HIVE

Hive · native · gru_s2

token id: #559
symbol: HIVE
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

63.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0496

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0045

actual -0.0147

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05105	0.049963	-2.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-21	oos	0.05085	0.049953	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.05045	0.049645	-1.60%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04885	0.048258	-1.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.04855	0.047981	-1.17%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.04985	0.049197	-1.31%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.05155	0.05076	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-15	oos	0.05165	0.050818	-1.61%	0.05105	-1.16%	0.0166	✓	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.05155	0.050782	-1.49%	0.05085	-1.36%	0.0236	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.05265	0.051762	-1.69%	0.05045	-4.18%	0.0240	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05215	0.051388	-1.46%	0.04885	-6.33%	0.0516	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.05615	0.054993	-2.06%	0.04855	-13.54%	0.1087	✓	0.79
2026-10-10	oos	0.05585	0.054758	-1.96%	0.04985	-10.74%	0.0793	✓	0.78
2026-10-09	oos	0.05535	0.054336	-1.83%	0.05155	-6.87%	0.0427	✓	0.78
2026-10-08	oos	0.0534	0.052603	-1.49%	0.05165	-3.28%	0.0224	✓	0.78
2026-10-07	oos	0.05495	0.053954	-1.81%	0.05155	-6.19%	0.0297	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.05755	0.056308	-2.16%	0.05265	-8.51%	0.0456	✓	0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.05785	0.056514	-2.31%	0.05215	-9.85%	0.0451	✓	0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.05795	0.056642	-2.26%	0.05615	-3.11%	0.0162	✓	0.75
2026-10-03	oos	0.05655	0.055321	-2.17%	0.05585	-1.24%	0.0258	✗	0.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0562	0.055033	-2.08%	0.05535	-1.51%	0.0231	✗	0.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.05675	0.05555	-2.11%	0.0534	-5.90%	0.0115	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.05675	0.055575	-2.07%	0.05495	-3.17%	0.0088	✓	0.75
2026-09-29	oos	0.05585	0.054793	-1.89%	0.05755	+3.04%	0.0325	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	0.05595	0.054997	-1.70%	0.05785	+3.40%	0.0301	✗	0.76
2026-09-27	oos	0.0596	0.058415	-1.99%	0.05795	-2.77%	0.0261	✓	0.76
2026-09-26	oos	0.05995	0.058736	-2.03%	0.05655	-5.67%	0.0408	✓	0.75
2026-09-25	oos	0.05785	0.056813	-1.79%	0.0562	-2.85%	0.0145	✓	0.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.0576	0.056359	-2.15%	0.05675	-1.48%	0.0028	✓	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	0.0541	0.053302	-1.48%	0.05675	+4.90%	0.0700	✗	0.75
2026-09-22	oos	0.05615	0.055247	-1.61%	0.05585	-0.53%	0.0322	✗	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.05555	0.05476	-1.42%	0.05595	+0.72%	0.0475	✗	0.70
2026-09-20	oos	0.05375	0.053089	-1.23%	0.0596	+10.88%	0.0865	✗	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.05505	0.054292	-1.38%	0.05995	+8.90%	0.0711	✗	0.73
2026-09-18	oos	0.05345	0.052941	-0.95%	0.05785	+8.23%	0.0603	✗	0.73
2026-09-17	oos	0.0513	0.051055	-0.48%	0.0576	+12.28%	0.0475	✗	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.0523	0.052062	-0.46%	0.0541	+3.44%	0.0358	✓	0.72
2026-09-15	oos	0.0544	0.053706	-1.28%	0.05615	+3.22%	0.0528	✓	0.74
2026-09-14	oos	0.0524	0.052165	-0.45%	0.05555	+6.01%	0.0185	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.05105	0.05047	-1.14%	0.05375	+5.29%	0.0195	✗	0.79
2026-09-12	oos	0.04885	0.048768	-0.17%	0.05505	+12.69%	0.0810	✗	0.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04565	0.045931	+0.62%	0.05345	+17.09%	0.1145	✓	0.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.04375	0.044183	+0.99%	0.0513	+17.26%	0.1513	✓	0.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.0456	0.046111	+1.12%	0.0523	+14.69%	0.1473	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.04565	0.046269	+1.36%	0.0544	+19.17%	0.1924	✓	0.82
