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2021-12-22 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.4001
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+30.24%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.6%
in alpha space · 90.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-25.00%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum16.2116.4264+1.33%12.63-22.09%0.1023✓1.2714.1M2022-01-21
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.6335.935+0.86%21.98-38.31%0.2003✗1.0122.5M2022-01-21
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1731880.174193+0.58%0.142057-17.98%0.1120✓1.105.5M2022-01-21
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.798.8323+0.48%6.31-28.21%0.1476✗0.661.1M2022-01-21
XMRMoneroMonero190.53190.9217+0.21%172.82-9.30%0.1741✓0.952.8M2022-01-21
DOTPolkadotPolkadot27.2427.2785+0.14%19.67-27.79%0.0298✓1.2475.5M2022-01-21
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.9219.9258+0.03%17.44-12.45%0.2328✓1.2767.0M2022-01-21
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8623.8546-0.19%3.168-17.97%0.0005✓0.68487k2022-01-21
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.3423.2952-0.19%24.19+3.64%0.4218✗1.3421.2M2022-01-21
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.09420.094018-0.19%0.05388-42.80%0.1226✓1.516.4M2022-01-21
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.472.4647-0.21%1.84-25.51%0.0198✓0.954.7M2022-01-21
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.355933-0.30%0.271-24.09%0.0588✓0.7449k2022-01-21
XLMStellarStellar0.2677240.266892-0.31%0.202862-24.23%0.0096✗0.9939.0M2022-01-21
SUNSun TokenTron0.0229890.022915-0.32%0.016171-29.66%0.0005✓1.212.0M2022-01-21
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,608.6248,440.60-0.35%36,456.94-25.00%0.0035✗1.00750.8M2022-01-21
TRXTRONTron0.0790460.078694-0.45%0.061109-22.69%0.0243✗0.96787k2022-01-21
SUSHISushiEthereum6.366.3307-0.46%4.96-22.01%0.1340✗1.3113.8M2022-01-21
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,803.2048,515.35-0.59%36,607.80-24.99%0.0016✓0.9812k2022-01-21
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.6735.4473-0.62%25.95-27.25%0.0115✓1.046.2M2022-01-21
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1515.1142-0.71%4.12-20.02%0.0342✓0.63936k2022-01-21
XECeCashnative0.000110550.000109615-0.85%0.00007968-27.92%0.0335✓0.9912.0M2022-01-21
QNTQuantEthereum182.5180.8878-0.88%114.44-37.29%0.1947✓0.9112.1M2022-01-21
XEMNEMnative0.13050.12934-0.89%0.097-25.67%0.0246✗1.09202k2022-01-21
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.3710.2753-0.91%9.4-9.35%0.1250✗0.741.6M2022-01-21
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2272.2066-0.92%1.445-35.11%0.1037✓1.113.4M2022-01-21
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.937.8565-0.93%5.64-28.88%0.1495✓0.631.1M2022-01-21
AAVEAaveEthereum206.48204.4468-0.98%171.09-17.14%0.0997✗0.9711.4M2022-01-21
FTTFTXEthereum41.3340.9211-0.99%38.52-6.80%0.2451✗1.0623.4M2022-01-21
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2588.1741-1.02%8.351+1.13%0.4013✗1.32635k2022-01-21
GTGateEthereum6.1256.0596-1.07%6.243+1.93%0.2640✗0.814.7M2022-01-21
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.0243.9792-1.11%3.392-15.71%0.0714✗0.80714k2022-01-21
XVSVenusEthereum15.5615.3746-1.19%9.94-36.12%0.1076✓1.145.7M2022-01-21
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2711.2553-1.23%0.764-39.89%0.2149✓0.984.4M2022-01-21
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.535.4616-1.24%4.17-24.59%0.0411✗1.085.3M2022-01-21
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.67122.106-1.26%95.68-22.63%0.0394✗0.982.8M2022-01-21
XYMSymbolnative0.24240.239284-1.29%0.1639-32.38%0.2470✓0.46428k2022-01-21
COMPCompoundEthereum206.65203.8037-1.38%139.37-32.56%0.0775✓1.05236k2022-01-21
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash438.3431.9167-1.46%315.04-28.12%0.0187✓1.0314.2M2022-01-21
COTICOTIEthereum0.32930.3242-1.55%0.2921-11.30%0.3136✗1.454.4M2022-01-21
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.0832.5319-1.66%23.31-29.53%0.1414✓0.67711k2022-01-21
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8242080.810003-1.72%0.55846-32.24%0.0649✓1.074.7M2022-01-21
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.69440.682181-1.76%0.4366-37.13%0.0764✓1.2914.9M2022-01-21
DKAdKargoEthereum0.115070.113011-1.79%0.08324-27.66%0.0110✓1.1030k2022-01-21
