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2021-12-24 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3273
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+23.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.0%
in alpha space · 92.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-28.65%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.9713+2.69%11.43-34.69%0.0213✓1.2814.6M2022-01-23
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4737.3553+2.43%19.51-46.50%0.3097✗1.0123.1M2022-01-23
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.36952+0.41%0.278-24.46%0.0348✗0.7445k2022-01-23
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023341+0.35%0.015019-35.43%0.0292✗1.222.2M2022-01-23
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2855+0.20%3.844-27.13%0.1054✗0.63846k2022-01-23
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58129.7274+0.11%93.79-27.62%0.0021✓0.973.2M2022-01-23
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1599+0.07%3.138-24.51%0.0081✗0.81714k2022-01-23
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.8165-0.09%8.17-48.39%0.2816✓1.125.0M2022-01-23
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.2638-0.10%1.421-37.29%0.0960✓1.103.4M2022-01-23
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.278219-0.15%0.201066-27.84%0.0114✗1.0036.2M2022-01-23
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.185689-0.34%0.141702-23.95%0.1001✗1.106.1M2022-01-23
QNTQuantEthereum199.57198.6601-0.46%109.75-45.01%0.2844✓0.9212.0M2022-01-23
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1728.0286-0.50%18.82-33.19%0.0127✗1.2277.3M2022-01-23
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2228.7491-0.63%128.28-44.27%0.2198✓1.06239k2022-01-23
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.4494-0.65%21.28-22.98%0.2088✗1.3724.1M2022-01-23
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27448.8386-0.76%302.74-33.06%0.0548✓1.0013.7M2022-01-23
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9719-0.80%2.945-26.45%0.0591✓0.71473k2022-01-23
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.2922-0.83%16.67-22.36%0.1685✗1.2269.7M2022-01-23
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7266-0.85%1.7-38.18%0.1449✓0.974.7M2022-01-23
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,347.90-0.99%36,282.47-28.65%0.0100✗1.00750.8M2022-01-23
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.079997-1.11%0.057499-28.92%0.0110✓0.95659k2022-01-23
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.1031-1.14%2.095-33.26%0.1092✓0.84100k2022-01-23
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.5729-1.25%6.033-30.50%0.0820✗1.28511k2022-01-23
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.6606-1.28%5.02-35.31%0.2096✓0.631.0M2022-01-23
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6049,986.68-1.44%36,274.40-28.47%0.0095✓0.989,2792022-01-23
KSMKusamaHydration288.88284.3813-1.56%191.51-33.71%0.0379✓1.061.5M2022-01-23
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4236.8331-1.57%25.17-32.74%0.0426✓1.006.1M2022-01-23
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.078.9275-1.57%5.85-35.50%0.1733✓0.74836k2022-01-23
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.058.9069-1.58%5.92-34.59%0.1840✓0.661.0M2022-01-23
XMRMoneroMonero204.44200.946-1.71%156.73-23.34%0.0590✗0.912.7M2022-01-23
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.090965-1.73%0.05508-40.50%0.0033✓1.484.8M2022-01-23
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2643-1.76%0.731-43.20%0.2292✓0.944.1M2022-01-23
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6163-1.81%3.94-31.12%0.0157✓1.105.0M2022-01-23
XEMNEMnative0.13590.133352-1.88%0.0976-28.18%0.0424✗1.05202k2022-01-23
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.119561-1.92%0.08478-30.45%0.0199✗1.0830k2022-01-23
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3667-1.92%1.1249-19.28%0.1546✗1.03124.4M2022-01-23
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3424.8378-1.98%14.05-44.55%0.3317✓0.712.7M2022-01-23
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0167-2.05%1.82-40.91%0.0765✓1.273.2M2022-01-23
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.211756-2.06%0.1477-31.68%0.0744✓0.85776k2022-01-23
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.7727-2.11%4.66-41.31%0.0538✓1.3614.9M2022-01-23
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5046-2.14%3.5571-0.68%0.0150✓-0.09384k2022-01-23
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.4542-2.15%2.41-31.73%0.0357✓0.961.3M2022-01-23
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.653,955.47-2.33%2,541.19-37.25%0.0979✓1.02768.5M2022-01-23