2026-09-07	oos	0.0456	0.046438	+1.84%	0.0524	+14.91%	0.1303	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.04685	0.047881	+2.20%	0.05105	+8.96%	0.1014	✓	0.83
2026-09-05	oos	0.04675	0.047785	+2.21%	0.04885	+4.49%	0.0492	✓	0.83
2026-09-04	oos	0.04645	0.047504	+2.27%	0.04565	-1.72%	0.0151	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.04615	0.047327	+2.55%	0.04375	-5.20%	0.0304	✗	0.80
2026-09-02	oos	0.0442	0.044805	+1.37%	0.0456	+3.17%	0.0067	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	0.04375	0.044328	+1.32%	0.04565	+4.34%	0.0176	✓	0.88
2026-08-31	oos	0.04335	0.044111	+1.76%	0.0456	+5.19%	0.0273	✓	0.88
2026-08-30	oos	0.042	0.042674	+1.61%	0.04685	+11.55%	0.0675	✓	0.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.04285	0.043562	+1.66%	0.04675	+9.10%	0.0537	✓	0.84
2026-08-28	oos	0.04325	0.043931	+1.57%	0.04645	+7.40%	0.0366	✓	0.82
2026-08-27	oos	0.04395	0.044999	+2.39%	0.04615	+5.01%	0.0150	✓	0.83
2026-08-26	oos	0.0436	0.044362	+1.75%	0.0442	+1.38%	0.0147	✓	0.83
2026-08-25	oos	0.0419	0.042543	+1.53%	0.04375	+4.42%	0.0401	✓	0.83
2026-08-24	oos	0.04285	0.043521	+1.57%	0.04335	+1.17%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2026-08-23	oos	0.04395	0.044381	+0.98%	0.042	-4.44%	0.0544	✗	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.0438	0.044094	+0.67%	0.04285	-2.17%	0.0416	✗	0.85
2026-08-21	oos	0.04515	0.045529	+0.84%	0.04325	-4.21%	0.0461	✗	0.85
2026-08-20	oos	0.0421	0.041976	-0.30%	0.04395	+4.39%	0.0328	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.04015	0.039786	-0.91%	0.0436	+8.59%	0.0154	✓	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	0.03805	0.037699	-0.92%	0.0419	+10.12%	0.0521	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.03865	0.038293	-0.92%	0.04285	+10.87%	0.0546	✓	0.82
2026-08-16	oos	0.03885	0.038523	-0.84%	0.04395	+13.13%	0.0484	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	0.03935	0.039018	-0.84%	0.0438	+11.31%	0.0539	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.0392	0.038893	-0.78%	0.04515	+15.18%	0.0359	✓	0.85
2026-08-13	oos	0.0396	0.039309	-0.73%	0.0421	+6.31%	0.0509	✓	0.85
2026-08-12	oos	0.03955	0.039257	-0.74%	0.04015	+1.52%	0.0545	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.04015	0.039813	-0.84%	0.03805	-5.23%	0.0611	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.04095	0.040532	-1.02%	0.03865	-5.62%	0.0555	✓	0.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.0416	0.041114	-1.17%	0.03885	-6.61%	0.0283	✓	0.90
2026-08-08	oos	0.04185	0.041351	-1.19%	0.03935	-5.97%	0.0231	✓	0.90
2026-08-07	oos	0.04145	0.041037	-1.00%	0.0392	-5.43%	0.0191	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.0414	0.040965	-1.05%	0.0396	-4.35%	0.0222	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.04165	0.041223	-1.02%	0.03955	-5.04%	0.0249	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.04135	0.040972	-0.91%	0.04015	-2.90%	0.0130	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.04185	0.041461	-0.93%	0.04095	-2.15%	0.0185	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.04245	0.042052	-0.94%	0.0416	-2.00%	0.0314	✓	0.98
2026-08-01	oos	0.04175	0.04149	-0.62%	0.04185	+0.24%	0.0237	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.04245	0.042192	-0.61%	0.04145	-2.36%	0.0489	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0425	0.042233	-0.63%	0.0414	-2.59%	0.0129	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.04215	0.041956	-0.46%	0.04165	-1.19%	0.0181	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	0.04395	0.043654	-0.67%	0.04135	-5.92%	0.0573	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	0.0439	0.043609	-0.66%	0.04185	-4.67%	0.0377	✓	0.98
2026-07-26	oos	0.0473	0.046813	-1.03%	0.04245	-10.25%	0.0710	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.04705	0.046608	-0.94%	0.04175	-11.26%	0.0872	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.04615	0.045775	-0.81%	0.04245	-8.02%	0.0568	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.0469	0.046502	-0.85%	0.0425	-9.38%	0.0852	✓	0.94