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20780.204055-1.80%0.1474-29.07%0.0738✓0.87776k2022-01-21
BANDBandEthereum5.365.2568-1.93%3.96-26.12%0.0569✗1.182.8M2022-01-21
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.00794.9109-1.94%3.2277-35.55%0.2011✓0.7631k2022-01-21
ADACardanoCardano1.32791.302-1.95%1.1211-15.57%0.1457✗1.03128.9M2022-01-21
KSMKusamaHydration273.22267.8365-1.97%213.87-21.72%0.0857✗1.081.5M2022-01-21
ETHEthereumEthereum3,981.123,902.41-1.98%2,569.01-35.47%0.1128✓1.06768.5M2022-01-21
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08650.084758-2.01%0.0634-26.71%0.0262✗1.1022k2022-01-21
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.133716-2.04%0.0834-38.90%0.1610✓1.08508k2022-01-21
DASHDashDash135.16132.3946-2.05%105.73-21.77%0.1340✗1.252.2M2022-01-21
QTUMQtumQtum9.42999.2329-2.09%6.1225-35.07%0.0055✓1.45349k2022-01-21
SOLSolanaSolana178.45174.6129-2.15%112.32-37.06%0.1509✓1.01265.5M2022-01-21
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.7915.4456-2.18%13.42-15.01%0.0504✗0.661.5M2022-01-21
TRBTellor TributesEthereum33.7633.0166-2.20%21.23-37.11%0.0093✓1.501.6M2022-01-21
NANOnanopayBase3.47533.3953-2.30%2.3265-33.06%0.0784✓1.04819k2022-01-21
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum101.5699.2066-2.32%58.39-42.51%0.2551✓0.969.8M2022-01-21
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.5123.9344-2.35%15.55-36.56%0.1250✓1.062.7M2022-01-21
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.072.9978-2.35%2-34.85%0.0349✓1.293.2M2022-01-21
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.838.619-2.39%6.56-25.71%0.0510✓0.77934k2022-01-21
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.59953.5116-2.44%3.5345-1.81%0.0192✓-0.09372k2022-01-21
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos27.3926.7183-2.45%34.64+26.47%0.5089✗0.8741.0M2022-01-21
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5691.5297-2.50%0.984-37.28%0.0629✓1.325.4M2022-01-21
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.36281.3281-2.54%1.4321+5.09%0.3844✗1.071.5M2022-01-21
XTZTezosTezos4.54184.4215-2.65%3.3417-26.42%0.0937✗1.305.1M2022-01-21
LTCLitecoinLitecoin155.44151.3004-2.66%114.51-26.33%0.1238✗1.4060.2M2022-01-21
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.149.8629-2.73%5.957-41.25%0.3191✓0.64455k2022-01-21
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.36411.3261-2.78%1.0303-24.47%0.0495✗1.0535.5M2022-01-21
CBKCobakEthereum2.9732.8902-2.79%2.197-26.10%0.0320✓0.84103k2022-01-21
CTKShentuOsmosis1.8011.7496-2.85%1.209-32.87%0.0013✓1.296.8M2022-01-21
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.2932-2.86%2.46-27.43%0.0090✓0.981.3M2022-01-21
KCSKuCoinnative21.43520.8225-2.86%16.808-21.59%0.2717✗1.6922.7M2022-01-21
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0609370.059136-2.96%0.041641-31.67%0.0787✗1.4911.0M2022-01-21
CHZChilizEthereum0.28560.277122-2.97%0.198-30.67%0.0263✓1.266.6M2022-01-21
DODODODOEthereum0.8980.871192-2.99%0.561-37.53%0.0171✓1.479.7M2022-01-21
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,630.7130,679.53-3.01%25,741.64-18.62%0.0208✓0.546.8M2022-01-21
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20770.201448-3.01%0.1206-41.94%0.1697✓1.197.6M2022-01-21
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.45110.437089-3.11%0.5351+18.62%0.6106✗1.421.6M2022-01-21
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.61.5497-3.15%0.97-39.38%0.0196✓1.701.6M2022-01-21
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.01940.018771-3.24%0.01394-28.14%0.1391✓0.5561k2022-01-21
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.23723.1307-3.29%3.11-3.93%0.3400✗1.214.0M2022-01-21
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.08891.0519-3.40%0.6747-38.04%0.0075✓1.523.0M2022-01-21
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.106020.102406-3.41%0.07197-32.12%0.1961✓0.54143k2022-01-21
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.37740.364174-3.50%0.2523-33.15%0.0061✓1.306.6M2022-01-21
AMPAmpEthereum0.050290.048528-3.50%0.0303-39.75%0.1987✓0.9516.3M2022-01-21
RADRadworksEthereum10.029.6404-3.79%5.68-43.31%0.2562✓0.951.9M2022-01-21
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.73670.708269-3.86%0.5619-23.73%0.1188✗1.227.7M2022-01-21
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10260.098626-3.87%0.0619-39.67%0.0774✓1.353.3M2022-01-21
