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2021-12-20 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3186
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
51.1%
in alpha space · 82.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.19%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum14.5214.8134+2.02%15.12+4.13%0.1726✓1.2814.2M2022-01-19
FILFilecoinFilecoin34.8635.1108+0.72%27.59-20.85%0.1188✗1.0321.2M2022-01-19
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.0824.2353+0.65%24.06-0.08%0.1407✓1.2575.1M2022-01-19
SUSHISushiEthereum5.485.5075+0.50%6.05+10.40%0.2490✓1.3112.7M2022-01-19
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.468.4983+0.45%7.67-9.34%0.0229✗0.671.1M2022-01-19
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.7818.8529+0.39%21.56+14.80%0.2868✓1.2969.7M2022-01-19
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1671790.167813+0.38%0.161705-3.27%0.0953✓1.125.3M2022-01-19
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum21.7521.802+0.24%26.53+21.98%0.3539✓1.3320.8M2022-01-19
AAVEAaveEthereum181.01181.3709+0.20%210.15+16.10%0.2630✓0.9811.0M2022-01-19
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3490.34926+0.07%0.349+0.00%0.0874✓0.7454k2022-01-19
XMRMoneroMonero188.84188.9326+0.05%201.62+6.77%0.1812✓0.982.9M2022-01-19
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089010.089029+0.02%0.07218-18.91%0.0374✗1.456.7M2022-01-19
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7113.709-0.05%3.627-2.26%0.0582✗0.68544k2022-01-19
SUNSun TokenTron0.0222820.022263-0.08%0.01895-14.95%0.0150✓1.231.9M2022-01-19
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,926.0746,845.66-0.17%41,674.27-11.19%0.0017✗1.00750.8M2022-01-19
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.392.3857-0.18%2.09-12.55%0.0186✓0.964.9M2022-01-19
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.115.0994-0.21%4.9-4.11%0.0879✗1.085.5M2022-01-19
XLMStellarStellar0.258390.257826-0.22%0.245567-4.96%0.0687✗0.9940.4M2022-01-19
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.4117.3916-0.26%7.009-5.42%0.1068✗1.35635k2022-01-19
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.1951.1912-0.32%0.96-19.67%0.0980✓0.994.6M2022-01-19
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.5434.3916-0.43%31.27-9.47%0.0304✗1.066.5M2022-01-19
TRXTRONTron0.077610.077233-0.49%0.069192-10.85%0.0066✗0.98798k2022-01-19
XEMNEMnative0.12490.124292-0.49%0.1126-9.85%0.0319✗1.10202k2022-01-19
XECeCashnative0.000106380.000105826-0.52%0.00009227-13.26%0.0184✓1.0013.4M2022-01-19
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos21.5321.4177-0.52%37.07+72.18%0.6468✗0.8342.5M2022-01-19
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,868.2046,608.01-0.56%41,724.00-10.98%0.0069✗0.9915k2022-01-19
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.042.0273-0.62%1.709-16.23%0.0385✓1.113.4M2022-01-19
FTTFTXEthereum40.5740.2652-0.75%46.67+15.04%0.2744✗1.0725.2M2022-01-19
GTGateEthereum5.83545.7885-0.80%7.1+21.67%0.3012✗0.825.1M2022-01-19
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.0334.9924-0.81%4.793-4.77%0.0354✗0.641.0M2022-01-19
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.3830.1192-0.86%26.13-13.99%0.0370✗1.511.6M2022-01-19
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.62220.616826-0.86%0.5244-15.72%0.0165✓1.2314.9M2022-01-19
DKAdKargoEthereum0.108770.107819-0.87%0.10044-7.66%0.0616✗1.1231k2022-01-19
COMPCompoundEthereum188.43186.7203-0.91%172.8-8.29%0.0484✗1.06236k2022-01-19
XVSVenusEthereum14.8414.702-0.93%12.52-15.63%0.0240✓1.156.6M2022-01-19
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana9.659.5589-0.94%10.22+5.91%0.1541✗0.741.9M2022-01-19
QNTQuantEthereum174.01172.32-0.97%135.59-22.08%0.1341✓0.8912.3M2022-01-19
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.7550840.747377-1.02%0.684968-9.29%0.0404✗1.074.8M2022-01-19
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.9393.8984-1.03%3.956+0.43%0.1123✗0.82780k2022-01-19
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV121.71120.2608-1.19%109.45-10.07%0.0240✗1.002.5M2022-01-19
XYMSymbolnative0.24050.237478-1.26%0.1786-25.74%0.2303✓0.46434k2022-01-19
COTICOTIEthereum0.30170.297859-1.27%0.366+21.31%0.3805✗1.474.9M2022-01-19
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash430.28424.3856-1.37%369.1-14.22%0.0150✓1.0514.2M2022-01-19
