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2021-12-23 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3204
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+20.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.7%
in alpha space · 94.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-31.03%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3538.1948+2.26%19.01-49.10%0.3234✗1.0123.1M2022-01-22
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1818.5669+2.13%11.16-38.61%0.0336✗1.2814.2M2022-01-22
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.373524+0.41%0.244-34.41%0.1509✗0.7446k2022-01-22
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.4123+0.23%3.665-32.13%0.1550✗0.63936k2022-01-22
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.024123+0.04%0.014961-37.95%0.0239✗1.222.1M2022-01-22
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81129.7714-0.03%89.24-31.25%0.0152✓0.973.1M2022-01-22
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.3249-0.14%3.059-29.37%0.0442✓0.81714k2022-01-22
SUSHISushiEthereum7.37.2863-0.19%4.42-39.45%0.0020✗1.3514.6M2022-01-22
XVSVenusEthereum16.1616.1273-0.20%7.59-53.03%0.3363✓1.125.3M2022-01-22
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55230.0541-0.22%120.3-47.82%0.2536✓1.06239k2022-01-22
QNTQuantEthereum195.7195.2214-0.24%98.78-49.52%0.3416✓0.9112.0M2022-01-22
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0126.9429-0.25%20.54-23.95%0.2380✗1.3722.9M2022-01-22
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.3276-0.27%1.366-41.47%0.1256✓1.103.4M2022-01-22
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.18422-0.39%0.133158-28.00%0.0829✗1.105.5M2022-01-22
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.286319-0.51%0.19237-33.15%0.0270✓1.0037.2M2022-01-22
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1728.9792-0.65%18.26-37.40%0.0089✓1.2277.3M2022-01-22
CBKCobakEthereum3.1113.0877-0.75%1.979-36.39%0.1328✓0.84101k2022-01-22
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1222-0.84%2.804-32.55%0.1205✓0.71487k2022-01-22
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7451.7357-0.87%291.88-35.95%0.0635✓1.0014.2M2022-01-22
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2050,363.04-0.94%35,066.43-31.03%0.0095✓1.00750.8M2022-01-22
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1921.9386-1.13%15.86-28.53%0.1310✗1.2369.7M2022-01-22
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.7948-1.24%1.62-42.76%0.1843✓0.974.7M2022-01-22
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.7375-1.29%6.424-27.43%0.1696✗1.28560k2022-01-22
TRXTRONTron0.082610.081491-1.35%0.05675-31.30%0.0100✓0.95708k2022-01-22
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8050,215.73-1.51%34,807.70-31.73%0.0030✓0.9810k2022-01-22
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5636.9692-1.57%24.23-35.49%0.0504✓1.006.2M2022-01-22
KSMKusamaHydration291.44286.7545-1.61%190.08-34.78%0.0176✓1.061.5M2022-01-22
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.179.0224-1.61%5.66-38.28%0.1917✓0.74836k2022-01-22
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.2799-1.62%0.711-45.35%0.2370✓0.944.4M2022-01-22
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.289.1291-1.63%5.63-39.33%0.2359✓0.671.1M2022-01-22
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.158.0116-1.70%4.8-41.10%0.2769✓0.631.1M2022-01-22
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.118605-1.81%0.07873-34.82%0.0097✓1.0830k2022-01-22
XMRMoneroMonero210.04206.1676-1.84%152.34-27.47%0.0364✗0.912.8M2022-01-22
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8525.3344-1.99%13.19-48.97%0.3903✓0.712.7M2022-01-22
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.209473-2.12%0.1394-34.86%0.0929✓0.85776k2022-01-22
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.5296-2.14%3.6015-0.14%0.0125✓-0.09384k2022-01-22
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.094668-2.15%0.04896-49.40%0.1100✓1.485.9M2022-01-22
XEMNEMnative0.13930.136189-2.23%0.0944-32.23%0.0242✗1.05202k2022-01-22
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.075.9282-2.34%3.78-37.73%0.0414✓1.105.3M2022-01-22
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.4862-2.35%2.33-34.73%0.0458✓0.961.3M2022-01-22
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.4379-2.47%1.0713-27.34%0.0913✗1.04130.4M2022-01-22
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.084,011.31-2.47%2,411.90-41.36%0.1291✓1.02768.5M2022-01-22
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.929945-2.62%0.496-48.06%0.0993✓1.4210.8M2022-01-22
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.1937-2.63%1.77-46.04%0.1169✓1.273.2M2022-01-22