2026-07-22	oos	0.04805	0.047653	-0.83%	0.04215	-12.28%	0.0912	✓	0.93
2026-07-21	oos	0.04875	0.048378	-0.76%	0.04395	-9.85%	0.0577	✓	0.93
2026-07-20	oos	0.0482	0.04781	-0.81%	0.0439	-8.92%	0.0639	✓	0.91
2026-07-19	oos	0.04795	0.04755	-0.83%	0.0473	-1.36%	0.0145	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.04795	0.047557	-0.82%	0.04705	-1.88%	0.0037	✓	0.91
2026-07-17	oos	0.04845	0.048023	-0.88%	0.04615	-4.75%	0.0426	✓	0.96
2026-07-16	oos	0.0484	0.047989	-0.85%	0.0469	-3.10%	0.0417	✓	0.94
2026-07-15	oos	0.04945	0.049015	-0.88%	0.04805	-2.83%	0.0399	✓	0.95
2026-07-14	oos	0.0493	0.048906	-0.80%	0.04875	-1.12%	0.0255	✓	0.96
2026-07-13	oos	0.0482	0.047848	-0.73%	0.0482	+0.00%	0.0385	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.04885	0.04849	-0.74%	0.04795	-1.84%	0.0259	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.04945	0.049026	-0.86%	0.04795	-3.03%	0.0376	✓	0.97
2026-07-10	oos	0.0493	0.048889	-0.83%	0.04845	-1.72%	0.0055	✓	0.96
2026-07-09	oos	0.0488	0.048438	-0.74%	0.0484	-0.82%	0.0098	✓	0.96
2026-07-08	oos	0.0487	0.048359	-0.70%	0.04945	+1.54%	0.0151	✓	0.96
2026-07-07	oos	0.04885	0.048529	-0.66%	0.0493	+0.92%	0.0093	✓	0.97
2026-07-06	oos	0.0504	0.050051	-0.69%	0.0482	-4.37%	0.0111	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.0507	0.050356	-0.68%	0.04885	-3.65%	0.0327	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.05185	0.051477	-0.72%	0.04945	-4.63%	0.0506	✓	0.96
2026-07-03	oos	0.0516	0.051224	-0.73%	0.0493	-4.46%	0.0622	✓	0.94
2026-07-02	oos	0.0504	0.050106	-0.58%	0.0488	-3.17%	0.0517	✓	0.93
2026-07-01	oos	0.0504	0.050155	-0.49%	0.0487	-3.37%	0.0649	✓	0.95
2026-06-30	oos	0.0481	0.048067	-0.07%	0.04885	+1.56%	0.0574	✓	0.93
2026-06-29	oos	0.0506	0.05044	-0.32%	0.0504	-0.40%	0.0573	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.0514	0.051215	-0.36%	0.0507	-1.36%	0.0710	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.0501	0.049972	-0.26%	0.05185	+3.49%	0.0101	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0503	0.050158	-0.28%	0.0516	+2.58%	0.0095	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.0491	0.04905	-0.10%	0.0504	+2.65%	0.0002	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.0479	0.047873	-0.06%	0.0504	+5.22%	0.0675	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.04835	0.048244	-0.22%	0.0481	-0.52%	0.0624	✗	0.96
2026-06-22	oos	0.0496	0.049378	-0.45%	0.0506	+2.02%	0.0828	✗	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.049	0.048807	-0.39%	0.0514	+4.90%	0.1101	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.04945	0.049195	-0.52%	0.0501	+1.31%	0.0834	✗	0.94
2026-06-19	oos	0.04845	0.048315	-0.28%	0.0503	+3.82%	0.0932	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.05005	0.049926	-0.25%	0.0491	-1.90%	0.0336	✗	0.97
2026-06-17	oos	0.0517	0.051479	-0.43%	0.0479	-7.35%	0.0185	✓	0.97
2026-06-16	oos	0.05125	0.050975	-0.54%	0.04835	-5.66%	0.0072	✓	0.99
2026-06-15	oos	0.0514	0.051081	-0.62%	0.0496	-3.50%	0.0060	✓	0.99
2026-06-14	oos	0.05065	0.050403	-0.49%	0.049	-3.26%	0.0093	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0504	0.050275	-0.25%	0.04945	-1.88%	0.0134	✓	0.99
2026-06-12	oos	0.05075	0.050721	-0.06%	0.04845	-4.53%	0.0448	✓	0.99
2026-06-11	oos	0.0521	0.051914	-0.36%	0.05005	-3.93%	0.0258	✓	0.99
2026-06-10	oos	0.0484	0.048507	+0.22%	0.0517	+6.82%	0.0185	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	0.04705	0.047379	+0.70%	0.05125	+8.93%	0.0198	✓	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.0492	0.049386	+0.38%	0.0514	+4.47%	0.0068	✗	0.94
2026-06-07	oos	0.0502	0.050383	+0.36%	0.05065	+0.90%	0.0293	✗	0.93
2026-06-06	oos	0.0508	0.051265	+0.92%	0.0504	-0.79%	0.0722	✗	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0511	0.051645	+1.07%	0.05075	-0.68%	0.0560	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.0561	0.05622	+0.21%	0.0521	-7.13%	0.0727	✗	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.0585	0.05857	+0.12%	0.0484	-17.26%	0.1542	✗	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0604	0.06011	-0.48%	0.04705	-22.10%	0.1765	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	0.0605	0.059845	-1.08%	0.0492	-18.68%	0.0825	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.0684	0.065674	-3.98%	0.0502	-26.61%	0.1425	✓	0.84
