8=======>

2022-09-04 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0100
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-2.38%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.5%
in alpha space · 21.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.13%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9219.3123+2.07%16.58-12.37%0.2142✗0.711.7M2022-09-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.181998+0.94%0.127-29.56%0.3608✗0.0193k2022-09-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.500792+0.16%0.515+3.00%0.0783✗1.223,8602022-09-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.232808+0.13%0.2312-0.56%0.0856✗0.9067k2022-09-11
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.225173+0.03%0.235+4.40%0.0390✗0.94468k2022-09-11
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063543-0.01%0.06419+1.01%0.0437✓0.62123k2022-09-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9795-0.02%1.9-4.04%0.0854✓0.5175k2022-09-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020697-0.08%0.021887+5.66%0.0151✓0.8112k2022-09-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.057648-0.09%0.0611+5.89%0.0241✓0.9497k2022-09-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,981.23-0.12%21,831.72+9.13%0.0012✗1.00480.9M2022-09-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,839.59-0.13%21,663.60+9.05%0.0060✗0.9413k2022-09-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.867752-0.15%0.8518-1.98%0.1065✓1.0113k2022-09-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001561-0.15%0.001558-0.32%0.0832✓0.93413k2022-09-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.006069-0.19%0.00661+8.72%0.0302✗0.63977k2022-09-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.311883-0.20%0.3328+6.50%0.0369✓1.17111k2022-09-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.056083-0.21%0.0645+14.77%0.0631✗0.8891k2022-09-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.073567-0.26%0.07546+2.30%0.0770✓1.1725k2022-09-11
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.7844-0.28%5.682+18.42%0.0546✗1.346.8M2022-09-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.355897-0.31%0.4255+19.19%0.0681✗1.26194k2022-09-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.288018-0.39%0.29146+0.80%0.0800✓1.0512k2022-09-11
GTGateEthereum4.21214.1912-0.50%4.3301+2.80%0.0359✓0.78724k2022-09-11
METISMetisEthereum30.1129.9332-0.59%31.98+6.21%0.0983✓1.88241k2022-09-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.8981-0.59%20.69+8.84%0.0212✓1.2820.1M2022-09-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.4493-0.60%6.491+0.05%0.1079✓1.316.9M2022-09-11
DODODODOEthereum0.130.129223-0.60%0.1333+2.54%0.0599✓1.041.5M2022-09-11
XMRMoneroMonero155.77154.8341-0.60%159.22+2.21%0.0628✓1.041.4M2022-09-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024869-0.60%0.0255+1.92%0.0865✓1.283,2982022-09-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012782-0.60%0.01293+0.54%0.0453✓0.65220k2022-09-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0854-0.65%1.183+8.28%0.0480✓1.534.4M2022-09-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.036163-0.65%0.0372+2.20%0.0395✓0.788,1752022-09-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.122092-0.66%0.2611+112.45%0.6687✗1.0525k2022-09-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.154145-0.67%0.17414+12.22%0.0553✓2.033442022-09-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.013083-0.68%0.013193+0.16%0.0484✓0.65929k2022-09-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.102181-0.70%0.1027-0.19%0.0585✓0.732,7842022-09-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.202562-0.75%0.2141+4.90%0.0618✓1.34140k2022-09-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.041861-0.77%0.042322+0.32%0.0333✓0.5125k2022-09-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.2117-0.77%3.3066+2.16%0.0593✓1.0119k2022-09-11
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8588.1518-0.79%91.63+3.13%0.0965✓1.555.2M2022-09-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.151093-0.79%0.168+10.31%0.0147✗1.051,4472022-09-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.665501-0.82%0.649-3.28%0.1104✓0.98196k2022-09-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.00593-0.82%0.006537+9.32%0.0365✗0.702,1662022-09-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021391-0.83%0.02332+8.11%0.0198✗0.769.8M2022-09-11
FTTFTXEthereum26.426.1776-0.84%27.89+5.64%0.0215✓0.976.8M2022-09-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.061959-0.87%0.0662+5.92%0.0459✓1.28713k2022-09-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1482-0.87%1.3029+12.49%0.0203✗1.21949k2022-09-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.2104-0.87%5.0627-3.68%0.0375✓0.10115k2022-09-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.209118-0.89%0.2303+9.15%0.0093✗1.0058k2022-09-11