QTUMQtumQtum8.97188.8331-1.55%7.4032-17.48%0.0018✓1.47356k2022-01-19
DASHDashDash127.33125.3531-1.55%126.8-0.42%0.1598✗1.252.2M2022-01-19
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4091.3871-1.56%1.222-13.27%0.0299✗1.325.6M2022-01-19
BANDBandEthereum5.064.9794-1.59%4.91-2.96%0.1260✗1.182.8M2022-01-19
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.6391.0982-1.65%71.82-22.47%0.1249✓0.9510.6M2022-01-19
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13030.128142-1.66%0.1012-22.33%0.1067✓1.09603k2022-01-19
ADACardanoCardano1.23811.2168-1.72%1.3366+7.96%0.2164✗1.03131.8M2022-01-19
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08360.082136-1.75%0.0761-8.97%0.0557✗1.1124k2022-01-19
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.9931.427-1.76%26.81-16.19%0.0805✓0.66754k2022-01-19
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.947.7995-1.77%6.36-19.90%0.1245✓0.671.1M2022-01-19
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20370.200081-1.78%0.1712-15.95%0.0517✓0.88756k2022-01-19
CBKCobakEthereum2.8382.7867-1.81%2.623-7.58%0.0404✗0.85104k2022-01-19
NANOnanopayBase3.28883.2285-1.83%3.0555-7.09%0.0685✗1.04798k2022-01-19
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.772.7188-1.85%2.47-10.83%0.0562✗1.283.0M2022-01-19
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.9014.8091-1.88%3.9939-18.51%0.0939✓0.7731k2022-01-19
KSMKusamaHydration263.85258.7032-1.95%243.71-7.63%0.0714✗1.101.5M2022-01-19
DODODODOEthereum0.8110.794992-1.97%0.701-13.56%0.0484✗1.4710.9M2022-01-19
LTCLitecoinLitecoin152.71149.6266-2.02%136.2-10.81%0.0761✗1.4360.7M2022-01-19
ETHEthereumEthereum3,946.163,862.94-2.11%3,085.27-21.82%0.0963✓1.08768.5M2022-01-19
AUCTIONBounceEthereum23.7523.2448-2.13%19.03-19.87%0.0741✓1.062.9M2022-01-19
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.2391.2106-2.29%1.537+24.05%0.3673✗1.081.6M2022-01-19
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.314.9497-2.29%14.85-2.94%0.0758✗0.691.6M2022-01-19
CHZChilizEthereum0.26740.26126-2.30%0.2463-7.89%0.0914✗1.277.0M2022-01-19
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19910.194447-2.34%0.151-24.16%0.1092✓1.218.9M2022-01-19
SOLSolanaSolana174.06169.9736-2.35%135.33-22.25%0.1071✓1.02281.0M2022-01-19
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.29781.2669-2.38%1.2659-2.46%0.1237✗1.0535.8M2022-01-19
XTZTezosTezos4.10644.0059-2.45%3.8849-5.39%0.1257✗1.324.7M2022-01-19
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.511.4727-2.47%1.17-22.52%0.0297✓1.692.0M2022-01-19
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.698.4661-2.58%7.57-12.89%0.0179✓0.79838k2022-01-19
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.42130.410441-2.58%0.5701+35.32%0.4937✗1.391.8M2022-01-19
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.233.1458-2.61%2.91-9.91%0.0397✗0.991.3M2022-01-19
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0579810.056435-2.67%0.051115-11.84%0.0787✗1.5013.8M2022-01-19
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6711.626-2.69%1.294-22.56%0.0756✓1.297.6M2022-01-19
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.2419.9511-2.83%7.272-28.99%0.2349✓0.66388k2022-01-19
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.065580.063714-2.85%0.07162+9.21%0.2346✗0.9922.6M2022-01-19
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.57423.4718-2.86%3.6546+2.25%0.0398✗-0.10372k2022-01-19
KCSKuCoinnative21.10320.4922-2.89%19.951-5.46%0.1777✗1.7223.4M2022-01-19
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.66920.649774-2.90%0.6838+2.18%0.1936✗1.207.8M2022-01-19
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019250.018686-2.93%0.01585-17.66%0.0993✓0.5567k2022-01-19
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.35320.342775-2.95%0.2982-15.57%0.0156✓1.306.8M2022-01-19
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.04831.0169-3.00%0.9271-11.56%0.0878✗1.523.4M2022-01-19
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0950.092113-3.04%0.0774-18.53%0.0126✓1.363.4M2022-01-19
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.113.9801-3.16%4.19+1.95%0.2081✗1.3228.7M2022-01-19
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.16673.0664-3.17%3.1421-0.78%0.1705✗1.234.7M2022-01-19
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.099140.095905-3.26%0.0853-13.96%0.0546✓0.53143k2022-01-19