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.887439-2.37%0.507-44.22%0.0799✓1.429.3M2022-01-23
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.678975-2.59%0.4151-40.44%0.0982✓1.1714.0M2022-01-23
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.3693-2.69%3.0753-31.51%0.0778✗1.275.4M2022-01-23
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.09-2.70%22.3-34.43%0.1800✓0.64649k2022-01-23
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6531-2.76%0.85-50.00%0.1015✓1.671.5M2022-01-23
BANDBandEthereum5.635.4728-2.79%3.59-36.23%0.0340✓1.153.0M2022-01-23
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.826617-2.82%0.54463-35.97%0.0702✓1.033.7M2022-01-23
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.5146-2.83%5.815-40.62%0.0300✓1.37349k2022-01-23
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000113847-2.94%0.00007477-36.26%0.0899✓0.9811.7M2022-01-23
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.5288-3.11%2.227-38.85%0.1089✓1.04819k2022-01-23
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.21028-3.14%0.1139-47.54%0.2126✓1.196.5M2022-01-23
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.236735-3.18%0.1617-33.87%0.2170✓0.49410k2022-01-23
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.447692-3.29%0.5547+19.83%0.6964✗1.431.2M2022-01-23
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9233.7618-3.32%19.45-44.30%0.0640✓1.441.3M2022-01-23
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.1784-3.35%12.97-22.52%0.0085✓0.681.4M2022-01-23
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8725.9435-3.45%34.65+28.95%0.5786✗0.8640.2M2022-01-23
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5373-3.50%0.881-44.70%0.1195✓1.305.2M2022-01-23
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.085693-3.50%0.0613-30.97%0.0195✓1.0521k2022-01-23
FTTFTXEthereum42.6841.1856-3.50%35.99-15.67%0.2042✗1.0021.8M2022-01-23
DASHDashDash149.49143.9657-3.70%99.58-33.39%0.0459✗1.232.2M2022-01-23
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.8276-3.72%3.1436-37.30%0.0294✓1.365.2M2022-01-23
SOLSolanaSolana190.65183.3036-3.85%99.82-47.64%0.2987✓0.92257.1M2022-01-23
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.6526-3.86%8.96-19.13%0.0882✗0.771.5M2022-01-23
KCSKuCoinnative22.8121.8755-4.10%15.88-30.38%0.2391✗1.6621.0M2022-01-23
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5113-4.10%0.9895-37.21%0.0771✓1.0334.9M2022-01-23
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000034602-4.26%0.0000225-37.74%0.0928✓1.002.2M2022-01-23
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62100.1492-4.27%54.81-47.61%0.2754✓0.978.8M2022-01-23
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3248-4.39%1.4593+5.32%0.4531✗1.061.4M2022-01-23
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.05541-4.43%0.0379-34.63%0.0234✓1.0617k2022-01-23
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2194.986-4.47%2.9942-42.63%0.2805✓0.6829k2022-01-23
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.4535-4.75%1.6289-36.76%0.0414✓1.09152k2022-01-23
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.1714-4.76%0.66-46.34%0.2361✓1.002.4M2022-01-23
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.104909-4.77%0.06514-40.87%0.2802✓0.58143k2022-01-23
GTGateEthereum6.31286.0115-4.77%6.1111-3.20%0.2653✗0.744.6M2022-01-23
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.2439-4.85%2.7981-17.93%0.2751✗1.253.4M2022-01-23
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6330,977.81-4.91%25,099.20-22.96%0.0297✓0.547.0M2022-01-23
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.402-4.92%2.49-46.22%0.2322✓1.002.5M2022-01-23
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.5919-4.93%4.37-9.52%0.2880✗1.001.5M2022-01-23
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.046999-4.94%0.02905-41.24%0.1807✓0.8912.1M2022-01-23
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.059135-4.95%0.039977-35.75%0.0861✗1.419.5M2022-01-23
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.017825-4.98%0.01032-44.99%0.1341✓1.223.2M2022-01-23
XVGVergenative0.017980.017067-5.08%0.00969-46.11%0.1670✓1.182.8M2022-01-23
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.3561-5.19%2.44-31.07%0.0144✓0.99807k2022-01-23
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.2235-5.20%2.57-53.36%0.3717✓1.006.5M2022-01-23
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35152.9432-5.21%112.35-30.37%0.1526✗1.3758.6M2022-01-23
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.2838-5.22%5.21-51.98%0.3585✓0.951.6M2022-01-23
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.018674-5.30%0.01258-36.21%0.2218✓0.5160k2022-01-23