2026-05-30	oos	0.0583	0.057474	-1.42%	0.0508	-12.86%	0.0378	✗	0.84
2026-05-29	oos	0.05795	0.057265	-1.18%	0.0511	-11.82%	0.0410	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.05815	0.057524	-1.08%	0.0561	-3.53%	0.0937	✗	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.06	0.05932	-1.13%	0.0585	-2.50%	0.1118	✗	0.84
2026-05-26	oos	0.061	0.060271	-1.20%	0.0604	-0.98%	0.1100	✗	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.0631	0.061924	-1.86%	0.0605	-4.12%	0.0424	✗	0.82
2026-05-24	oos	0.06005	0.059291	-1.26%	0.0684	+13.91%	0.1798	✗	0.82
2026-05-23	oos	0.0612	0.059919	-2.09%	0.0583	-4.74%	0.0039	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0591	0.058437	-1.12%	0.05795	-1.95%	0.0143	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.06035	0.059543	-1.34%	0.05815	-3.65%	0.0198	✗	0.81
2026-05-20	oos	0.05955	0.058871	-1.14%	0.06	+0.76%	0.0528	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.0582	0.057727	-0.81%	0.061	+4.81%	0.0651	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.0594	0.058898	-0.85%	0.0631	+6.23%	0.0657	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	0.0581	0.057727	-0.64%	0.06005	+3.36%	0.0440	✗	0.82
2026-05-16	oos	0.0603	0.059821	-0.79%	0.0612	+1.49%	0.0380	✗	0.81
2026-05-15	oos	0.0612	0.060722	-0.78%	0.0591	-3.43%	0.0116	✗	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.0642	0.063633	-0.88%	0.06035	-6.00%	0.0165	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.06215	0.061733	-0.67%	0.05955	-4.18%	0.0173	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.0669	0.066232	-1.00%	0.0582	-13.00%	0.0926	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.0672	0.066468	-1.09%	0.0594	-11.61%	0.0667	✓	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	0.0667	0.066174	-0.79%	0.0581	-12.89%	0.0838	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.0662	0.065611	-0.89%	0.0603	-8.91%	0.0597	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.0676	0.066803	-1.18%	0.0612	-9.47%	0.0770	✓	0.75
2026-05-07	oos	0.0663	0.06565	-0.98%	0.0642	-3.17%	0.0320	✓	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0677	0.066952	-1.10%	0.06215	-8.20%	0.0542	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.0733	0.070854	-3.34%	0.0669	-8.73%	0.0529	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.0595	0.059085	-0.70%	0.0672	+12.94%	0.1095	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0596	0.059069	-0.89%	0.0667	+11.91%	0.0844	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0603	0.05975	-0.91%	0.0662	+9.78%	0.0822	✗	0.82
2026-05-01	oos	0.0595	0.059034	-0.78%	0.0676	+13.61%	0.1154	✗	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.05905	0.058495	-0.94%	0.0663	+12.28%	0.0859	✗	0.83
2026-04-29	oos	0.0595	0.058908	-0.99%	0.0677	+13.78%	0.0790	✗	0.83
2026-04-28	oos	0.0606	0.059984	-1.02%	0.0733	+20.96%	0.1512	✗	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	0.0605	0.059976	-0.87%	0.0595	-1.65%	0.0347	✓	0.85
2026-04-26	oos	0.0624	0.061884	-0.83%	0.0596	-4.49%	0.0364	✓	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	0.06275	0.062053	-1.11%	0.0603	-3.90%	0.0398	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.0615	0.060846	-1.06%	0.0595	-3.25%	0.0308	✓	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.06145	0.060961	-0.80%	0.05905	-3.91%	0.0101	✓	0.85
2026-04-22	oos	0.06095	0.060537	-0.68%	0.0595	-2.38%	0.0099	✗	0.85
2026-04-21	oos	0.0616	0.060995	-0.98%	0.0606	-1.62%	0.0061	✓	0.86
2026-04-20	oos	0.06175	0.061171	-0.94%	0.0605	-2.02%	0.0279	✓	0.86
2026-04-19	oos	0.0602	0.059626	-0.95%	0.0624	+3.65%	0.0099	✓	0.87
2026-04-18	oos	0.0646	0.063758	-1.30%	0.06275	-2.86%	0.0374	✓	0.86
2026-04-17	oos	0.0641	0.06346	-1.00%	0.0615	-4.06%	0.0355	✓	0.87
