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2021-12-21 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3829
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+25.32%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
52.9%
in alpha space · 86.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-16.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum15.0615.3272+1.77%14.49-3.78%0.1787✓1.2714.2M2022-01-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.3135.5564+0.70%26.19-25.83%0.1188✗1.0121.2M2022-01-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.478.5099+0.47%7.38-12.87%0.0211✗0.661.2M2022-01-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1709060.171472+0.33%0.155509-9.01%0.1051✓1.105.5M2022-01-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot25.1725.2406+0.28%23-8.62%0.1366✓1.2475.1M2022-01-20
XMRMoneroMonero188.96189.2571+0.16%188.73-0.12%0.1729✓0.952.9M2022-01-20
SUSHISushiEthereum5.855.8549+0.08%5.81-0.68%0.2355✓1.3213.8M2022-01-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum19.4419.4545+0.07%20.18+3.81%0.2717✓1.2769.7M2022-01-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7993.7977-0.03%3.583-5.69%0.0675✗0.68544k2022-01-20
AAVEAaveEthereum186.16185.8285-0.18%198.37+6.56%0.2443✗0.9711.0M2022-01-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3570.356346-0.18%0.328-8.12%0.0544✗0.7454k2022-01-20
XLMStellarStellar0.2679720.267007-0.36%0.231498-13.61%0.0395✗0.9940.4M2022-01-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin48,914.7048,731.09-0.38%40,670.97-16.85%0.0038✓1.00754.4M2022-01-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.442.4307-0.38%2.03-16.80%0.0052✓0.954.8M2022-01-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.022750.022662-0.39%0.018378-19.22%0.0139✗1.211.9M2022-01-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.5127.4815-0.41%7.481-0.41%0.2444✗1.32635k2022-01-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum23.1123.0155-0.41%24.98+8.09%0.3285✗1.3420.8M2022-01-20
TRXTRONTron0.078850.078317-0.68%0.067694-14.15%0.0321✗0.96787k2022-01-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2211.2124-0.70%0.939-23.10%0.0745✓0.984.4M2022-01-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0775.0412-0.70%4.731-6.82%0.0534✗0.631.0M2022-01-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.3335.0761-0.72%29.37-16.87%0.0153✗1.046.5M2022-01-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1282.1113-0.78%1.679-21.10%0.0237✓1.113.3M2022-01-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum48,448.3048,043.64-0.84%41,418.10-14.51%0.0334✗0.9915k2022-01-20
GTGateEthereum6.04465.9868-0.96%7.0322+16.34%0.3113✗0.814.9M2022-01-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.102290.10129-0.98%0.06885-32.69%0.1080✓1.516.8M2022-01-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.365.3071-0.99%4.78-10.82%0.0952✗1.085.5M2022-01-20
XEMNEMnative0.1280.1267-1.02%0.1095-14.45%0.0547✗1.09202k2022-01-20
QNTQuantEthereum186.26184.3454-1.03%132.32-28.96%0.1628✓0.9112.3M2022-01-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9463.9052-1.03%3.861-2.15%0.1371✗0.80734k2022-01-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos23.6523.4006-1.05%38.97+64.78%0.6710✗0.8741.0M2022-01-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.969.8495-1.11%10.09+1.31%0.1613✗0.741.9M2022-01-20
XECeCashnative0.000109280.000108045-1.13%0.00009053-17.16%0.0065✓0.9912.6M2022-01-20
COMPCompoundEthereum194.4192.0632-1.20%162.17-16.58%0.0254✗1.05228k2022-01-20
XVSVenusEthereum15.2815.096-1.20%11.36-25.65%0.0733✓1.146.2M2022-01-20
FTTFTXEthereum41.9641.4355-1.25%45.17+7.65%0.2823✗1.0625.2M2022-01-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.77.6015-1.28%6.14-20.26%0.0965✓0.631.1M2022-01-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV124.64122.9438-1.36%104.32-16.30%0.0175✗0.982.5M2022-01-20
XYMSymbolnative0.24310.239784-1.36%0.1782-26.70%0.2125✓0.46428k2022-01-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash437.94431.3086-1.51%357.74-18.31%0.0035✓1.0314.2M2022-01-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111840.110105-1.55%0.0964-13.81%0.0705✗1.1030k2022-01-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.31320.308325-1.56%0.3693+17.91%0.4490✗1.454.9M2022-01-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7830710.770782-1.57%0.655547-16.29%0.0354✗1.074.8M2022-01-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum33.1632.5485-1.84%25.43-23.31%0.1236✓0.67744k2022-01-20