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.384658-5.30%0.2697-33.60%0.1320✗1.444.4M2022-01-23
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.8924-5.33%1.154-42.27%0.0560✓1.307.9M2022-01-23
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33255.4502-5.50%158.72-41.29%0.1299✓1.0211.4M2022-01-23
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.752732-5.51%0.5301-33.45%0.0630✗1.237.7M2022-01-23
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3411.6527-5.57%6.52-47.16%0.6699✓-0.264.9M2022-01-23
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.130067-5.68%0.0783-43.22%0.1503✓1.06445k2022-01-23
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.5722-5.82%2.649-30.16%0.0386✓1.003.5M2022-01-23
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.10211-5.98%0.0576-46.96%0.1080✓1.383.0M2022-01-23
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.359592-6.01%0.2414-36.91%0.0313✓1.276.2M2022-01-23
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.07784-6.04%0.05184-37.42%0.0051✓1.1921.7M2022-01-23
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748176.2821-6.32%84.9691-54.85%0.4013✓0.97720k2022-01-23
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.0468-6.39%0.596-46.70%0.0618✓1.492.5M2022-01-23
UMAUMAEthereum9.568.9062-6.84%6.38-33.26%0.0315✓1.084.1M2022-01-23
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.3298-6.92%6.129-38.85%0.1954✓0.67455k2022-01-23
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.1951-6.99%0.8156-36.52%0.0420✓1.0122.8M2022-01-23
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2179-7.30%0.76101-42.08%0.1095✗1.721.6M2022-01-23
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.187384-7.60%0.1069-47.29%0.1753✓1.144.3M2022-01-23
ZENHorizenBase70.5365.1398-7.64%35.77-49.28%0.1237✓1.411.4M2022-01-23
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.015247-7.65%0.00983-40.46%0.1262✓0.931.4M2022-01-23
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.278359-7.71%0.1855-38.49%0.0192✓1.266.2M2022-01-23
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.134-8.18%4.4346-33.62%0.0544✓1.12876k2022-01-23
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.089-8.41%0.8434-29.07%0.0820✓1.00190k2022-01-23
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.7731-8.93%1.0945-43.78%0.2418✓0.711.3M2022-01-23
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.7143-9.17%3.02-41.81%0.0105✓1.2928.7M2022-01-23
ZECZcashZcash165.18150.0122-9.18%97.58-40.93%0.0130✓1.2413.6M2022-01-23
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.689557-9.22%0.4546-40.15%0.0143✓1.285.1M2022-01-23
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.61049-9.29%0.331-50.82%0.2008✓1.223.0M2022-01-23
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.070752-9.41%0.0335-57.11%0.3050✓1.312.5M2022-01-23
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.32672-9.52%0.2245-37.83%0.0687✓0.91388k2022-01-23
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1110.9326-9.72%5.9-51.28%0.4382✓0.532.7M2022-01-23
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.034528-9.72%0.022662-40.75%0.0750✓1.0312.1M2022-01-23
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.5181-9.84%1.611-42.32%0.1213✓0.962.2M2022-01-23
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7241.0799-10.15%17.17-62.45%0.2488✓1.858.8M2022-01-23
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.564-10.68%0.90224-48.47%0.2131✓1.006.7M2022-01-23
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21291.975-10.75%0.8591-61.18%0.1840✓1.922.1M2022-01-23
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1539.3686-10.83%24.37-44.80%0.0965✓1.714.7M2022-01-23
HIVEHivenative1.5931.4153-11.15%0.839-47.33%0.0849✓1.3010.4M2022-01-23
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.1069-11.23%2.1145-39.59%0.0858✓0.899.0M2022-01-23
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.3275-11.74%2.24-40.58%0.0582✓1.0011.9M2022-01-23
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93101.1437-12.00%64.85-43.57%0.0850✓1.06142.8M2022-01-23
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.6691-12.00%0.5018-73.54%0.9588✓0.728.1M2022-01-23
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.018986-13.35%0.00841-61.62%0.4767✓1.0039.8M2022-01-23
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.185236-13.78%0.16077-25.16%0.3963✗1.5924k2022-01-23
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.713.5002-14.01%7.33-53.31%0.6017✓0.034.8M2022-01-23
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61112.951-17.04%7.243-53.60%0.5923✓-0.03133k2022-01-23
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.622878-18.28%0.609-20.10%0.5617✗1.7314.6M2022-01-23
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.