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000111287-2.74%0.00006839-40.23%0.1238✓0.9811.7M2022-01-22
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1833.2418-2.74%21.51-37.07%0.1990✓0.64711k2022-01-22
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.6996-2.88%0.9-48.57%0.0149✓1.671.6M2022-01-22
BANDBandEthereum5.735.5618-2.94%3.49-39.09%0.0391✓1.153.0M2022-01-22
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.4265-2.94%0.9512-35.28%0.0255✓1.0234.9M2022-01-22
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.711871-2.96%0.4163-43.25%0.1018✓1.1714.9M2022-01-22
QTUMQtumQtum10.04769.7486-2.98%5.5565-44.70%0.0527✓1.37349k2022-01-22
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.857654-3.21%0.518861-41.45%0.1197✓1.034.3M2022-01-22
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.617-3.27%2.9521-38.15%0.0261✓1.275.4M2022-01-22
DASHDashDash146.65141.7374-3.35%97.07-33.81%0.0772✗1.232.2M2022-01-22
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.243274-3.39%0.1498-40.51%0.3036✓0.49410k2022-01-22
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8516.2773-3.40%12.62-25.10%0.0018✓0.681.5M2022-01-22
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.460122-3.50%0.5658+18.67%0.7377✗1.431.3M2022-01-22
FTTFTXEthereum43.0841.5462-3.56%33.44-22.38%0.1562✗1.0021.8M2022-01-22
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2238.3836-3.57%147.18-40.46%0.1034✓1.0211.4M2022-01-22
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.6147-3.62%2.0461-45.44%0.1818✓1.04819k2022-01-22
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.5849-3.66%0.87-47.11%0.1179✓1.305.2M2022-01-22
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.086516-3.66%0.0594-33.85%0.0143✓1.0522k2022-01-22
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.221253-3.68%0.1135-50.59%0.2255✓1.196.8M2022-01-22
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1135.7375-3.70%18.76-49.45%0.1067✓1.451.4M2022-01-22
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.5539-3.79%8.68-20.88%0.0914✗0.771.6M2022-01-22
SOLSolanaSolana190.07182.7936-3.83%94.78-50.13%0.3166✓0.92265.5M2022-01-22
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11264.9129-3.91%2.9642-42.02%0.2532✓0.6830k2022-01-22
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23095.0234-3.97%3.0068-42.52%0.0083✓1.365.2M2022-01-22
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.4085-4.14%1.65-34.33%0.0264✓1.09172k2022-01-22
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3827.2029-4.15%29.27+3.14%0.3927✗0.8641.0M2022-01-22
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5630,191.07-4.33%22,897.64-27.44%0.0783✓0.536.9M2022-01-22
KCSKuCoinnative23.31622.3053-4.34%15.129-35.11%0.2282✗1.6621.7M2022-01-22
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.056673-4.40%0.03631-38.75%0.0524✓1.0617k2022-01-22
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.4102.589-4.48%50.17-53.29%0.3545✓0.979.0M2022-01-22
GTGateEthereum6.2595.9656-4.69%5.6708-9.40%0.2231✗0.744.6M2022-01-22
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.017699-4.74%0.00998-46.29%0.1195✓1.223.5M2022-01-22
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.3695-4.77%1.5039+4.58%0.4867✗1.061.4M2022-01-22
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.367604-4.79%0.2645-31.49%0.2057✗1.444.4M2022-01-22
RADRadworksEthereum10.5210.015-4.80%5.06-51.90%0.3296✓0.951.7M2022-01-22
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.208-4.89%0.64-49.61%0.2637✓1.002.4M2022-01-22
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.5341-4.95%2.46-48.43%0.2400✓1.002.5M2022-01-22
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.000036761-4.96%0.00002053-46.92%0.2111✓1.002.1M2022-01-22
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.059981-5.08%0.036765-41.82%0.0366✓1.429.8M2022-01-22
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.047887-5.14%0.02985-40.87%0.1415✓0.8914.3M2022-01-22
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.107874-5.16%0.06237-45.16%0.3310✓0.58143k2022-01-22
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.6133-5.18%2.1-64.53%0.6117✓1.006.6M2022-01-22
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.8772-5.33%1.161-41.45%0.0021✓1.307.6M2022-01-22
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74154.987-5.35%108.41-33.79%0.1503✗1.3759.6M2022-01-22
XVGVergenative0.018430.01744-5.37%0.00935-49.27%0.1836✓1.182.8M2022-01-22
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.325-5.38%2.7227-22.52%0.2660✗1.254.0M2022-01-22
API3Api3Ethereum5.184.8992-5.42%4.82-6.95%0.3552✗1.001.7M2022-01-22