AMPAmpEthereum0.046640.045094-3.32%0.03718-20.28%0.0799✓0.9515.8M2022-01-19
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017280.016688-3.42%0.01394-19.33%0.0309✓1.263.6M2022-01-19
RADRadworksEthereum9.539.1994-3.47%7.01-26.44%0.1581✓0.962.0M2022-01-19
XVGVergenative0.016640.016031-3.66%0.01267-23.86%0.0950✓1.183.1M2022-01-19
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000031220.000030068-3.69%0.00002726-12.68%0.0207✓1.001.9M2022-01-19
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.054060.05206-3.70%0.04692-13.21%0.0302✓1.1322k2022-01-19
MINAMina Protocolnative3.163.0358-3.93%3.39+7.28%0.2269✗0.98821k2022-01-19
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.86295.6299-3.98%5.4486-7.07%0.1079✗1.18833k2022-01-19
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.018.6482-4.02%10.21+13.32%0.1468✗-0.163.7M2022-01-19
GITCOINGITCOIN8.9558.582-4.17%10.274+14.73%0.1540✗-0.22119k2022-01-19
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.07991.0343-4.22%1.0492-2.84%0.1277✗0.9623.6M2022-01-19
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.8884.6642-4.58%4-18.17%0.0098✓1.385.2M2022-01-19
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0358470.034204-4.58%0.026624-25.73%0.1311✓1.0115.0M2022-01-19
UMAUMAEthereum8.758.3355-4.74%8.26-5.60%0.1217✗1.103.9M2022-01-19
API3Api3Ethereum4.794.5558-4.89%4.35-9.19%0.0725✗1.001.8M2022-01-19
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.10761.0533-4.90%0.95676-13.61%0.1142✗1.771.5M2022-01-19
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.1411.5412-4.93%8.35-31.22%0.3629✓-0.335.9M2022-01-19
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,818.4334,972.99-5.01%32,142.29-12.70%0.0137✓0.606.2M2022-01-19
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.191.1294-5.09%0.93-21.85%0.0756✓1.002.3M2022-01-19
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06520.06178-5.25%0.0486-25.46%0.0787✓1.362.9M2022-01-19
LSKLiskEthereum2.25632.1376-5.26%2.0509-9.10%0.0991✗1.18169k2022-01-19
STORJStorjEthereum1.62641.5407-5.27%1.462-10.11%0.0242✓0.651.4M2022-01-19
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3122.1876-5.38%2.219-4.02%0.1229✗0.923.3M2022-01-19
IMXImmutableEthereum4.284.0489-5.40%3.56-16.82%0.0100✓1.002.8M2022-01-19
ZENHorizenBase61.4958.0847-5.54%49.93-18.80%0.0308✓1.532.2M2022-01-19
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.52211.4354-5.70%0.7592-50.12%0.5811✓0.478.8M2022-01-19
CTSICartesiEthereum0.62860.592215-5.79%0.5784-7.99%0.1218✗1.227.7M2022-01-19
MOVRMoonriverBase176.9138165.9204-6.21%120.5322-31.87%0.1840✓1.141.1M2022-01-19
LCXLCXEthereum0.2190.205313-6.25%0.1191-45.62%0.4061✓1.173.9M2022-01-19
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8013.5589-6.37%3.282-13.65%0.0377✓1.003.7M2022-01-19
LPTLivepeerEthereum34.0931.9015-6.42%32.43-4.87%0.2240✗1.756.0M2022-01-19
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6070.56794-6.43%0.469-22.73%0.0441✓1.243.4M2022-01-19
CVCCivicEthereum0.31750.296478-6.62%0.2983-6.05%0.1101✗0.88693k2022-01-19
SCSiacoinnative0.014930.013936-6.66%0.0127-14.94%0.0156✓0.911.9M2022-01-19
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.459.688-7.29%8.43-19.33%0.0803✓0.504.2M2022-01-19
ZECZcashZcash157.02145.5154-7.33%125.87-19.84%0.0192✓1.3813.6M2022-01-19
LRCLoopringEthereum2.01891.8664-7.56%1.1835-41.38%0.2229✓1.962.3M2022-01-19
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche113.55104.958-7.57%82.64-27.22%0.1039✓1.14164.3M2022-01-19
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.765.3155-7.72%3.1-46.18%0.4205✓1.009.3M2022-01-19
UOSUltraEthereum1.38951.2791-7.94%1.1693-15.85%0.0282✓0.997.8M2022-01-19
MANADecentralandEthereum3.19012.9092-8.80%2.7346-14.28%0.0417✓0.8710.9M2022-01-19
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.3736.775-8.91%22.14-45.16%0.2780✓1.9313.8M2022-01-19
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.22.899-9.41%3.33+4.06%0.2573✗1.0011.9M2022-01-19
SPELLSpellEthereum0.018090.016356-9.59%0.01172-35.21%0.2146✓1.0030.7M2022-01-19
HIVEHivenative1.41.2599-10.01%1.1386-18.67%0.0559✓1.3212.4M2022-01-19
BFCBifrostEthereum0.194660.168808-13.28%0.19913+2.30%0.3597✗1.6434k2022-01-19
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.53720.462159-13.97%0.8466+57.59%0.8231✗1.8310.2M2022-01-19
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.