓1.302.4M2022-01-29
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.32221.2775-3.38%1.7284+30.72%0.5292✗1.081.0M2022-01-29
XVGVergenative0.017110.016537-3.35%0.01002-41.44%0.2497✓1.202.5M2022-01-29
CHZChilizEthereum0.28960.279956-3.33%0.1844-36.33%0.1426✓1.315.6M2022-01-29
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019450.018805-3.32%0.01347-30.75%0.2022✓0.6343k2022-01-29
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0617870.059776-3.25%0.039999-35.26%0.1029✓1.427.9M2022-01-29
AMPAmpEthereum0.048920.047387-3.13%0.03035-37.96%0.2535✓0.919.1M2022-01-29
SKLSKALEEthereum0.2080.201488-3.13%0.121-41.83%0.2509✓1.235.7M2022-01-29
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.72830.705677-3.11%0.5251-27.90%0.0282✓1.276.2M2022-01-29
CBKCobakEthereum2.912.8209-3.06%2.245-22.85%0.0438✓0.8865k2022-01-29
YFIyearn.financeEthereum30,177.9029,258.14-3.05%24,297.65-19.49%0.0618✓0.5910.4M2022-01-29
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0123.2901-3.00%14.12-41.19%0.2782✓1.061.5M2022-01-29
XTZTezosTezos4.34074.2107-3.00%3.0915-28.78%0.0302✓1.334.9M2022-01-29
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.273.1729-2.97%2.42-25.99%0.0607✓1.001.1M2022-01-29
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5331.4888-2.88%0.924-39.73%0.2070✓1.293.8M2022-01-29
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.17713.0881-2.80%2.9824-6.13%0.2206✗1.223.3M2022-01-29
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.0392.3931-2.77%49.58-47.83%0.4178✓0.977.4M2022-01-29
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6974.5687-2.73%3.258-30.64%0.1910✓0.701.0M2022-01-29
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.728.4828-2.72%6.08-30.28%0.1734✓0.761.1M2022-01-29
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6241.5812-2.63%1.364-16.01%0.1365✗1.357.9M2022-01-29
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.3028.0915-2.54%6.128-26.19%0.0119✓1.27392k2022-01-29
KCSKuCoinnative21.04820.5156-2.53%17.542-16.66%0.1907✗1.6517.5M2022-01-29
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.093.0123-2.51%1.92-37.86%0.1767✓1.303.2M2022-01-29
BANDBandEthereum5.135.0045-2.45%3.51-31.58%0.1004✓1.212.4M2022-01-29
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06545.9202-2.39%4.851-20.02%0.0538✗1.20653k2022-01-29
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0337990.032997-2.37%0.022029-34.82%0.1842✓1.058.9M2022-01-29
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13170.128578-2.37%0.0817-37.97%0.2286✓1.07344k2022-01-29
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.41890.408971-2.37%0.5693+35.90%0.6274✗1.41793k2022-01-29
ADACardanoCardano1.35851.3264-2.36%1.0603-21.95%0.0030✓1.08114.6M2022-01-29
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.370.361303-2.35%0.2425-34.46%0.1293✓1.284.3M2022-01-29
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.80783.7191-2.33%3.4878-8.40%0.0898✓-0.12409k2022-01-29
SOLSolanaSolana172.52168.643-2.25%96.25-44.21%0.3393✓1.05248.9M2022-01-29
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.3299.1235-2.20%6.001-35.67%0.2949✓0.59368k2022-01-29
KSMKusamaHydration280.04274.0685-2.13%171.16-38.88%0.2364✓1.121.5M2022-01-29
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.9933.2981-2.04%20.73-39.01%0.1517✓1.531.3M2022-01-29
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.4515.142-1.99%13.15-14.89%0.0027✓0.681.4M2022-01-29
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64660.633934-1.96%0.4104-36.53%0.1610✓1.3011.8M2022-01-29
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.0631.4581-1.88%26.24-18.15%0.0408✓0.67518k2022-01-29
NANOnanopayBase3.48683.4236-1.81%2.3362-33.00%0.1592✓1.06819k2022-01-29
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.555.4495-1.81%5.4-2.70%0.2326✗1.154.3M2022-01-29
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4030.395732-1.80%0.251-37.72%0.2970✓0.7545k2022-01-29