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146113.027-0.91%12.8866-1.97%0.0975✓0.9932k2022-09-11
SOLSolanaSolana32.1731.8784-0.91%35.01+8.83%0.0061✓1.1461.7M2022-09-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.043993-0.92%0.0497+11.94%0.0361✗0.98132k2022-09-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.022051-0.94%0.0213-4.31%0.1061✓0.82459k2022-09-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3917.2262-0.94%18.93+8.86%0.0343✗0.69503k2022-09-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.044388-0.94%0.04664+4.08%0.0149✓0.7415k2022-09-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1549-0.95%1.251+7.29%0.0049✓0.971.3M2022-09-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.548622-0.95%0.55506+0.21%0.1037✓1.3239k2022-09-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.056456-0.95%0.0508-10.88%0.2037✓1.12220k2022-09-11
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.8631-0.95%5.1+3.87%0.0272✓0.851.3M2022-09-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.464965-0.97%0.512+9.05%0.0042✓1.15384k2022-09-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4632.1442-0.97%38.56+18.79%0.0484✗1.539.5M2022-09-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.891757-0.98%0.927788+3.02%0.0336✓0.8454k2022-09-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4832-0.99%1.517+1.27%0.0801✓1.1784k2022-09-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.081979-0.99%0.0941+13.65%0.0553✗0.9410k2022-09-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.312567-0.99%0.2929-7.22%0.1606✓1.0999k2022-09-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.105262-1.00%0.114387+7.58%0.0106✗0.836.8M2022-09-11
HIVEHivenative0.54390.538403-1.01%0.5792+6.49%0.0003✓0.83953k2022-09-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002913-1.01%0.002904-1.33%0.0835✓0.921.1M2022-09-11
FLOWFlownative1.951.9299-1.03%2.116+8.51%0.0271✓1.361.3M2022-09-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.81e-7-1.03%9.10e-7+2.25%0.0370✓0.8015k2022-09-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0478-1.04%1.0863+2.59%0.0387✓0.8641k2022-09-11
STXStacksnative0.36780.363936-1.05%0.3903+6.12%0.0314✓1.16335k2022-09-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.962164-1.07%0.9748+0.23%0.0932✓1.22841k2022-09-11
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.043653-1.09%0.046785+6.01%0.0044✓0.8429k2022-09-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.6543-1.11%7.63-1.42%0.0987✓1.09317k2022-09-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.287518-1.13%0.2923+0.52%0.0668✓0.952.8M2022-09-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.176186-1.13%0.183+2.69%0.0826✓1.382,0092022-09-11
DASHDashDash47.5947.0503-1.13%48.35+1.60%0.0580✓0.98419k2022-09-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.237179-1.13%0.3308+37.89%0.2491✗0.9681k2022-09-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008818-1.14%0.00944+5.83%0.0031✓0.744.7M2022-09-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.797367-1.14%0.80376-0.35%0.0684✓0.87519k2022-09-11
QNTQuantEthereum95.2994.2001-1.14%108.82+14.20%0.0695✗0.863.5M2022-09-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.41913-1.15%0.513+20.99%0.1116✗1.048,1172022-09-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.066304-1.16%0.07307+8.93%0.0176✗0.917702022-09-11
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.70e-7-1.16%9.10e-7+3.41%0.0256✓0.811.7M2022-09-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.521801-1.17%0.595+12.69%0.0380✗1.0768k2022-09-11
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.497573-1.18%0.5101+1.31%0.0560✓0.9339.1M2022-09-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.062471-1.18%0.063703+0.77%0.0740✓1.071.3M2022-09-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.666-1.22%2.0077+19.05%0.1009✗0.981.1M2022-09-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.7404-1.22%1.655-6.07%0.1296✓0.91108k2022-09-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1557.0672-1.23%8.03+12.23%0.0359✗1.0517.4M2022-09-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4716-1.23%1.42-4.70%0.0239✓-0.13128k2022-09-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27352.6163-1.23%54.454+2.22%0.0318✓0.76302k2022-09-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.2815-1.23%2.33+0.87%0.0804✓1.16217k2022-09-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.356285-1.24%0.33139-8.14%0.1423✓0.80332k2022-09-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.063922-1.25%0.06521+0.74%0.0748✓1.081.9M2022-09-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.094596-1.26%0.0997+4.07%0.0318✓0.97375k2022-09-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.9985-1.30%3.278+7.90%0.0430✗0.53650k2022-09-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.942-1.31%2.963-0.60%0.1269✓1.533.6M2022-09-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.429209-1.31%0.4445+2.21%0.0653✓1.1591k2022-09-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.036016-1.33%0.0393+7.67%0.0066✓0.9266k2022-09-11