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.97794.8843-1.88%3.8114-23.43%0.1077✓0.7631k2022-01-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.1350.13245-1.89%0.1002-25.78%0.0794✓1.08559k2022-01-20
ADACardanoCardano1.28011.2557-1.91%1.2589-1.66%0.1923✗1.03131.8M2022-01-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20990.205898-1.91%0.1666-20.63%0.0505✓0.87756k2022-01-20
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0331.4067-1.95%24.39-23.85%0.0249✗1.501.5M2022-01-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0514.7558-1.96%14.59-3.06%0.1116✗0.671.6M2022-01-20
BANDBandEthereum5.325.214-1.99%4.68-12.03%0.1103✗1.182.8M2022-01-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4821.4525-1.99%1.143-22.87%0.0036✓1.325.6M2022-01-20
ETHEthereumEthereum4,017.113,935.70-2.03%3,000.94-25.30%0.0754✓1.06768.5M2022-01-20
QTUMQtumQtum9.21859.029-2.06%7.057-23.45%0.0209✗1.45349k2022-01-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.70970.694753-2.11%0.5001-29.53%0.0915✓1.2915.1M2022-01-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.942.8779-2.11%2.35-20.07%0.0350✗1.293.1M2022-01-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum97.2795.1985-2.13%69.09-28.97%0.1438✓0.969.8M2022-01-20
KSMKusamaHydration267.01261.2965-2.14%239.61-10.26%0.1129✗1.081.5M2022-01-20
DASHDashDash133.6130.655-2.20%121.15-9.32%0.1548✗1.252.2M2022-01-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08610.084174-2.24%0.0723-16.03%0.0511✗1.1024k2022-01-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7424.1729-2.29%18.34-25.87%0.0796✓1.062.8M2022-01-20
SOLSolanaSolana179.75175.5947-2.31%127.52-29.06%0.1337✓1.01275.4M2022-01-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.4808-2.41%7.4-14.84%0.0062✓0.77934k2022-01-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.28421.2529-2.44%1.5815+23.15%0.4316✗1.081.6M2022-01-20
NANOnanopayBase3.43083.3468-2.45%2.8203-17.79%0.0213✓1.04819k2022-01-20
XTZTezosTezos4.23564.1267-2.57%3.715-12.29%0.1352✗1.304.7M2022-01-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.6013.5078-2.59%3.7088+2.99%0.0392✗-0.09372k2022-01-20
CBKCobakEthereum2.9072.8315-2.60%2.539-12.66%0.0466✗0.84104k2022-01-20
DODODODOEthereum0.8650.8414-2.73%0.682-21.16%0.0617✗1.479.9M2022-01-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.333.2384-2.75%2.8-15.92%0.0361✗0.981.3M2022-01-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin154.8150.4972-2.78%129.8-16.15%0.1103✗1.4060.7M2022-01-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2589.97-2.81%6.92-32.54%0.2465✓0.64388k2022-01-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35771.3194-2.82%1.1614-14.46%0.0662✗1.0535.7M2022-01-20
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7761.7233-2.97%1.272-28.38%0.0656✓1.296.8M2022-01-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.20390.19781-2.99%0.1484-27.22%0.0669✓1.198.6M2022-01-20
KCSKuCoinnative21.87521.2093-3.04%19.429-11.18%0.2239✗1.6922.7M2022-01-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.28030.271603-3.10%0.2346-16.30%0.0863✗1.267.0M2022-01-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.44850.434564-3.11%0.5776+28.78%0.5465✗1.421.8M2022-01-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0616640.059745-3.11%0.050637-17.88%0.1101✗1.4913.0M2022-01-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.631.5758-3.33%1.11-31.90%0.0373✓1.701.8M2022-01-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.19063.0839-3.34%3.1598-0.97%0.2468✗1.214.7M2022-01-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019710.019037-3.42%0.01551-21.31%0.1033✓0.5561k2022-01-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.104310.100701-3.46%0.08157-21.80%0.1101✓0.54143k2022-01-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.048380.046697-3.48%0.03533-26.97%0.1040✓0.9515.8M2022-01-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36970.356438-3.59%0.2832-23.40%0.0095✓1.306.6M2022-01-20
RADRadworksEthereum9.799.428-3.70%6.89-29.62%0.1384✓0.951.9M2022-01-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10441.0634-3.71%0.8682-21.39%0.0773✗1.523.3M2022-01-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032850.000031605-3.79%0.00002648-19.39%0.0076✓1.001.8M2022-01-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum34,696.9933,374.20-3.81%31,414.30-9.46%0.0381✓0.536.8M2022-01-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.720.69105-4.02%0.6442-10.53%0.1547✗1.227.7M2022-01-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.05620.053914-4.07%0.04537-19.27%0.0350✓1.1222k2022-01-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.624.4291-4.13%3.97-14.07%0.1407✗1.3628.7M2022-01-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09920.095062-4.17%0.0736-25.81%0.0064✓1.353.3M2022-01-20