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09810.096349-1.79%0.0636-35.17%0.1253✓1.381.9M2022-01-29
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20070.197318-1.68%0.1205-39.96%0.3040✓0.90655k2022-01-29
GTGateEthereum6.81526.7042-1.63%6.7736-0.61%0.1850✗0.834.0M2022-01-29
ETHEthereumEthereum3,710.023,652.44-1.55%2,603.74-29.82%0.1183✓1.05752.6M2022-01-29
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7954090.783663-1.48%0.565434-28.91%0.0919✓1.122.8M2022-01-29
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0795.0048-1.46%4.042-20.42%0.0885✓0.60798k2022-01-29
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2671.2488-1.44%0.731-42.30%0.3355✓0.952.8M2022-01-29
XVSVenusEthereum15.3715.1631-1.35%8.22-46.52%0.3721✓1.144.7M2022-01-29
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV122.49120.8606-1.33%92.7-24.32%0.0627✓0.963.7M2022-01-29
LTCLitecoinLitecoin147.94145.9944-1.32%110.84-25.08%0.0100✓1.3649.4M2022-01-29
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.462.4281-1.30%1.72-30.08%0.1240✓1.054.2M2022-01-29
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08280.081736-1.29%0.0653-21.14%0.0039✓1.0918k2022-01-29
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111260.109874-1.25%0.08979-19.30%0.0345✗1.1229k2022-01-29
DASHDashDash133.04131.3903-1.24%96.55-27.43%0.0387✓1.282.0M2022-01-29
COMPCompoundEthereum199.64197.293-1.18%123.06-38.36%0.2290✓1.16220k2022-01-29
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0484.0014-1.15%3.009-25.67%0.1482✓0.65514k2022-01-29
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash431.58426.7263-1.12%299.03-30.71%0.1426✓1.019.8M2022-01-29
QNTQuantEthereum178.71177.24-0.82%97.51-45.44%0.3927✓0.979.8M2022-01-29
FTTFTXEthereum38.8938.5857-0.78%41.73+7.30%0.2994✗1.0520.7M2022-01-29
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.1110.0314-0.78%9.17-9.30%0.0684✗0.751.4M2022-01-29
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.0632.0484-0.71%1.493-27.63%0.0773✓1.143.2M2022-01-29
SUNSun TokenTron0.0221420.021999-0.65%0.014518-34.43%0.1605✓1.212.4M2022-01-29
QTUMQtumQtum8.83848.7827-0.63%5.9616-32.55%0.0855✓1.44280k2022-01-29
XECeCashnative0.000109590.000108926-0.61%0.00007692-29.81%0.1382✓1.009.0M2022-01-29
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.088510.088011-0.56%0.06396-27.74%0.0138✓1.454.0M2022-01-29
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5734.379-0.55%25.34-26.70%0.0849✓1.054.7M2022-01-29
XMRMoneroMonero225.01223.896-0.50%153.67-31.71%0.1706✓0.982.9M2022-01-29
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,186.0046,952.93-0.49%38,181.60-19.08%0.0016✓0.989,2042022-01-29
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1711830.170426-0.44%0.143169-16.36%0.0599✗1.115.5M2022-01-29
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum24.7824.6878-0.37%20.18-18.56%0.0997✗1.4324.1M2022-01-29
XLMStellarStellar0.2680.267325-0.25%0.203491-24.07%0.0577✓1.0229.6M2022-01-29
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9419.9021-0.19%16.24-18.56%0.0782✗1.3469.7M2022-01-29
XEMNEMnative0.12550.125369-0.10%0.1047-16.57%0.0523✗1.11158k2022-01-29
TRXTRONTron0.0778530.077792-0.08%0.060341-22.49%0.0548✓0.95607k2022-01-29
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.137.1363+0.09%5.16-27.63%0.1901✗0.641.1M2022-01-29
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.5327.5646+0.13%18.75-31.89%0.1157✗1.2875.5M2022-01-29
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.878.8826+0.14%5.93-33.15%0.2759✗0.611.0M2022-01-29
BTCBitcoinBitcoin47,122.0847,192.10+0.15%38,191.10-18.95%0.0015✓1.00750.8M2022-01-29
UNIUniswapEthereum17.8117.8854+0.42%11.16-37.34%0.1996✗1.2915.5M2022-01-29
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.9635.2056+0.70%20.29-41.96%0.3338✗1.0323.3M2022-01-29
XYMSymbolnative0.1880.189543+0.82%0.1739-7.50%0.0269✓0.54393k2022-01-29
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.