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2021-12-19 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2967
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+21.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9715.5913+4.15%15.98+6.75%0.1462✓1.2514.2M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.4774+2.77%6.21+16.51%0.2497✓1.2812.7M2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.836.541+2.07%28.48-20.45%0.1498✗1.0220.8M2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44198.9025+1.77%178.35-8.74%0.0091✓1.03228k2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.9396+1.19%29.38+29.60%0.3742✓1.3120.5M2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.7769+1.16%4.936+4.53%0.0921✓0.61961k2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.366842+1.06%0.376+3.58%0.0957✓0.7354k2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.256528+1.04%0.253995+0.04%0.0849✓0.9839.3M2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44185.2519+0.99%232.45+26.72%0.3173✓0.9310.9M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6893+0.74%6.43-3.16%0.0221✓0.641.1M2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.913+0.62%4.117+5.86%0.1283✓0.80780k2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.865+0.34%25.15+1.49%0.1295✓1.2275.1M2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.425+0.21%2.19-9.50%0.0132✗0.914.9M2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.9011+0.11%22.98+21.72%0.3120✓1.2069.7M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.1328+0.08%1.794-15.81%0.0655✗1.113.4M2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.16957+0.02%0.165155-2.58%0.0807✓1.105.3M2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.5489-0.03%3.727+4.99%0.1138✗0.67532k2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.472-0.05%13.04-15.76%0.0601✓1.146.6M2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.2032-0.13%5.03-3.45%0.0694✗1.065.5M2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8934.843-0.13%32.64-6.45%0.0327✗1.016.9M2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.023132-0.17%0.019469-15.98%0.0507✓1.251.9M2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.878-0.38%7-11.48%0.0084✗1.30640k2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum182.22181.5032-0.39%146.04-19.86%0.1326✓0.8712.3M2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.9697-0.48%2.691-9.82%0.0160✓0.85105k2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,430.61-0.55%42,369.74-9.25%0.0055✗1.00744.5M2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.3713-0.58%14.74+9.59%0.1616✗0.661.6M2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02122.2882-0.59%108.41-11.88%0.0257✓0.982.3M2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.190955-0.65%0.1541-19.82%0.1014✓1.168.9M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.967.9063-0.67%7.79-2.14%0.0479✗0.651.1M2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.2107-0.68%1.008-17.31%0.0890✓0.975.1M2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.110159-0.79%0.10541-5.07%0.0623✗1.1031k2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94429.4874-0.80%381.47-11.89%0.0190✓1.0314.2M2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.12880.127701-0.85%0.1142-11.34%0.0090✓1.06191k2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.078789-0.90%0.068419-13.94%0.0472✓0.97735k2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.6842-0.95%2.55-5.90%0.0711✗1.262.9M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5352-0.95%1.28-17.42%0.0213✓1.652.1M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero183.97182.192-0.97%204.44+11.13%0.2019✗0.892.9M2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.2576-0.99%7.81-6.35%0.0166✗0.75824k2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.5155-1.02%27.84-12.56%0.0155✗1.441.6M2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.2303-1.13%1.4589+17.25%0.2674✗1.00131.8M2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.091002-1.15%0.07514-18.38%0.0499✓1.467.0M2022-01-18
DASHDashDash129.18127.6821-1.16%130.54+1.05%0.1398✗1.212.2M2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.816406-1.16%0.739-10.53%0.0386✗1.4212.1M2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.760723-1.25%0.720057-6.53%0.0444✗1.024.8M2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1821.8757-1.37%38.27+72.54%0.6395✗0.8342.5M2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0046,505.48-1.39%42,495.40-9.89%0.0055✓0.9915k2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum9.08398.9534-1.44%7.8307-13.80%0.0016✓1.40356k2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.3694-1.46%19.56-20.91%0.1534✓0.683.0M2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration274.31270.1991-1.50%253.4-7.62%0.0404✗1.081.5M2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.1711-1.52%3.02-6.21%0.0447✗0.961.3M2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.3357-1.53%1.3179-2.84%0.0844✗1.0138.2M2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.198009-1.59%0.1749-13.07%0.0413✓0.85776k2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.301397-1.60%0.4092+33.59%0.4407✗1.394.9M2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.125.0366-1.63%5.05-1.37%0.1129✗1.142.8M2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.636844-1.75%0.5309-18.10%0.0733✓1.1214.9M2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.2877-2.02%2.9248-12.84%0.0178✓1.02781k2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4234-2.04%1.273-12.39%0.0158✓1.315.6M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.4002-2.10%10.34+20.51%0.2756✗0.701.9M2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000108670.000106351-2.13%0.00009565-11.98%0.0098✓0.9914.3M2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.2811-2.17%2.0816-10.73%0.0145✓1.09191k2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.0471-2.20%4.1162-0.53%0.1428✗1.304.2M2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2531.5354-2.22%27.26-15.47%0.0849✓0.63754k2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.425246-2.26%0.6027+38.52%0.4458✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.3955-2.36%3.6709+5.56%0.0681✗-0.10372k2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.248-2.39%1.473+15.21%0.2695✗1.071.6M2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7438.7239-2.56%44.97+13.16%0.2474✗1.0126.1M2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.068996-2.69%0.06479-8.62%0.0337✗1.0023.2M2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