MINAMina Protocolnative3.243.0988-4.36%3.35+3.40%0.2571✗0.97807k2022-01-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.01094.7753-4.70%3.9838-20.50%0.0712✗1.375.2M2022-01-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.549.0901-4.72%9.52-0.21%0.0250✓-0.123.7M2022-01-20
GITCOINGITCOIN9.4639.0096-4.79%9.432-0.33%0.0141✓-0.17119k2022-01-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018060.017192-4.80%0.01227-32.06%0.1055✓1.263.6M2022-01-20
IMXImmutableEthereum4.614.3877-4.82%3.36-27.11%0.0823✓1.002.5M2022-01-20
XVGVergenative0.017350.016511-4.84%0.01234-28.88%0.0738✓1.183.1M2022-01-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1319-4.89%0.89-25.21%0.0558✓1.002.4M2022-01-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.16641.1083-4.98%0.90658-22.28%0.1212✗1.751.5M2022-01-20
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1321.0752-5.02%1.0839-4.25%0.1926✗1.00215k2022-01-20
API3Api3Ethereum4.944.692-5.02%4.19-15.18%0.0714✗1.001.9M2022-01-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.13545.8262-5.04%5.2113-15.06%0.1079✗1.19833k2022-01-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382970.036324-5.15%0.026039-32.01%0.1449✓1.0215.0M2022-01-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.2411.6002-5.23%7.97-34.89%0.4331✓-0.315.7M2022-01-20
UMAUMAEthereum98.4498-6.11%7.75-13.89%0.1148✗1.094.1M2022-01-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.31471.2343-6.12%1.0173-22.62%0.0030✓1.0623.6M2022-01-20
LSKLiskEthereum2.43472.2857-6.12%1.8707-23.17%0.0219✓1.20169k2022-01-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.22240.208508-6.25%0.1141-48.70%0.3912✓1.154.2M2022-01-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.67120.629182-6.26%0.5606-16.48%0.1124✗1.237.1M2022-01-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.4372.2813-6.39%2.111-13.38%0.0922✗0.923.2M2022-01-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8333.5763-6.70%3.095-19.25%0.0400✓1.003.6M2022-01-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum36.5334.0774-6.71%30.25-17.19%0.2015✗1.745.5M2022-01-20
STORJStorjEthereum1.80941.6849-6.88%1.3945-22.93%0.0606✓0.701.4M2022-01-20
ZENHorizenBase64.3759.9192-6.91%47.6-26.05%0.0504✓1.521.9M2022-01-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06880.063945-7.06%0.0452-34.30%0.0951✓1.362.7M2022-01-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6240.576666-7.59%0.428-31.41%0.0722✓1.223.2M2022-01-20
SCSiacoinnative0.015760.014524-7.84%0.01217-22.78%0.0063✓0.921.6M2022-01-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.33280.306693-7.84%0.2825-15.11%0.0817✗0.89544k2022-01-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.9310.0705-7.86%7.96-27.17%0.1410✓0.514.1M2022-01-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.665.2102-7.95%2.79-50.71%0.4400✓1.007.1M2022-01-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche123.27113.2988-8.09%79.35-35.63%0.1435✓1.15164.3M2022-01-20
MOVRMoonriverBase183.964168.8794-8.20%119.9355-34.80%0.1317✓1.14853k2022-01-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.097770.089378-8.58%0.06785-30.60%0.0473✓1.2422.6M2022-01-20
UOSUltraEthereum1.50071.367-8.91%1.1313-24.61%0.0033✓1.017.8M2022-01-20
ZECZcashZcash162.44147.6548-9.10%118.84-26.84%0.0344✓1.3613.6M2022-01-20
LRCLoopringEthereum2.40152.1812-9.17%1.0653-55.64%0.3476✓2.002.4M2022-01-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.68661.5309-9.23%0.6721-60.15%0.7265✓0.528.7M2022-01-20
MANADecentralandEthereum3.28692.9674-9.72%2.6385-19.73%0.0393✓0.8510.1M2022-01-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.9236.5102-10.78%21.12-48.39%0.2053✓1.8513.1M2022-01-20
HIVEHivenative1.47581.3105-11.20%1.0699-27.50%0.0391✓1.3111.9M2022-01-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.613.1958-11.47%3.06-15.24%0.1411✗1.0012.1M2022-01-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.6020.519194-13.76%0.757+25.75%0.7170✗1.8412.4M2022-01-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.022940.019639-14.39%0.01207-47.38%0.3022✓1.0033.0M2022-01-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.2060.175363-14.87%0.18914-8.18%0.3764✗1.6334k2022-01-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.