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2021-12-19 · +30d

gru_s3 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 135 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3339
135 of 135 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+26.20%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.0%
in alpha space · 79.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.25%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (135 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.4290.370928-13.54%0.9154+113.38%1.0785✗1.8010.2M2022-01-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.203670.176529-13.33%0.19779-2.89%0.2736✗1.6537k2022-01-18
HIVEHivenative1.46421.3187-9.94%1.2149-17.03%0.0476✓1.3312.4M2022-01-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.27680.249464-9.88%0.1293-53.29%0.5392✓1.223.7M2022-01-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.533.2102-9.06%3.54+0.28%0.1948✗1.0012.1M2022-01-18
MANADecentralandEthereum3.25672.9689-8.84%2.859-12.21%0.0478✓0.8812.2M2022-01-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum40.8337.2624-8.74%23.4-42.69%0.2768✓1.9413.8M2022-01-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.016890.015445-8.55%0.01274-24.57%0.0955✓1.0033.0M2022-01-18
UOSUltraEthereum1.47011.3481-8.30%1.236-15.92%0.0108✓1.017.8M2022-01-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.725.2648-7.96%3.25-43.18%0.3854✓1.0011.5M2022-01-18
LRCLoopringEthereum2.05191.8923-7.78%1.1612-43.41%0.2972✓1.972.3M2022-01-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche107.699.8211-7.23%86.02-20.06%0.0388✓1.13164.3M2022-01-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum10.69.848-7.09%8.78-17.17%0.0664✓0.504.2M2022-01-18
ZECZcashZcash157.78146.7058-7.02%131.97-16.36%0.0287✓1.3915.2M2022-01-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.6283.3856-6.68%3.378-6.89%0.0948✗1.003.8M2022-01-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum35.1432.8338-6.56%34.09-2.99%0.2081✗1.766.8M2022-01-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.32520.303882-6.56%0.3128-3.81%0.1144✗0.88775k2022-01-18
SCSiacoinnative0.015370.014372-6.49%0.0133-13.47%0.0116✓0.922.1M2022-01-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6040.567476-6.05%0.499-17.38%0.0081✓1.243.4M2022-01-18
MOVRMoonriverBase183.3809172.6043-5.88%126.385-31.08%0.2003✓1.151.2M2022-01-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0384950.036278-5.76%0.027164-29.43%0.1904✓1.0215.0M2022-01-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.65181.5572-5.73%0.8648-47.64%0.5411✓0.489.0M2022-01-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.171.105-5.56%0.98-16.24%0.0230✓1.002.4M2022-01-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.64580.610063-5.53%0.6093-5.65%0.1181✗1.238.7M2022-01-18
ZENHorizenBase65.5261.9035-5.52%52.32-20.15%0.0182✓1.552.2M2022-01-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.3352.209-5.40%2.277-2.48%0.1195✗0.923.4M2022-01-18
STORJStorjEthereum1.68471.5943-5.36%1.5502-7.98%0.0353✓0.651.4M2022-01-18
IMXImmutableEthereum4.54.2608-5.31%3.72-17.33%0.0387✓1.003.1M2022-01-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.13121.073-5.14%1.0043-11.22%0.1064✗1.781.6M2022-01-18
API3Api3Ethereum4.23.9882-5.04%4.64+10.48%0.2484✗1.001.7M2022-01-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07070.067154-5.02%0.0499-29.42%0.1628✓1.383.5M2022-01-18
UMAUMAEthereum9.098.6587-4.74%7.94-12.65%0.0210✓1.114.1M2022-01-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.8811.3181-4.73%8.79-26.01%0.2852✓-0.335.9M2022-01-18
LSKLiskEthereum2.33162.2219-4.71%2.0816-10.73%0.0502✗1.19191k2022-01-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.73624.5297-4.36%4.1197-13.02%0.0380✓1.375.2M2022-01-18
GITCOINGITCOIN9.2798.8937-4.15%11.382+22.66%0.2259✗-0.21119k2022-01-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.020350.01953-4.03%0.01679-17.49%0.0968✓0.5661k2022-01-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum5.95595.7163-4.02%5.9429-0.22%0.1540✗1.19876k2022-01-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.06411.0221-3.95%1.1015+3.51%0.1674✗0.9523.6M2022-01-18
MINAMina Protocolnative3.183.0576-3.85%3.45+8.49%0.2162✗0.98821k2022-01-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum9.28.8477-3.83%11.41+24.02%0.2389✗-0.163.7M2022-01-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000030760.000029595-3.79%0.00002811-8.62%0.0456✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