2026-04-16	oos	0.06175	0.060992	-1.23%	0.06145	-0.49%	0.0276	✓	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.0596	0.058925	-1.13%	0.06095	+2.27%	0.0041	✓	0.86
2026-04-14	oos	0.05845	0.057789	-1.13%	0.0616	+5.39%	0.0391	✗	0.86
2026-04-13	oos	0.0602	0.059446	-1.25%	0.06175	+2.57%	0.0219	✗	0.86
2026-04-12	oos	0.0585	0.057682	-1.40%	0.0602	+2.91%	0.0057	✓	0.87
2026-04-11	oos	0.0597	0.058872	-1.39%	0.0646	+8.21%	0.0617	✗	0.87
2026-04-10	oos	0.0603	0.059507	-1.31%	0.0641	+6.30%	0.0268	✗	0.87
2026-04-09	oos	0.0599	0.059103	-1.33%	0.06175	+3.09%	0.0039	✓	0.87
2026-04-08	oos	0.059	0.058253	-1.27%	0.0596	+1.02%	0.0219	✓	0.87
2026-04-07	oos	0.06045	0.059634	-1.35%	0.05845	-3.31%	0.0471	✓	0.87
2026-04-06	oos	0.0586	0.057849	-1.28%	0.0602	+2.73%	0.0264	✓	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	0.0586	0.057895	-1.20%	0.0585	-0.17%	0.0109	✓	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.05905	0.058443	-1.03%	0.0597	+1.10%	0.0498	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0597	0.059035	-1.11%	0.0603	+1.01%	0.0532	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.056748	-0.79%	0.0599	+4.72%	0.0067	✓	0.86
2026-04-01	oos	0.058	0.057483	-0.89%	0.059	+1.72%	0.0108	✓	0.86
2026-03-31	oos	0.057	0.056595	-0.71%	0.06045	+6.05%	0.0206	✗	0.86
2026-03-30	oos	0.0568	0.056502	-0.52%	0.0586	+3.17%	0.0094	✗	0.87
2026-03-29	oos	0.05625	0.056068	-0.32%	0.0586	+4.18%	0.0054	✗	0.86
2026-03-28	oos	0.0578	0.057578	-0.38%	0.05905	+2.16%	0.0129	✗	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	0.0581	0.05793	-0.29%	0.0597	+2.75%	0.0223	✗	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	0.06065	0.060191	-0.76%	0.0572	-5.69%	0.0273	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.0626	0.062134	-0.74%	0.058	-7.35%	0.0297	✓	0.86
2026-03-24	oos	0.0627	0.062302	-0.63%	0.057	-9.09%	0.0604	✓	0.86
2026-03-23	oos	0.06175	0.061461	-0.47%	0.0568	-8.02%	0.0273	✓	0.86
2026-03-22	oos	0.05985	0.059706	-0.24%	0.05625	-6.02%	0.0354	✓	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	0.0609	0.060747	-0.25%	0.0578	-5.09%	0.0167	✓	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	0.0643	0.064054	-0.38%	0.0581	-9.64%	0.0460	✓	0.85
2026-03-19	oos	0.06275	0.06268	-0.11%	0.06065	-3.35%	0.0189	✓	0.85
2026-03-18	oos	0.06425	0.064233	-0.03%	0.0626	-2.57%	0.0264	✓	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	0.0671	0.0671	+0.00%	0.0627	-6.56%	0.0275	✗	0.86
2026-03-16	oos	0.0654	0.065546	+0.22%	0.06175	-5.58%	0.0118	✗	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	0.0635	0.063608	+0.17%	0.05985	-5.75%	0.0001	✓	0.86
2026-03-14	oos	0.06255	0.06265	+0.16%	0.0609	-2.64%	0.0003	✓	0.87
2026-03-13	oos	0.0627	0.062772	+0.11%	0.0643	+2.55%	0.0296	✓	0.87
2026-03-12	oos	0.0633	0.063368	+0.11%	0.06275	-0.87%	0.0022	✗	0.87
2026-03-11	oos	0.0636	0.063675	+0.12%	0.06425	+1.02%	0.0038	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.0621	0.062238	+0.22%	0.0671	+8.05%	0.0273	✓	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	0.0622	0.062361	+0.26%	0.0654	+5.14%	0.0311	✗	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	0.061	0.061248	+0.41%	0.0635	+4.10%	0.0513	✗	0.88
2026-03-07	oos	0.0613	0.061504	+0.33%	0.06255	+2.04%	0.0341	✗	0.89
2026-03-06	oos	0.0623	0.062485	+0.30%	0.0627	+0.64%	0.0324	✗	0.88
2026-03-05	oos	0.0639	0.064065	+0.26%	0.0633	-0.94%	0.0076	✗	0.89
2026-03-04	oos	0.0649	0.065107	+0.32%	0.0636	-2.00%	0.0073	✓	0.89
2026-03-03	oos	0.0641	0.06436	+0.41%	0.0621	-3.12%	0.0574	✗	0.92
2026-03-02	oos	0.06555	0.065785	+0.36%	0.0622	-5.11%	0.0507	✗	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.0641	0.064466	+0.57%	0.061	-4.84%	0.0581	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0658	0.066101	+0.46%	0.0613	-6.84%	0.0795	✗	0.94
2026-02-27	oos	0.06555	0.065974	+0.65%	0.0623	-4.96%	0.0890	✗	0.94
2026-02-26	oos	0.0683	0.068596	+0.43%	0.0639	-6.44%	0.1170	✗	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.0663	0.066673	+0.56%	0.0649	-2.11%	0.0897	✗	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.06355	0.064099	+0.86%	0.0641	+0.87%	0.0616	✗	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.0636	0.064129	+0.83%	0.06555	+3.07%	0.0374	✗	0.94