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.0000350.000033642-3.88%0.00002226-36.40%0.1253✓1.001.9M2022-01-21
MINAMina Protocolnative3.313.173-4.14%2.9-12.39%0.1890✗0.97807k2022-01-21
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.056850.05445-4.22%0.03977-30.04%0.0091✓1.1220k2022-01-21
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.06554.8411-4.43%3.555-29.82%0.0843✗1.375.0M2022-01-21
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0368870.035241-4.46%0.022082-40.14%0.1741✓1.0213.9M2022-01-21
XVGVergenative0.017240.016451-4.58%0.01002-41.88%0.1571✓1.182.9M2022-01-21
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.211.1543-4.60%0.73-39.67%0.1706✓1.002.3M2022-01-21
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.01790.017072-4.62%0.01111-37.93%0.0684✓1.263.6M2022-01-21
IMXImmutableEthereum4.534.3186-4.67%2.71-40.18%0.1783✓1.002.8M2022-01-21
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.054.8041-4.87%3.31-34.46%0.0166✓1.3528.7M2022-01-21
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.18651.127-5.01%0.81011-31.72%0.1718✗1.741.6M2022-01-21
API3Api3Ethereum5.044.7823-5.11%4.65-7.74%0.2596✗1.001.8M2022-01-21
LCXLCXEthereum0.21190.200886-5.20%0.0939-55.69%0.4304✓1.154.2M2022-01-21
GTCGitcoinEthereum10.6210.0537-5.33%7.97-24.95%0.2665✓-0.124.2M2022-01-21
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.54026.19-5.35%4.7186-27.85%0.0698✗1.19833k2022-01-21
GITCOINGITCOIN10.589.9958-5.52%7.826-26.03%0.2952✓-0.18129k2022-01-21
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1811.5013-5.57%6.72-44.83%0.6274✓-0.315.4M2022-01-21
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27091.1974-5.78%0.857-32.57%0.0281✓1.0723.6M2022-01-21
UMAUMAEthereum9.468.8895-6.03%6.6-30.23%0.0152✓1.094.1M2022-01-21
CELLCellframeEthereum1.311.2294-6.15%0.8913-31.96%0.0340✓1.00196k2022-01-21
CTSICartesiEthereum0.68930.646619-6.19%0.4811-30.20%0.0590✓1.236.5M2022-01-21
LSKLiskEthereum2.45672.3034-6.24%1.6672-32.14%0.0230✓1.20147k2022-01-21
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.5792.4079-6.63%1.738-32.61%0.0620✓0.922.8M2022-01-21
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07120.066359-6.80%0.0363-49.02%0.2104✓1.372.7M2022-01-21
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7593.5026-6.82%2.795-25.65%0.0620✓1.003.6M2022-01-21
STORJStorjEthereum1.96551.8313-6.83%1.1848-39.72%0.2360✓0.691.3M2022-01-21
LPTLivepeerEthereum41.4938.5625-7.06%24.86-40.08%0.0595✓1.735.2M2022-01-21
ZENHorizenBase6863.1646-7.11%38.94-42.74%0.0470✓1.521.7M2022-01-21
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6340.586946-7.42%0.352-44.48%0.1593✓1.223.2M2022-01-21
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.08770.08111-7.51%0.05552-36.69%0.0221✓1.2422.6M2022-01-21
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.0810.2162-7.80%6.49-41.43%0.3071✓0.513.4M2022-01-21
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche116.66107.5355-7.82%66.07-43.37%0.1549✓1.15158.3M2022-01-21
CVCCivicEthereum0.34090.314192-7.83%0.2396-29.72%0.0158✓0.89401k2022-01-21
SCSiacoinnative0.016010.01475-7.87%0.01044-34.79%0.0800✓0.921.5M2022-01-21
MOVRMoonriverBase181.9072167.4939-7.92%95-47.78%0.2390✓1.14748k2022-01-21
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.455.016-7.96%2.29-57.98%0.4964✓1.006.8M2022-01-21
LRCLoopringEthereum2.19982.023-8.04%0.8678-60.55%0.2701✓2.002.3M2022-01-21
UOSUltraEthereum1.60781.4642-8.94%0.91734-42.95%0.1784✓1.017.8M2022-01-21
ZECZcashZcash165.84150.4206-9.30%102.35-38.28%0.0068✓1.3613.6M2022-01-21
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28952.978-9.47%2.2219-32.45%0.0483✓0.859.3M2022-01-21
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.76541.5852-10.21%0.5186-70.62%0.9669✓0.528.5M2022-01-21
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.0340.2234-10.67%17.88-60.29%0.2778✓1.8510.6M2022-01-21
HIVEHivenative1.50551.3376-11.15%0.906-39.82%0.0126✓1.3111.9M2022-01-21
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.593.1689-11.73%2.45-31.75%0.0304✓1.0011.9M2022-01-21
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203510.174126-14.44%0.16704-17.92%0.4272✗1.6334k2022-01-21
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.67210.573356-14.69%0.6365-5.30%0.6334✗1.8412.6M2022-01-21
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023880.020307-14.96%0.0092-61.47%0.5041✓1.0034.3M2022-01-21
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.