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5354-1.33%1.6855+8.32%0.0049✓1.12253k2022-09-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.526781-1.35%0.543+1.69%0.0695✓1.1476k2022-09-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.101893-1.36%0.1156+11.91%0.0509✗0.86150k2022-09-11
KSMKusamaHydration50.6149.9189-1.37%51.9+2.55%0.0472✓0.99459k2022-09-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.201786-1.38%0.2106+2.93%0.0722✓1.32111k2022-09-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.037221-1.38%0.0396+4.93%0.0097✓0.822,6312022-09-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.136591-1.39%0.14382+3.83%0.0542✓1.21183k2022-09-11
ZECZcashZcash63.862.9113-1.39%64.27+0.74%0.0803✓1.161.3M2022-09-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,557.03-1.39%1,766.95+11.90%0.0047✓1.39628.3M2022-09-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.497257-1.40%0.5157+2.26%0.0307✓0.77496k2022-09-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006361-1.46%0.006309-2.26%0.0470✓0.4444k2022-09-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.676901-1.47%0.676-1.60%0.1073✓1.214.0M2022-09-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.5876-1.47%7.173+7.28%0.0116✓0.844.4M2022-09-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.171422-1.48%0.17789+2.24%0.0487✓0.98268k2022-09-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.0237-1.49%62.18+2.05%0.0515✓0.9912.7M2022-09-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.264968-1.50%0.285+5.95%0.0072✓0.75627k2022-09-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.361831-1.52%0.3619-1.50%0.0919✓1.0575k2022-09-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.8057-1.52%4.64-4.92%0.0822✓0.541.3M2022-09-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8808-1.52%1.9241+0.75%0.0724✓1.0927k2022-09-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.3426-1.53%4.405-0.11%0.0269✓0.472.3M2022-09-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.5089-1.54%15.7+14.43%0.0598✗1.041.7M2022-09-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.2492-1.54%9.755+3.84%0.0312✓0.971.2M2022-09-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2656.1681-1.55%6.417+2.43%0.0350✓0.857.6M2022-09-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.2807-1.55%2.3057-0.47%0.0882✓1.1313k2022-09-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003958-1.55%0.00419+4.23%0.0293✓0.99127k2022-09-11
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4747.7157-1.56%55.25+13.99%0.0352✗1.279,0502022-09-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.9295-1.56%1.99+1.53%0.1169✓1.6974k2022-09-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.5484-1.56%1.648+4.77%0.0411✓1.1856k2022-09-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.7018-1.57%1.838+6.30%0.0041✓0.93540k2022-09-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.049804-1.57%0.0501-0.99%0.0816✓1.00739k2022-09-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.3286-1.59%1.46+8.15%0.0140✓0.9295k2022-09-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.662318-1.59%0.686+1.93%0.0402✓0.86199k2022-09-11
XVGVergenative0.003110.003061-1.59%0.00381+22.51%0.1297✗1.02486k2022-09-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.834776-1.62%0.8885+4.71%0.0683✓1.49116k2022-09-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.726-1.62%2.782+0.40%0.0570✓0.88682k2022-09-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012631-1.63%0.00001299+1.17%0.0559✓0.96861k2022-09-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007799-1.65%0.00844+6.43%0.0200✓1.13428k2022-09-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.269.1069-1.65%8.98-3.02%0.0573✓0.502.0M2022-09-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.3638-1.67%11.23+6.55%0.0285✓1.24277k2022-09-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.010684-1.68%0.011314+4.12%0.0301✓1.005602022-09-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.13627-1.68%0.1378-0.58%0.0338✓0.513.4M2022-09-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36116.343-1.70%130.35+10.13%0.0131✓1.154.2M2022-09-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.6138-1.73%6.57-2.38%0.0472✓0.462.2M2022-09-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.307286-1.73%0.3264+4.38%0.0179✓0.905.8M2022-09-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.076786-1.73%0.07414-5.12%0.0395✓0.05397k2022-09-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.2697-1.75%2.63+13.85%0.0809✗0.76262k2022-09-11