,819.08-2.72%3,160.81-19.49%0.0867✓1.06768.5M2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000029917-2.74%0.00002811-8.62%0.0347✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.097585-2.88%0.08843-11.99%0.0460✓0.54143k2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.082097-2.96%0.0796-5.91%0.0730✗1.0724k2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.017086-2.98%0.01425-19.08%0.0622✓1.233.6M2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.016740.016214-3.14%0.01322-21.03%0.0896✓1.183.6M2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.249497-3.18%0.1864-27.67%0.2441✓0.49434k2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2992.2477-3.19%73.86-22.49%0.1288✓0.9610.9M2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.5809-3.22%7.44-24.85%0.1595✓0.961.9M2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.668411-3.26%0.6816-1.35%0.1340✗1.188.2M2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02332.9213-3.37%3.2233+6.62%0.2161✗1.214.7M2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0281-3.39%1.1015+3.51%0.1585✗0.9223.6M2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.058834-3.39%0.052076-14.48%0.0191✓1.4513.9M2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.091491-3.39%0.0808-14.68%0.0088✓1.373.6M2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.7628-3.46%4.0803-17.29%0.0866✓0.7031k2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809176.8333-3.57%126.385-31.08%0.2410✓0.981.2M2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative21.2320.4711-3.57%20.371-4.05%0.1601✗1.7024.3M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.0653-3.61%3.45+8.49%0.2107✗0.95821k2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.053598-3.67%0.04814-13.48%0.0033✓1.0722k2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31147.5879-3.73%141.53-7.68%0.0949✗1.4163.2M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana179.95173.0958-3.81%141.35-21.45%0.1136✓0.92281.0M2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.4825-4.01%3.378-6.89%0.0666✗1.003.8M2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.252396-4.07%0.259-1.56%0.1466✗1.247.4M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.046038-4.09%0.03887-19.02%0.0788✓0.9315.8M2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.5406-4.13%4.1197-13.02%0.0356✓1.375.2M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.350619-4.15%0.3129-14.46%0.0133✓1.317.0M2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.6821-4.16%1.348-23.19%0.0969✓1.287.6M2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum5.79835.5539-4.21%7.0464+21.53%0.3110✗0.755.2M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase65.5262.6359-4.40%52.32-20.15%0.0404✓1.442.2M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum9.098.669-4.63%7.94-12.65%0.0200✓1.114.1M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.3116-4.78%8.79-26.01%0.2827✓-0.315.9M2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.23.9896-5.01%4.64+10.48%0.2481✗1.001.7M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.613022-5.08%0.6093-5.65%0.1130✗1.238.7M2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0221-5.08%0.9593-10.92%0.0844✗1.523.6M2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.014582-5.13%0.0133-13.47%0.0037✓0.912.1M2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.266-5.20%3.72-17.33%0.0399✓1.003.1M2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5130,323.31-5.23%32,596.41+1.87%0.1294✗0.595.5M2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.129294-5.28%0.105-23.08%0.1013✓1.10648k2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.0703-5.38%1.0043-11.22%0.1043✗1.731.6M2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.6314-5.45%5.9429-0.22%0.1619✗1.11876k2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.1059-5.47%0.98-16.24%0.0239✓1.002.4M2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.173.9378-5.57%4.56+9.35%0.2723✗1.2928.7M2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.28.6819-5.63%11.41+24.02%0.2625✗-0.113.7M2022-01-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.5578-5.69%0.8648-47.64%0.5348✓0.559.0M2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.1993-5.81%2.277-2.48%0.1226✗0.913.4M2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash157.78148.587-5.83%131.97-16.36%0.0073✓1.3015.2M2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.568546-5.87%0.499-17.38%0.0124✓1.223.4M2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.066429-6.04%0.0499-29.42%0.1520✓1.383.5M2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.305471-6.07%0.3128-3.81%0.1092✗0.88775k2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.3683-6.15%3.25-43.18%0.4048✓1.0011.5M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.69.9141-6.47%8.78-17.17%0.0735✓0.494.2M2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.5753-6.49%1.5502-7.98%0.0486✓0.671.4M2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.018982-6.72%0.01679-17.49%0.0760✓0.4861k2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2798.6532-6.74%11.382+22.66%0.2580✗-0.17119k2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.2722-7.30%3.54+0.28%0.1757✗1.0012.1M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1432.5473-7.38%34.09-2.99%0.2158✗1.756.8M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.3611-7.42%1.236-15.92%0.0013✓1.017.8M2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.3229.527-7.70%7.355-28.74%0.1904✓0.70374k2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8337.6482-7.79%23.4-42.69%0.2871✓1.9413.8M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05191.892-7.79%1.1612-43.41%0.2994✓1.952.3M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25672.9794-8.52%2.859-12.21%0.0450✓0.8912.2M2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.46421.3291-9.22%1.2149-17.03%0.0375✓1.3112.4M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.015323-9.28%0.01274-24.57%0.0876✓1.0033.0M2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.0347-9.86%0.027164-29.43%0.1454✓1.0315.0M2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.696.9861-9.86%86.02-20.06%0.0166✓1.07164.3M2022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.179461-11.89%0.19779-2.89%0.2544✗1.6237k2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.242018-12.57%0.1293-53.29%0.5088✓1.223.7M2022-01-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.371321-13.45%0.9154+113.38%1.0741✗1.7710.2M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.