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5211.8292-5.52%6.06-51.60%0.7668✓-0.265.3M2022-01-22
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.131431-5.72%0.0732-47.49%0.1920✓1.06445k2022-01-22
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.6168-5.76%2.567-33.12%0.0286✓1.003.6M2022-01-22
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.77007-5.78%0.5076-37.89%0.0389✓1.237.7M2022-01-22
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.491-5.90%2.34-36.93%0.0323✓0.99807k2022-01-22
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792177.7466-6.09%83.9941-55.62%0.3881✓0.97728k2022-01-22
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.364889-6.20%0.2331-40.08%0.0253✓1.276.4M2022-01-22
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.104588-6.28%0.0543-51.34%0.1437✓1.383.1M2022-01-22
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10941.0396-6.29%0.5834-47.41%0.0264✓1.482.7M2022-01-22
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.019806-6.40%0.01275-39.74%0.2482✓0.5261k2022-01-22
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.083916-6.71%0.05051-43.85%0.0639✓1.1922.6M2022-01-22
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.2072-6.80%0.78-39.78%0.0622✓1.0123.6M2022-01-22
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.1373-7.05%6.11-37.84%0.0001✓1.084.1M2022-01-22
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2699.5417-7.08%5.8-43.52%0.2499✓0.67455k2022-01-22
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.2398-7.65%0.71467-46.76%0.0879✗1.721.8M2022-01-22
ZENHorizenBase72.4566.8342-7.75%35.28-51.30%0.1147✓1.411.5M2022-01-22
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.015669-8.10%0.0094-44.87%0.1661✓0.931.5M2022-01-22
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.064404-8.12%0.0326-53.50%0.1991✓1.302.5M2022-01-22
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.286823-8.39%0.1764-43.66%0.0174✓1.266.6M2022-01-22
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.3023-8.71%4.2394-38.59%0.0209✓1.12876k2022-01-22
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.201882-8.73%0.0799-63.88%0.5000✓1.154.3M2022-01-22
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7510.7025-8.92%5.61-52.26%0.4500✓0.532.7M2022-01-22
ZECZcashZcash167.41152.1862-9.09%94.59-43.50%0.0162✓1.2413.6M2022-01-22
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.194.7152-9.15%2.89-44.32%0.0107✓1.2928.7M2022-01-22
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8910.7513-9.58%6.96-41.46%0.4311✓0.014.6M2022-01-22
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.328055-9.58%0.2179-39.94%0.0717✓0.91401k2022-01-22
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.708027-9.62%0.4385-44.03%0.0042✓1.286.5M2022-01-22
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.622637-9.63%0.319-53.70%0.2156✓1.223.2M2022-01-22
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.035162-9.86%0.020108-48.45%0.1774✓1.0313.0M2022-01-22
STORJStorjEthereum2.08461.876-10.01%1.0381-50.20%0.3252✓0.721.3M2022-01-22
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.2313-10.12%0.7106-48.13%0.1782✓1.00193k2022-01-22
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.5165-10.31%0.80696-52.27%0.2604✓1.007.2M2022-01-22
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.6594-10.52%1.506-49.33%0.2090✓0.972.3M2022-01-22
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5444.1661-10.85%16.11-67.48%0.3191✓1.869.4M2022-01-22
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.0615-10.99%0.7316-68.41%0.3206✓1.932.2M2022-01-22
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4339.3656-11.40%23.84-46.34%0.1329✗1.715.2M2022-01-22
HIVEHivenative1.65031.4603-11.51%0.7987-51.60%0.1202✓1.3011.4M2022-01-22
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76410.3928-11.66%6.944-40.97%0.4217✓-0.05129k2022-01-22
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.2451-11.81%2.0434-44.47%0.1318✓0.899.0M2022-01-22
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.4618-12.14%2.08-47.21%0.1379✓1.0012.1M2022-01-22
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37106.3154-12.40%59.8-50.73%0.1783✓1.07148.6M2022-01-22
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.187364-13.71%0.15638-27.98%0.4115✗1.5929k2022-01-22
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23561.9142-14.38%0.4454-80.08%1.1867✓0.738.3M2022-01-22
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.020177-14.79%0.00793-66.51%0.5624✓1.0035.6M2022-01-22
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.553569-16.94%0.5482-17.75%0.6308✗1.7212.6M2022-01-22
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.