2026-02-22	oos	0.066	0.066365	+0.55%	0.0641	-2.88%	0.0086	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.06845	0.068782	+0.48%	0.0658	-3.87%	0.0304	✗	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0684	0.068782	+0.56%	0.06555	-4.17%	0.0182	✗	0.94
2026-02-19	oos	0.0684	0.068894	+0.72%	0.0683	-0.15%	0.0159	✗	0.95
2026-02-18	oos	0.06855	0.069071	+0.76%	0.0663	-3.28%	0.0633	✗	0.95
2026-02-17	oos	0.072	0.072358	+0.50%	0.06355	-11.74%	0.0820	✗	0.93
2026-02-16	oos	0.0724	0.072736	+0.46%	0.0636	-12.15%	0.0754	✗	0.93
2026-02-15	oos	0.0719	0.072296	+0.55%	0.066	-8.21%	0.0751	✗	0.93
2026-02-14	oos	0.0763	0.07653	+0.30%	0.06845	-10.29%	0.0870	✗	0.92
2026-02-13	oos	0.0739	0.07429	+0.53%	0.0684	-7.44%	0.0715	✗	0.92
2026-02-12	oos	0.07205	0.072719	+0.93%	0.0684	-5.07%	0.0719	✗	0.93
2026-02-11	oos	0.0711	0.071803	+0.99%	0.06855	-3.59%	0.0381	✗	0.91
2026-02-10	oos	0.07045	0.071136	+0.97%	0.072	+2.20%	0.0301	✓	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.073	0.073669	+0.92%	0.0724	-0.82%	0.0010	✓	0.92
2026-02-08	oos	0.0716	0.07245	+1.19%	0.0719	+0.42%	0.0121	✓	0.92
2026-02-07	oos	0.0768	0.077586	+1.02%	0.0763	-0.65%	0.0241	✗	0.94
2026-02-06	oos	0.0736	0.074639	+1.41%	0.0739	+0.41%	0.0135	✓	0.95
2026-02-05	oos	0.0666	0.069077	+3.72%	0.07205	+8.18%	0.0092	✓	0.97
2026-02-04	oos	0.0789	0.079884	+1.25%	0.0711	-9.89%	0.0364	✗	0.94
2026-02-03	oos	0.0809	0.081689	+0.98%	0.07045	-12.92%	0.0597	✗	0.93
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.082161	+0.69%	0.073	-10.54%	0.0070	✗	0.97
2026-02-01	oos	0.0801	0.081119	+1.27%	0.0716	-10.61%	0.0373	✗	0.97
2026-01-31	oos	0.0812	0.082122	+1.14%	0.0768	-5.42%	0.0661	✓	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.08735	0.087273	-0.09%	0.0736	-15.74%	0.0130	✗	1.04
2026-01-29	oos	0.0871	0.087062	-0.04%	0.0666	-23.54%	0.0433	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.09345	0.092477	-1.04%	0.0789	-15.57%	0.0470	✗	1.03
2026-01-27	oos	0.0946	0.093508	-1.15%	0.0809	-14.48%	0.0266	✗	1.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.0928	0.09198	-0.88%	0.0816	-12.07%	0.0010	✓	1.03
2026-01-25	oos	0.0914	0.090941	-0.50%	0.0801	-12.36%	0.0042	✓	1.04
2026-01-24	oos	0.0953	0.094301	-1.05%	0.0812	-14.80%	0.0212	✓	1.03
2026-01-23	oos	0.0947	0.093798	-0.95%	0.08735	-7.76%	0.0072	✓	1.04
2026-01-22	oos	0.09465	0.093743	-0.96%	0.0871	-7.98%	0.0148	✓	1.03
2026-01-21	oos	0.0968	0.095712	-1.12%	0.09345	-3.46%	0.0216	✓	1.03
2026-01-20	oos	0.094	0.093211	-0.84%	0.0946	+0.64%	0.0055	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.1001	0.098689	-1.41%	0.0928	-7.29%	0.0132	✓	1.01
2026-01-18	oos	0.1021	0.100569	-1.50%	0.0914	-10.48%	0.0157	✓	1.02
2026-01-17	oos	0.1067	0.104985	-1.61%	0.0953	-10.68%	0.0315	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.1066	0.104912	-1.58%	0.0947	-11.16%	0.0370	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.10445	0.102998	-1.39%	0.09465	-9.38%	0.0180	✓	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.1084	0.106899	-1.38%	0.0968	-10.70%	0.0183	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.1093	0.107624	-1.53%	0.094	-14.00%	0.0573	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	0.1039	0.102427	-1.42%	0.1001	-3.66%	0.0381	✓	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.106	0.104492	-1.42%	0.1021	-3.68%	0.0539	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.1103	0.108578	-1.56%	0.1067	-3.26%	0.0706	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	0.1082	0.106723	-1.36%	0.1066	-1.48%	0.0592	✓	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.1098	0.108194	-1.46%	0.10445	-4.87%	0.0876	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1084	0.106578	-1.68%	0.1084	+0.00%	0.0677	✓	1.40
2026-01-06	oos	0.1026	0.101316	-1.25%	0.1093	+6.53%	0.0502	✗	1.46
2026-01-05	oos	0.102	0.100608	-1.36%	0.1039	+1.86%	0.0745	✗	1.46