XVGVergenative0.016740.016147-3.54%0.01322-21.03%0.0851✓1.183.6M2022-01-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055640.053672-3.54%0.04814-13.48%0.0014✓1.1422k2022-01-18
RADRadworksEthereum9.99.551-3.53%7.44-24.85%0.1561✓0.971.9M2022-01-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.0480.046315-3.51%0.03887-19.02%0.0822✓0.9615.8M2022-01-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.017610.016998-3.47%0.01425-19.08%0.0543✓1.263.6M2022-01-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.100480.097103-3.36%0.08843-11.99%0.0421✓0.53143k2022-01-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.07691.0408-3.36%0.9593-10.92%0.0664✗1.523.6M2022-01-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36580.353862-3.26%0.3129-14.46%0.0043✓1.317.0M2022-01-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,997.5130,967.63-3.22%32,596.41+1.87%0.1070✗0.575.5M2022-01-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.02332.9263-3.21%3.2233+6.62%0.2144✗1.214.7M2022-01-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum4.174.0408-3.10%4.56+9.35%0.2496✗1.3328.7M2022-01-18
KCSKuCoinnative21.2320.5865-3.03%20.371-4.05%0.1571✗1.7324.3M2022-01-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0608960.059073-2.99%0.052076-14.48%0.0202✓1.5113.9M2022-01-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.07090.068778-2.99%0.06479-8.62%0.0378✗1.0123.2M2022-01-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.7551.7038-2.92%1.348-23.19%0.1084✓1.307.6M2022-01-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09470.091954-2.90%0.0808-14.68%0.0027✓1.363.6M2022-01-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69090.671136-2.86%0.6816-1.35%0.1326✗1.218.2M2022-01-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.47743.3785-2.85%3.6709+5.56%0.0732✗-0.10372k2022-01-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.32210.0326-2.80%7.355-28.74%0.2459✓0.67374k2022-01-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.43510.423399-2.69%0.6027+38.52%0.4501✗1.001.8M2022-01-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.223.1357-2.62%3.02-6.21%0.0586✗0.991.3M2022-01-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.35641.3225-2.50%1.3179-2.84%0.0990✗1.0638.2M2022-01-18
SOLSolanaSolana179.95175.4529-2.50%141.35-21.45%0.1167✓1.02281.0M2022-01-18
XTZTezosTezos4.13834.0361-2.47%4.1162-0.53%0.1477✗1.324.2M2022-01-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.551.5128-2.40%1.28-17.42%0.0028✓1.692.1M2022-01-18
KSMKusamaHydration274.31267.9154-2.33%253.4-7.62%0.0522✗1.111.5M2022-01-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.27851.2493-2.28%1.473+15.21%0.2704✗1.091.6M2022-01-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.348.1595-2.16%7.81-6.35%0.0324✗0.79824k2022-01-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.26310.257451-2.15%0.259-1.56%0.1288✗1.277.4M2022-01-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.7324.2003-2.14%19.56-20.91%0.1094✓1.073.0M2022-01-18
ETHEthereumEthereum3,925.793,842.77-2.11%3,160.81-19.49%0.0902✓1.08768.5M2022-01-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.93344.8337-2.02%4.0803-17.29%0.0942✓0.7831k2022-01-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13650.133779-1.99%0.105-23.08%0.1354✓1.10648k2022-01-18
NANOnanopayBase3.35563.2889-1.99%2.9248-12.84%0.0160✓1.04781k2022-01-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19220.188384-1.99%0.1541-19.82%0.0839✓1.218.9M2022-01-18
CBKCobakEthereum2.9842.926-1.95%2.691-9.82%0.0004✓0.86105k2022-01-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin153.31150.348-1.93%141.53-7.68%0.0788✗1.4463.2M2022-01-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08460.083028-1.86%0.0796-5.91%0.0660✗1.1124k2022-01-18
DODODODOEthereum0.8260.810946-1.82%0.739-10.53%0.0499✗1.4712.1M2022-01-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum2.712.661-1.81%2.55-5.90%0.0816✗1.282.9M2022-01-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.20120.197616-1.78%0.1749-13.07%0.0371✓0.88776k2022-01-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum95.2993.5992-1.77%73.86-22.49%0.1440✓0.9610.9M2022-01-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum32.2531.6861-1.75%27.26-15.47%0.0863✓0.66754k2022-01-18
XYMSymbolnative0.25770.253245-1.73%0.1864-27.67%0.2608✓0.47434k2022-01-18
ADACardanoCardano1.24431.223-1.71%1.4589+17.25%0.2766✗1.03131.8M2022-01-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.4531.4292-1.64%1.273-12.39%0.0128✓1.335.6M2022-01-18
DASHDashDash129.18127.1258-1.59%130.54+1.05%0.1481✗1.252.2M2022-01-18