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.379986-1.75%0.40526+4.78%0.0212✓0.9834k2022-09-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.830391-1.76%0.8663+2.48%0.0482✓1.041.4M2022-09-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.342939-1.78%0.35169+0.73%0.0610✓0.9940k2022-09-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.293682-1.78%0.313787+4.94%0.0286✓1.08514k2022-09-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.961125-1.79%1.0275+5.00%0.0233✗0.503.1M2022-09-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.2426-1.80%7.702+4.43%0.0299✓1.0510.0M2022-09-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.050662-1.82%0.052+0.78%0.0546✓0.92204k2022-09-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.0822-1.83%2.202+3.82%0.0449✓1.1538k2022-09-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.0252-1.84%0.023973-6.63%0.0601✓0.12315k2022-09-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.001314-1.86%0.001367+2.11%0.0304✓0.802.4M2022-09-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.3107-1.89%1.369+2.47%0.0602✓1.19449k2022-09-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,415.33-1.90%1,656.91+14.84%0.0702✗1.003.3M2022-09-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.140944-1.92%0.1518+5.64%0.0144✓1.0199k2022-09-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.143305-1.98%0.1545+5.68%0.0174✓1.06409k2022-09-11
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.962403-2.00%1.024+4.28%0.0299✗0.372.9M2022-09-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001489-2.03%0.001636+7.63%0.0340✗0.698,3412022-09-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.692735-2.03%0.7351+3.96%0.0626✓1.40210k2022-09-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.102308-2.10%0.1167+11.67%0.0369✗1.082.8M2022-09-11
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1492-2.12%1.402+19.42%0.0512✗1.693.0M2022-09-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.251-2.12%14.56+0.00%0.0746✓1.101.0M2022-09-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.499,236.34-2.13%10,194.93+8.03%0.0239✓1.405.6M2022-09-11
PROPropyEthereum0.730.714109-2.18%0.72-1.37%0.0209✓0.3369k2022-09-11
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000043336-2.22%0.00004562+2.93%0.0220✓0.841.8M2022-09-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.035045-2.24%0.03781+5.47%0.0127✓1.0151k2022-09-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.0976-2.29%1.3145+17.02%0.1023✗0.891.1M2022-09-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.6521-2.32%6.73-1.17%0.0300✓0.482.1M2022-09-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.7418-2.33%15.699+20.34%0.1102✗1.1312.3M2022-09-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4516.0633-2.35%16.47+0.12%0.0722✓1.11107k2022-09-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.6622-2.38%5.43-6.38%0.0814✓0.452.3M2022-09-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.345245-2.42%0.45678+29.10%0.1966✗0.95392k2022-09-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.4825-2.49%4.354-5.29%0.0502✓0.242.4M2022-09-11
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0451.0189-2.50%0.974-6.79%0.1557✓1.271.5M2022-09-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.5422-2.75%4.6789+0.18%0.0226✓0.604.7M2022-09-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.207434-2.80%0.2083-2.39%0.0693✓0.843.1M2022-09-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.8167-2.86%7.1468+1.84%0.0274✓0.236.5M2022-09-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.9329-2.96%4.501+11.05%0.0500✗0.97259k2022-09-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.4645-2.98%6.139-7.86%0.0902✓0.444.4M2022-09-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44227.1699-3.66%7.6094+2.25%0.0287✓0.357.6M2022-09-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53912.9842-4.10%12.594-6.98%0.0769✓0.5315.8M2022-09-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.9225-4.16%4.847-5.63%0.1029✓1.00141k2022-09-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.116221-4.19%0.1254+3.38%0.0149✓0.70208k2022-09-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000243055-4.22%0.00043138+69.99%0.5059✗0.78640k2022-09-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-78.77e-7-5.10%7.30e-7-21.06%0.2596✓0.861.7M2022-09-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.