2026-01-04	oos	0.0992	0.097915	-1.30%	0.106	+6.85%	0.0893	✗	1.46
2026-01-03	oos	0.0988	0.097618	-1.20%	0.1103	+11.64%	0.1258	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.0985	0.097443	-1.07%	0.1082	+9.85%	0.0956	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.0967	0.095906	-0.82%	0.1098	+13.55%	0.0980	✗	1.46
2025-12-31	oos	0.0965	0.095908	-0.61%	0.1084	+12.33%	0.0604	✗	1.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1011	0.100189	-0.90%	0.1026	+1.48%	0.0614	✓	1.46
2025-12-29	oos	0.1048	0.103451	-1.29%	0.102	-2.67%	0.1241	✓	1.47
2025-12-28	oos	0.0991	0.097446	-1.67%	0.0992	+0.10%	0.0419	✓	1.48
2025-12-27	oos	0.095	0.094254	-0.79%	0.0988	+4.00%	0.0014	✓	1.46
2025-12-26	oos	0.09	0.08963	-0.41%	0.0985	+9.44%	0.0511	✗	1.44
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090594	-0.34%	0.0967	+6.38%	0.0395	✗	1.44
2025-12-24	oos	0.0922	0.09192	-0.30%	0.0965	+4.66%	0.0505	✗	1.45
2025-12-23	oos	0.09415	0.093793	-0.38%	0.1011	+7.38%	0.0591	✗	1.45
2025-12-22	oos	0.0955	0.094532	-1.01%	0.1048	+9.74%	0.1269	✗	1.45
2025-12-21	oos	0.0884	0.088207	-0.22%	0.0991	+12.10%	0.1289	✗	1.44
2025-12-20	oos	0.08965	0.089456	-0.22%	0.095	+5.97%	0.0687	✗	1.46
2025-12-19	oos	0.0899	0.089833	-0.07%	0.09	+0.11%	0.0151	✗	1.46
2025-12-18	oos	0.0854	0.085738	+0.40%	0.0909	+6.44%	0.0297	✓	1.45
2025-12-17	oos	0.08915	0.089272	+0.14%	0.0922	+3.42%	0.0089	✓	1.45
2025-12-16	oos	0.0938	0.093632	-0.18%	0.09415	+0.37%	0.0125	✗	1.44
2025-12-15	oos	0.0947	0.094637	-0.07%	0.0955	+0.84%	0.0265	✓	1.46
2025-12-14	oos	0.09845	0.098136	-0.32%	0.0884	-10.21%	0.1122	✓	1.45
2025-12-13	oos	0.1024	0.101917	-0.47%	0.08965	-12.45%	0.0969	✓	1.45
2025-12-12	oos	0.10175	0.101409	-0.34%	0.0899	-11.65%	0.0850	✓	1.45
2025-12-11	oos	0.1031	0.102587	-0.50%	0.0854	-17.17%	0.0670	✓	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.1031	0.102606	-0.48%	0.08915	-13.53%	0.0448	✓	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.1059	0.10532	-0.55%	0.0938	-11.43%	0.0377	✓	1.46
2025-12-08	oos	0.1024	0.102141	-0.25%	0.0947	-7.52%	0.0065	✓	1.44
2025-12-07	oos	0.1009	0.100749	-0.15%	0.09845	-2.43%	0.0129	✗	1.44
2025-12-06	oos	0.1047	0.10436	-0.32%	0.1024	-2.20%	0.0350	✓	1.46
2025-12-05	oos	0.1028	0.10259	-0.20%	0.10175	-1.02%	0.0234	✓	1.46
2025-12-04	oos	0.1056	0.105213	-0.37%	0.1031	-2.37%	0.0275	✓	1.47
2025-12-03	oos	0.1081	0.107583	-0.48%	0.1031	-4.63%	0.0200	✓	1.48
2025-12-02	oos	0.1063	0.105896	-0.38%	0.1059	-0.38%	0.0223	✓	1.48
2025-12-01	oos	0.1008	0.100914	+0.11%	0.1024	+1.59%	0.0608	✗	1.53
2025-11-30	oos	0.1069	0.106631	-0.25%	0.1009	-5.61%	0.0558	✓	1.54
2025-11-29	oos	0.1088	0.108606	-0.18%	0.1047	-3.77%	0.0100	✓	1.54
2025-11-28	oos	0.1091	0.108886	-0.20%	0.1028	-5.77%	0.0310	✓	1.54
2025-11-27	oos	0.1102	0.109895	-0.28%	0.1056	-4.17%	0.0529	✓	1.54
2025-11-26	oos	0.107	0.106883	-0.11%	0.1081	+1.03%	0.0378	✓	1.51
2025-11-25	oos	0.10675	0.106941	+0.18%	0.1063	-0.42%	0.0757	✗	1.56
2025-11-24	oos	0.1064	0.10667	+0.25%	0.1008	-5.26%	0.0210	✗	1.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.1023	0.103043	+0.73%	0.1069	+4.50%	0.0262	✗	1.57
2025-11-22	oos	0.102	0.103157	+1.13%	0.1088	+6.67%	0.0585	✗	1.60
2025-11-21	oos	0.1023	0.103555	+1.23%	0.1091	+6.65%	0.0535	✗	1.59
2025-11-20	oos	0.1078	0.108731	+0.86%	0.1102	+2.23%	0.0717	✗	1.58
2025-11-19	oos	0.1102	0.11052	+0.29%	0.107	-2.90%	0.0139	✗	1.69
2025-11-18	oos	0.111	0.111199	+0.18%	0.10675	-3.83%	0.0645	✓	1.70
2025-11-17	oos	0.1078	0.108357	+0.52%	0.1064	-1.30%	0.0540	✓	1.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.1099	0.110283	+0.35%	0.1023	-6.92%	0.0636	✓	1.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.1138	0.114021	+0.19%	0.102	-10.37%	0.0936	✓	1.70
2025-11-14	oos	0.1124	0.112998	+0.53%	0.1023	-8.99%	0.0793	✓	1.70
2025-11-13	oos	0.1136	0.11379	+0.17%	0.1078	-5.11%	0.2025	✓	1.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1187	0.118493	-0.17%	0.1102	-7.16%	0.1193	✗	1.82
2025-11-11	oos	0.1196	0.119109	-0.41%	0.111	-7.19%	0.1166	✗	1.81