BANDBandEthereum5.125.0402-1.56%5.05-1.37%0.1167✗1.182.8M2022-01-18
QTUMQtumQtum9.08398.9511-1.46%7.8307-13.80%0.0095✓1.48356k2022-01-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.30630.30205-1.39%0.4092+33.59%0.4466✗1.474.9M2022-01-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash432.94427.0172-1.37%381.47-11.89%0.0108✓1.0514.2M2022-01-18
QNTQuantEthereum182.22179.9532-1.24%146.04-19.86%0.1218✓0.9012.3M2022-01-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV123.02121.4924-1.24%108.41-11.88%0.0170✓1.002.3M2022-01-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.64820.641111-1.09%0.5309-18.10%0.0687✓1.2414.9M2022-01-18
COMPCompoundEthereum195.44193.3065-1.09%178.35-8.74%0.0230✗1.07228k2022-01-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.770370.762028-1.08%0.720057-6.53%0.0480✗1.084.8M2022-01-18
XVSVenusEthereum15.4815.3147-1.07%13.04-15.76%0.0484✓1.166.6M2022-01-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.111040.109911-1.02%0.10541-5.07%0.0669✗1.1231k2022-01-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana13.4513.3178-0.98%14.74+9.59%0.1669✗0.671.6M2022-01-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.8431.5498-0.91%27.84-12.56%0.0221✗1.521.6M2022-01-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.1312.1134-0.82%1.794-15.81%0.0550✓1.123.4M2022-01-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.8893.8572-0.82%4.117+5.86%0.1448✗0.82780k2022-01-18
GTGateEthereum5.79835.7516-0.81%7.0464+21.53%0.2824✗0.825.2M2022-01-18
XEMNEMnative0.12880.127895-0.70%0.1142-11.34%0.0058✓1.11191k2022-01-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos22.1822.0401-0.63%38.27+72.54%0.6326✗0.8342.5M2022-01-18
TRXTRONTron0.0795040.079021-0.61%0.068419-13.94%0.0484✓0.99735k2022-01-18
XECeCashnative0.000108670.00010801-0.61%0.00009565-11.98%0.0241✓1.0014.3M2022-01-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana8.588.5362-0.51%10.34+20.51%0.2596✗0.701.9M2022-01-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum47,160.0046,924.13-0.50%42,495.40-9.89%0.0028✓0.9915k2022-01-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0231720.023069-0.44%0.019469-15.98%0.0495✓1.241.9M2022-01-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.8934.7425-0.42%32.64-6.45%0.0404✗1.066.9M2022-01-18
FTTFTXEthereum39.7439.5886-0.38%44.97+13.16%0.2308✗1.0726.1M2022-01-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2191.2146-0.36%1.008-17.31%0.0898✓1.005.1M2022-01-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos7.9087.8807-0.35%7-11.48%0.0132✗1.36640k2022-01-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092060.091749-0.34%0.07514-18.38%0.0581✓1.467.0M2022-01-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.7224.7121-0.21%4.936+4.53%0.1076✗0.63961k2022-01-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.422.4154-0.19%2.19-9.50%0.0048✓0.964.9M2022-01-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.215.2018-0.16%5.03-3.45%0.0712✗1.085.5M2022-01-18
XLMStellarStellar0.2538850.253528-0.14%0.253995+0.04%0.0976✗0.9939.3M2022-01-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin46,687.1946,633.73-0.11%42,369.74-9.25%0.0011✗1.00744.5M2022-01-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3630.363001+0.00%0.376+3.58%0.1078✓0.7554k2022-01-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.553.5533+0.09%3.727+4.99%0.1129✓0.67532k2022-01-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum22.6722.6969+0.12%29.38+29.60%0.3876✓1.3320.5M2022-01-18
XMRMoneroMonero183.97184.2311+0.14%204.44+11.13%0.1987✓0.982.9M2022-01-18
AAVEAaveEthereum183.44183.8787+0.24%232.45+26.72%0.3292✓0.9810.9M2022-01-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.169530.17017+0.38%0.165155-2.58%0.0786✓1.125.3M2022-01-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum18.8818.9547+0.40%22.98+21.72%0.3176✓1.2969.7M2022-01-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana6.646.6709+0.47%6.43-3.16%0.0254✓0.641.1M2022-01-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot24.7824.9226+0.58%25.15+1.49%0.1305✓1.2575.1M2022-01-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin35.836.0191+0.61%28.48-20.45%0.1345✗1.0320.8M2022-01-18
SUSHISushiEthereum5.335.3668+0.69%6.21+16.51%0.2723✓1.3012.7M2022-01-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana7.968.0209+0.77%7.79-2.14%0.0349✓0.661.1M2022-01-18
UNIUniswapEthereum14.9715.2572+1.92%15.98+6.75%0.1711✓1.2914.2M2022-01-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.