2025-11-10	oos	0.1261	0.125195	-0.72%	0.1078	-14.51%	0.1018	✗	1.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.1244	0.123727	-0.54%	0.1099	-11.66%	0.0722	✗	1.80
2025-11-08	oos	0.1233	0.122961	-0.28%	0.1138	-7.70%	0.0470	✗	1.83
2025-11-07	oos	0.124	0.123428	-0.46%	0.1124	-9.35%	0.0656	✗	1.79
2025-11-06	oos	0.1119	0.112485	+0.52%	0.1136	+1.52%	0.0390	✓	1.75
2025-11-05	oos	0.1111	0.111576	+0.43%	0.1187	+6.84%	0.1006	✓	1.78
2025-11-04	oos	0.1068	0.107963	+1.09%	0.1196	+11.99%	0.0755	✓	1.78
2025-11-03	oos	0.1126	0.112925	+0.29%	0.1261	+11.99%	0.1204	✓	1.84
2025-11-02	oos	0.1278	0.127221	-0.45%	0.1244	-2.66%	0.0743	✗	1.78
2025-11-01	oos	0.1281	0.127664	-0.34%	0.1233	-3.75%	0.0961	✗	1.79
2025-10-31	oos	0.1237	0.123598	-0.08%	0.124	+0.24%	0.1083	✗	1.78
2025-10-30	oos	0.1225	0.122618	+0.10%	0.1119	-8.65%	0.0282	✓	1.79
2025-10-29	oos	0.1309	0.130588	-0.24%	0.1111	-15.13%	0.0604	✓	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.1323	0.131843	-0.35%	0.1068	-19.27%	0.0184	✓	1.80
2025-10-27	oos	0.1349	0.134215	-0.51%	0.1126	-16.53%	0.0527	✓	1.80
2025-10-26	oos	0.1407	0.139609	-0.78%	0.1278	-9.17%	0.0243	✓	1.80
2025-10-25	oos	0.1365	0.135746	-0.55%	0.1281	-6.15%	0.0315	✓	1.82
2025-10-24	oos	0.1379	0.137285	-0.45%	0.1237	-10.30%	0.0796	✓	1.82
2025-10-23	oos	0.1371	0.136705	-0.29%	0.1225	-10.65%	0.0795	✓	1.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.1338	0.133826	+0.02%	0.1309	-2.17%	0.0634	✗	1.84
2025-10-21	oos	0.1366	0.136521	-0.06%	0.1323	-3.15%	0.1069	✓	1.84
2025-10-20	oos	0.1413	0.14085	-0.32%	0.1349	-4.53%	0.1011	✓	1.85
2025-10-19	oos	0.1419	0.141706	-0.14%	0.1407	-0.85%	0.1049	✓	1.86
2025-10-18	oos	0.1382	0.138515	+0.23%	0.1365	-1.23%	0.0902	✗	1.86
2025-10-17	oos	0.1367	0.137306	+0.44%	0.1379	+0.88%	0.0735	✗	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.1379	0.138497	+0.43%	0.1371	-0.58%	0.0428	✗	1.86
2025-10-15	oos	0.1435	0.143803	+0.21%	0.1338	-6.76%	0.0173	✗	1.86
2025-10-14	oos	0.1494	0.149365	-0.02%	0.1366	-8.57%	0.0103	✓	1.86
2025-10-13	oos	0.1552	0.154668	-0.34%	0.1413	-8.96%	0.0128	✓	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.1486	0.14852	-0.05%	0.1419	-4.51%	0.0592	✗	1.83
2025-10-11	oos	0.1377	0.138957	+0.91%	0.1382	+0.36%	0.0539	✓	1.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.1381	0.139125	+0.74%	0.1367	-1.01%	0.0911	✓	1.83
2025-10-09	oos	0.182	0.180503	-0.82%	0.1379	-24.23%	0.1109	✓	1.34
2025-10-08	oos	0.1872	0.185573	-0.87%	0.1435	-23.34%	0.1136	✓	1.34
2025-10-07	oos	0.18265	0.181143	-0.82%	0.1494	-18.20%	0.1007	✓	1.29
2025-10-06	oos	0.1907	0.189228	-0.77%	0.1552	-18.62%	0.0980	✓	1.27
2025-10-05	oos	0.1849	0.183512	-0.75%	0.1486	-19.63%	0.1210	✓	1.27
2025-10-04	oos	0.1866	0.185101	-0.80%	0.1377	-26.21%	0.1686	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.1926	0.190917	-0.87%	0.1381	-28.30%	0.2230	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1918	0.190029	-0.92%	0.182	-5.11%	0.0547	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.1894	0.187628	-0.94%	0.1872	-1.16%	0.0521	✓	1.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.1807	0.179364	-0.74%	0.18265	+1.08%	0.0623	✓	1.29
2025-09-29	oos	0.1803	0.178928	-0.76%	0.1907	+5.77%	0.0549	✓	1.37
2025-09-28	oos	0.182	0.180626	-0.76%	0.1849	+1.59%	0.1127	✓	1.42
2025-09-27	oos	0.1793	0.178364	-0.52%	0.1866	+4.07%	0.1121	✓	1.43
2025-09-26	oos	0.1806	0.179746	-0.47%	0.1926	+6.64%	0.0868	✓	1.43
2025-09-25	oos	0.1762	0.175728	-0.27%	0.1918	+8.85%	0.0566	✓	1.43
2025-09-24	oos	0.1869	0.185398	-0.80%	0.1894	+1.34%	0.0438	✓	1.42
2025-09-23	oos	0.1858	0.184511	-0.69%	0.1807	-2.74%	0.0468	✓	1.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.1843	0.182844	-0.79%	0.1803	-2.17%	0.0344	✓	1.42
2025-09-21	oos	0.1974	0.194926	-1.25%	0.182	-7.80%	0.0311	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.1992	0.196704	-1.25%	0.1793	-9.99%	0.0160	✓	1.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.19885	0.196389	-1.24%	0.1806	-9.18%	0.0079	✓	1.43
2025-09-18	oos	0.206	0.203019	-1.45%	0.1762	-14.47%	0.0394	✓	1.43

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.